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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,181 papers · 148 categories

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6121824 · May 202619922001200920182026
48 results for mood instability

Detecting early signs of mood episodes in bipolar disorder patients.

problem Early identification of mood episodes in bipolar disorder patients for timely treatment.
method Signature-based model derived from stochastic analysis applied to real-time mood data.
result The signature method can identify the onset of mood episodes in bipolar disorder patients.

This study uses smartphone data to predict when mood interventions are needed for bipolar disorder.

problem Chronic mental illness with extreme mood changes that lead to personal or social consequences.
method Anomaly detection framework using Temporal Normalization to predict mood anomalies from natural speech data.
result A framework for real-world speech-focused mood monitoring using deep learning.

Machine learning identifies distinctive mood patterns in bipolar and borderline personality disorders.

problem Challenges in diagnosing bipolar and borderline personality disorders using retrospective mood recall.
method Signature-based machine learning model using daily mood ratings from smartphone apps.
result The model effectively separates participants into three groups with high accuracy.

Bayesian market views improve asset allocation performance.

problem Leveraging public mood for trusted and interpretable asset allocation.
method Formalize public mood into market views, use Bayesian asset allocation model, train neural models.
result Formalized market views increase portfolio profitability by 5-10% annually.

The study analyzes sentiment of European tweets during the pandemic.

problem Understanding public sentiment during the COVID-19 pandemic.
method Cross-language sentiment analysis of multilingual tweets using neural networks and sentence embeddings.
result Sentiment analysis reveals that lockdown announcements correlate with a deterioration of mood, which recovers quickly.

Federated learning algorithm reduces global model size by combining local and global representations.

problem Scalability issues in training large models on private data distributed over multiple devices.
method Proposes a federated learning algorithm that jointly learns compact local representations and a global model.
result The global model can be smaller since it only operates on local representations, reducing the number of communicated parameters.

We improve current instability-based methods for the selection of the number of clusters kk in cluster analysis by developing a normalized cluster instability measure that corrects for the distribution of cluster sizes, a previously unaccounted driver of cluster instability. We show that our normalized instability mea…

2016-08-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Interval Neural Networks detect instabilities in image reconstructions.

problem Detecting instabilities in deep learning image reconstructions.
method Employed uncertainty quantification methods with Interval Neural Networks.
result Interval Neural Networks effectively reveal image reconstruction instabilities.

Machine learning predicts extreme events from spectral data.

problem Predicting extreme events in nonlinear systems from limited data.
method Trained a neural network to correlate spectral and temporal properties of optical fibre modulation instability.
result Predicted temporal probability distribution from high-dynamic range spectral data.

Note on instabilities in super-time-stepping methods for Heston model.

problem Instabilities in super-time-stepping methods applied to Heston model.
method Exploration of explicit super-time-stepping schemes (RK-Chebyshev, RK-Legendre) for Heston model.
result Relevance of stability remarks beyond super-time-stepping schemes.

The paper explores how word embeddings affect the stability of downstream NLP models.

problem Small changes in training data can cause significant changes in model predictions.
method Empirical and theoretical analysis of embedding instability, including the introduction of eigenspace instability measure.
result Increasing embedding memory can reduce the disagreement in predictions by 5% to 37%.

Binary perceptron's instability linked to replica symmetry breaking.

problem Understanding the relationship between algorithmic instability and replica symmetry breaking in binary perceptron learning.
method Established the connection between algorithmic instability and replica symmetry breaking by comparing the instability condition around the fixed point to the instability for breaking the replica symmetric solution of the free energy function.
result The instability condition around the algorithmic fixed point is identical to the instability for breaking the replica symmetric saddle point solution of the free energy function.

The study shows instability in certain Riemannian manifolds with real Killing spinors.

problem The instability of Riemannian manifolds with real Killing spinors.
method Analyzing families of Riemannian manifolds, including invariant Einstein metrics and Sasaki Einstein circle bundles.
result Proves instability of various Riemannian manifolds, including Aloff-Wallach spaces and homogeneous Einstein spaces.

The study examines stability and instability of Poincaré-Einstein metrics using Ricci flow.

problem Stability and instability of Poincaré-Einstein metrics.
method Variant of expander entropy for asymptotically hyperbolic manifolds, local positive mass theorem, volume comparison.
result Characterization of stability and instability in terms of local positive mass theorem and volume comparison.

Study shows instability of naked singularities in perfect fluid models.

problem Instability of naked singularities in Einstein equations coupled with isothermal perfect fluid.
method Investigated spherically symmetric self-similar naked singularities under C1,αC^{1,α} perturbations of an external massless scalar field.
result Spherically symmetric self-similar naked singularities are unstable to trapped surface formation.

Clinical models can be unstable, leading to unreliable predictions.

problem Stability of clinical prediction models developed using statistical or machine learning methods.
method Simulation and case studies of statistical and machine learning approaches to show instability in model predictions.
result Model instability often leads to miscalibration of predictions in new data.

Paper proves instability of naked singularities in spherical symmetry without contradiction.

problem Stability of naked singularities in spherical symmetry of self-gravitating scalar fields.
method Appropriate a priori estimates for the solution, relaxing original sharp estimates.
result Robust argument proving instability without contradiction.

A data-driven approach predicts morphological development under structural instability.

problem Understanding and predicting spatiotemporal complexities of morphogenesis under structural instability.
method Machine-learning framework based on physical modeling of morphogenesis.
result Identification of key bifurcation characteristics and prediction of history-dependent development.

Study shows instability of naked singularities in scalar field models.

problem Stability of naked singularities in spherically symmetric Einstein-Scalar field systems.
method Analysis of a family of incoming null cones becoming increasingly singular.
result Naked singularities are unstable to black hole formation under certain perturbations.

mcanalysis quantifies menstrual cycle effects in health data.

problem Lack of standardised statistical methods for menstrual cycle research.
method Fourier-basis generalised additive model (GAM) pipeline.
result Nine out of 15 health outcomes showed significant association with menstrual cycle.

The paper analyzes instability in large-scale machine learning models.

problem Unexpected instability and variance in neural predictive algorithms.
method Measuring changes in geometric models with output consistency and topological stability.
result Identifying the influence of data points, approximation methods, and parameter settings on model stability.

The paper studies stability and instability of minimal submanifolds in complex Einstein spaces.

problem Stability and instability of minimal submanifolds in complex Einstein spaces.
method Computation of index and nullity, investigation of stability, and algorithm for higher eigenvalues.
result Criterion for instability of minimal submanifolds in some cases.

Paper extends Simons theorem to FF-Yang-Mills connections for instability.

problem Tackles instability of FF-Yang-Mills connections.
method Extends Simons theorem to FF-Yang-Mills connections using Kobayashi-Ohnita-Takeuchi's method.
result Derives a sufficient condition for instability of non-flat FF-Yang-Mills connections.

The study examines the stability of Einstein metrics on Sasaki Einstein and nearly parallel G2 manifolds.

problem Linear instability of Einstein metrics on Sasaki Einstein and nearly parallel G2 manifolds.
method Analysis of the second and third Betti numbers for Sasaki Einstein and nearly parallel G2 manifolds.
result Positive second and third Betti numbers lead to linear instability for the respective manifolds.

We investigate possible origins of trends using a deterministic threshold model, where we refer to long-term variabilities of price changes (price movements) in financial markets as trends. From the investigation we find two phenomena. One is that the trend of monotonic increase and decrease can be generated by dealers…

2014-06-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a new measure to evaluate stability of statistical parameters under distributional shifts.

problem Difficulty in transferring knowledge across data sets due to distributional changes.
method Introduces a measure of instability quantifying sensitivity of statistical parameters to Kullback-Leibler divergence and directional shifts.
result The proposed measure can elucidate the type of shifts a parameter is sensitive to and improve estimation accuracy under shifted distributions.

The paper analyzes numerical instability in variational flows and proposes a diagnostic method.

problem Numerical instability in variational flows affects sampling, density evaluation, and ELBO estimation.
method Treated variational flows as dynamical systems, used shadowing theory for theoretical guarantees, and developed a diagnostic procedure.
result Despite numerical instability, results from variational flows can be accurate enough for practical applications.

Proposes a continuous flow model to understand and control instability in gradient descent for deep learning.

problem Understanding and controlling the instability of gradient descent in deep learning.
method Introduces the Principal Flow (PF), a continuous time flow that approximates gradient descent dynamics.
result The PF captures divergent and oscillatory behaviors of gradient descent, including escaping local minima and saddle points.

We have applied a Long Short-Term Memory neural network to model S&P 500 volatility, incorporating Google domestic trends as indicators of the public mood and macroeconomic factors. In a held-out test set, our Long Short-Term Memory model gives a mean absolute percentage error of 24.2%, outperforming linear Ridge/Lasso…

2015-12-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on instability of extreme Reissner-Nordström spacetime perturbations.

problem Linear stability of gravitational and electromagnetic perturbations in extreme Reissner-Nordström spacetime.
method Extends Giorgi's framework to prove instability results for a set of gauge invariant quantities along the event horizon.
result Proves decay, non-decay, and polynomial blow-up estimates for certain quantities along the event horizon, depending on the number of derivatives.

Modeling financial institution dependence structures for systemic risk.

problem Understanding and measuring systemic risk in financial systems.
method Dynamic model of dependence structure using Markov structures of joint credit migrations.
result Different Markov structures with distinct dependence structures lead to varying systemic instability.

Dual-objective GANs reduce training instabilities with tunable α-loss parameters.

problem Training instabilities in Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs).
method Introduce (αD,αG)(α_D,α_G)-GANs with dual objectives modeled using αα-loss.
result Upper bounds on estimation error show improved performance under certain conditions.