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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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10192938 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for multivariable

This paper uses multivariate probability models to assess financial system risks.

problem Assessing systemic risk in financial systems.
method Computes multivariate conditional probability distributions for elliptical distributions, focusing on Student-t and Normal models.
result Proposes measures of stress impact and systemic risk.

RED CoMETS improves multivariate time series classification accuracy.

problem Complexity of multivariate time series classification.
method Ensemble classifier RED CoMETS for symbolically represented multivariate time series.
result RED CoMETS achieves highest reported accuracy on 'HandMovementDirection' dataset.

We study various specializations of the colored HOMFLY-PT polynomial. These specializations are used to show that the multivariable link invariants arising from a complex family of sl(m|n) super-modules previously defined by the authors contains both the multivariable Alexander polynomial and Kashaev's invariants. We c…

2007-11-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Regularized MFPCA smooths multivariate functional data for clearer patterns.

problem Challenges in controlling roughness of multivariate functional PCs.
method ReMFPCA incorporates a roughness penalty in a penalized framework to smooth PCs.
result Smoothed multivariate functional PCs reveal clearer patterns.

New sampling strategy preserves relationships in multivariate scientific data.

problem Reducing storage and enabling efficient multivariate analyses on large scientific data.
method Uses principal component analysis for multivariate data and combines with existing univariate sampling algorithms.
result Efficacy demonstrated on real-world data sets, showing data reduction and multivariate analysis ease.

This paper presents a new methodology for clustering multivariate time series leveraging optimal transport between copulas. Copulas are used to encode both (i) intra-dependence of a multivariate time series, and (ii) inter-dependence between two time series. Then, optimal copula transport allows us to define two distan…

2015-09-27abs ↗pdf ↗

In [16], a new family of vector-valued risk measures called multivariate expectiles is introduced. In this paper, we focus on the asymptotic behavior of these measures in a multivariate regular variations context. For models with equivalent tails, we propose an estimator of these multivariate asymptotic expectiles, in …

2017-04-24abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper introduces new estimators for multivariate functions using Fourier methods.

problem Estimating multivariate functions like densities and regression functions.
method Monte Carlo estimators based on the Fourier integral theorem.
result Established rates of convergence for new estimators, often superior to existing methods.

The paper estimates CoVaR with various models for financial risk analysis.

problem Estimating conditional value-at-risk with financial time series data.
method Fitting multivariate parametric models and copula functions to capture stylized facts of equity returns.
result Backtesting shows that certain models provide better risk estimates than others.

The paper calculates moments and conditional risks for skewed elliptical distributions.

problem Estimating moments and tail conditional risks for skewed elliptical distributions.
method Derives explicit expressions for multivariate doubly truncated moments and conditional risks for generalized skew-elliptical distributions.
result Explicit formulas for multivariate doubly truncated moments and conditional risks are derived for various skewed elliptical distributions.

Manifold calculus of functors, due to M. Weiss, studies contravariant functors from the poset of open subsets of a smooth manifold to topological spaces. We introduce "multivariable" manifold calculus of functors which is a generalization of this theory to functors whose domain is a product of categories of open sets. …

2009-04-27abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we consider the multivariate Bernoulli distribution as a model to estimate the structure of graphs with binary nodes. This distribution is discussed in the framework of the exponential family, and its statistical properties regarding independence of the nodes are demonstrated. Importantly the model can e…

2012-06-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Study GLS estimator properties in multivariate regression with heteroskedastic and autocorrelated errors.

problem Asymptotic properties of GLS estimator in multivariate regression with specific error structures.
method Derive Wald statistics for linear restrictions and assess their performance.
result Wald statistics remain robust to heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation.

We consider families of strongly consistent multivariate conditional risk measures. We show that under strong consistency these families admit a decomposition into a conditional aggregation function and a univariate conditional risk measure as introduced Hoffmann et al. (2016). Further, in analogy to the univariate cas…

2016-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a new method to evaluate joint risk under uncertainty.

problem Evaluating joint risk of multiple insurance risks under dependence uncertainty.
method Axiomatic approach to scalar and vector-valued distortion joint risk measures.
result Established a new scalar distortion joint risk measure with positive homogeneity.

MFSSA improves reconstruction accuracy of multivariate functional time series.

problem Improving reconstruction accuracy of multivariate functional time series.
method Developed MFSSA, a functional extension of MSSA, for different dimensional domains.
result Better reconstruction accuracy of MFTS signals using MFSSA compared to other methods.

Multivariate boosted trees improve forecasting and control by capturing correlated predictions.

problem Capturing multivariate target cross-correlations and applying structured penalties to predictions.
method A computationally efficient algorithm for fitting multivariate boosted trees.
result Multivariate trees outperform univariate counterparts in correlated prediction scenarios.

In this paper, we introduce two alternative extensions of the classical univariate Value-at-Risk (VaR) in a multivariate setting. The two proposed multivariate VaR are vector-valued measures with the same dimension as the underlying risk portfolio. The lower-orthant VaR is constructed from level sets of multivariate di…

2011-11-05abs ↗pdf ↗

New method assesses multivariate stochastic dominance using Optimal Transport.

problem Benchmarking models across multiple metrics considering dependencies.
method Characterization of multivariate first stochastic dominance via couplings, entropic regularization, and Optimal Transport.
result Established CLT and consistency for the empirical statistic, enabling hypothesis testing.

This paper presents a new model called infinite mixtures of multivariate Gaussian processes, which can be used to learn vector-valued functions and applied to multitask learning. As an extension of the single multivariate Gaussian process, the mixture model has the advantages of modeling multimodal data and alleviating…

2013-07-26abs ↗pdf ↗

New proof shows neural networks can represent all multivariate functions.

problem Representing all multivariate functions with neural networks.
method Proved that three-layer neural networks can represent both continuous and discontinuous functions.
result Three-layer neural networks can represent all multivariate functions, including discontinuous ones.

We introduce hyppo, a unified library for performing multivariate hypothesis testing, including independence, two-sample, and k-sample testing. While many multivariate independence tests have R packages available, the interfaces are inconsistent and most are not available in Python. hyppo includes many state of the art…

2019-07-03abs ↗pdf ↗

ARM improves multivariate time series forecasting by better capturing series-wise relationships.

problem Challenges in handling complex temporal-contextual relationships in multivariate time series forecasting.
method ARM is an enhanced multivariate LTSF architecture that employs Adaptive Univariate Effect Learning, Random Dropping, and Multi-kernel Local Smoothing.
result ARM outperforms vanilla Transformers on multiple benchmarks without significantly increasing computational costs.

Paper develops multivariate time series similarity and distance measures.

problem Compensating for misalignments in multivariate time series data.
method Adapted Independent and Dependent DTW strategies to seven elastic similarity and distance measures.
result Each measure achieves highest accuracy on at least one dataset, supporting their value.

Enhanced multivariate GARCH model using LSTM for better volatility forecasting.

problem Limitations of traditional multivariate GARCH in capturing persistent volatility and co-movement.
method Integrates deep learning (LSTM) into multivariate GARCH models to capture nonlinear and dynamic dependence structures.
result Superior out-of-sample portfolio risk forecast compared to traditional methods.

The paper provides exact multivariate amplitude distributions for non-stationary Gaussian or algebraic fluctuations.

problem Capturing the statistical properties of fluctuating correlations in non-stationary systems.
method Developed a random matrix model to average multivariate amplitude distributions from short time scales to large time scales.
result Explicit multivariate distributions for non-stationary correlation systems are provided, capturing the degree of non-stationarity.

CATS enhances MTSF by generating ATS from OTS to improve forecasting accuracy.

problem Recent deep learning models often outperform multivariate ones in MTSF.
method CATS constructs ATS from OTS using a 2D temporal-contextual attention mechanism.
result CATS achieves state-of-the-art performance with reduced complexity.

Study uses copulas and DCC-GARCH for multivariate risk analysis of VaR and CVaR.

problem Multivariate risk analysis for Value at Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value at Risk (CoVaR).
method Copulas and Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC)-GARCH models applied to historical financial data.
result Comparison of different copula families for goodness-of-fit and effectiveness.

Gaussian random vectors exhibit the loss of dimension phenomena, which relate to their joint survival tail behaviour. Besides, the fact that the components of such vectors are light-tailed complicates the approximations of various multivariate risk measures significantly. In this contribution we derive precise approxim…

2018-03-14abs ↗pdf ↗

GTMs model complex multivariate data with varying conditional independencies.

problem Modeling multivariate data with intricate marginals and complex dependency structures.
method Semiparametric approach using penalized splines and lasso regularization.
result GTMs accurately learn complex dependencies and identify conditional independencies.

Extends geostatistical simulation method to handle multiple variables and large grids.

problem Scalability and handling of multiple variables in geostatistical simulation.
method Uses Sinkhorn optimal transport with sparse matcher and FFT-MA Gaussian backbone.
result MST-Direct reproduces joint distribution with zero histogram error and accurately preserves spatial correlation.