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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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48 results for instabilities

We improve current instability-based methods for the selection of the number of clusters kk in cluster analysis by developing a normalized cluster instability measure that corrects for the distribution of cluster sizes, a previously unaccounted driver of cluster instability. We show that our normalized instability mea…

2016-08-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Some exotic compact objects possess evanescent ergosurfaces: timelike submanifolds on which a Killing vector field, which is timelike everywhere else, becomes null. We show that any manifold possessing an evanescent ergosurface but no event horizon exhibits a linear instability of a peculiar kind: either there are solu…

2018-10-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Interval Neural Networks detect instabilities in image reconstructions.

problem Detecting instabilities in deep learning image reconstructions.
method Employed uncertainty quantification methods with Interval Neural Networks.
result Interval Neural Networks effectively reveal image reconstruction instabilities.

Note on instabilities in super-time-stepping methods for Heston model.

problem Instabilities in super-time-stepping methods applied to Heston model.
method Exploration of explicit super-time-stepping schemes (RK-Chebyshev, RK-Legendre) for Heston model.
result Relevance of stability remarks beyond super-time-stepping schemes.

Binary perceptron's instability linked to replica symmetry breaking.

problem Understanding the relationship between algorithmic instability and replica symmetry breaking in binary perceptron learning.
method Established the connection between algorithmic instability and replica symmetry breaking by comparing the instability condition around the fixed point to the instability for breaking the replica symmetric solution of the free energy function.
result The instability condition around the algorithmic fixed point is identical to the instability for breaking the replica symmetric saddle point solution of the free energy function.

The study examines stability and instability of Poincaré-Einstein metrics using Ricci flow.

problem Stability and instability of Poincaré-Einstein metrics.
method Variant of expander entropy for asymptotically hyperbolic manifolds, local positive mass theorem, volume comparison.
result Characterization of stability and instability in terms of local positive mass theorem and volume comparison.

Many industrial machine learning (ML) systems require frequent retraining to keep up-to-date with constantly changing data. This retraining exacerbates a large challenge facing ML systems today: model training is unstable, i.e., small changes in training data can cause significant changes in the model's predictions. In…

2020-02-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Study shows instability of naked singularities in perfect fluid models.

problem Instability of naked singularities in Einstein equations coupled with isothermal perfect fluid.
method Investigated spherically symmetric self-similar naked singularities under C1,αC^{1,α} perturbations of an external massless scalar field.
result Spherically symmetric self-similar naked singularities are unstable to trapped surface formation.

Clinical models can be unstable, leading to unreliable predictions.

problem Stability of clinical prediction models developed using statistical or machine learning methods.
method Simulation and case studies of statistical and machine learning approaches to show instability in model predictions.
result Model instability often leads to miscalibration of predictions in new data.

A data-driven approach predicts morphological development under structural instability.

problem Understanding and predicting spatiotemporal complexities of morphogenesis under structural instability.
method Machine-learning framework based on physical modeling of morphogenesis.
result Identification of key bifurcation characteristics and prediction of history-dependent development.

Study shows instability of naked singularities in scalar field models.

problem Stability of naked singularities in spherically symmetric Einstein-Scalar field systems.
method Analysis of a family of incoming null cones becoming increasingly singular.
result Naked singularities are unstable to black hole formation under certain perturbations.

The paper studies stability and instability of minimal submanifolds in complex Einstein spaces.

problem Stability and instability of minimal submanifolds in complex Einstein spaces.
method Computation of index and nullity, investigation of stability, and algorithm for higher eigenvalues.
result Criterion for instability of minimal submanifolds in some cases.

The study examines the stability of Einstein metrics on Sasaki Einstein and nearly parallel G2 manifolds.

problem Linear instability of Einstein metrics on Sasaki Einstein and nearly parallel G2 manifolds.
method Analysis of the second and third Betti numbers for Sasaki Einstein and nearly parallel G2 manifolds.
result Positive second and third Betti numbers lead to linear instability for the respective manifolds.

Paper extends Simons theorem to FF-Yang-Mills connections for instability.

problem Tackles instability of FF-Yang-Mills connections.
method Extends Simons theorem to FF-Yang-Mills connections using Kobayashi-Ohnita-Takeuchi's method.
result Derives a sufficient condition for instability of non-flat FF-Yang-Mills connections.

Proposes a new measure to evaluate stability of statistical parameters under distributional shifts.

problem Difficulty in transferring knowledge across data sets due to distributional changes.
method Introduces a measure of instability quantifying sensitivity of statistical parameters to Kullback-Leibler divergence and directional shifts.
result The proposed measure can elucidate the type of shifts a parameter is sensitive to and improve estimation accuracy under shifted distributions.

The paper analyzes numerical instability in variational flows and proposes a diagnostic method.

problem Numerical instability in variational flows affects sampling, density evaluation, and ELBO estimation.
method Treated variational flows as dynamical systems, used shadowing theory for theoretical guarantees, and developed a diagnostic procedure.
result Despite numerical instability, results from variational flows can be accurate enough for practical applications.

Proposes a continuous flow model to understand and control instability in gradient descent for deep learning.

problem Understanding and controlling the instability of gradient descent in deep learning.
method Introduces the Principal Flow (PF), a continuous time flow that approximates gradient descent dynamics.
result The PF captures divergent and oscillatory behaviors of gradient descent, including escaping local minima and saddle points.

Study on instability of extreme Reissner-Nordström spacetime perturbations.

problem Linear stability of gravitational and electromagnetic perturbations in extreme Reissner-Nordström spacetime.
method Extends Giorgi's framework to prove instability results for a set of gauge invariant quantities along the event horizon.
result Proves decay, non-decay, and polynomial blow-up estimates for certain quantities along the event horizon, depending on the number of derivatives.

Dual-objective GANs reduce training instabilities with tunable α-loss parameters.

problem Training instabilities in Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs).
method Introduce (αD,αG)(α_D,α_G)-GANs with dual objectives modeled using αα-loss.
result Upper bounds on estimation error show improved performance under certain conditions.

Study uses DNM theory to detect early warning signals of market instability.

problem Detecting early warning signals of financial market instability.
method Applying Dynamical Network Marker (DNM) theory to trading data from the Tokyo Stock Exchange.
result Early warning signals of large price movements can be detected on a daily time scale.

We prove the instability of some families of Riemannian manifolds with non-trivial real Killing spinors. These include the invariant Einstein metrics on the Aloff-Wallach spaces Nk,l=SU(3)/ik,l(S1)N_{k, l}={\rm SU}(3)/i_{k, l}(S^{1}) (which are all nearly G2{\rm G}_2 except N1,0N_{1,0}), and Sasaki Einstein circle bundles over certain ir…

2018-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Following the financial crisis of 2007-2008, a deep analogy between the origins of instability in financial systems and complex ecosystems has been pointed out: in both cases, topological features of network structures influence how easily distress can spread within the system. However, in financial network models, the…

2016-02-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Graph auto-encoders predict stock market instability by measuring graph structure changes.

problem Forecasting stock market instability and volatility.
method Use graph auto-encoders to reconstruct graph structure and measure changes.
result Higher GAE reconstruction error correlates with higher volatility.

New diagnostics detect variability in individual risk estimates from machine learning models in healthcare.

problem Variability in individual risk estimates from machine learning models in healthcare, leading to unreliable treatment decisions.
method Proposed evaluation framework using empirical prediction interval width and empirical decision flip rate diagnostics.
result Randomness in optimization and initialization can lead to substantial individual-level variability in risk estimates, affecting clinical decisions.

Large learning rates cause parameter instability, leading to better generalization.

problem Understanding why deep neural networks perform well despite operating outside the traditional stability regime.
method Analyzing the effect of large learning rates on the orientation of Hessian eigenvectors and parameter exploration.
result Large learning rates induce parameter instability, leading to better generalization through exploration of flatter regions of the loss landscape.

Researchers compute cohomology of mapping class groups with Prym representations, showing instability for large genus.

problem Computing the cohomology of mapping class groups with level structures and Prym representations.
method Using twisted cohomology and Prym representations for any positive integer r.
result Cohomology exhibits instability for large genus, but remains stable for r=0 or r=1.

Mapper is an unsupervised machine learning algorithm generalising the notion of clustering to obtain a geometric description of a dataset. The procedure splits the data into possibly overlapping bins which are then clustered. The output of the algorithm is a graph where nodes represent clusters and edges represent the …

2019-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a dynamic model of dependence structure between financial institutions within a financial system and we construct measures for dependence and financial instability. Employing Markov structures of joint credit migrations, our model allows for contagious simultaneous jumps in credit ratings and provides flexib…

2018-09-10abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper addresses clustering with missing data using Rubin's rules.

problem How to pool partitions and assess instability when data are incomplete after multiple imputation.
method Consensus clustering and bootstrap theory are used to address the problem.
result New rules for pooling partitions and assessing instability are proposed and validated.

We consider a column of a rotating stationary surface in Euclidean space. We obtain a value l0>0l_0>0 in such way that if the length ll of column satisfies l>l0l>l_0, then the surface is instable. This extends, in some sense, previous results due to Plateau and Rayleigh for columns of surfaces with constant mean curvature…

2008-09-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Investment strategies in financial markets can lead to instability due to market impacts.

problem Market impacts make it impossible for investors to accurately optimize their strategies.
method Built an agent-based model with technical analysis strategy agents to investigate optimization instability.
result Investment strategies' parameters never converged but continued to change, leading to unstable market price evolution.