Paper models limit order book with informed traders and market makers.
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Latent order book models have allowed for significant progress in our understanding of price formation in financial markets. In particular they are able to reproduce a number of stylized facts, such as the square-root impact law. An important question that is raised -- if one is to bring such models closer to real mark…
Market making is one of the most important aspects of algorithmic trading, and it has been studied quite extensively from a theoretical point of view. The practical implementation of so-called "optimal strategies" however suffers from the failure of most order book models to faithfully reproduce the behaviour of real m…
Model uses statistical physics principles to predict financial market volatility and returns.
Model simulates sparse order books in illiquid markets.
Commonly used limit order book attributes are empirically considered based on NASDAQ ITCH data. It is shown that some of them have the properties drastically different from the ones assumed in many market dynamics study. Because of this difference we propose to make a transition from "Statistical" type of order book st…
The latent order book of \cite{donier2015fully} is one of the most promising agent-based models for market impact. This work extends the minimal model by allowing agents to exhibit mean-reversion, a commonly observed pattern in real markets. This modification leads to new order book dynamics, which we explicitly study …
Paper models Bitcoin market dynamics using 1+1D field theory.
This paper employs machine learning algorithms to forecast German electricity spot market prices. The forecasts utilize in particular bid and ask order book data from the spot market but also fundamental market data like renewable infeed and expected demand. Appropriate feature extraction for the order book data is dev…
Simulates realistic execution and costs in limit order books.
Exchange uses incentives to optimize limit order book dynamics.
Improved queue-reactive model considers order sizes for better market simulation.
A framework models order book dynamics using point processes and mass transport.
Study applies market microstructure to Cuban informal currency market, finding market makers improve liquidity.
Deep RL controller outperforms market making benchmarks in a Hawkes process model.
New method uses statistical physics to detect financial market manipulation.
Visualizes futures markets using particle physics tools.
We present a simple order book mechanism that regulates an artificial financial market with self-organized criticality dynamics and fat tails of returns distribution. The model shows the role played by individual imitation in determining trading decisions, while fruitfully replicates typical aggregate market behavior a…
Simulates financial market orders using anomalous diffusion models.
The existing literature provides evidence that limit order book data can be used to predict short-term price movements in stock markets. This paper proposes a new neural network architecture for predicting return jump arrivals in equity markets with high-frequency limit order book data. This new architecture, based on …
Framework detects and ranks suspicious market manipulation using temporal convolutions and expert assessment.
We formalize how markets aggregate via arbitrage and quantify liquidity loss.
The paper models market dynamics using a limit order book system to explain slippage and inefficiency.
Model shows incentives in shared order book can lead to free-rider problem.
We present a class of macroscopic models of the Limit Order Book to simulate the aggregate behaviour of market makers in response to trading flows. The resulting models are solved numerically and asymptotically, and a class of similarity solutions linked to order book formation and recovery is explored. The main result…
Enhances queue-reactive model for realistic limit order book simulation.
We build an agent-based model for the order book with three types of market participants: informed trader, noise trader and competitive market makers. Using a Glosten-Milgrom like approach, we are able to deduce the whole limit order book (bid-ask spread and volume available at each price) from the interactions between…
DiffLOB models future market conditions for better decision-making.
We examine the correlation of the limit price with the order book, when a limit order comes. We analyzed the Rebuild Order Book of Stock Exchange Electronic Trading Service, which is the centralized order book market of London Stock Exchange. As a result, the limit price is broadly distributed around the best price acc…
We develop a new market-making model, from the ground up, which is tailored towards high-frequency trading under a limit order book (LOB), based on the well-known classification of order types in market microstructure. Our flexible framework allows arbitrary order volume, price jump, and bid-ask spread distributions as…
Generative tools mimic stock market traders using synthetic data.
Optimal trade execution in a fluctuating market with stochastic liquidity.
Optimal trading strategies in fluctuating financial markets are analyzed using complex mathematical models.
Through the analysis of a dataset of ultra high frequency order book updates, we introduce a model which accommodates the empirical properties of the full order book together with the stylized facts of lower frequency financial data. To do so, we split the time interval of interest into periods in which a well chosen r…
RL agent learns to place limit orders for trading signals in financial markets.
Measures price impact in order-driven markets without relying on averages.
A new high-frequency market making strategy using Deep Hawkes process.
High Frequency Trading (HFT) represents an ever growing proportion of all financial transactions as most markets have now switched to electronic order book systems. The main goal of the paper is to propose continuous time equations which generalize the self-financing relationships of frictionless markets to electronic …
It has been suggested that marked point processes might be good candidates for the modelling of financial high-frequency data. A special class of point processes, Hawkes processes, has been the subject of various investigations in the financial community. In this paper, we propose to enhance a basic zero-intelligence o…
Market liquidity plays a vital role in the field of market micro-structure, because it is the vigor of the financial market. This paper uses a variable called convexity to measure the potential liquidity provided by order-book. Based on the high-frequency data of each stock included in the SSE (Shanghai Stock Exchange)…
Study shows market quality improves with larger orders, not smaller tick sizes or higher trading frequencies.
Study shows observing order book can significantly improve online market making performance.
Framework simulates market microstructure with stable Hawkes processes.
We propose an analytically tractable class of models for the dynamics of a limit order book, described through a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) with multiplicative noise for the order book centered at the mid-price, along with stochastic dynamics for the mid-price which is consistent with the order flo…
The paper solves portfolio liquidation under transient price impact for 100 NASDAQ stocks.
Study of Polymarket's prediction market microstructure using tick-level order book data.
We demonstrate an application of risk-sensitive reinforcement learning to optimizing execution in limit order book markets. We represent taking order execution decisions based on limit order book knowledge by a Markov Decision Process; and train a trading agent in a market simulator, which emulates multi-agent interact…
Financial markets can be described on several time scales. We use data from the limit order book of the London Stock Exchange (LSE) to compare how the fluctuation dominated microstructure crosses over to a more systematic global behavior.