Sharp analysis of out-of-distribution error in overparameterized models with importance weights.
problem Understanding and quantifying the degradation of performance in overparameterized models when faced with underrepresented data.
method Sharp analysis of an overparameterized Gaussian mixture model with spurious features and cost-sensitive interpolating solutions incorporating importance weights.
result Characterization of a novel tradeoff between worst-case robustness and average accuracy as a function of importance weight magnitude.
Study complex-valued VAEs for radar OOD detection.
problem Detecting out-of-distribution signals in complex radar environments.
method Proposed and compared several detection metrics for CVAE.
result CVAE-MSE and latent-based scores outperform ANMF-Tyler.
Paper fine-tunes a simulation-driven estimator to reduce out-of-distribution errors.
problem Out-of-distribution errors in simulation-driven parameter estimators.
method Fine-tuning a Two-Stage estimator to improve accuracy for true parameters outside the sampled range.
result The fine-tuning approach reduces out-of-distribution errors and improves accuracy.
A new metric predicts model performance on unseen data.
problem Predicting performance on out-of-distribution data without labels.
method Uses model predictions to pseudo-label data, trains a new model, and measures difference from in-distribution models.
result Empirically outperforms existing methods on image and text classification tasks.
In-N-Out improves model robustness to out-of-distribution data.
problem Learning robust models with few in-distribution labeled examples.
method Pre-training with auxiliary information and self-training with pseudolabels.
result In-N-Out outperforms auxiliary inputs or outputs alone on both in-distribution and OOD error.
Training on some out-of-distribution data improves generalization error before it deteriorates.
problem Generalization error improves with some out-of-distribution data but deteriorates with more.
method Synthetic datasets and deep networks on computer vision benchmarks.
result Non-monotonic trend in generalization error with OOD samples.
Accuracy on in-distribution data correlates with out-of-distribution data when data is noisy or contains nuisance features.
problem Correlation between in-distribution and out-of-distribution accuracy in noisy or feature-rich data.
method Analyzes the impact of noise and nuisance features on model performance.
result Accuracy on in-distribution and out-of-distribution data can become negatively correlated in noisy or feature-rich data.
Unified study of out-of-distribution generalization across 172 datasets.
problem Measuring and improving robustness of transfer learning models.
method Collect and fine-tune 31k models on 172 dataset pairs, varying architectures and settings.
result In- and out-of-distribution accuracies increase jointly but their relation is dataset-dependent.
SLUG method detects bias and out-of-distribution content in generative models.
problem Generative models can underrepresent certain groups and fail on out-of-distribution data.
method SLUG: A new uncertainty quantification method for VAEs combining Laplace approximations and stochastic trace estimators.
result SLUG's UQ score correlates with bias and out-of-distribution content.
New framework detects out-of-distribution samples efficiently.
problem Detecting samples from different distributions in deep neural networks.
method Statistical hypothesis testing framework combining evidence from entire network.
result Framework maintains Type I Error and achieves comparable results to state-of-the-art methods.
Medix uses the median to detect outliers from unlabeled data for robust OOD detection.
problem Challenges in using unlabeled data for OOD detection due to mixed InD and OOD samples.
method Introduces Medix, a framework using the median operation to identify outliers from unlabeled data.
result Empirical results show Medix outperforms existing methods in open-world settings.
Real-time detection of out-of-distribution data in CPS control systems.
problem Detecting out-of-distribution data in CPS control systems for safety.
method Inductive conformal prediction and anomaly detection using variational autoencoders and deep support vector data description.
result Efficient real-time detection with low false alarm rates and comparable execution time.
Metric learning enhances combinatorial coverage metrics' ability to predict classification errors.
problem Dataset dependence of combinatorial coverage metrics in anticipating classification errors.
method Metric learning to improve latent space separation of data classes.
result Metric learning increases SDCCMs' ability to distinguish between correctly and incorrectly classified data.
ADB framework improves OOD generalization by increasing ID bias during training.
problem Machine learning models degrade on new data distributions.
method ADB framework introduces controlled statistical diversity during training.
result Higher in-distribution bias leads to better out-of-distribution generalization.
SAL framework uses unlabeled data to improve OOD detection.
problem Lack of clean OOD samples makes OOD detection challenging.
method SAL framework separates candidate outliers and trains an OOD classifier.
result SAL achieves state-of-the-art performance on benchmarks.
Paper proposes SCQ and P-TAMS for structured OOD testing in high-stakes ML.
problem Difficulty of incorporating auxiliary information in traditional conformal methods.
method Structure-adaptive conformal q-value (SCQ) and pseudo-score-guided transductive automated model selection (P-TAMS).
result Unified framework controls false discovery rate and improves power across diverse settings.
DSDE improves OoD detection by estimating model library proportions.
problem Uncertainty quantification and balanced error rates in model selection for OoD detection.
method Inverted sequential p-value strategies, change-point detection, automatic hyperparameter selection.
result DSDE reduces FPR from 11.07% to 3.31% on CIFAR10.
A new principle for extrapolating regression outside training data.
problem Regression extrapolation when predictions are outside training data range.
method Data-adaptive marginal transformation and simple relationship assumption.
result Progression method offers guarantees on approximation error beyond training data range.
Study on how kernel regression models generalize to out-of-distribution data.
problem Understanding generalization in machine learning models under distributional shifts.
method Replica method from statistical physics to derive analytical formula for generalization error.
result Identified overlap matrix as key determinant of generalization performance under distribution shift.
Monotonic relationship found between in-distribution and out-of-distribution performance.
problem Understanding performance of machine learning models under distribution shifts.
method Analyzing ridge-regularized models and linear inverse problems under covariate shift.
result Monotonic relationship between in-distribution and out-of-distribution performance for certain models.
Recursive KalmanNet generalizes well in noisy, out-of-distribution scenarios.
problem Generalization in noisy, out-of-distribution scenarios.
method Recurrent neural network guided by a Kalman filter.
result Recursive KalmanNet performs well in scenarios with different temporal dynamics from training data.
Proposes CSG model to separate semantic and variation factors for OOD prediction.
problem Out-of-distribution examples cause conventional models to mix semantic and variation factors, leading to poor performance.
method Causal Semantic Generative model (CSG) based on causal reasoning, using variational Bayes for efficient learning and prediction.
result CSG can identify semantic factor and improve OOD prediction performance.
Generative models, such as GANs, learn an explicit low-dimensional representation of a particular class of images, and so they may be used as natural image priors for solving inverse problems such as image restoration and compressive sensing. GAN priors have demonstrated impressive performance on these tasks, but they …
Deep learning models frequently make incorrect predictions with high confidence when presented with test examples that are not well represented in their training dataset. We propose a novel and straightforward approach to estimate prediction uncertainty in a pre-trained neural network model. Our method estimates the tr…
KPCA improves OoD detection by separating InD and OoD data.
problem Insufficiency of PCA in detecting OoD data from InD data.
method Kernel PCA (KPCA) with task-specific kernels.
result KPCA achieves superior OoD detection performance.
Method enhances anomaly detection using contrastive learning and out-of-distribution data.
problem Improving anomaly detection in datasets with limited out-of-distribution data.
method Proposes a contrastive learning method that incorporates out-of-distribution data to enhance anomaly detection performance.
result The method significantly improves anomaly detection performance, even with limited out-of-distribution data.
Paper presents a novel framework for OOD learning with human feedback.
problem Multifaceted challenges of OOD generalization and detection.
method Selective human feedback for labeling a small number of informative samples from wild data distribution.
result Enhanced robustness and precision in handling OOD scenarios.
DRGO improves graph recommendation by mitigating noisy samples and enhancing out-of-distribution generalization.
problem Noisy samples in training data diminish recommendation systems' out-of-distribution generalization.
method DRGO uses a diffusion paradigm to reduce noisy effects and entropy regularization to avoid extreme weights.
result DRGO outperforms current methods in OOD recommendation across various distribution shifts.
Simple methods combine statistical tests for out-of-distribution detection.
problem Detecting data points not following the training distribution.
method Combining classical parametric tests (Rao's score test) and a typicality test.
result Combining Fisher's method of test statistics improves out-of-distribution detection accuracy.
NADS improves OoD detection accuracy by 57%.
problem Uncertainty in machine learning models when encountering out-of-distribution data.
method NADS searches for a distribution of architectures that perform well on a given task, optimizing a stochastic OoD detection objective.
result NADS achieves up to 57% improvement in accuracy over state-of-the-art methods.
Graph Neural Networks struggle with generalization, especially OOD data; GRATIN solves this with Gaussian Mixture Model-based augmentation.
problem Graph Neural Networks struggle with generalization, particularly to unseen or out-of-distribution data.
method Theoretical framework using Rademacher complexity to compute a regret bound on generalization error. GRATIN algorithm leveraging Gaussian Mixture Models for efficient data augmentation.
result GRATIN outperforms existing augmentation techniques in terms of generalization and offers improved time complexity.
Bayesian Gaussian Processes layer detects out-of-distribution data in medical imaging.
problem Detecting out-of-distribution data in medical imaging tasks.
method Parameter-efficient hierarchical convolutional Gaussian Processes in Wasserstein-2 space.
result Uncertainty estimates enable superior out-of-distribution detection compared to previous methods.
Deep learning models are known to be overconfident in their predictions on out of distribution inputs. There have been several pieces of work to address this issue, including a number of approaches for building Bayesian neural networks, as well as closely related work on detection of out of distribution samples. Recent…
Modern neural networks are very powerful predictive models, but they are often incapable of recognizing when their predictions may be wrong. Closely related to this is the task of out-of-distribution detection, where a network must determine whether or not an input is outside of the set on which it is expected to safel…
Discriminatively trained neural classifiers can be trusted, only when the input data comes from the training distribution (in-distribution). Therefore, detecting out-of-distribution (OOD) samples is very important to avoid classification errors. In the context of OOD detection for image classification, one of the recen…
Combining Bayesian deep learning and split conformal prediction affects out-of-distribution coverage.
problem Improving out-of-distribution coverage in multiclass image classification.
method Combining Bayesian deep learning with split conformal prediction methods.
result Combining methods can reduce out-of-distribution coverage in some cases.
Deep learning provides a powerful tool for machine perception when the observations resemble the training data. However, real-world robotic systems must react intelligently to their observations even in unexpected circumstances. This requires a system to reason about its own uncertainty given unfamiliar, out-of-distrib…
Benchmarking 18 deep neural network selective classification models on various datasets.
problem Designing a model that can abstain from making predictions when there's high risk of error.
method Evaluation of 18 selective classification models using multiple criteria.
result No single model is the clear winner; best model depends on objectives.
OOD detection methods often misidentify OOD points, leading to ineffective safety improvements.
problem Improving model safety through OOD detection methods often leads to incorrect identification of out-of-distribution points.
method Re-examine popular OOD detection procedures based on predictive uncertainty or features of supervised models trained on in-distribution data.
result Popular OOD detection methods incorrectly conflate high uncertainty and far feature-space distance with being out-of-distribution.
XEnsemble improves DNN robustness against adversarial and out-of-distribution inputs.
problem Protecting DNN models from adversarial and out-of-distribution inputs.
method Diverse input denoising verifiers and disagreement-diversity ensemble learning.
result XEnsemble achieves high defense and detection success rates.
Single deep model detects out-of-distribution data with single forward pass.
problem Detecting out-of-distribution data points in neural networks.
method Deterministic uncertainty quantification (DUQ) using gradient penalty for reliable detection.
result Single model outperforms or matches ensemble methods in out-of-distribution detection.
Neural network accuracy improves with denser training samples.
problem Improving neural network accuracy on unseen test samples.
method Bounding empirical training error smoothed across activation regions and using it to discard high-risk test samples.
result Discarding high-risk test samples based on error bounds improves prediction accuracy by up to 20%.
Deep learning models are known to be overconfident in their predictions on out of distribution inputs. This is a challenge when a model is trained on a particular input dataset, but receives out of sample data when deployed in practice. Recently, there has been work on building classifiers that are robust to out of dis…
New method estimates treatment effects across different populations.
problem Estimating treatment effects across populations with changing distributions.
method SBRL-HAP framework combining balancing and independence regularizers with hierarchical attention.
result Significant improvement in HTE estimation across out-of-distribution populations.
MaxRM uses random forests to minimize maximum risk across different environments.
problem Designing methods that generalize better to test environments with different distributions.
method Introducing variants of random forests based on the principle of MaxRM (Maximum Risk Minimization).
result Proved statistical consistency for the proposed method and provided an out-of-sample guarantee for MaxRM with regret.
The paper shows strong correlation between in-distribution and out-of-distribution performance in various machine learning models.
problem Understanding reliability of machine learning systems in unseen environments.
method Empirical analysis of various models and distribution shifts on CIFAR-10, ImageNet, and other datasets.
result Out-of-distribution performance is strongly correlated with in-distribution performance across different models and distribution shifts.
C-Mixup improves generalization in regression tasks by adjusting label similarity.
problem Improving generalization in regression tasks with limited data.
method C-Mixup adjusts the probability of mixing examples based on label similarity.
result C-Mixup achieves better generalization and robustness compared to vanilla mixup.
New framework detects out-of-distribution data by considering intrinsic ID attributes in outliers.
problem Deploying reliable machine learning systems requires effective out-of-distribution detection.
method Structured multi-view-based out-of-distribution detection learning (MVOL) framework.
result MVOL effectively utilizes both auxiliary OOD datasets and wild datasets with noisy in-distribution data.