The paper uses moment matching method for pricing spread options under Lévy models.
problem Pricing spread options under Lévy models with mean-variance mixture.
method Moment matching method applied to Lévy models with mean-variance mixture.
result Obtains semi-closed form formulas for spread option prices.
The paper models asset prices with random volatility to match option prices.
problem Matching asset price dynamics with observed option prices.
method Uses a mixture of diffusion processes with random volatility.
result Derives explicit pricing formulas for derivatives.
Theoretical models applied to option pricing should take into account the empirical characteristics of the underlying financial time series. In this paper, we show how to price basket options when assets follow a shifted log-normal process with jumps capable of accommodating negative skewness. Our technique is based on…
Method recovers asset return distributions from option prices.
problem Recovering implied physical densities from option prices.
method Non-parametric method based on Distribution Matching.
result Complete recovery of physical probability distributions.
A new method approximates option pricing in stochastic interest rate markets.
problem Approximating option pricing in markets with stochastic interest rates.
method Gaussian moment matching technique applied to a conditional Black \& Scholes formula.
result The method performs remarkably well, even compared to other techniques.
The paper presents an approximate formula for European mortgage options pricing.
problem Pricing European mortgage options with accuracy and efficiency.
method Approximation of the underlying price distribution using lognormal distributions and matching moments.
result The proposed formula provides a good approximation with high accuracy compared to Monte Carlo simulations.
Paper improves basket option pricing for log-normal models.
problem Challenges in pricing basket options with negative weights.
method Moment matching and solving a unary cubic equation.
result Highly accurate closed form solution for basket options.
In this paper, a standard PDE for the pricing of arithmetic average strike Asian call option is presented. A Crank-Nicolson Implicit Method and a Higher Order Compact finite difference scheme for this pricing problem is derived. Both these schemes were implemented for various values of risk free rate and volatility. Th…
Develops efficient methods for approximating densities of financial models with jumps.
problem Approximating densities of affine jump diffusions with state-independent jump intensities.
method Recursive approach for deriving closed-form solutions to moments, constructing density approximations via moment matching.
result Superior computational efficiency and precision in option pricing and simulation compared to existing techniques.
GMMNs model cross-sectional dependence for better option pricing and simulation.
problem Modeling cross-sectional dependence between stochastic processes.
method Generative moment matching networks (GMMNs) for geometric Brownian motions and ARMA-GARCH models.
result GMMNs produce dependent quasi-random samples with variance reduction.
Trains neural nets for gamma hedging with model uncertainty.
problem Gamma hedging with model mismatch.
method Trains neural networks using loss functions that reward model uncertainty.
result Networks can learn optimal gamma hedging even with model mismatch.
In some options markets (e.g. commodities), options are listed with only a single maturity for each underlying. In others, (e.g. equities, currencies), options are listed with multiple maturities. In this paper, we provide an algorithm for calibrating a pure jump Markov martingale model to match the market prices of Eu…
Study fits BTC future returns from inverse options using logistic distribution.
problem Modeling future price distribution of Bitcoin.
method Fits empirical BTC future returns with logistic distribution using inverse options prices.
result BTC future returns can be described with a logistic distribution, but not stochastically.
Unified framework matches equity and bond yields.
problem Inconsistency in pricing zero-coupon bonds and equity markets.
method Unified term structure of interest rates framework using put-call parity.
result Option-implied yield curves closely match treasury par yield curves.
The paper proposes a new method to calibrate option pricing models that accurately match both volatility surfaces and variance term structures.
problem Calibrated models often produce inaccurate variance term structures relative to market observations.
method The paper introduces a joint calibration framework that augments the conventional objective function with a penalty term for variance term structure deviations, using a hyperparameter to balance volatility surface and variance term structure weights.
result The proposed method accurately fits observed option prices while delivering realistic term structures of variance.
We correct a mistake in the published version of our paper. Our new conclusion is that the "implied leverage effect" for single stocks is underestimated by option markets for short maturities and overestimated for long maturities, while it is always overestimated for OEX options, except for the shortest maturities wher…
Financial option insurance protects investors from option premiums losses.
problem Risk associated with financial option investments.
method Integrating insurance concepts with financial options, creating a three-entity framework and a mathematical model.
result Protection of option investors and minimization of insurer's risk.
AES scheme improves Bermudan and American option pricing for Heston models.
problem Pricing Bermudan and American options under Heston models efficiently.
method AES scheme using non-central chi-square distribution for variance process.
result AES achieves higher accuracy and computational efficiency for Bermudan options.
In this paper we present a new methodology for option pricing. The main idea consists to represent a generic probability distribution function (PDF) via a perturbative expansion around a given, simpler, PDF (typically a gaussian function) by matching moments of increasing order. Because, as shown in literature, the pri…
Improved option pricing for SABR model using Gauss-Hermite quadrature.
problem Improving accuracy of option pricing in the SABR model.
method Using Gauss-Hermite quadrature for numerical integration of the integrated variance.
result New method provides accurate option prices across all strike prices.
This paper is devoted to the application of an l1 -minimisation technique to construct an arbitrage-free call-option surface. We propose a nononparametric approach to obtaining model-free call option surfaces that are perfectly consistent with market quotes and free of static arbitrage. The approach is inspired from…
An unsupervised deep learning method solves PIDEs for option pricing.
problem Solving partial integro-differential equations for financial option pricing.
method Employing unsupervised deep learning to directly solve PIDEs without requiring labeled data.
result An unsupervised neural network accurately solves PIDEs and calculates derivatives and integrals.
Prediction markets and crypto options show persistent pricing gaps.
problem Comparing prediction markets and crypto options for identical payoffs.
method Comparing Polymarket Yes prices with Binance call option prices.
result Mean pricing gap of 5.6 percentage points across 214 hourly observations.
The paper compares machine learning methods with traditional techniques for pricing and sensitivities of financial products with path-dependent structures.
problem Evaluating financial products with early-termination clauses, especially those with path-dependent structures.
method The paper compares regression methods including randomized recurrent and feed-forward neural networks, and a novel approach using signatures of the underlying price process, with traditional polynomial basis functions for pricing and sensitivities.
result Machine learning algorithms often match the accuracy and efficiency of traditional methods for Asian and look-back options, while randomized neural networks are best for callable certificates.
Model predicts jump risk premia influencing cryptocurrency futures and option performance.
problem Capturing asymmetric and time-varying skewness in cryptocurrency returns.
method Bivariate Hawkes process with positive and negative jump premia.
result Inferred jump risk premia predict futures cost of carry and option performance.
ETCNN uses neural networks to price American options accurately.
problem Accurately pricing American options with inequality constraints.
method ETCNN framework solving BSM equations with exact terminal condition.
result ETCNN achieves high accuracy and robustness across various scenarios.
RL and DTSOC for final quadratic hedging performance studied.
problem Optimal hedging of European call options with and without transaction costs.
method Reinforcement Learning and Deep Trajectory-based Stochastic Optimal Control.
result RL and DTSOC perform similarly to variance-optimal hedging in various market models.
Enhances option pricing with fractional order Black-Scholes-Merton model.
problem Improving precision and authenticity of option pricing.
method Integrates fractional order Black-Scholes-Merton with neural networks.
result Improves accuracy in capturing complex diffusion dynamics and memory effects.
The paper solves the skewness problem in high-dimensional basket options.
problem Inconsistent skewness between individual stock options and basket options on an index.
method Developed an effective local volatility model and calibrated the basket to the index smile using a jump-diffusion model.
result The method resolves the skewness issue, matching the index smile in basket option prices.
The paper models Gasoil options using Brent benchmarks, improving volatility estimation.
problem Inability to directly model illiquid Gasoil options market.
method Jointly models Brent and Gasoil futures prices with a correlated Bachelier model, estimating volatility spread.
result The proposed framework accurately maps Brent implied volatilities to Gasoil implied volatilities.
Study Markov cubature rules for polynomial processes.
problem Tractability of path-dependent tasks in polynomial process models.
method Discretizations using finite state Markov processes with moment matching conditions.
result Markov cubature rules aid American option pricing.
European options can be priced when returns follow a Student's t-distribution, provided that the asset is capped in value or the distribution is truncated. We call pricing of options using a log Student's t-distribution a Gosset approach, in honour of W.S. Gosset. In this paper, we compare the greeks for Gosset and Bla…
Develops a new option pricing model using heavy-tailed distributions.
problem Inaccurate option pricing due to traditional models' assumption of normal distribution for log returns.
method Uses Student's t-distribution with three degrees of freedom for log returns, truncates supports to fit finite values, and applies no-arbitrage principles.
result Truncated Student's t-distributions provide accurate option pricing and satisfy no-arbitrage principles.
Deep learning enhances options hedging performance.
problem Improving delta hedging for options using neural networks.
method Learning residuals between hedging function and implied Black-Scholes delta using neural networks.
result Deep learning significantly improves hedging performance, often by more than 100%.
Enhances binomial and trinomial models for equity options pricing.
problem Improving accuracy of equity option pricing models.
method Develops time-dependent binomial model and introduces a risk-neutral trinomial tree.
result Equates moments of pricing tree increments to geometric Brownian motion.
Generative model prices basket options efficiently.
problem Real-time pricing of basket options with varying market inputs.
method Truncated path signatures and Mixture Density Networks (MDN) for learning the terminal density.
result The model produces small pricing errors and matches Monte Carlo simulations closely.
Improved pricing method for American options in various models.
problem Efficient pricing of American options in jump-diffusion models and barrier options.
method Hybrid method combining perturbative arguments and quadratic approximation.
result Higher order approximations provide significantly more pricing accuracy.
The paper uses GRU and self-attention for SPY option pricing.
problem Precise prediction of SPY option prices for better investment decisions.
method Partitioned dataset, built four models, used SHAP for interpretation.
result Self-attention GRU model outperforms traditional models.
The study models mortgage prepayment risk using stochastic housing market activity.
problem Modeling prepayment risk in mortgages under varying housing market conditions.
method Developed a stochastic model for prepayment option value, using swaption pricing formulas and non-standard actuarial hedging.
result Housing market covariance significantly impacts prepayment option prices.
Enhancing the Black-Scholes model with Lévy processes and Malliavin calculus
problem Improving option valuation by incorporating stochastic volatility and jumps
method Deriving a pricing formula and exact implied volatility using multidimensional Itô calculus and Malliavin calculus
result Better capture of empirical features like volatility smiles
The paper introduces a new model to improve exotic option pricing.
problem Challenges in pricing exotic options and structured products due to market phenomena.
method Introduces a Diffusion-Conditional Probability Model (DDPM) with a composite loss function and P-Q dynamic game framework.
result The DDPM outperforms traditional models in dynamic games for European and Asian options, but underestimates tail risks.
New models avoid probability in option pricing, matching historical and implied volatilities.
problem Developing option pricing models without probability.
method Statistical analysis of historical volatility and pathwise lift of stock dynamics.
result Option pricing models can be based on pathwise properties of stock dynamics.
Fast, reliable, and error-bounded option pricing with neural networks
problem Fast, reliable, and error-bounded option pricing
method Mixture Density Network
result Out-of-sample CDF error of 1.4imes10−4 Unified framework for imitation learning via moment matching.
problem Closing the gap between imitation and real-world performance.
method Classifying imitation learning algorithms based on reward or action-value moment matching, considering adversarial divergences.
result Derivation of bounds on policy performance for all algorithms in each class, and introduction of moment recoverability.
A new method computes Greeks for multi-asset options using tensor trains and Fourier transforms.
problem Efficient computation of Greeks for multi-asset options with high accuracy and low sample complexity.
method Tensor train (TT) representations of Fourier-based pricing functions, combined with numerical differentiation or analytical approaches.
result Significant speed-ups of up to 105imes over Monte Carlo simulations while maintaining comparable accuracy. Quantum state preparation framework speeds up basket option pricing.
problem Limited practical benefit of quantum amplitude estimation due to state-preparation depth.
method Structure-aware tensor-train rank-based variational state preparation.
result State-preparation depth scaling replaced with linear scaling, maintaining low basket-pricing errors.
We study the problem of finding probability densities that match given European call option prices. To allow prior information about such a density to be taken into account, we generalise the algorithm presented in Neri and Schneider (2011) to find the maximum entropy density of an asset price to the relative entropy c…
Writing the article-Time independent pricing of options in range bound markets; the question in the title came naturally to my mind. It is stated, in the above article, that in certain market conditions the stock price is subjected to an equation that exactly matches a time independent Schrodinger equation. The time in…