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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for noisy decisions

Bayes classifier cannot be learned from noisy labels without knowing noise distribution.

problem Learning a Bayes classifier from noisy labels when the noise distribution is unknown.
method Demonstrates the identifiability issues and proposes a simple algorithm for learning the Bayes decision rule.
result The Bayes decision rule is generally unidentified and cannot be learned without knowing the noise distribution.

Study noisy rewards in online decision-making with unknown distributions.

problem Learning optimal decisions in online settings with noisy and unknown reward distributions.
method Proposes algorithms integrating learning and decision-making via LCB thresholding.
result Achieves competitive ratios of 1 - 1/e and 1/2 in various settings.

This paper tackles noisy multi-objective optimization with adaptive resampling using bootstrapping.

problem Challenges in optimizing noisy multi-objective problems, especially trade-offs between exploration and exploitation.
method Adaptive resampling with bootstrapping to estimate probability of dominance and improve precision.
result Demonstrates the efficiency of the resampling approach in NSGA-II algorithm under multiple noise variations.

The paper explores fair machine learning policies for balancing competing objectives in noisy data.

problem Balancing competing objectives in noisy data.
method Analyzes a class of policies that trace an empirical Pareto frontier based on learned scores.
result Characterizes optimal strategies and bounds Pareto errors due to score inaccuracies.

The paper studies how noisy labels impact decision-making in machine learning.

problem The impact of noisy labels on decision-making in machine learning.
method Introducing a notion of regret, studying standard approaches, and estimating individual-level mistakes.
result Standard approaches can lead to unforeseen mistakes for individuals, revealing the need for anticipation.

We present a principled framework to address resource allocation for realizing boosting algorithms on substrates with communication or computation noise. Boosting classifiers (e.g., AdaBoost) make a final decision via a weighted vote from the outputs of many base classifiers (weak classifiers). Suppose that the base cl…

2019-09-10abs ↗pdf ↗

We characterize learnability for stochastic noisy bandits, identifying optimal query complexities.

problem Learnability of stochastic noisy bandit models.
method Complete characterization through model class analysis and proof of optimal query complexities.
result Characterization of learnability for stochastic noisy bandit models.

New algorithm optimizes matrix reordering for noisy disordered matrices.

problem Optimizing matrix reordering for noisy disordered matrices in single-cell biology and metagenomics.
method Proposed a polynomial-time adaptive sorting algorithm to improve upon spectral seriation.
result Our algorithm achieves superior performance compared to existing methods in real datasets.

The paper proposes a method to assess and improve data quality using GBDT training dynamics.

problem Improving data quality in datasets with noisy labels and varying contributions.
method Metrics computed from training dynamics of Gradient Boosting Decision Trees (GBDTs).
result The method achieved the best results compared to other approaches.

Large-scale datasets may contain significant proportions of noisy (incorrect) class labels, and it is well-known that modern deep neural networks (DNNs) poorly generalize from such noisy training datasets. To mitigate the issue, we propose a novel inference method, termed Robust Generative classifier (RoG), applicable …

2019-01-31abs ↗pdf ↗

New findings explain why online methods outperform offline methods in noisy expert feedback settings.

problem The challenge of learning from imperfect expert feedback in sequential decision-making systems.
method Introduced a noisy expert model and a novel variant of on-policy distillation (OPD) to address the gap between offline and online imitation learning.
result Online interaction with a noisy expert via OPD enables polynomial dependence on the horizon, unlike offline methods which require exponential growth in sample complexity.

The paper measures semantic information production in generative models using information theory.

problem Measuring when semantic decisions are made during generative model training.
method Using an online formula for the optimal Bayesian classifier, the paper estimates conditional entropy and determines time intervals for highest information transfer.
result Semantic information transfer is highest in intermediate stages of diffusion, with different classes making decisions at different times.

Develops a method to estimate treatment effects using noisy proxies over time.

problem Estimating individualized treatment effects from noisy proxies of confounders.
method Deconfounding Temporal Autoencoder (DTA) combining autoencoder and causal regularization.
result Improves treatment effect estimates by leveraging noisy proxies and learning hidden confounders.

Interactive machine learning improves learning efficiency with user input.

problem Expensive, time-consuming, or risky acquisition of labeled data and decision-making.
method Develops new algorithms for active learning, sequential decision making, and model selection under partial feedback.
result First efficient algorithms achieving exponential label savings and independent of action space size.

Framework tackles class imbalance and noisy labels in active learning.

problem Class imbalance and noisy labels in real-world datasets.
method Uses foundation model priors to select informative samples for active learning.
result Substantial annotation savings (over 50%) with preserved performance and robustness.

Paper introduces a novel reward function for noisy financial markets using imitation learning.

problem Noisy reward function in financial markets hinders RL agent performance.
method Integrates imitation learning feedback with reinforcement learning to improve reward function design.
result Improves financial performance metrics compared to traditional benchmarks and RL agents.

Noisy labels often occur in vision datasets, especially when they are obtained from crowdsourcing or Web scraping. We propose a new regularization method, which enables learning robust classifiers in presence of noisy data. To achieve this goal, we propose a new adversarial regularization scheme based on the Wasserstei…

2019-04-08abs ↗pdf ↗

A framework for multi-agent communication over noisy channels in reinforcement learning.

problem Effective communication between multiple agents in a noisy environment.
method A novel multi-agent partially observable Markov decision process (MA-POMDP) framework considering noisy communication channels.
result Jointly learned policies outperform separate learning of communication and decision making.

The paper proposes a method to find subgroups with significant treatment effects in noisy data.

problem Estimating the causal effects of interventions on noisy outcomes.
method A machine-learning method specifically optimized for finding subgroups with significant effects, designed to maximize the probability of obtaining a statistically significant positive treatment effect.
result The proposed method yields higher power in detecting subgroups affected by the treatment compared to standard tree-based tools.

Reduces variance in noisy social outcomes to improve policy evaluation and optimization.

problem Improving access to opportunity through personalized treatment decisions.
method Data-driven dimensionality-reduction using reduced rank regression to denoise multiple outcomes.
result Improves estimation error in policy evaluation and optimization, including on real-world data.

Given a set of human's decisions that are observed, inverse optimization has been developed and utilized to infer the underlying decision making problem. The majority of existing studies assumes that the decision making problem is with a single objective function, and attributes data divergence to noises, errors or bou…

2018-08-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a novel policy distillation method for better order execution in noisy markets.

problem Effective order execution in noisy and imperfect market conditions.
method Policy distillation method to guide reinforcement learning towards optimal trading strategies.
result Significant improvements over various baselines in order execution.

Decoupled PFNs improve sequential decision-making by separating epistemic and aleatoric uncertainties.

problem Sequential decision-making requires distinguishing between epistemic uncertainty about latent signals and irreducible aleatoric observation noise.
method Developed a decoupled PFN architecture that uses query-level labels to train separate heads for latent signal and aleatoric noise.
result Empirically, decoupled PFNs mitigate the failure mode of total-variance exploration in noisy and heteroscedastic settings.

A new nonparametric test measures dependence between variables using decision trees.

problem Measuring statistical dependence between two variables robustly and efficiently.
method An ensemble of decision trees discriminates between observed and permuted samples without generating the latter.
result The method effectively detects complex relationships from noisy data.

This paper considers online convex optimization (OCO) with stochastic constraints, which generalizes Zinkevich's OCO over a known simple fixed set by introducing multiple stochastic functional constraints that are i.i.d. generated at each round and are disclosed to the decision maker only after the decision is made. Th…

2017-08-12abs ↗pdf ↗

qEUBO optimizes decision-making with noisy feedback.

problem Optimizing decision-making with noisy preference feedback.
method Introduces qEUBO as a novel acquisition function for preferential Bayesian optimization.
result qEUBO is one-step Bayes optimal and enjoys an approximation guarantee under noise.

Proposes a model to estimate effects of multiple related treatments.

problem Estimating effects of many related treatments in observational data.
method Customized ridge regression to reduce noise and MSE.
result Significantly reduces MSE for individual sub-treatments while allowing reconstruction of aggregated treatment effects.

We consider the inverse reinforcement learning problem, that is, the problem of learning from, and then predicting or mimicking a controller based on state/action data. We propose a statistical model for such data, derived from the structure of a Markov decision process. Adopting a Bayesian approach to inference, we sh…

2012-11-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Human decision-making underlies all economic behavior. For the past four decades, human decision-making under uncertainty has continued to be explained by theoretical models based on prospect theory, a framework that was awarded the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences. However, theoretical models of this kind have develop…

2019-05-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Improves DRO with Bayesian Ambiguity Sets for model misspecification.

problem Overly conservative decisions due to misspecified models in DRO.
method Introduces DRO-RoBAS with robust posterior predictive distribution.
result Outperforms other Bayesian and empirical DRO approaches in out-of-sample performance.