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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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148296443591 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for passenger flow prediction

Paper proposes a method for predicting future passenger flow in urban transportation.

problem Predicting future passenger flow in urban transportation development.
method Multi-view localized correlation learning method with adaptive-weight.
result Our method achieves excellent performance compared with other baselines.

Model predicts passenger origin-destination for online taxi-hailing systems.

problem Predicting passenger origin-destination for efficient transportation planning.
method K-means clustering, non-negative matrix factorization, stacked recurrent neural network.
result Proposed model reduces MAPE by 5-7% for 1-hour windows and 14% for 30-minute windows.

Neural networks predict airport passenger behavior using WiFi traces.

problem Predicting airport passenger activity choices inside the terminal.
method Three neural network architectures: FNN, LSTM, and their combination. Inputs include static and dynamic passenger data. Real-world case study at Bologna Airport.
result LSTM approach, especially with short prediction horizons, outperforms FNN.

This research optimizes plate structures to reduce vibrations in vehicles and aircraft.

problem Minimizing structural vibrations in engineering systems for improved passenger comfort.
method Guided flow matching design optimization integrating generative flow matching and surrogate model.
result Generated plate designs with reduced vibrations compared to random search and other methods.

New method improves tensor completion for weakly-dependent spatiotemporal data.

problem Improving tensor completion for weakly-dependent data on graphs.
method Introducing L1L_{1}-norm and Graph Laplacian penalties for low-rank tensor decomposition and completion.
result Improved performance in metro passenger flow prediction.

Proposes a new model for clustering passenger trajectories with graphs.

problem Hierarchical trip structure, inaccurate clustering number, and lack of spatial semantic graphs.
method Tensor Dirichlet Process Multinomial Mixture model with graphs and a tensor version of Collapsed Gibbs Sampling.
result Automatic determination of the number of clusters and better cluster quality.

Proposes a new model for clustering passenger trips considering hierarchical and multi-dimensional data.

problem Clustering passenger trips with hierarchical and multi-dimensional data, especially in large-scale transportation systems.
method Tensor Dirichlet Process Multinomial Mixture (Tensor-DPMM) model, incorporating Dirichlet Process for automatic cluster number determination and tensor representation for multi-mode data.
result Automatic determination of the number of clusters and improved clustering quality.

We consider problems in which a system receives external \emph{perturbations} from time to time. For instance, the system can be a train network in which particular lines are repeatedly disrupted without warning, having an effect on passenger behavior. The goal is to predict changes in the behavior of the system at par…

2019-08-20abs ↗pdf ↗

A sufficient knowledge of the demographics of a commuting public is essential in formulating and implementing more targeted transportation policies, as commuters exhibit different ways of traveling. With the advent of the Automated Fare Collection system (AFC), probing the travel patterns of commuters has become less i…

2015-08-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian framework predicts post-disruption travel times in metro networks.

problem Uncertainty in post-disruption travel times in metro networks.
method Bayesian spatiotemporal modeling framework capturing train interactions and non-Gaussian distributional characteristics.
result The proposed models consistently outperform baseline specifications in point prediction and uncertainty quantification.

Proposes a compensation mechanism for improving individual forecast confidence.

problem Difficult to assess the quality of individual probabilistic forecasts and their utilities.
method Compensation mechanism based on fair bets and online learning.
result The proposed mechanism cannot be exploited and ensures forecasted utility matches actual utility.

Recently, the online car-hailing service, Didi, has emerged as a leader in the sharing economy. Used by passengers and drivers extensive, it becomes increasingly important for the car-hailing service providers to minimize the waiting time of passengers and optimize the vehicle utilization, thus to improve the overall u…

2018-04-06abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose algorithms for approximate filtering and smoothing in high-dimensional Factorial hidden Markov models. The approximation involves discarding, in a principled way, likelihood factors according to a notion of locality in a factor graph associated with the emission distribution. This allows the exponential-in-d…

2019-02-05abs ↗pdf ↗

The vision of automated driving is to increase both road safety and efficiency, while offering passengers a convenient travel experience. This requires that autonomous systems correctly estimate the current traffic scene and its likely evolution. In highway scenarios early recognition of cut-in maneuvers is essential f…

2019-07-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Automated vehicles learn to predict upcoming maneuvers with high accuracy.

problem Making self-driving cars feel safer by anticipating future actions.
method Machine learning techniques applied to a large dataset of real-world driving.
result Automated vehicles can predict maneuvers up to 5 seconds in advance with high accuracy.

Modern vehicle fleets, e.g., for ridesharing platforms and taxi companies, can reduce passengers' waiting times by proactively dispatching vehicles to locations where pickup requests are anticipated in the future. Yet it is unclear how to best do this: optimal dispatching requires optimizing over several sources of unc…

2018-04-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Dockless bike sharing systems need effective bike flow prediction models.

problem Imbalanced and dynamic use of bikes leads to mandatory rebalancing operations.
method Divide urban area into regions, model spatio-temporal bike flows, extract traffic patterns, and predict bike flows.
result Interpretable bike flow prediction model provides valuable insights into bike flow analysis.

Proposes a method to apply conformal prediction to probabilistic time series forecasting models.

problem Obtaining accurate prediction regions for multi-step time series forecasting with probabilistic models.
method Conformalises conditional normalising flows to generate potentially disjoint prediction regions.
result Improves predictive efficiency in time series forecasting with multimodal distributions.

Contrast uses normalizing flows to create precise prediction regions for multi-dimensional outputs.

problem Generating reliable prediction regions for multi-dimensional outputs in supervised and unsupervised learning.
method Contrast uses normalizing flows to define nonconformity scores based on distances in latent space, creating sharp prediction regions.
result Contrast maintains guaranteed coverage probability and outperforms existing methods in generating accurate prediction regions.

In its simplest form, the traffic flow prediction problem is restricted to predicting a single time-step into the future. Multi-step traffic flow prediction extends this set-up to the case where predicting multiple time-steps into the future based on some finite history is of interest. This problem is significantly mor…

2018-03-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Gaussian processes are rich distributions over functions, which provide a Bayesian nonparametric approach to smoothing and interpolation. We introduce simple closed form kernels that can be used with Gaussian processes to discover patterns and enable extrapolation. These kernels are derived by modelling a spectral dens…

2013-02-18abs ↗pdf ↗

One fundamental issue in managing bike sharing systems is the bike flow prediction. Due to the hardness of predicting the flow for a single station, recent research works often predict the bike flow at cluster-level. While such studies gain satisfactory prediction accuracy, they cannot directly guide some fine-grained …

2018-07-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Diverging Flows detects extrapolations in flow models, ensuring reliable predictions.

problem Flow models extrapolate into invalid data, leading to silent failures.
method Structurally enforce inefficient transport for off-manifold inputs.
result Effective detection of extrapolations without compromising predictive fidelity or inference latency.

PO-Flow models potential and counterfactual outcomes for personalized treatment decisions.

problem Predicting individualized treatment effects from observational data.
method Continuous normalizing flow (CNF) framework for causal inference.
result Unified approach to potential outcome prediction, treatment effect estimation, and counterfactual prediction.

This paper optimizes driver repositioning using MARL and reward design for better service and traffic management.

problem Unserved passenger requests due to drivers' cruising behavior during passenger seeking.
method Mean field multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) with a reward design scheme and Bayesian optimization (BO) to solve bilevel optimization problems.
result Optimal toll charges and service charges can improve platform and city planner objectives by significant margins, leading to better traffic conditions.

Neural networks predict flow and elastic stresses in viscoelastic turbulence.

problem Predicting flow and elastic stresses in viscoelastic turbulent flows using limited experimental data.
method Convolutional neural networks trained on wall-normal velocity and pressure data.
result Neural networks accurately predict flow and elastic stresses, especially during low-drag events.

JAPAN uses flow-based models to create adaptive prediction areas with better coverage guarantees.

problem Inadequate prediction areas from existing conformal prediction methods, especially for multimodal distributions.
method JAPAN employs density-based conformity scores using flow-based models to construct context-adaptive prediction areas.
result JAPAN produces more accurate and context-adaptive prediction areas compared to existing methods.