A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Proposes using Dynamic Mode Decomposition with delays for short-term human motion anticipation.
The paper examines how markets can anticipate and react to arbitrage opportunities, revealing biases and risks.
The paper explores anticipative binary information in financial markets using Brownian motion and Poisson processes.
Derives functional Itô formula for non-anticipative maps of rough paths.
Anticipatory portfolios use richer models to optimize investments.
Trading algorithms that execute large orders are susceptible to exploitation by order anticipation strategies. This paper studies the influence of order anticipation strategies in a multi-investor model of optimal execution under transient price impact. Existence and uniqueness of a Nash equilibrium is established unde…
We find prominent similarities in the features of the time series for the overlap of two Cantor sets when one set moves with uniform relative velocity over the other and time series of stock prices. An anticipation method for some of the crashes have been proposed here, based on these observations.
We obtain a decomposition of the call option price for a very general stochastic volatility diffusion model extending the decomposition obtained by E. Alòs in [2] for the Heston model. We realize that a new term arises when the stock price does not follow an exponential model. The techniques used are non anticipative. …
AntLer anticipates future learning to improve control performance.
Corrects an earlier theorem, establishing new facts about information structures and non-anticipative aggregation.
Study shows Skorokhod insider outperforms forward insider in logarithmic utility maximization.
Model predicts COVID-19 growth in Senegal, highlighting health care capacity importance.
Study compares different integrals for optimal portfolio optimization with insider information.
Most sales applications are characterized by competition and limited demand information. For successful pricing strategies, frequent price adjustments as well as anticipation of market dynamics are crucial. Both effects are challenging as competitive markets are complex and computations of optimized pricing adjustments…
Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNS) are now widely used on sequence generation tasks due to their ability to learn long-range dependencies and to generate sequences of arbitrary length. However, their left-to-right generation procedure only allows a limited control from a potential user which makes them unsuitable for int…
Machine learning and AI-assisted trading have attracted growing interest for the past few years. Here, we use this approach to test the hypothesis that the inefficiency of the cryptocurrency market can be exploited to generate abnormal profits. We analyse daily data for cryptocurrencies for the period between N…
Behavior of systems that are functions of anticipated behavior of other systems, whose own behavior is also anticipatory but homeostatic and determined by hierarchical ordering, which changes over time, of sets of possible environments that are not co-possible, is proven to be highly non-linear and sensitively dependen…
PredictaBoard benchmarks LLM score predictors to assess their ability to anticipate errors.
Study shows financial value of weak information converges in discrete vs continuous markets.
In this paper, we study a class of Anticipated Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (ABSDE) with jumps. The solution of the ABSDE is a triple where is a semimartingale, and are the diffusion and jump coefficients. We allow the driver of the ABSDE to have linear growth on the uniform norm of …
Study compares employers with and without anticipating strategic labor force responses.
By observing their environment as well as other traffic participants, humans are enabled to drive road vehicles safely. Vehicle passengers, however, perceive a notable difference between non-experienced and experienced drivers. In particular, they may get the impression that the latter ones anticipate what will happen …
Study optimal portfolios for traders with asymmetric information and delay.
By employing the technique of enlargement of filtrations, we demonstrate how to incorporate information about the future trend of the stochastic interest rate process into a financial model. By modeling the interest rate as an affine diffusion process, we obtain explicit formulas for the additional expected logarithmic…
Revisits consumption-investment problem with anticipative noise.
Metric learning enhances combinatorial coverage metrics' ability to predict classification errors.
Novel framework synthesizes stochastic trajectories with anticipated structural breaks.
We live in a computerized and networked society where many of our actions leave a digital trace and affect other people's actions. This has lead to the emergence of a new data-driven research field: mathematical methods of computer science, statistical physics and sociometry provide insights on a wide range of discipli…
The paper introduces a knowledge score for GPR predictions to assess their reliability.
New MKABSDEs help calculate initial margins in financial contracts.
Machine learning predicts criminal networks' missing partnerships and future behavior.
New approach avoids restrictive assumptions for optimal portfolio in default risk scenarios.
Anticipatory model generates music with control over events.
We find prominent similarities in the features of the time series for the (model earthquakes or) overlap of two Cantor sets when one set moves with uniform relative velocity over the other and time series of stock prices. An anticipation method for some of the crashes have been proposed here, based on these observation…
A dynamical model is introduced for the formation of a bullish or bearish trends driving an asset price in a given market. Initially, each agent decides to buy or sell according to its personal opinion, which results from the combination of its own private information, the public information and its own analysis. It th…
Paper presents a GAN-based method to automate robust hedging.
'There is no terror in the bang, only is the anticipation of it' - Alfred Hitchcock. Yet there is everything in correctly anticipating the bang a movie would make in the box-office. Movies make a high profile, billion dollar industry and prediction of movie revenue can be very lucrative. Predicted revenues can be used …
Proposes a new regularization technique for neural networks using elliptic operators.
New measures detect asymmetries, non-linearity in stock returns.
The paper studies how noisy labels impact decision-making in machine learning.
A discrete (finite-difference) analogue of differential forms is considered, defined on simplicial complexes, including triangulations of continuous manifolds. Various operations are explicitly defined on these forms, including exterior derivative and exterior product. The latter one is non-associative. Instead, as ant…
This study improves stock price prediction by incorporating anticipated macroeconomic policy changes.
We address the problem of maintaining high voltage power transmission networks in security at all time. This requires that power flowing through all lines remain below a certain nominal thermal limit above which lines might melt, break or cause other damages. Current practices include enforcing the deterministic "N-1" …
ARL bridges non-Markovian decision processes with reinforcement learning, improving foresight and stability.
The involutory birack counting invariant is an integer-valued invariant of unoriented tangles defined by counting homomorphisms from the fundamental involutory birack of the tangle to a finite involutory birack over a set of framings modulo the birack rank of the labeling birack. In this first of an anticipated series …
Paper presents a DRL framework for detecting and anticipating financial crises.
A simple and elegant arrangement of stock components of a portfolio (market index-DJIA) in a recent paper [1], has led to the construction of crossing of stocks diagram. The crossing stocks method revealed hidden remarkable algebraic and geometrical aspects of stock market. The present paper continues to uncover new ma…
Study compares ML algorithms for predicting stock market directional bias.