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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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2457 · Mar 202019922001200920172026
48 results for coronavirus

Study examines oil and US stock market interactions during coronavirus crisis.

problem Understanding the impact of coronavirus on oil and stock markets.
method Wavelet analysis of daily data from February 18, 2020 to August 15, 2020.
result Oil prices lead US stock prices at 3-5-day cycles during the first and second parts of March and April 2020.

Study uses machine learning to analyze Twitter sentiments about COVID-19.

problem Examining public concerns and sentiments about COVID-19 from Twitter.
method Machine learning (Latent Dirichlet Allocation) to identify topics and sentiments.
result Identified 13 topics and categorized into five themes, revealing dominant fears and mixed feelings.

Study shows COVID-19 cases increase stock market volatility in Pakistan.

problem Impact of COVID-19 on stock market volatility in Pakistan.
method Used vector autoregressive (VAR) model to analyze data from February 25, 2020 to December 7, 2020.
result A shock to total daily coronavirus cases in Pakistan leads to a significant increase in stock market volatility.

Estimates funding impact from an algorithmic relief rule, finding little effect on hospital activities.

problem Evaluating the impact of algorithmic policy decisions.
method Developed a treatment-effect estimator using algorithmic decisions as instruments.
result Funding from an algorithmic relief rule had little effect on COVID-19-related hospital activities.

The study uses neural networks to classify and predict coronavirus data.

problem Classifying and predicting coronavirus data from input variables.
method Artificial neural networks with logcosh loss function to classify branches of set-valued mappings.
result Successfully classified and predicted coronavirus data for each German district.

Study uses machine learning to detect early COVID-19 from CT images.

problem Early detection of COVID-19 from CT images.
method Machine learning methods applied to patches of CT images, feature extraction (GLCM, LDP, GLRLM, GLSZM, DWT), SVM classification.
result Best classification accuracy of 99.68% with 10-fold cross-validation and GLSZM feature extraction.

Optimizes lockdown strategies to balance economic activities and virus spread.

problem Balancing economic activities and virus spread during lockdowns.
method Modeling the pandemic as SEIR, applying Granovetter threshold model for social distancing, and using NSGA-II optimization.
result Optimal lockdown policies for ten weeks to minimize infections and economic impact.

Study shows oil prices but not COVID-19 cases affect US economic policy uncertainty.

problem Effect of COVID-19 and crude oil prices on US economic policy uncertainty.
method Used ARDL model with daily data from January 21-March 13, 2020.
result Crude oil price dynamics increase US economic policy uncertainty, while COVID-19 cases have mixed effects.

Paper analyzes factors affecting COVID-19 risk in US counties.

problem Identifying factors influencing COVID-19 risk in US counties.
method Combines unsupervised (K-means clustering) and supervised learning models.
result Mean temperature, poverty, obesity, and other factors are most significant.

Model predicts COVID-19 spread with better accuracy than existing methods.

problem Limited daily samples in time for data-driven methods.
method Integrated spatiotemporal model combining epidemic differential equations and RNN.
result Model outperforms existing methods in forecasting cases.

Study examines how COVID-19 affected stock and crypto market efficiency.

problem Impact of COVID-19 on market efficiency of different asset classes.
method Analysis of price returns, absolute returns, and volatility increments in stock and cryptocurrency markets.
result Market efficiency varied by asset class and market, with some time series showing gradual decline over time.

Study compares ZBDT model to BDT for financial derivatives valuation.

problem Valuation of financial derivatives under catastrophic events.
method Introduced Zero Black-Derman-Toy (ZBDT) model with jumps to zero interest rate.
result ZBDT model better matches financial slowdown risk.

MuRiT efficiently computes multi-parameter persistence barcodes.

problem Efficient computation of multi-parameter persistent homology.
method Vietoris-Rips transformation to reduce multi-parameter to single-parameter computation.
result MuRiT computes pathwise persistence barcodes for multi-filtered flag complexes.

Study finds real-world datasets contain natural experiments that can improve model performance.

problem Detecting natural experiments in real-world datasets for causal inference.
method Synthetic graph simulation and feature selection based on causal links.
result Real-world datasets contain natural experiments that can be exploited for improved model performance.

Adaptive models improve electricity demand forecasting during lockdown.

problem Poor load forecasting due to sudden consumption changes during lockdown.
method Adaptive generalized additive models with Kalman filters and expert aggregation.
result Significant reduction in prediction errors compared to traditional models.

A new LDA model with covariates for mixed-membership clusters.

problem Modeling mixed-membership clusters in discrete data with covariates.
method Negative binomial regression embedded within LDA, slice sampling within Gibbs sampling.
result Model successfully retrieves true parameter values and predicts cluster abundances using covariates.

Paper presents a spatio-temporal Bayesian model for early detection of COVID-19 hotspots.

problem Understanding spatio-temporal dynamics of COVID-19 hotspots to prevent outbreaks.
method Spatio-temporal Bayesian framework with a zero-mean Gaussian process and non-stationary kernel function enhanced by deep neural networks.
result Model demonstrates superior hotspot-detection performance compared to baseline methods.

MES-LSTM hybrid method improves multivariate time series forecasting and mortality modeling.

problem Challenges in applying hybrid forecast methods to multivariate data.
method Generalized multivariate extension of ES-RNN, utilizing vectorized implementation.
result MES-LSTM shows significant improvement over pure statistical and deep learning methods in forecast accuracy and prediction interval construction.

Estimates vaccine effectiveness and immune correlates in TND studies with missing data.

problem Confounding and missing data in TND studies of vaccine effectiveness and immune correlates.
method Targeted maximum likelihood estimation using a semiparametric logistic regression model.
result Valid causal inference of vaccine effectiveness and immune correlates in TND studies with missing exposure data.

Bayesian networks and ML improve COVID-19 symptom classification and severity analysis.

problem Understanding the relationship between COVID-19 symptoms and demographic variables.
method Bayesian network structure learning followed by unsupervised clustering and demographic symptom identification.
result 99.99% testing accuracy compared to 41.15% for a heuristic method.

Machine learning model diagnoses COVID-19 from routine blood tests.

problem Difficulty in diagnosing COVID-19 due to inconsistent blood parameter changes.
method Constructed a machine learning model using 5,333 patients with various infections and 160 COVID-19-positive patients.
result Cross-validated AUC of 0.97, sensitivity of 81.9%, specificity of 97.9%.