Novel OTT method for cryptocurrency trading offers high annualized profit.
problem Quantifying and exploiting trading opportunities in cryptocurrency markets.
method Bi-objective convex optimization for balancing profit and risk.
result Annualized profit of 15.49% in cryptocurrency market from 2020 to 2022.
In this paper we apply evolutionary optimization techniques to compute optimal rule-based trading strategies based on financial sentiment data. The sentiment data was extracted from the social media service StockTwits to accommodate the level of bullishness or bearishness of the online trading community towards certain…
Investor optimizes wealth in a market with non-traded endowment, deriving expansions up to second order.
problem Optimizing wealth in an incomplete financial market with a non-traded endowment.
method Duality techniques and Kunita-Watanabe projections for deriving expansions up to second order.
result Derives expansions of the primal value function and optimal wealth process up to second order with respect to the non-traded endowment units.
A pairs trading model with time-varying volatility using stochastic control.
problem Optimizing pairs trading strategies with fluctuating asset volatilities.
method Stochastic control techniques, Finite Difference method, Generalized Method of Moments.
result Optimal trading strategies maximizing expected power utility from terminal wealth.
Enhanced options trading strategies using advanced portfolio optimization.
problem Generating consistent positive returns in high-frequency options trading.
method Advanced portfolio optimization techniques applied to SPY options data.
result Sophisticated strategies incorporating advanced Greeks show potential in high-frequency trading.
DeltaHedge uses AI to optimize portfolio options trading.
problem Balancing risk and return in volatile markets.
method Multi-agent framework integrating reinforcement learning and options hedging.
result Outperforms traditional and standalone models.
Bayesian optimization offers the possibility of optimizing black-box operations not accessible through traditional techniques. The success of Bayesian optimization methods such as Expected Improvement (EI) are significantly affected by the degree of trade-off between exploration and exploitation. Too much exploration c…
ATLAS uses LLMs to adaptively trade by optimizing prompts and coordinating agents.
problem Adapting LLMs for real-time financial decision-making in noisy markets.
method ATLAS integrates structured market data, uses Adaptive-OPRO for prompt optimization, and employs multi-agent coordination.
result Adaptive-OPRO consistently outperforms fixed prompts in financial trading.
The paper characterizes SLOPE's trade-off between FDP and TPP, showing its power limit and superiority over Lasso.
problem Characterizing the SLOPE trade-off between FDP and TPP.
method Using variational perspective and Gaussian random designs, the paper derives upper and lower bounds on the optimal trade-off.
result SLOPE outperforms Lasso in terms of FDP, TPP, and l2 estimation risk.
Optimizes communication in federated learning using rate-distortion theory.
problem Reduces communication cost in federated learning while maintaining model accuracy.
method Applies rate-distortion theory to model updates, proposing distortion as a proxy for accuracy.
result Near-optimal communication reduction, outperforming other methods on a FL benchmark.
Paper uses RL to optimize bid-ask spreads for diverse options.
problem Optimizing bid-ask spreads for options with various maturities and strikes.
method Combines stochastic policy with reinforcement learning.
result Proposes an effective approach for market making of options.
Reinforcement learning is explored as a candidate machine learning technique to enhance existing analytical solutions for optimal trade execution with elements from the market microstructure. Given a volume-to-trade, fixed time horizon and discrete trading periods, the aim is to adapt a given volume trajectory such tha…
A Monte Carlo method for pairs trading on mean-reverting spreads with Lévy processes.
problem Trading on mean-reverting spreads with flexible models.
method Monte Carlo simulation with variance gamma and alpha-gamma driving processes.
result Optimal trading strategies are affected by model parameters and correlation.
We propose a design for schedule-based execution trading strategies based on uncertainty bands. This formulation: 1) simplifies strategy specification and implementation; 2) provides for flexible allocation among passive, opportunistic, aggressive, and dark pool crossing execution tactics; 3) allows for rapid enhanceme…
Study integrates deep learning with financial data for improved trading strategies.
problem Enhancing predictive performance in algorithmic trading and portfolio optimization.
method Developed embedding techniques to treat limit order book snapshots as image-based input channels.
result Achieved state-of-the-art performance in high-frequency trading algorithms.
DRL agents learn to trade Intel stock with stable positive returns.
problem Active high frequency trading in the stock market.
method End-to-end DRL framework using Proximal Policy Optimization, Sequential Model Based Optimization, and LOB-based meta-features.
result DRL agents create dynamic trading strategies with stable positive returns.
RL enhances cryptocurrency trading profits.
problem Enhancing cryptocurrency trading profits through dynamic scaling.
method Combining RL with pair trading, using new reward shaping and observation/action spaces.
result RL-based trading achieved 9.94% to 31.53% annualized profits, vs. 8.33% for traditional methods.
Model predicts option movements using residual transactions for better market timing.
problem Predicting option movements using standard metrics like open interest and trading volume.
method Analyzes residual transactions, integrates machine learning and regression techniques.
result Identifies early indicators of market trends for better option price forecasting.
We consider the problem of superhedging under volatility uncertainty for an investor allowed to dynamically trade the underlying asset, and statically trade European call options for all possible strikes with some given maturity. This problem is classically approached by means of the Skorohod Embedding Problem (SEP). I…
Study optimal trading strategies with expert signals in a hidden Gaussian drift market.
problem Optimal trading strategies in a financial market with hidden Gaussian drift and expert signals.
method Transformed power utility maximization problem into full information problem using Kalman filter estimates of the drift.
result Closed-form solutions for value function and optimal trading strategy derived.
In this paper, we provide a theoretical understanding of word embedding and its dimensionality. Motivated by the unitary-invariance of word embedding, we propose the Pairwise Inner Product (PIP) loss, a novel metric on the dissimilarity between word embeddings. Using techniques from matrix perturbation theory, we revea…
We develop a dual-control method for approximating investment strategies in incomplete environments that emerge from the presence of trading constraints. Convex duality enables the approximate technology to generate lower and upper bounds on the optimal value function. The mechanism rests on closed-form expressions per…
FinRL-Podracer accelerates DRL trading strategies in finance with high performance and scalability.
problem Challenges in applying deep reinforcement learning to finance trading models.
method Proposes an RLOps framework and high-performance cloud solution for DRL trading.
result FinRL-Podracer outperforms existing DRL libraries by 12-35% in annual return, 0.1-0.6 in Sharpe ratio, and 3-7 times in training time.
Paper solves trade-off between internalisation and externalisation in stochastic trade flows.
problem Managing risk in stochastic trade flows between internalisation and externalisation.
method Derives almost-closed-form solutions using Almgren-Chriss framework for quadratic execution costs. Uses numerical methods for more general cases. Proposes reinforcement learning as an alternative.
result Almost-closed-form solutions and numerical methods for optimal strategies.
Adversarial attacks can manipulate deep trading policies, compromising their performance.
problem Adversarial attacks can compromise deep reinforcement learning trading policies.
method Developed a threat model and proposed two attack techniques.
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of adversarial attacks against DQN trading agents.
The aim of this paper is to explain how parameters adjustments can be integrated in the design or the control of automates of trading. Typically, we are interested by the online estimation of the market impacts generated by robots or single orders, and how they/the controller should react in an optimal way to the infor…
In recent years, state-of-the-art methods for supervised learning have exploited increasingly gradient boosting techniques, with mainstream efficient implementations such as xgboost or lightgbm. One of the key points in generating proficient methods is Feature Selection (FS). It consists in selecting the right valuable…
GA-MSSR optimizes forex trading rules for higher returns and reduced risk.
problem Noisy market data affects the consistency and profitability of trading algorithms.
method Optimized trading rules derived from technical indicators using a Genetic Algorithm.
result GA-MSSR achieved superior performance with significant positive returns and reduced risk factors.
We develop an approach to risk minimization and stochastic optimization that provides a convex surrogate for variance, allowing near-optimal and computationally efficient trading between approximation and estimation error. Our approach builds off of techniques for distributionally robust optimization and Owen's empiric…
We employ perturbation analysis technique to study multi-asset portfolio optimisation with transaction cost. We allow for correlations in risky assets and obtain optimal trading methods for general utility functions. Our analytical results are supported by numerical simulations in the context of the Long Term Growth Mo…
Optimizes weights for better model performance in shifting data.
problem Improper importance weighting leads to poor model performance in data shifts.
method Interprets weights as a bias-variance trade-off and optimizes them simultaneously with model parameters.
result Optimizing weights significantly improves model generalization performance.
Optimal hedging strategies for exotic options using vanilla options.
problem Hedging exotic options with illiquid vanilla options.
method Simple approximations and variational techniques in a market model and stochastic volatility model framework.
result Optimal Delta and Vega hedging strategies can be computed easily.
We reconsider the problem of optimal trading in the presence of linear and quadratic costs, for arbitrary linear costs but in the limit where quadratic costs are small. Using matched asymptotic expansion techniques, we find that the trading speed vanishes inside a band that is narrower than in the absence of quadratic …
Strategic information is valuable either by remaining private (for instance if it is sensitive) or, on the other hand, by being used publicly to increase some utility. These two objectives are antagonistic and leaking this information might be more rewarding than concealing it. Unlike classical solutions that focus on …
This paper proposes a novel adaptive algorithm for the automated short-term trading of financial instrument. The algorithm adopts a semantic sentiment analysis technique to inspect the Twitter posts and to use them to predict the behaviour of the stock market. Indeed, the algorithm is specifically developed to take adv…
Portfolio traders strive to identify dynamic portfolio allocation schemes so that their total budgets are efficiently allocated through the investment horizon. This study proposes a novel portfolio trading strategy in which an intelligent agent is trained to identify an optimal trading action by using deep Q-learning. …
Study proposes a new method for deep portfolio optimization using residual factors.
problem Non-stationary financial market makes traditional machine learning methods ineffective.
method Predict distribution of residual factors using a novel neural network architecture with financial inductive biases.
result Demonstrated improved performance on U.S. and Japanese stock market data.
Paper uses relaxation techniques to find optimal brokerage fees with private signals.
problem Finding optimal brokerage fees for clients with private trading signals.
method Relaxation techniques to establish contract existence in asymmetric information settings.
result Existence of optimal brokerage fees established in a market model with private signals.
Research optimizes C++ patterns for HFT, reducing latency and improving profitability.
problem Optimizing latency-critical code for high-frequency trading systems.
method Creation of a Low-Latency Programming Repository, optimisation of trading strategy, implementation of Disruptor pattern.
result Significant performance improvements in speed and profitability.
Systematic trading strategies are algorithmic procedures that allocate assets aiming to optimize a certain performance criterion. To obtain an edge in a highly competitive environment, the analyst needs to proper fine-tune its strategy, or discover how to combine weak signals in novel alpha creating manners. Both aspec…
Enhanced DQN model boosts trading performance with advanced techniques.
problem Improving automated trading performance in financial markets.
method Incorporation of Prioritized Experience Replay, Regularized Q-Learning, Noisy Networks, Dueling, Double DQN, and CNN architectures.
result Significantly improved returns and Sharpe Ratio compared to the original DQN model.
New method optimizes privacy and compute trade-offs for deep learning.
problem Privacy and compute trade-offs in deep learning training.
method Decoupling privacy analysis and experimental behavior, using TAN and scaling laws for DP-SGD.
result Stronger privacy guarantees with significant reduction in computational budget.
Study uses deep learning for pairs trading in Polish equities, achieving profits in 2017-2019.
problem Statistical arbitrage in Polish equities market using traditional methods.
method Deep learning (LSTMs) for asset replication, PCA for risk factor analysis, Ornstein Uhlenbeck process for residual modeling.
result Deep learning methods, especially LSTMs, show promise for profitable trading in Polish equities.
We present pairwise fairness metrics for ranking models and regression models that form analogues of statistical fairness notions such as equal opportunity, equal accuracy, and statistical parity. Our pairwise formulation supports both discrete protected groups, and continuous protected attributes. We show that the res…
Method detects insider trading using trading data and dimensionality reduction.
problem Identifying insider trading in large datasets.
method Unsupervised machine learning, principal component analysis, autoencoders.
result Identifies suspicious trading behavior based on reconstruction errors.
This study optimizes trading strategy parameters using walk-forward techniques and finds robust performance.
problem Optimizing trading strategy performance through parameter optimization.
method Walk-forward optimization with varying window lengths, tested on Bitcoin, Binance Coin, and Ethereum.
result The strategy outperforms Buy-and-Hold with lower drawdown and higher Information Ratio.
Optimizes trading in markets with unpredictable price impacts.
problem Optimizing trading strategies in markets with stochastic price impacts.
method Singular perturbation methods to approximate optimal control problem.
result Proves approximations are accurate to specified order using sub- and super-solutions.
New risk measures improve portfolio diversification and stability.
problem Concentration risk in traditional portfolio optimization methods.
method Equal-correlation portfolio strategy with mathematical optimization.
result Improved risk diversification and stable returns.