PriceAggregator optimizes hotel price fetching to increase Agoda's bookings.
problem Limited QPS from suppliers causes many user searches to be ignored.
method Intelligently determines queries to suppliers for price fetching.
result PriceAggregator increases Agoda's bookings significantly.
Model predicts passenger origin-destination for online taxi-hailing systems.
problem Predicting passenger origin-destination for efficient transportation planning.
method K-means clustering, non-negative matrix factorization, stacked recurrent neural network.
result Proposed model reduces MAPE by 5-7% for 1-hour windows and 14% for 30-minute windows.
We address two shortcomings in online travel time estimation methods for congested urban traffic. The first shortcoming is related to the determination of the number of mixture modes, which can change dynamically, within day and from day to day. The second shortcoming is the wide-spread use of Gaussian probability dens…
Real-time traffic flow prediction can not only provide travelers with reliable traffic information so that it can save people's time, but also assist the traffic management agency to manage traffic system. It can greatly improve the efficiency of the transportation system. Traditional traffic flow prediction approaches…
H-STGCN predicts traffic using navigation data and improves accuracy.
problem Limited accuracy in traffic forecasting due to lack of contextual information.
method Proposes H-STGCN, a hybrid spatio-temporal graph convolutional network.
result H-STGCN outperforms state-of-the-art methods in various metrics, especially for non-recurring congestion.
A new clustering framework optimizes customer search data for personalized travel recommendations.
problem Personalized travel recommendations based on customer search data.
method Multi-objective optimization-based clustering ensemble framework.
result Optimizes diversity in clustering ensemble search space and automatically determines the number of clusters.
Paper predicts in-situ metro passenger density using smart card data.
problem Crowd management in metro systems.
method Statistical models and EM algorithm for time-dependent OD matrix and travel time cost estimation.
result Accurate prediction of in-situ passenger density for future time points.
Two heuristics solve dynamic multiple travelling salesmen problems.
problem Dynamic routing with unknown customers.
method Balanced dynamic closest vehicle heuristic and balanced dynamic assignment vehicle heuristic.
result Continuous approximation models for strategic dynamic routing.
Study validates method using taxi GPS data to monitor network performance.
problem Monitoring transportation network performance with limited data.
method Multi-agent inverse optimization method using taxi GPS probe data.
result Forecasted travel times correlate with observed travel times (0.23-0.56).
This study develops methods to coordinate travel routes to reduce congestion.
problem Coordination of travel routes to reduce urban traffic congestion.
method Developed mathematical approaches to quantify coordination potential and adaptive centroid-based clustering algorithm (ACCA).
result ACCA efficiently forms proper coordination groups for CB-CRM, improving efficiency with minimal performance loss.
Social Media has influenced the way people socially connect, interact and opinionize. The growth in technology has enhanced communication and dissemination of information. Unfortunately,many terror groups like jihadist communities have started consolidating a virtual community online for various purposes such as recrui…
A new hierarchy quantifies agency in systems based on information processing.
problem Lack of a measurable, universal definition for agency in intelligent systems.
method Developed a bottom-up framework based on information processing hierarchy.
result Identified three orders of information processing (I, II, III) as necessary for agency.
Dynamic promotion optimization for e-commerce platforms within financial constraints.
problem Balancing promotional costs with incremental revenue for sustainable growth.
method Knapsack Problem formulation for dynamic optimization, Retrospective Estimation, online-dynamic calibration.
result Significant increase in target outcome while staying within financial constraints.
Autonomous Vehicles(AV) are one of the brightest promises of the future which would help cut down fatalities and improve travel time while working in harmony. Autonomous vehicles will face with challenging situations and experiences not seen before. These experiences should be converted to knowledge and help the vehicl…
The credit crisis of 2007 and 2008 has thrown much focus on the models used to price mortgage backed securities. Many institutions have relied heavily on the credit ratings provided by credit agency. The relationships between management of credit agencies and debt issuers may have resulted in conflict of interest when …
SPAC data shows premium investors get better terms, non-premium get quid pro quo deals.
problem Agency problems and informational frictions in securities issuance.
method Analysis of SPAC data to identify premium and non-premium investors.
result Non-premium investors engage in quid pro quo relationships with issuers and intermediaries.
Transportation agencies have an opportunity to leverage increasingly-available trajectory datasets to improve their analyses and decision-making processes. However, this data is typically purchased from vendors, which means agencies must understand its potential benefits beforehand in order to properly assess its value…
The Euclidean traveller explores various geometric spaces, seeing different places in each.
problem Understanding the Euclidean traveller's itinerary in different geometric spaces.
method Analyzing the geometric spaces and the traveller's paths.
result The traveller sees a variety of places in different geometric spaces, including tori, closed hyperbolic surfaces, and manifolds.
This article develops a deep reinforcement learning (Deep-RL) framework for dynamic pricing on managed lanes with multiple access locations and heterogeneity in travelers' value of time, origin, and destination. This framework relaxes assumptions in the literature by considering multiple origins and destinations, multi…
Bayesian framework predicts post-disruption travel times in metro networks.
problem Uncertainty in post-disruption travel times in metro networks.
method Bayesian spatiotemporal modeling framework capturing train interactions and non-Gaussian distributional characteristics.
result The proposed models consistently outperform baseline specifications in point prediction and uncertainty quantification.
This study uses Twitter to analyze traveler behavior in Manhattan.
problem Analyzing traveler behavior using social media data.
method Systematic method to extract displacement information from geo-tagged tweets.
result Twitter reveals unique demographics and travel behavior patterns.
Method estimates travel times on urban roads using Uber data.
problem Estimating travel times on urban roads where data is scarce.
method Graph representation, trip sampling, least-squares optimization.
result Estimates travel times on arterial roads using aggregated Uber data.
New proofs confirm travel time data determine simple metrics on a disc.
problem Determining a simple Riemannian metric from travel time data.
method Proofs based on Myers-Steenrod theorem, Lipschitz-type stability estimate.
result Travel time data determine a simple Riemannian metric on a disc up to natural gauge.
Smartphone data shows promise but accuracy issues remain.
problem Inaccurate travel surveys from smartphone data.
method Training algorithms on data quality and validating labels.
result Machine learning methods are limited by data quality.
Method recovers obstacles from travel times on curved surfaces.
problem Recovering obstacles from travel times on curved surfaces.
method Extending Noakes and Stoyanov's method to Riemannian surfaces with curvature constraints.
result Obstacles can be recovered from travel times on Riemannian surfaces under certain curvature conditions.
Paper addresses travel time tomography stability and statistical inversion.
problem Determining conformal factors of metrics from geodesic lengths.
method Established forward and inverse stability estimates; applied to Bayesian statistical inversion.
result Consistency of statistical inversion technique for travel time tomography.
This paper distills a complex travel mode choice model into simpler, interpretable models.
problem Lack of interpretability in complex machine learning models for travel behavior.
method Model distillation combined with market segmentation.
result Generated interpretable models that closely match the predictions of the original complex model.
Study highlights fairness issues in travel behavior prediction models.
problem Ethical challenges in travel behavior analysis using machine learning.
method Operationalized computational fairness by equality of opportunity; compared DNN and DCM; introduced absolute correlation regularization.
result Both DNN and DCM predict disparities across social groups, with DNN outperforming DCM in prediction disparities.
Financial derivatives based on road travel times for hedging and pricing.
problem Market risk in crypto and banking sectors.
method Modeling travel time data with CARMA models and applying risk-neutral pricing.
result Derivatives pricing based on travel time and its volatility.
Over the last few years, traffic data has been exploding and the transportation discipline has entered the era of big data. It brings out new opportunities for doing data-driven analysis, but it also challenges traditional analytic methods. This paper proposes a new Divide and Combine based approach to do K means clust…
Recover simple irreversible Finsler geometry from travel time data
problem Stable recovery of a simple irreversible Finsler geometry
method Use a Gromov-Hausdorff distance adapted to irreversible metric spaces
result Unique and Lipschitz-stable recovery
Billiard trajectories in curved spaces have predictable travel times.
problem Understanding travel times in billiard trajectories on curved surfaces.
method Analyzing geodesic flows and sectional curvature to prove time-preserving conjugacy.
result Billiard trajectories with almost identical obstacles have identical shapes.
Same travelling times imply identical obstacles in Riemannian manifolds.
problem Determining if two sets of obstacles are identical based on travel times.
method Analyzing curvature conditions and geodesic intersections.
result Disjoint convex obstacles with identical travel times are identical.
Study uses neural networks to predict travel times for public transportation.
problem Inaccurate travel time predictions due to road traffic irregularities.
method Developed two neural network models (MLP and LSTM) using OD travel time matrix.
result Both models can make near-accurate predictions, but LSTM is more susceptible to noise.
New decision support systems use prediction sets to help experts update their predictions, improving performance.
problem Challenges in explaining and updating predictions from decision support systems.
method Developed a methodology leveraging nested structure of prediction sets and counterfactual monotonicity to improve performance.
result Limiting experts' agency leads to better performance in decision support systems based on prediction sets.
Social media has recently emerged as a premier method to disseminate information online. Through these online networks, tens of millions of individuals communicate their thoughts, personal experiences, and social ideals. We therefore explore the potential of social media to predict, even prior to onset, Major Depressiv…
In building intelligent transportation systems such as taxi or rideshare services, accurate prediction of travel time and distance is crucial for customer experience and resource management. Using the NYC taxi dataset, which contains taxi trips data collected from GPS-enabled taxis [23], this paper investigates the use…
Central Counterparties (CCPs) are widely promoted as a requirement for safe banking with little dissent except on technical grounds (such as proliferation of CCPs). Whilst CCPs can have major operational positives, we argue that CCPs have many of the business characteristics of Rating Agencies, and face similar busines…
Proposes a compensation mechanism for improving individual forecast confidence.
problem Difficult to assess the quality of individual probabilistic forecasts and their utilities.
method Compensation mechanism based on fair bets and online learning.
result The proposed mechanism cannot be exploited and ensures forecasted utility matches actual utility.
Study shows stability of travel time data reconstruction from closed subsets.
problem Reconstruction of length spaces from travel time data on a closed subset.
method Lipschitz stability proof for certain types of length spaces.
result Reconstruction of length spaces is Lipschitz stable from travel time data on a closed subset.
TripDecoder recovers metro routes and travel times from smart card data.
problem Recover unknown routes and travel times in metro systems.
method Decouples two inference tasks: travel time and route preference.
result TripDecoder improves accuracy and efficiency compared to competitors.
STAD improves travel time estimation by learning from real traffic data.
problem Travel time estimation using GPS traces is inaccurate and requires offline optimization.
method STAD uses machine learning and real-time trip data to adjust travel time estimates.
result STAD reduces median absolute errors by 14% in Doha and New York City, and 29% in Porto.
Study travel time tomography for transversely isotropic media using modified pseudodifferential calculus.
problem Travel time tomography problem for transversely isotropic media.
method Modified scattering pseudodifferential calculus to solve the tomography problem.
result Construction and use of modified pseudodifferential calculus to solve the tomography problem.
Model predicts travel time under rare conditions using a vector-space model.
problem Predicting travel time under rare temporal conditions (e.g., holidays, school vacations) is challenging due to limited historical data and other temporal changes.
method Presented a vector-space model for encoding rare temporal conditions, allowing coherent representation learning across different conditions.
result Increased performance for travel time prediction over different baselines when using the vector-space encoding for representing the temporal setting.
Enhanced travel time prediction using deep neural networks and road network information.
problem Improving travel time estimation using deep learning models.
method Proposes incorporating road network information into deep learning models for travel time prediction.
result Improved travel time prediction, especially with limited training data.
Bayesian calibration improves ABMs for predicting travel patterns.
problem Calibrating ABMs for accurate travel pattern predictions.
method Gaussian Process emulator with deep learning dimensionality reduction for high-dimensional, non-stationary data.
result Improved accuracy in predicting travel patterns using traffic flow data.
AI classifies tourist events for better service.
problem Classifying tourist events efficiently across diverse sources.
method CRISP-DM, supervised machine learning, NLP.
result Automatic classification tool for consistent event catalogs.
Recent years have witnessed an increased focus on interpretability and the use of machine learning to inform policy analysis and decision making. This paper applies machine learning to examine travel behavior and, in particular, on modeling changes in travel modes when individuals are presented with a novel (on-demand)…