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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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1223 · Feb 202619922001200920172026
25 results for tourism

Bayesian model predicts evolving guest origin markets in tourism.

problem Forecasting the changing composition of guest origin markets in tourism.
method Developed and applied Bayesian Dirichlet autoregressive moving average (BDARMA) models to Airbnb booking data.
result BDARMA models achieve lower forecast error and competitive performance in guest origin market shares.

Bayesian models predict evolving guest origin markets in tourism.

problem Forecasting the changing composition of guest origin markets in tourism.
method Developed and applied Bayesian Dirichlet autoregressive moving average (BDARMA) models to Airbnb booking data.
result BDARMA models outperform standard benchmarks in forecasting guest origin market shares.

Predicting transportation modes from GPS (Global Positioning System) records is a hot topic in the trajectory mining domain. Each GPS record is called a trajectory point and a trajectory is a sequence of these points. Trajectory mining has applications including but not limited to transportation mode detection, tourism…

2018-07-28abs ↗pdf ↗

A new hierarchical forecasting method using machine learning improves forecast accuracy.

problem Improving forecast accuracy in hierarchical forecasting systems.
method Non-linear combination of base forecasts, focusing on both accuracy and coherence.
result The proposed method outperforms existing approaches, especially for diverse series.

Geospatial framework assesses climate risks for California's banking and exposed sectors.

problem Evaluating climate risks on banking and exposed sectors in California.
method Integrates hazard mapping, exposure analysis, and scenario-based financial risk assessment.
result Framework supports portfolio monitoring and institutional readiness under new standards.

Building on a specific formalization of analogical relationships of the form "A relates to B as C relates to D", we establish a connection between two important subfields of artificial intelligence, namely analogical reasoning and kernel-based machine learning. More specifically, we show that so-called analogical propo…

2019-01-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Study analyzes Airbnb booking lead times during global crises using a new metric.

problem Disruptions in booking behaviors during global crises affect forecasting accuracy.
method Normalized L1 (Manhattan) distance to assess lead time divergences.
result Identified two-phase disruption: abrupt change at pandemic onset followed by partial recovery.

Feature-based time series representations have attracted substantial attention in a wide range of time series analysis methods. Recently, the use of time series features for forecast model averaging has been an emerging research focus in the forecasting community. Nonetheless, most of the existing approaches depend on …

2019-04-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Object ranking or "learning to rank" is an important problem in the realm of preference learning. On the basis of training data in the form of a set of rankings of objects represented as feature vectors, the goal is to learn a ranking function that predicts a linear order of any new set of objects. In this paper, we pr…

2017-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved time series forecasting with expert loss integration.

problem Enhancing time series forecasting accuracy and efficiency.
method Adaptive Mixture-of-Experts framework with expert-specific loss integration and online learning.
result Significantly improved forecasting accuracy and computational efficiency.

PIML uses physics equations in machine learning for better forecasting.

problem Forecasting time series data with physical constraints.
method Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) and kernel methods.
result PIML improves forecasting accuracy with physical constraints.

REGAIN learns optimal auxiliary directions for forecast reconciliation.

problem Forecast reconciliation from fixed systems; identifying useful auxiliary directions.
method REGAIN learns normalized auxiliary directions, forecasts induced series, and selects directions by loss reduction.
result Gain-selected auxiliary directions improve forecast quality, especially for residual uncertainty.

Study predicts coastal water quality using machine learning, identifying salinity as key factor.

problem Predicting and managing coastal water quality for public health and tourism.
method Machine learning models (Catboost, Xgboost, Random Forests, Support Vector Regression, Artificial Neural Networks) trained on environmental data.
result Catboost algorithm performed best, with R² values of 0.71 and 0.68 for E. Coli and enterococci predictions.