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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for order-book markets

Paper models limit order book with informed traders and market makers.

problem Modeling the limit order book with heterogeneous market participants.
method Agent-based model with four types of participants: informed traders, noise traders, informed market makers, and noise market makers. Based on Glosten-Milgrom and Huang-Rosenbaum-Saliba approaches.
result Derived the static limit order book characteristics and compared them with existing models.

Latent order book models have allowed for significant progress in our understanding of price formation in financial markets. In particular they are able to reproduce a number of stylized facts, such as the square-root impact law. An important question that is raised -- if one is to bring such models closer to real mark…

2018-08-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Market making is one of the most important aspects of algorithmic trading, and it has been studied quite extensively from a theoretical point of view. The practical implementation of so-called "optimal strategies" however suffers from the failure of most order book models to faithfully reproduce the behaviour of real m…

2018-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Model uses statistical physics principles to predict financial market volatility and returns.

problem Predicting price volatility and expected returns in financial markets.
method Inspired by statistical physics, the study introduces a physical model using Level 3 order book data to measure kinetic energy and momentum.
result The model outperforms traditional and machine learning approaches in forecasting volatility and expected returns.

Commonly used limit order book attributes are empirically considered based on NASDAQ ITCH data. It is shown that some of them have the properties drastically different from the ones assumed in many market dynamics study. Because of this difference we propose to make a transition from "Statistical" type of order book st…

2016-03-16abs ↗pdf ↗

The latent order book of \cite{donier2015fully} is one of the most promising agent-based models for market impact. This work extends the minimal model by allowing agents to exhibit mean-reversion, a commonly observed pattern in real markets. This modification leads to new order book dynamics, which we explicitly study …

2018-02-16abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper employs machine learning algorithms to forecast German electricity spot market prices. The forecasts utilize in particular bid and ask order book data from the spot market but also fundamental market data like renewable infeed and expected demand. Appropriate feature extraction for the order book data is dev…

2019-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Simulates realistic execution and costs in limit order books.

problem Realistic simulation of limit order books for large-tick assets.
method Tractable representation of spread and volume imbalance; calibrated event timing; feedback mechanism for market impact.
result Simulator yields realistic behavior and sensitivity to execution parameters.

Study applies market microstructure to Cuban informal currency market, finding market makers improve liquidity.

problem Understanding dynamics of informal currency markets.
method Modeling bid/ask intentions using Limit Order Book, applying Avellaneda-Stoikov model with Market Maker.
result Market Maker improves market quality and bid/ask dynamics.

New method uses statistical physics to detect financial market manipulation.

problem Detecting financial market manipulation activities like spoofing and layering.
method Modeling order book dynamics as particle motion and using momentum measure.
result Method outperforms conventional Z-score-based anomaly detection.

We present a simple order book mechanism that regulates an artificial financial market with self-organized criticality dynamics and fat tails of returns distribution. The model shows the role played by individual imitation in determining trading decisions, while fruitfully replicates typical aggregate market behavior a…

2016-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Simulates financial market orders using anomalous diffusion models.

problem Anomalous diffusion in financial market order dynamics.
method Discrete Time Random Walk with Sibuya waiting times, non-uniform sampling, and cubic spline interpolation.
result Demonstrates price impact for different forcing functions and model parameters.

Framework detects and ranks suspicious market manipulation using temporal convolutions and expert assessment.

problem Detecting and deterring rogue agents in financial markets.
method Weakly supervised learning, expert assessment, similarity search.
result Promising preliminary results in detecting and ranking suspicious market manipulation.

We formalize how markets aggregate via arbitrage and quantify liquidity loss.

problem How financial markets aggregate and the loss of liquidity.
method Characterize markets via utility functions, use thermodynamics analogy, derive limit order book representation, compute aggregation loss.
result Arbitrage-mediated aggregation leads to market-dynamical entropy quantifying liquidity loss.

The paper models market dynamics using a limit order book system to explain slippage and inefficiency.

problem Inefficiency in matching markets due to structural liquidity constraints and slippage.
method Introduces a market microstructure framework with a latent preference state matrix and a dynamic discrete choice execution model.
result Persistent slippage and regional invariance of preference orderings are explained by liquidity thresholds.

We present a class of macroscopic models of the Limit Order Book to simulate the aggregate behaviour of market makers in response to trading flows. The resulting models are solved numerically and asymptotically, and a class of similarity solutions linked to order book formation and recovery is explored. The main result…

2019-10-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhances queue-reactive model for realistic limit order book simulation.

problem Realistic simulation of limit order books for market research and strategy development.
method Extends Queue-Reactive model with neural network for complex dependencies and varying market conditions.
result Captures key market properties like square-root law of market impact and order size patterns.

We examine the correlation of the limit price with the order book, when a limit order comes. We analyzed the Rebuild Order Book of Stock Exchange Electronic Trading Service, which is the centralized order book market of London Stock Exchange. As a result, the limit price is broadly distributed around the best price acc…

2007-02-04abs ↗pdf ↗

We develop a new market-making model, from the ground up, which is tailored towards high-frequency trading under a limit order book (LOB), based on the well-known classification of order types in market microstructure. Our flexible framework allows arbitrary order volume, price jump, and bid-ask spread distributions as…

2019-03-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Generative tools mimic stock market traders using synthetic data.

problem Imitating trading behavior of stock market participants.
method Modified state-space model applied to limit order book data, trained on synthetic data generated from a heterogeneous agent-based model.
result Model's predicted distribution matches ground truths from the agent-based model.

Optimal trading strategies in fluctuating financial markets are analyzed using complex mathematical models.

problem Optimal execution of trades in markets with fluctuating liquidity and order book depth.
method Continuous-time limit order book model with càdlàg semimartingale strategies, quadratic BSDEs.
result Characterization of minimal execution costs and existence of optimal strategies.

Through the analysis of a dataset of ultra high frequency order book updates, we introduce a model which accommodates the empirical properties of the full order book together with the stylized facts of lower frequency financial data. To do so, we split the time interval of interest into periods in which a well chosen r…

2013-12-02abs ↗pdf ↗

RL agent learns to place limit orders for trading signals in financial markets.

problem Training an RL agent to execute trading signals in limit order book markets.
method Deep Duelling Double Q-learning with APEX architecture, using synthetic alpha signals.
result RL agent outperforms heuristic trading strategies in inventory management and order placing.

Measures price impact in order-driven markets without relying on averages.

problem Measuring price impact in order-driven markets without relying on averages.
method Modeling the limit order book using state-dependent Hawkes processes and defining price impact profile as a function of the compensator of a stochastic process.
result The clustering of sell child orders has a bigger impact on price than their sizes.

High Frequency Trading (HFT) represents an ever growing proportion of all financial transactions as most markets have now switched to electronic order book systems. The main goal of the paper is to propose continuous time equations which generalize the self-financing relationships of frictionless markets to electronic …

2013-12-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Market liquidity plays a vital role in the field of market micro-structure, because it is the vigor of the financial market. This paper uses a variable called convexity to measure the potential liquidity provided by order-book. Based on the high-frequency data of each stock included in the SSE (Shanghai Stock Exchange)…

2012-11-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Study shows market quality improves with larger orders, not smaller tick sizes or higher trading frequencies.

problem Impact of order book tick sizes, metaorders, and trading frequencies on market quality.
method Multi-agent reinforcement learning model to simulate stock market dynamics.
result Market quality benefits from larger orders but not from smaller tick sizes or higher trading frequencies.

Study shows observing order book can significantly improve online market making performance.

problem Online market making with private valuations and limited feedback.
method Introduces action-dependent feedback model and proposes elimination-based and explore-then-perturb algorithms.
result Achieves O(T)O(\sqrt{T}) regret bounds with high probability in various settings.

The paper solves portfolio liquidation under transient price impact for 100 NASDAQ stocks.

problem Determining optimal trading strategies under various market impact models.
method Derives explicit solutions for market impact parameters in a portfolio liquidation model.
result The derived strategy achieves significant cost savings compared to benchmark models.

Study of Polymarket's prediction market microstructure using tick-level order book data.

problem Understanding the microstructure of decentralized prediction markets.
method Analysis of a continuous tick-level order book feed and on-chain trade records.
result Trade direction inferred from Polymarket's public order-book feed disagrees with on-chain data in ~59% of cases.

Financial markets can be described on several time scales. We use data from the limit order book of the London Stock Exchange (LSE) to compare how the fluctuation dominated microstructure crosses over to a more systematic global behavior.

2007-05-28abs ↗pdf ↗