Study optimizes decisions in real-time using inexact simulation solutions.
problem Real-time decision-making in simulation optimization with inexact solutions.
method Optimize then predict (OTP) approach, analyzing bias and variance in simulation-optimization algorithms.
result Unified analysis framework for OTP, establishing convergence rates and optimal allocation of computational budget.
A new algorithm, Regular Tree Search, tackles non-convex simulation optimization problems.
problem Non-convex objective functions in simulation optimization.
method Integrates adaptive sampling with recursive partitioning of the search space.
result Proves global convergence and reliably identifies the global optimum.
New algorithm tackles high-dimensional simulation optimization, converging efficiently.
problem High-dimensional simulation optimization challenges.
method Sparse grid experimental design combined with kernel ridge regression using Brownian field kernel, followed by expected improvement strategy.
result Established upper bounds on convergence rate, demonstrating superior performance in practice.
SOCRATES uses LLMs to automate simulation optimization of complex systems.
problem Optimizing complex, expensive-to-sample stochastic systems.
method Two-stage procedure: replica construction and meta-optimization.
result Adaptive hybrid optimization schedule for real systems.
New method improves zeroth-order stochastic optimization with adaptive sampling.
problem Optimization problems without gradient information.
method Adaptive sampling quasi-Newton method using finite differences.
result Significant improvement in performance with adaptive sample sizes.
A framework for optimizing prompt selection in generative language models.
problem Efficiently selecting prompts for generative language models.
method Two-stage framework using simulation optimization to maximize a pre-defined score.
result Consistency of the sequential evaluation procedure in the proposed framework.
BOSH optimizes functions with stochastic evaluations more efficiently and precisely.
problem Optimizing functions with noisy evaluations can lead to suboptimal solutions.
method BOSH uses a hierarchical Gaussian process to generate a growing pool of realizations.
result BOSH provides more efficient and higher-precision optimization than standard BO.
Efficiently selects top-m designs for various contexts using sequential sampling.
problem Optimizing selection of top-m designs across different contexts.
method Formulated as a stochastic dynamic programming problem, developed sequential sampling policy.
result Asymptotically optimal sampling ratios for efficient selection.
The paper proposes a framework to calibrate multi-agent simulation models from output series using Bayesian optimization.
problem Calibrating multi-agent simulation models from observable output series.
method Novel eligibility set concept, two-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov test with Bonferroni correction, Bayesian optimization (BO), and trust-region BO (TuRBO).
result Demonstrated the efficiency of the proposed framework using numerical experiments.
We consider stochastic zero-order optimization problems, which arise in settings from simulation optimization to reinforcement learning. We propose an adaptive sampling quasi-Newton method where we estimate the gradients of a stochastic function using finite differences within a common random number framework. We emplo…
Quantum computing offers new solutions for finance problems.
problem Challenging classical computational problems in finance.
method Quantum algorithms for finance applications.
result Potential benefits for financial services.
Adaptive replication improves stochastic function optimization.
problem Challenges in accurately estimating functions with high variance.
method Trust-region-based Bayesian optimization with adaptive replication.
result Adaptive replication substantially improves solution accuracy and efficiency.
Understanding player behavior is fundamental in game data science. Video games evolve as players interact with the game, so being able to foresee player experience would help to ensure a successful game development. In particular, game developers need to evaluate beforehand the impact of in-game events. Simulation opti…
New oracles improve stochastic optimization with noisy or biased measurements.
problem Optimizing functions with noisy or biased measurements.
method Introduced biased gradient oracles for stochastic optimization, analyzed RSG and SGD algorithms with these oracles.
result Derived non-asymptotic bounds for convergence rates of algorithms with biased gradient oracles.
We propose a modelling framework for the optimal selection of crypto assets. Crypto assets differ by two essential features: security (technological) and stability (governance). Investors make choices over crypto assets similarly to how they make choices by using a recommender app: the app presents each investor with a…
Develops a two-layer model to design mortgage assistance products.
problem Designing effective mortgage assistance products to improve household resilience.
method Two-layer approach: simulation and optimization.
result Shows how the approach can design and evaluate mortgage assistance products.
To integrate strategic, tactical and operational decisions, the two-stage optimization has been widely used to guide dynamic decision making. In this paper, we study the two-stage stochastic programming for complex systems with unknown response estimated by simulation. We introduce the global-local metamodel assisted t…
Bayesian method reduces misclassification errors in ranking Pareto-optimal solutions.
problem Identifying true Pareto-optimal solutions in noisy multiobjective optimization.
method Sequential allocation of extra samples using stochastic kriging to build predictive distributions.
result The proposed method outperforms existing algorithms in reducing misclassification errors.
Extends geostatistical simulation method to handle multiple variables and large grids.
problem Scalability and handling of multiple variables in geostatistical simulation.
method Uses Sinkhorn optimal transport with sparse matcher and FFT-MA Gaussian backbone.
result MST-Direct reproduces joint distribution with zero histogram error and accurately preserves spatial correlation.
Study mini-batch SGD noise and its limits, proving complexity guarantees.
problem Analyzing the noise in mini-batch SGD and its impact on optimization.
method Examined the conditional covariance and diffusion limits of SGD under different sampling designs.
result Proved mean-square upper bounds and Fisher van Trees lower bounds for SGD, linking them to effective dimension and condition number.
An important goal of research in Deep Reinforcement Learning in mobile robotics is to train agents capable of solving complex tasks, which require a high level of scene understanding and reasoning from an egocentric perspective. When trained from simulations, optimal environments should satisfy a currently unobtainable…
New method optimizes costly functions with unknown costs and budget constraints.
problem Optimizing functions with unknown and heterogeneous evaluation costs under a budget constraint.
method Budgeted multi-step expected improvement acquisition function.
result Our method outperforms existing approaches in various synthetic and real problems.
Proposes MamBO for efficient high-dimensional large-scale optimization.
problem High-dimensional and large-scale optimization problems in machine learning and simulation.
method Combines subsampling and subspace embeddings with model aggregation to address uncertainty in surrogate models.
result Improves robustness of Bayesian optimization algorithm and achieves superior performance.
ACFS optimizes spectral risk under decision-dependent uncertainty using adaptive forest sampling.
problem Minimizing spectral risk with decision-dependent uncertainty.
method ACFS integrates Generalised Random Forests, CEM-guided exploration, rank-weighted augmentation, and multi-start refinement.
result ACFS achieves lowest median oracle spectral risk on both benchmarks.