A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Pairwise "same-cluster" queries are one of the most widely used forms of supervision in semi-supervised clustering. However, it is impractical to ask human oracles to answer every query correctly. In this paper, we study the influence of allowing "not-sure" answers from a weak oracle and propose an effective algorithm …
Paper addresses online alignment of large language models under uncertain preference feedback.
problem Online alignment of large language models with misspecified preference feedback.
method Formulates an oracle-robust objective as a worst-case optimization problem for log-linear policies, and develops projected stochastic composite updates.
result Shows that the robust objective admits an exact closed-form decomposition and achieves O(ε−2) oracle complexity.
Semi-supervised active clustering (SSAC) utilizes the knowledge of a domain expert to cluster data points by interactively making pairwise "same-cluster" queries. However, it is impractical to ask human oracles to answer every pairwise query. In this paper, we study the influence of allowing "not-sure" answers from a w…
A desirable property of interpretable models is small size, so that they are easily understandable by humans. This leads to the following challenges: (a) small sizes typically imply diminished accuracy, and (b) bespoke levers provided by model families to restrict size, e.g., L1 regularization, might be insufficient to…
We study contextual linear bandit problems under feature uncertainty, where the features are noisy and have missing entries. To address the challenges posed by this noise, we analyze Bayesian oracles given the observed noisy features. Our Bayesian analysis reveals that the optimal hypothesis can significantly deviate f…
PCS-UQ framework improves uncertainty quantification for machine learning models.
problem Ensuring trustworthy uncertainty quantification for machine learning models in high-stakes domains.
method PCS-UQ framework based on Predictability, Computability, and Stability principles, integrating prediction-checking, bootstrap samples, and multiplicative calibration.
result PCS-UQ maintains target coverage while outperforming or matching conformal methods in interval width and subgroup coverage.
Sufficient supervised information is crucial for any machine learning models to boost performance. However, labeling data is expensive and sometimes difficult to obtain. Active learning is an approach to acquire annotations for data from a human oracle by selecting informative samples with a high probability to enhance…
Improved stock selection through predictive fundamentals and uncertainty estimates.
problem Selecting stocks based on future financial data to outperform traditional factor models.
method Train deep nets to forecast future fundamentals, incorporate uncertainty estimates, and adjust portfolios to manage risk.
result Simulated annualized return of 17.7% and Sharpe ratio of 0.84 for uncertainty-aware model, significantly higher than 14.0% and 0.52 for standard factor models.
This thesis enhances ML reliability by selectively abstaining from predictions when uncertain.
problem Improving reliability in machine learning systems, especially in high-stakes domains.
method Exploiting uncertainty signals from training trajectories to develop lightweight, post-hoc abstention methods compatible with differential privacy.
result A robust trajectory-based approach to selective prediction that maintains high accuracy under privacy noise.
Graph convolution networks (GCN) have emerged as the leading method to classify node classes in networks, and have reached the highest accuracy in multiple node classification tasks. In the absence of available tagged samples, active learning methods have been developed to obtain the highest accuracy using the minimal …
We study the problem of interactively learning a binary classifier using noisy labeling and pairwise comparison oracles, where the comparison oracle answers which one in the given two instances is more likely to be positive. Learning from such oracles has multiple applications where obtaining direct labels is harder bu…
We study the problem of training machine learning models incrementally with batches of samples annotated with noisy oracles. We select each batch of samples that are important and also diverse via clustering and importance sampling. More importantly, we incorporate model uncertainty into the sampling probability to com…
We consider the problem of minimizing the sum of submodular set functions assuming minimization oracles of each summand function. Most existing approaches reformulate the problem as the convex minimization of the sum of the corresponding Lovász extensions and the squared Euclidean norm, leading to algorithms requiring …