A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Develops DDC to improve clustering with deep neural networks.
The position of the EWS (economy-wide substitution)-ratio vector determines the Rybczynski sign pattern, which expresses the factor endowment--commodity output relationships, and the Stolper-Samuelson sign pattern, which expresses the commodity price--factor price relationships in a three-factor two-good general equili…
In this paper, we propose a mixture of probabilistic partial canonical correlation analysis (MPPCCA) that extracts the Causal Patterns from two multivariate time series. Causal patterns refer to the signal patterns within interactions of two elements having multiple types of mutually causal relationships, rather than a…
We employ the thermal optimal path method to explore both the long-term and short-term interaction patterns between the onshore CNY and offshore CNH exchange rates (2012-2015). For the daily data, the CNY and CNH exchange rates show a weak alternate lead-lag structure in most of the time periods. When CNY and CNH displ…
In this study, we investigate the evolution of Chinese guarantee networks from the angle of sub-patterns. First, we find that the mutual, 2-out-stars and triangle sub-patterns are motifs in 2- and 3-node subgraphs. Considering the heterogeneous financial characteristics of nodes, we find that small firms tend to form a…
New model predicts energy prices under different scenarios.
We present the Bayesian Echo Chamber, a new Bayesian generative model for social interaction data. By modeling the evolution of people's language usage over time, this model discovers latent influence relationships between them. Unlike previous work on inferring influence, which has primarily focused on simple temporal…
TAGM models time-varying connections between variables.
Study identifies clusters of EU countries with similar young mortality patterns.
The highly detailed international trade data among all countries in the world during 1971-2000 shows that the kinds of export goods and the logarithmic GDP (gross domestic production) of a country has an S-shaped relationship. This indicates all countries can be divided into three stages accordingly. First, the poor co…
In this paper, we investigate the multi-variate sequence classification problem from a multi-instance learning perspective. Real-world sequential data commonly show discriminative patterns only at specific time periods. For instance, we can identify a cropland during its growing season, but it looks similar to a barren…
Novel method models dynamic brain graphs from time series data.
Previous models for learning entity and relationship embeddings of knowledge graphs such as TransE, TransH, and TransR aim to explore new links based on learned representations. However, these models interpret relationships as simple translations on entity embeddings. In this paper, we try to learn more complex connect…
A conjecturing machine uncovers feature relationships in data.
Algorithm detects lead-lag relationships in multivariate time series.
Bayesian method finds patterns of mutual independence in data.
Study examines lead-lag relationships between VIX and VIX futures markets over time.
DDP models dynamic comorbidity networks from event data.
Insider trading is one of the numerous white collar crimes that can contribute to the instability of the economy. Traditionally, the detection of illegal insider trades has been a human-driven process. In this paper, we collect the insider tradings made available by the US Securities and Exchange Commissions (SEC) thro…
We consider the empirical risk minimization problem for linear supervised learning, with regularization by structured sparsity-inducing norms. These are defined as sums of Euclidean norms on certain subsets of variables, extending the usual -norm and the group -norm by allowing the subsets to overlap. T…
Study examines how economic policy uncertainty impacts stock markets.
Information mapping is a popular application of Multivoxel Pattern Analysis (MVPA) to fMRI. Information maps are constructed using the so called searchlight method, where the spherical multivoxel neighborhood of every voxel (i.e., a searchlight) in the brain is evaluated for the presence of task-relevant response patte…
CACTI improves tabular data imputation by leveraging missingness patterns and contextual information.
Regularized MFPCA smooths multivariate functional data for clearer patterns.
Study measures irreversibility in crypto trends using Kullback-Leibler divergence.
This work tried to detect the existence of a relationship between the graphic signals - or patterns - observed day by day in the Brazilian stock market and the trends which happen after these signals, within a period of 8 years, for a number of securities. The results obtained from this study show evidence of the exist…
Research from a variety of fields including psychology and linguistics have found correlations and patterns in personal attributes and behavior, but efforts to understand the broader heterogeneity in human behavior have not yet integrated these approaches and perspectives with a cohesive methodology. Here we extract pa…
We studied non-dynamical stochastic resonance for the number of trades in the stock market. The trade arrival rate presents a deterministic pattern that can be modeled by a cosine function perturbed by noise. Due to the nonlinear relationship between the rate and the observed number of trades, the noise can either enha…
We are interested in learning customers' video preferences from their historic viewing patterns and geographical location. We consider a Bayesian latent factor modeling approach for this task. In order to tune the complexity of the model to best represent the data, we make use of Bayesian nonparameteric techniques. We …
We derive generalized estimators for a number of spatial statistics that have been used in the analysis of spatially resolved omics data, such as Ripley's K, H and L functions, clustering index, and degree of clustering, which allow these statistics to be calculated on data modelled by arbitrary random measures (RMs). …
New process explains asset volatility patterns.
Unravelling hidden patterns in datasets is a classical problem with many potential applications. In this paper, we present a challenge whose objective is to discover nonlinear relationships in noisy cloud of points. If a set of point satisfies a nonlinear relationship that is unlikely to be due to randomness, we will l…
Time-series data is being increasingly collected and stud- ied in several areas such as neuroscience, climate science, transportation, and social media. Discovery of complex patterns of relationships between individual time-series, using data-driven approaches can improve our understanding of real-world systems. While …
Modeling lead-lag relationship between two text corpora for improved topic modeling.
AI agents in experimental markets exhibit behavioral patterns that aggregate into market dynamics.
Novel framework detects lead-lag relationships in Chinese A-share market.
Model predicts cognitive health risks based on smartphone usage patterns.
New method embeds phylogenetic trees for clustering, recovering evolutionary relationships.
Study uses geometric algebra to analyze credit cycles, revealing dangerous feedback loops.
The study improves the perceptron's storage capacity by optimizing variable selection.
Deep learning uncovers patterns between knot types.
Word embedding models offer continuous vector representations that can capture rich contextual semantics based on their word co-occurrence patterns. While these word vectors can provide very effective features used in many NLP tasks such as clustering similar words and inferring learning relationships, many challenges …
A new method synthesizes expressions from characteristics using GAN for healthcare.
This study examines lead-lag relationships in Chinese futures markets using high-frequency data.
Study identifies two borrowing patterns in UK payday loan users.
dCMF models evolving patterns in multiway data with temporal dynamics.
A new method for embedding temporal relationships in graphs.
Recent advances in employing neural networks on graph domains helped push the state of the art in link prediction tasks, particularly in recommendation services. However, the use of temporal contextual information, often modeled as dynamic graphs that encode the evolution of user-item relationships over time, has been …