We consider a strictly pathwise setting for Delta hedging exotic options, based on Föllmer's pathwise Itō calculus. Price trajectories are -dimensional continuous functions whose pathwise quadratic variations and covariations are determined by a given local volatility matrix. The existence of Delta hedging strategie…
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48 results for “pathwise conditioning”
This work introduces efficient sampling methods for Gaussian processes by focusing on pathwise conditioning.
problem Intractable mathematical expressions in Gaussian process posteriors limit practical applications.
method Investigates a pathwise interpretation of conditioning to derive efficient sampling methods.
result Derives a general family of approximations that allow for efficient sampling of Gaussian process posteriors.
This dissertation advances scalable Gaussian processes using iterative methods and pathwise conditioning.
problem The classical Gaussian process formulation is not scalable for large datasets and modern hardware.
method Combining iterative methods and pathwise conditioning to improve scalability.
result Significantly reduced memory requirements and facilitated application to larger datasets.
Exact conditional simulation of Point processes: Application to pathwise market impact estimationq-fin.TR
Exact simulation method for market impact estimation under various execution strategies.
problem Estimating market impact from observed price trajectories under different execution strategies.
method Conditional simulation of point processes under perturbed intensities.
result Exact, event-driven algorithm for reconstructing counterfactual paths.
This paper gives several simple constructions of the pathwise Ito integral for an integrand and a price path as integrator, with and satisfying various topological and analytical conditions. The definitions are purely pathwise in that neither nor are assumed to be paths of stochast…
This paper develops a mathematical framework for the analysis of continuous-time trading strategies which, in contrast to the classical setting of continuous-time mathematical finance, does not rely on stochastic integrals or other probabilistic notions. Our purely analytic framework allows for the derivation of a path…
Efficient estimators for smooth Hilbert-valued parameters with theoretical guarantees.
problem Estimating smooth Hilbert-valued parameters with theoretical guarantees.
method Pathwise differentiable Hilbert-valued parameters, efficient influence functions, regularized one-step estimators.
result Theoretical guarantees for efficient estimators even when nuisance functions are arbitrary.
We study the use of the multilevel Monte Carlo technique in the context of the calculation of Greeks. The pathwise sensitivity analysis differentiates the path evolution and reduces the payoff's smoothness. This leads to new challenges: the inapplicability of pathwise sensitivities to non-Lipschitz payoffs often makes …
This paper simplifies hedge ratios in financial models using pathwise algorithmic differentiation.
problem Expensive and unstable computation of hedge ratios from pathwise sensitivities.
method Develops reduced stochastic hedge ratios of the form φ_j^r = Σ_j^r ξ_j^q X_q, retaining sensitivity tensor through empirical averages.
result Two coefficient criteria are introduced to minimize pathwise residuals and satisfy moment equations.
This work proposes using zero-variance control variates to reduce variance in pathwise gradient estimators for variational inference.
problem Pathwise gradient estimators in variational inference have high variance, leading to inefficient optimization.
method Apply zero-variance control variates to pathwise gradient estimators.
result Zero-variance control variates can significantly reduce the variance of pathwise gradient estimators without requiring complex assumptions.
Pathwise uniqueness shown for specific stochastic equations.
problem Stochastic Volterra equations with singular kernels and Hölder coefficients.
method Established pathwise uniqueness through Hölder continuity of coefficients.
result Pathwise uniqueness and existence of unique strong solutions.
Study shows how market firm capitalization models converge to stochastic PDE solutions.
problem Understanding convergence of rank-based models with common noise to stochastic PDE solutions.
method Analysis of mean field limit, martingale problem, and pathwise entropy solutions.
result Empirical cumulative distribution function converges to solution of a stochastic PDE under certain conditions.
Develops pathwise analysis for log-optimal portfolios using rough paths theory.
problem Analyzing stability and approximation of log-optimal portfolios.
method Pathwise approach based on càdlàg rough paths theory.
result Establishes pathwise stability and error estimates for log-optimal portfolios.
Develops portfolio theory without probabilistic analysis, focusing on pathwise decomposition.
problem Ensuring market viability without probabilistic assumptions.
method Uses pathwise decomposition and trend extractors to replace semimartingale decomposition.
result Growth-numéraire and viability equivalences are similar but not identical in pathwise setting.
A new approach to continuous-time universal portfolios using pathwise Itô calculus.
problem Continuous-time version of Cover's universal portfolio strategies.
method Pathwise Itô calculus approach to establish existence and properties of universal portfolio strategies.
result The universal portfolio strategy's portfolio value process is the average of all values of constant rebalanced strategies.
Efficient inference for adaptive data with directional stability condition.
problem Efficient inference on scalar targets after adaptive data collection.
method Introduces directional stability, a weaker condition than i.i.d. data, and shows asymptotic normality and efficiency of estimators.
result Estimators remain asymptotically normal and semiparametrically efficient under directional stability.
The pathwise coordinate optimization is one of the most important computational frameworks for high dimensional convex and nonconvex sparse learning problems. It differs from the classical coordinate optimization algorithms in three salient features: {\it warm start initialization}, {\it active set updating}, and {\it …
Almost twenty years ago, E.R. Fernholz introduced portfolio generating functions which can be used to construct a variety of portfolios, solely in the terms of the individual companies' market weights. I. Karatzas and J. Ruf recently developed another methodology for the functional construction of portfolios, which lea…
We use pathwise Itô calculus to prove two strictly pathwise versions of the master formula in Fernholz' stochastic portfolio theory. Our first version is set within the framework of Föllmer's pathwise Itô calculus and works for portfolios generated from functions that may depend on the current states of the market port…
Consider a family of portfolio strategies with the aim of achieving the asymptotic growth rate of the best one. The idea behind Cover's universal portfolio is to build a wealth-weighted average which can be viewed as a buy-and-hold portfolio of portfolios. When an optimal portfolio exists, the wealth-weighted average c…
Method learns dynamics from noisy partial observations.
problem Reconstructing stochastic dynamical systems from indirect noisy data.
method Amortized path generation method for nonlinear stochastic filtering.
result Learned conditional path generator quantifies uncertainty.
Quasi-Monte Carlo speeds up option Greeks calculation on GPUs.
problem Efficiently calculating option Greeks for risk management.
method Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) combined with GPU acceleration for pathwise sensitivity calculation.
result Increased computational speed and efficiency in estimating option Greeks.
Estimates roughness of volatility from discrete variance data.
problem Estimating roughness exponent of stochastic volatility from discrete observations of integrated variance.
method Pathwise estimator based on fractional Brownian motion with drift.
result Strong consistency theorems for rough volatility models.
Effective dimensionality reduction improves accuracy and reduces costs in estimating option Greeks.
problem Estimating Greeks for barrier and arithmetic average Asian options.
method Global sensitivity analysis, Chebyshev interpolation, conditional pathwise method, randomized Quasi Monte Carlo, Brownian bridge discretization, importance sampling.
result Reduced effective dimensionality enhances convergence rate and accuracy of randomized Quasi Monte Carlo integration.
The Monte Carlo pathwise sensitivities approach is well established for smooth payoff functions. In this work, we present a new Monte Carlo algorithm that is able to calculate the pathwise sensitivities for discontinuous payoff functions. Our main tool is to combine the one-step survival idea of Glasserman and Staum wi…
MuRiT efficiently computes multi-parameter persistence barcodes.
problem Efficient computation of multi-parameter persistent homology.
method Vietoris-Rips transformation to reduce multi-parameter to single-parameter computation.
result MuRiT computes pathwise persistence barcodes for multi-filtered flag complexes.
We exploit the link between the transport equation and derivatives of expectations to construct efficient pathwise gradient estimators for multivariate distributions. We focus on two main threads. First, we use null solutions of the transport equation to construct adaptive control variates that can be used to construct…
We observe that gradients computed via the reparameterization trick are in direct correspondence with solutions of the transport equation in the formalism of optimal transport. We use this perspective to compute (approximate) pathwise gradients for probability distributions not directly amenable to the reparameterizati…
We investigate whether it is possible to formulate option pricing and hedging models without using probability. We present a model that is consistent with two notions of volatility: a historical volatility consistent with statistical analysis, and an implied volatility consistent with options priced with the model. The…
The paper optimizes bridge-type estimators for sparse models using pathwise methods.
problem Sparse parametric models with adaptive coefficients and multiple penalties.
method Pathwise optimization with accelerated proximal gradient descent and blockwise alternating optimization.
result Efficient computation of the full solution path for adaptive bridge estimators.
We consider a class of continuous functions on that is of interest from two different perspectives. First, it is closely related to sets of functions that have been studied as generalizations of the Takagi function. Second, each function in admits a linear pathwise quadratic variatio…
A new method in finance without probabilities or integrals.
problem Creating a model-free approach to continuous-time finance.
method Pathwise approach using causal functional calculus and transition principle of Isaacs.
result A fully non-linear path-dependent equation characterizes optimal solutions.
Scalable Gaussian processes with latent Kronecker structure for large datasets.
problem Limited scalability of Gaussian processes for large datasets.
method Leveraging latent Kronecker structure, projecting kernel matrix onto latent Kronecker product, using iterative linear system solvers and pathwise conditioning.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art sparse and variational GPs on real-world datasets with up to five million examples.
Following a hedging based approach to model free financial mathematics, we prove that it should be possible to make an arbitrarily large profit by investing in those one-dimensional paths which do not possess local times. The local time is constructed from discrete approximations, and it is shown that it is -Hölder …
NM-PPG optimizes adaptive feature acquisition in POMDPs for better predictions.
problem Optimizing adaptive feature acquisition in prediction problems with costly features.
method Non-myopic pathwise policy gradients (NM-PPG) with continuous relaxation and straight-through rollout.
result NM-PPG outperforms state-of-the-art AFA methods on synthetic and real-world datasets.
New method reduces errors in pricing and sensitivities for discontinuous payoffs.
problem Errors in pricing and sensitivities for discontinuous payoffs in digital and barrier options.
method Alternative methods for estimating sensitivities, including likelihood ratio and hybrid methods.
result New methods substantially reduce test errors in prices and sensitivities.
We propose a semismooth Newton algorithm for pathwise optimization (SNAP) for the LASSO and Enet in sparse, high-dimensional linear regression. SNAP is derived from a suitable formulation of the KKT conditions based on Newton derivatives. It solves the semismooth KKT equations efficiently by actively and continuously s…
Quantum algorithm speeds up Lasso regression by quadratically faster per iteration.
problem Efficiently solving high-dimensional linear regression with L1-penalty.
method Pathwise LARS algorithm adapted for quantum computing, using minimum-finding subroutines.
result Quadratic speedup in computation time for both number of features and observations.
Develops a method for solving optimal stopping problems with multiple exercise rights.
problem Optimal stopping with multiple exercise rights under model uncertainty.
method Pathwise duality approach based on robust martingale dual representation.
result Establishes upper and lower bounds that converge to the true solution.
We provide a unifying treatment of pathwise moderate deviations for models commonly used in financial applications, and for related integrated functionals. Suitable scaling allows us to transfer these results into small-time, large-time and tail asymptotics for diffusions, as well as for option prices and realised vari…
We show that a trader, who starts with no initial wealth and is not allowed to borrow money or short sell assets, is theoretically able to attain positive wealth by continuous trading, provided that she has perfect foresight of future asset prices, given by a continuous semimartingale. Such an arbitrage strategy can be…
Develops a fast algorithm for high-dimensional LASSO penalized quantile regression.
problem Computational challenges in high-dimensional penalized quantile regression.
method Pathwise coordinate descent algorithm to solve exact coordinatewise minimum of the nonsmooth loss function.
result Algorithm runs faster than existing alternatives and maintains estimation accuracy.
The paper proves signatures of non-geometric rough paths can approximate functionals uniformly.
problem Approximating functionals of non-geometric rough paths.
method Extending rough paths with time and quadratic variation terms, proving uniform approximation.
result Linear functionals of extended signatures uniformly approximate continuous functionals.
We introduce a novel numerical approach for a class of stochastic dynamic programs which arise as discretizations of backward stochastic differential equations or semi-linear partial differential equations. Solving such dynamic programs numerically requires the approximation of nested conditional expectations, i.e., it…
Agent maximizes utility with pathwise constraint on portfolio value.
problem Maximizing utility with a pathwise constraint on portfolio value.
method Max-plus decomposition for supermartingales, Black-Scholes-Merton model.
result Explicit form of optimal terminal wealth and process involved.
We study pathwise invariances of centred random fields that can be controlled through the covariance. A result involving composition operators is obtained in second-order settings, and we show that various path properties including additivity boil down to invariances of the covariance kernel. These results are extended…
In this paper we provide a pricing-hedging duality for the model-independent superhedging price with respect to a prediction set , where the superhedging property needs to hold pathwise, but only for paths lying in . For any Borel measurable claim which is bounded from below, the superhedging …
ULFS-KDPE estimates parameters efficiently without influence functions.
problem Estimating pathwise differentiable parameters in nonparametric models.
method Kernel debiased plug-in estimator based on universal least favorable submodel.
result Semiparametric efficiency achieved without influence function derivation.