Investor optimizes wealth in a market with non-traded endowment, deriving expansions up to second order.
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Solves optimal control for stochastic processes with absorbing states.
Prompted by a recent experiment by Victor Haghani and Richard Dewey, this note generalises the Kelly strategy (optimal for simple investment games with log utility) to a large class of practical utility functions and including the effect of extraneous wealth. A counterintuitive result is proved : for any continuous, co…
In this paper we consider a utility maximization problem with defaultable stocks and looping contagion risk. We assume that the default intensity of one company depends on the stock prices of itself and other companies, and the default of the company induces immediate drops in the stock prices of the surviving companie…
Study optimal strategies for insurer's dividends, investments, and liabilities.
We consider the problem of optimal investment and consumption in a class of multidimensional jump-diffusion models in which asset prices are subject to mutually exciting jump processes. This captures a type of contagion where each downward jump in an asset's price results in increased likelihood of further jumps, both …
Study Nash equilibria in mean field portfolio games with consumption.
This paper studies the optimal risk-averse timing to sell a risky asset. The investor's risk preference is described by the exponential, power, or log utility. Two stochastic models are considered for the asset price -- the geometric Brownian motion and exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck models -- to account for, respectiv…
The paper examines utility maximization in markets with hidden Gaussian drift, finding restrictions on model parameters.
Develops deep learning methods for solving S-shaped utility maximisation problems.
The Mutual Fund Theorem (MFT) is considered in a general semimartingale financial market S with a finite time horizon T, where agents maximize expected utility of terminal wealth. It is established that: 1) Let N be the wealth process of the numéraire portfolio (i.e. the optimal portfolio for the log utility). If any p…
Deep RL algorithms struggle with noisy rewards in portfolio optimisation.
Utility and risk are two often competing measurements on the investment success. We show that efficient trade-off between these two measurements for investment portfolios happens, in general, on a convex curve in the two dimensional space of utility and risk. This is a rather general pattern. The modern portfolio theor…
Optimal Kelly strategy for multi-outcome parlay bets proven using implicit cash approach.
Anticipatory portfolios use richer models to optimize investments.
Management of a portfolio that includes an illiquid asset is an important problem of modern mathematical finance. One of the ways to model illiquidity among others is to build an optimization problem and assume that one of the assets in a portfolio can not be sold until a certain finite, infinite or random moment of ti…