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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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1234 · May 201919922001200920172026
48 results for passenger origin-destination

Model predicts passenger origin-destination for online taxi-hailing systems.

problem Predicting passenger origin-destination for efficient transportation planning.
method K-means clustering, non-negative matrix factorization, stacked recurrent neural network.
result Proposed model reduces MAPE by 5-7% for 1-hour windows and 14% for 30-minute windows.

A new neural approach for generating origin-destination matrices in ABMs.

problem Challenges in generating origin-destination matrices for ABMs, including discretisation errors and inability to explore multimodal distributions.
method A computationally efficient framework that learns trip intensity through a neural differential equation, operating directly on the discrete combinatorial space.
result Outperforms prior art in terms of reconstruction error and ground truth matrix coverage, at a fraction of the computational cost.

Neural networks predict airport passenger behavior using WiFi traces.

problem Predicting airport passenger activity choices inside the terminal.
method Three neural network architectures: FNN, LSTM, and their combination. Inputs include static and dynamic passenger data. Real-world case study at Bologna Airport.
result LSTM approach, especially with short prediction horizons, outperforms FNN.

Proposes a new model for clustering passenger trajectories with graphs.

problem Hierarchical trip structure, inaccurate clustering number, and lack of spatial semantic graphs.
method Tensor Dirichlet Process Multinomial Mixture model with graphs and a tensor version of Collapsed Gibbs Sampling.
result Automatic determination of the number of clusters and better cluster quality.

Proposes a new model for clustering passenger trips considering hierarchical and multi-dimensional data.

problem Clustering passenger trips with hierarchical and multi-dimensional data, especially in large-scale transportation systems.
method Tensor Dirichlet Process Multinomial Mixture (Tensor-DPMM) model, incorporating Dirichlet Process for automatic cluster number determination and tensor representation for multi-mode data.
result Automatic determination of the number of clusters and improved clustering quality.

Paper proposes a method for predicting future passenger flow in urban transportation.

problem Predicting future passenger flow in urban transportation development.
method Multi-view localized correlation learning method with adaptive-weight.
result Our method achieves excellent performance compared with other baselines.

The study introduces measures of collective mobility from aggregated OD data.

problem Understanding large-scale mobility patterns from aggregated data.
method Developed a framework using synthetic and real data to interpret network-level mobility.
result Aggregated mobility measures reveal network structure and flow constraints.

Predicts fine-grained OD matrices for ridesharing platforms to optimize supply-demand balance.

problem Accurately predicting spatial-temporal OD demands for ridesharing platforms.
method OD-CED model combining unsupervised space coarsening and encoder-decoder architecture.
result Significant improvement in prediction accuracy (45% RMSE reduction, 60% WAPE reduction).

Study uses neural networks to predict travel times for public transportation.

problem Inaccurate travel time predictions due to road traffic irregularities.
method Developed two neural network models (MLP and LSTM) using OD travel time matrix.
result Both models can make near-accurate predictions, but LSTM is more susceptible to noise.

Recently, the online car-hailing service, Didi, has emerged as a leader in the sharing economy. Used by passengers and drivers extensive, it becomes increasingly important for the car-hailing service providers to minimize the waiting time of passengers and optimize the vehicle utilization, thus to improve the overall u…

2018-04-06abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider problems in which a system receives external \emph{perturbations} from time to time. For instance, the system can be a train network in which particular lines are repeatedly disrupted without warning, having an effect on passenger behavior. The goal is to predict changes in the behavior of the system at par…

2019-08-20abs ↗pdf ↗

A sufficient knowledge of the demographics of a commuting public is essential in formulating and implementing more targeted transportation policies, as commuters exhibit different ways of traveling. With the advent of the Automated Fare Collection system (AFC), probing the travel patterns of commuters has become less i…

2015-08-25abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves tensor completion for weakly-dependent spatiotemporal data.

problem Improving tensor completion for weakly-dependent data on graphs.
method Introducing L1L_{1}-norm and Graph Laplacian penalties for low-rank tensor decomposition and completion.
result Improved performance in metro passenger flow prediction.

This research optimizes plate structures to reduce vibrations in vehicles and aircraft.

problem Minimizing structural vibrations in engineering systems for improved passenger comfort.
method Guided flow matching design optimization integrating generative flow matching and surrogate model.
result Generated plate designs with reduced vibrations compared to random search and other methods.

Bayesian framework predicts post-disruption travel times in metro networks.

problem Uncertainty in post-disruption travel times in metro networks.
method Bayesian spatiotemporal modeling framework capturing train interactions and non-Gaussian distributional characteristics.
result The proposed models consistently outperform baseline specifications in point prediction and uncertainty quantification.

Modern vehicle fleets, e.g., for ridesharing platforms and taxi companies, can reduce passengers' waiting times by proactively dispatching vehicles to locations where pickup requests are anticipated in the future. Yet it is unclear how to best do this: optimal dispatching requires optimizing over several sources of unc…

2018-04-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Gaussian processes are rich distributions over functions, which provide a Bayesian nonparametric approach to smoothing and interpolation. We introduce simple closed form kernels that can be used with Gaussian processes to discover patterns and enable extrapolation. These kernels are derived by modelling a spectral dens…

2013-02-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a new model to predict travel demand with zero-inflated and long-tail characteristics.

problem Sparse and long-tailed travel demand data with many zeros.
method Spatial-Temporal Tweedie Graph Neural Network (STTD) using Tweedie distribution.
result STTD provides accurate predictions and precise confidence intervals.

This paper optimizes driver repositioning using MARL and reward design for better service and traffic management.

problem Unserved passenger requests due to drivers' cruising behavior during passenger seeking.
method Mean field multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) with a reward design scheme and Bayesian optimization (BO) to solve bilevel optimization problems.
result Optimal toll charges and service charges can improve platform and city planner objectives by significant margins, leading to better traffic conditions.

We address the problem of inverse reinforcement learning in Markov decision processes where the agent is risk-sensitive. In particular, we model risk-sensitivity in a reinforcement learning framework by making use of models of human decision-making having their origins in behavioral psychology, behavioral economics, an…

2017-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Origin-destination (OD) matrices are often used in urban planning, where a city is partitioned into regions and an element (i, j) in an OD matrix records the cost (e.g., travel time, fuel consumption, or travel speed) from region i to region j. In this paper, we partition a day into multiple intervals, e.g., 96 15-min …

2018-11-13abs ↗pdf ↗

OpFlow predicts robust OD flows by learning choice potentials conditioned on spatial exposures.

problem Deep models trained on raw counts are vulnerable to distribution shift.
method OpFlow learns row-centered choice potentials and reconstructs flows by combining them with a calibrated origin scale.
result OpFlow improves robustness under environment shifts, as shown by controlled synthetic shifts and a real-world experiment.

Proposes a compensation mechanism for improving individual forecast confidence.

problem Difficult to assess the quality of individual probabilistic forecasts and their utilities.
method Compensation mechanism based on fair bets and online learning.
result The proposed mechanism cannot be exploited and ensures forecasted utility matches actual utility.

New model predicts travel demand uncertainty with high accuracy.

problem Uncertainty and sparsity in sparse travel demand prediction.
method Spatial-Temporal Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial Graph Neural Network (STZINB-GNN).
result STZINB-GNN outperforms benchmarks in predicting travel demand uncertainty.

We propose algorithms for approximate filtering and smoothing in high-dimensional Factorial hidden Markov models. The approximation involves discarding, in a principled way, likelihood factors according to a notion of locality in a factor graph associated with the emission distribution. This allows the exponential-in-d…

2019-02-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Model trains passing events on a bridge using multilevel Gaussian process.

problem Represent aggregate train-passing events from a bridge monitoring system.
method Formulate a combined model with low-rank approximation hierarchical Gaussian process, incorporating domain expertise as constraints.
result Allow for simulation of previously unobserved train types.

We consider the problem of learning to behave optimally in a Markov Decision Process when a reward function is not specified, but instead we have access to a set of demonstrators of varying performance. We assume the demonstrators are classified into one of k ranks, and use ideas from ordinal regression to find a rewar…

2019-07-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhanced kernel framework for advanced data forecasting.

problem Complex mechanical behaviors and timefrequency dynamics in aircraft systems.
method Frequency-aware surrogate modeling with SMT kernels, extending kernel types and incorporating derivatives.
result Improved accuracy in forecasting CO2 concentrations and airline passenger traffic.

The vision of automated driving is to increase both road safety and efficiency, while offering passengers a convenient travel experience. This requires that autonomous systems correctly estimate the current traffic scene and its likely evolution. In highway scenarios early recognition of cut-in maneuvers is essential f…

2019-07-25abs ↗pdf ↗

STAD improves travel time estimation by learning from real traffic data.

problem Travel time estimation using GPS traces is inaccurate and requires offline optimization.
method STAD uses machine learning and real-time trip data to adjust travel time estimates.
result STAD reduces median absolute errors by 14% in Doha and New York City, and 29% in Porto.