Study uses AI to predict oil fields more accurately.
problem Locating high-potential oil fields efficiently and accurately.
method Employed neural networks and ANFIS in GIS for spatial modeling.
result 17x10x5 neural network model predicts potential areas more accurately.
DM4OG workshop tackles data mining in oil and gas industry.
problem Data growth challenges in oil and gas industry.
method Data mining techniques and machine learning.
result Effective data insight for decision making.
Research uses PGMs to forecast crude oil prices by condensing data into a graphical model.
problem Forecasting the price of crude oil due to its economic significance and numerous influencing factors.
method Condensing various crude oil factors into a graphical model using probabilistic graphical models (PGMs). Experimented with Python libraries to construct models.
result Developed a probabilistic framework for accurate crude oil price forecasting.
Deep learning speeds up oil reservoir simulations by 2000x.
problem Accelerating oil reservoir simulations using physics-based methods.
method Developed a neural network proxy model for oil reservoirs.
result Achieved a speedup of more than 2000X with an average sequence error of 10%.
This paper uses SampEn to measure and predict oil price volatility.
problem Measuring and predicting volatility in international oil prices.
method Sample Entropy (SampEn) compared with standard deviation; machine learning algorithms used.
result SampEn effectively predicts traditional volatility measures, especially during financial crises.
Study examines value relevance of oil and gas reserve disclosures in London Stock Exchange.
problem Uncertainty in oil and gas reserves poses accounting challenges for investors.
method Empirical analysis using archival data and multifactor framework.
result Changes in reserves and their components are associated with share returns, but insignificantly due to oil price and longitudinal effects. Quality of disclosures positively impacts share returns.
Paper introduces new indicators for forecasting crude oil prices using short news headlines.
problem Forecasting crude oil prices from short, noisy news headlines using LDA.
method Developed two novel indicators for topic and sentiment from short text data, and applied AdaBoost.RT.
result AdaBoost.RT with the proposed indicators outperforms benchmarks in crude oil forecasting.
The study analyzes gaps in well logs to improve prediction models.
problem Improving prediction of missing data in well logs for oil exploration.
method Descriptive analysis, generation of artificial gaps, comparison of machine learning algorithms.
result Artificial Neural Networks, Random Forests, and Linear Regression algorithms were compared in predicting missing data.
New model predicts global oil production and consumption through 2050.
problem Inaccurate past oil production forecasts leading to public interest.
method Analyzes past regional oil production data to predict future production and consumption.
result Predicts global oil production and consumption through 2050, highlighting limited potential for unconventional oil.
Study reveals dynamic linkage between Peanut and Soybean Oil futures markets.
problem Exploring interdependence between Peanut and other agricultural commodities in Chinese futures market.
method Constructed multivariate linear regression models and used VAR and DCC-EGARCH models for dynamic relationships. Applied MLP, CNN, and LSTM neural networks for price prediction.
result Significant dynamic linkage between Peanut and Soybean Oil futures markets through DCC-EGARCH, limited influence from other futures markets through VAR model.
Oil prices affect Russian banks' stability, with negative impacts from decreases.
problem The impact of international oil prices on Russian public banks' financial stability.
method Data from 17 Russian public banks (2008-2016), Pool Mean Group (PMG) estimator.
result An increase in international oil prices and price to book value ratio positively affects Russian public banks' stability in the long run, while negative shocks have the opposite effect.
Oil economy modeled using phase plots and Benard convection analogy.
problem Understanding the dynamics of world oil production, price, and EROEI.
method Phase plot of oil economy data, analogy with Benard convection, interpretation and forecast methods.
result Proposed methods for interpreting and forecasting oil economy behavior.
Coronavirus impacts oil prices through volatility and direct effects.
problem Impact of coronavirus on oil prices and volatility.
method ARDL estimation controlling for financial volatility and US economic policy uncertainty.
result COVID-19 daily infections have a negative long-term impact on oil prices.
Machine learning and IoT improve steam flood oil production.
problem Optimizing oil production from heavy-oil wells using steam floods.
method Cutting-edge machine learning techniques applied to time-series IoT data.
result 3% improvement in oil production with optimized steam allocation.
Study shows different types of volatility shocks impact oil markets differently.
problem Understanding the impact of volatility shocks on oil markets.
method Novel frequency domain methodology applied to crude oil and its derivatives.
result Shocks to volatility with shorter than one week are increasingly important.
Study examines oil and US stock market interactions during coronavirus crisis.
problem Understanding the impact of coronavirus on oil and stock markets.
method Wavelet analysis of daily data from February 18, 2020 to August 15, 2020.
result Oil prices lead US stock prices at 3-5-day cycles during the first and second parts of March and April 2020.
This paper examines the short-run relationships between oil prices and GCC stock markets. Since GCC countries are major world energy market players, their stock markets may be susceptible to oil price shocks. To account for the fact that stock markets may respond nonlinearly to oil price shocks, we have examined both l…
Hidden Markov model predicts profitable statistical arbitrage in Shanghai crude oil futures.
problem Statistical arbitrage opportunities in international crude oil futures markets.
method Hidden Markov model for cointegration spread, mean-reverting regime-switching process.
result Statistical arbitrage strategies involving Shanghai crude oil futures are profitable.
Study examines impact of oil and gold prices on Tehran Stock Exchange.
problem Impact of oil and gold prices on Tehran Stock Exchange.
method ARIMA-Copula model, cross-validation, Clayton copula.
result TSE is indirectly influenced by gold price through other factors such as oil; TSE is not independent of oil price volatility.
Study uses APT and QR to identify risk factors affecting crude oil returns.
problem Determining the risk factors impacting crude oil returns.
method Employed Arbitrage Pricing Theory and Quantile Regression.
result Identified key risk factors: industrial production, inflation, energy prices, yield curve shape, and economic policy uncertainty.
The study examines how global economic policy uncertainty affects crude oil futures volatility.
problem Predicting crude oil futures volatility using global economic policy uncertainty.
method Established single-factor and two-factor models under the GARCH-MIDAS framework, tested with rolling-window and fixed-span specifications.
result GEPU changes have stronger predictive power than the GEPU index for crude oil futures volatility.
This study analyzes global oil trade networks to assess their efficiency and robustness.
problem Dynamic monitoring and warning of international trade risks in global oil trade.
method Constructing unweighted and weighted global oil trade networks (OTNs) using UN Comtrade data from 1988 to 2017, and applying complex network theories.
result Efficiency of oil flows increases with complexity of OTNs, and weighted efficiency indicators highlight major events.
We present a new Monte-Carlo methodology to forecast the crude oil production of Norway and the U.K. based on a two-step process, (i) the nonlinear extrapolation of the current/past performances of individual oil fields and (ii) a stochastic model of the frequency of future oil field discoveries. Compared with the stan…
Neural networks predict crude oil prices with promising accuracy.
problem Accurately predicting crude oil prices for economic and financial planning.
method Multivariate analysis using neural networks.
result Simple neural network models perform similarly to ARIMA models in forecasting crude oil prices.
XGBoost models estimate oil recovery factors with moderate accuracy.
problem Estimating oil recovery factors before exploitation and exploration.
method Applied XGBoost classification algorithm to machine learning models.
result XGBoost models achieved accuracies of up to 0.49 in training datasets.
The study uncovers complex causal relationships between crude oil, gold, and stock markets.
problem Understanding the direction of causal relationships between crude oil, gold, and stock markets.
method Non-linear Granger causality tests applied to US markets data.
result Unidirectional nonlinear causal relationship found between crude oil and gold markets, with causality only from oil to gold.
This study analyzes oil market dynamics using information-theory metrics and finds geopolitical events impact market structure.
problem Analyzing informational efficiency of crude oil market during geopolitical events.
method Used information-theory-derived quantifiers (permutation entropy and permutation statistical complexity) to capture market dynamics.
result Geopolitical events impact the underlying dynamical structure of the oil market.
Bayesian neural networks improve uncertainty in data-driven VFMs for oil and gas wells.
problem Uncertainty and robustness in data-driven VFMs for oil and gas wells.
method Bayesian neural networks with variational inference for uncertainty quantification.
result Variational inference provides more robust predictions on future data.
The paper analyzes gold, oil, and bitcoin futures volatility and basis.
problem Understanding the volatility and basis of gold, oil, and bitcoin futures.
method Contract-by-contract analysis of spot and futures prices, trading volume, and open interest data.
result Trading volume positively affects volatility in all three assets, while open interest has a possible negative effect.
Paper uses neural networks to analyze oil price impact on Iranian stock and industry indices.
problem Impact of oil price volatility on Tehran stock and industry indices.
method Feed-forward neural networks analysis of two periods: sanctions and post-sanctions.
result Neural networks predict stock and industry indices well, showing significant oil price volatility impact.
Detects negative oil bubble and positive USD bubble in 2014-2016.
problem Detecting market bubbles in oil and USD.
method Log-Periodic Power Law (LPPL) methodology with λ≈2. result Strong anti-correlation between oil price and USD.
One major hurdle in the road toward a low carbon economy is the present entanglement of developed economies with oil. This tight relationship is mirrored in the correlation between most of economic indicators with oil price. This paper addresses the role of oil compared to the other three main energy commodities -coal,…
Study shows how oil and forex markets are connected, with monetary policy affecting forex volatility.
problem Understanding connectedness between oil and forex markets.
method High-frequency intra-day data, variance decompositions, realized semivariances.
result Adding oil to a forex portfolio decreases total connectedness, but asymmetries and frequency connectedness are relatively small.
Study on oil price's multifractal cross-correlations with other financial markets.
problem Analyzing statistical and multiscaling characteristics of oil prices and their cross-correlations with other financial instruments.
method Multifractal analysis, detrended cross-correlation coefficient, multifractal cross-correlation analysis.
result Multifractal cross-correlations between oil prices and other financial markets, especially with oil-producing countries' currencies.
Study shows oil prices but not COVID-19 cases affect US economic policy uncertainty.
problem Effect of COVID-19 and crude oil prices on US economic policy uncertainty.
method Used ARDL model with daily data from January 21-March 13, 2020.
result Crude oil price dynamics increase US economic policy uncertainty, while COVID-19 cases have mixed effects.
Wavelet analysis reveals financialization effects on oil-food price correlation.
problem Investigating the correlation between oil and food prices and their determinants.
method Wavelet analysis and energy-based measures to differentiate high and low frequency movements.
result Significant local correlation between food and oil is due to financialization and emerging economies' demand.
The paper presents a method for detecting jump sizes in crude oil prices.
problem Detecting jump sizes in crude oil price data.
method Sequential hypothesis testing using infinitesimal generators and super-solutions.
result The method improves the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model for derivative and commodity market analysis.
Methodology that recently lead us to predict to an amazing accuracy the date (July 11, 2008) of reverse of the oil price up trend is briefly summarized and some further aspects of the related oil price dynamics elaborated. This methodology is based on the concept of discrete scale invariance whose finance-prediction-or…
Investment risk on a regulated market is influenced by gold prices and oil trading.
problem Systematic risk of loss in investment portfolios under sanctions.
method Statistical analysis of tail dependence between oil, gold, and Tehran Stock Exchange Index.
result Tail dependence should be considered for systematic risk, and active bartering of oil can prevent market collapse.
Study shows how COVID-19 pandemic affected China's crude oil futures market efficiency.
problem Impact of COVID-19 on China's crude oil futures market efficiency.
method Multifractal analysis to compare market efficiency before and during the pandemic.
result Market efficiency of SC and its cross-correlations with other assets increased significantly after the outbreak of COVID-19.
Study shows adding correlated features doesn't improve LSTM model interpretability for oil stocks.
problem Improving interpretability of LSTM models for predicting oil company stocks.
method Designed and trained Standard LSTM networks using various correlated datasets.
result Adding correlated features does not enhance LSTM model interpretability.
The study finds a long-term relationship between Dubai crude oil and US natural gas prices.
problem Examining the relationship between Dubai crude oil and US natural gas prices.
method Used unit root and cointegration tests, ARDL cointegration technique, and Toda-Yamamoto causality test.
result There is a long-run relationship with unidirectional causality from Dubai crude oil to US natural gas.
Model predicts methane emissions from oil sands tailing ponds, suggesting significant environmental impact.
problem Estimating methane emissions from inactive oil sands tailing ponds.
method Physics constrained machine learning model using real-time weather data and laboratory experiments.
result Active oil sands tailing ponds emit between 950 to 1500 tonnes of methane per year, equivalent to 6000 gasoline vehicles.
Study uses a bivariate model to price crude oil futures.
problem Pricing crude oil futures using latent factors and state-space models.
method Modelled short and long term factors as OU processes, estimated using Kalman Filter and maximised Gaussian likelihood.
result Successfully estimated model parameters and factors from WTI Crude Oil NYMEX futures data.
We perform detrending moving average analysis (DMA) and detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) of the WTI crude oil futures prices (1983-2012) to investigate its efficiency. We further put forward a strict statistical test in the spirit of bootstrapping to verify the weak-form market efficiency hypothesis by employing th…
Hybrid approach improves crude oil price forecasting using multi-scale data.
problem Forecasting crude oil prices with multi-scale data.
method Hybrid approach combining K-means, KPCA, and KELM.
result Hybrid approach outperforms traditional methods in both level and directional forecasting accuracy.
Forecast predicts Brent oil price will bottom out in March-May 2016.
problem Predicting the end of negative oil price fluctuations.
method Log-periodical dynamics analysis of Brent oil price data.
result Negative oil price bubble is expected to burst in March-May 2016.
The paper contributes to the rare literature modeling term structure of crude oil markets. We explain term structure of crude oil prices using dynamic Nelson-Siegel model, and propose to forecast them with the generalized regression framework based on neural networks. The newly proposed framework is empirically tested …