We improve current instability-based methods for the selection of the number of clusters k in cluster analysis by developing a normalized cluster instability measure that corrects for the distribution of cluster sizes, a previously unaccounted driver of cluster instability. We show that our normalized instability mea…
Modeling HFT interactions reveals market instability.
problem Market instability caused by HFT dynamic coupling.
method Developed a recurrence relations framework to model HFT interactions.
result Unexpected latency and feedback can trigger market instability.
New proof of instability for certain Einstein metrics.
problem Einstein metrics on specific 4-manifolds.
method Proving instability of conformally Kähler, Einstein metrics.
result Proven instability of certain Einstein metrics.
Study stability and instability of Ricci-flat metrics under generalized Ricci flow.
problem Stability and instability of Ricci-flat metrics under Ricci flow.
method Analysis of generalized Ricci flow for Ricci-flat metrics and vanishing 3-forms.
result Dynamical stability and instability results for Ricci-flat metrics and vanishing 3-forms.
Some exotic compact objects possess evanescent ergosurfaces: timelike submanifolds on which a Killing vector field, which is timelike everywhere else, becomes null. We show that any manifold possessing an evanescent ergosurface but no event horizon exhibits a linear instability of a peculiar kind: either there are solu…
Interval Neural Networks detect instabilities in image reconstructions.
problem Detecting instabilities in deep learning image reconstructions.
method Employed uncertainty quantification methods with Interval Neural Networks.
result Interval Neural Networks effectively reveal image reconstruction instabilities.
Note on instabilities in super-time-stepping methods for Heston model.
problem Instabilities in super-time-stepping methods applied to Heston model.
method Exploration of explicit super-time-stepping schemes (RK-Chebyshev, RK-Legendre) for Heston model.
result Relevance of stability remarks beyond super-time-stepping schemes.
Binary perceptron's instability linked to replica symmetry breaking.
problem Understanding the relationship between algorithmic instability and replica symmetry breaking in binary perceptron learning.
method Established the connection between algorithmic instability and replica symmetry breaking by comparing the instability condition around the fixed point to the instability for breaking the replica symmetric solution of the free energy function.
result The instability condition around the algorithmic fixed point is identical to the instability for breaking the replica symmetric saddle point solution of the free energy function.
A central area of research in nonlinear science is the study of instabilities that drive the emergence of extreme events. Unfortunately, experimental techniques for measuring such phenomena often provide only partial characterization. For example, real-time studies of instabilities in nonlinear fibre optics frequently …
The study examines stability and instability of Poincaré-Einstein metrics using Ricci flow.
problem Stability and instability of Poincaré-Einstein metrics.
method Variant of expander entropy for asymptotically hyperbolic manifolds, local positive mass theorem, volume comparison.
result Characterization of stability and instability in terms of local positive mass theorem and volume comparison.
Many industrial machine learning (ML) systems require frequent retraining to keep up-to-date with constantly changing data. This retraining exacerbates a large challenge facing ML systems today: model training is unstable, i.e., small changes in training data can cause significant changes in the model's predictions. In…
Study shows instability of naked singularities in perfect fluid models.
problem Instability of naked singularities in Einstein equations coupled with isothermal perfect fluid.
method Investigated spherically symmetric self-similar naked singularities under C1,α perturbations of an external massless scalar field. result Spherically symmetric self-similar naked singularities are unstable to trapped surface formation.
Study on spectral stability of Riemannian coverings.
problem Stability of eigenvalues in Riemannian coverings.
method Analysis of Laplacian eigenvalues under finite coverings.
result Necessary conditions for spectral stability or instability.
Clinical models can be unstable, leading to unreliable predictions.
problem Stability of clinical prediction models developed using statistical or machine learning methods.
method Simulation and case studies of statistical and machine learning approaches to show instability in model predictions.
result Model instability often leads to miscalibration of predictions in new data.
A data-driven approach predicts morphological development under structural instability.
problem Understanding and predicting spatiotemporal complexities of morphogenesis under structural instability.
method Machine-learning framework based on physical modeling of morphogenesis.
result Identification of key bifurcation characteristics and prediction of history-dependent development.
Study shows instability of naked singularities in scalar field models.
problem Stability of naked singularities in spherically symmetric Einstein-Scalar field systems.
method Analysis of a family of incoming null cones becoming increasingly singular.
result Naked singularities are unstable to black hole formation under certain perturbations.
Study shows instability of certain MOTSs with continuous symmetry.
problem Stability of MOTSs with continuous symmetry.
method Analysis of initial data sets with continuous symmetry and non-preserved MOTSs.
result Exotic MOTSs are unstable except in exceptional cases.
The paper studies stability and instability of minimal submanifolds in complex Einstein spaces.
problem Stability and instability of minimal submanifolds in complex Einstein spaces.
method Computation of index and nullity, investigation of stability, and algorithm for higher eigenvalues.
result Criterion for instability of minimal submanifolds in some cases.
The study examines the stability of Einstein metrics on Sasaki Einstein and nearly parallel G2 manifolds.
problem Linear instability of Einstein metrics on Sasaki Einstein and nearly parallel G2 manifolds.
method Analysis of the second and third Betti numbers for Sasaki Einstein and nearly parallel G2 manifolds.
result Positive second and third Betti numbers lead to linear instability for the respective manifolds.
Paper extends Simons theorem to F-Yang-Mills connections for instability.
problem Tackles instability of F-Yang-Mills connections. method Extends Simons theorem to F-Yang-Mills connections using Kobayashi-Ohnita-Takeuchi's method. result Derives a sufficient condition for instability of non-flat F-Yang-Mills connections. In this short article, we improve the dynamical stability and instability results for Ricci-flat metrics under Ricci flow proved by Sesum and Haslhofer, getting rid of the integrability assumption.
Proposes a new measure to evaluate stability of statistical parameters under distributional shifts.
problem Difficulty in transferring knowledge across data sets due to distributional changes.
method Introduces a measure of instability quantifying sensitivity of statistical parameters to Kullback-Leibler divergence and directional shifts.
result The proposed measure can elucidate the type of shifts a parameter is sensitive to and improve estimation accuracy under shifted distributions.
The paper analyzes numerical instability in variational flows and proposes a diagnostic method.
problem Numerical instability in variational flows affects sampling, density evaluation, and ELBO estimation.
method Treated variational flows as dynamical systems, used shadowing theory for theoretical guarantees, and developed a diagnostic procedure.
result Despite numerical instability, results from variational flows can be accurate enough for practical applications.
Proposes a continuous flow model to understand and control instability in gradient descent for deep learning.
problem Understanding and controlling the instability of gradient descent in deep learning.
method Introduces the Principal Flow (PF), a continuous time flow that approximates gradient descent dynamics.
result The PF captures divergent and oscillatory behaviors of gradient descent, including escaping local minima and saddle points.
In this paper, we study stability for harmonic foliations on locally conformal Kähler manifolds with complex leaves. We also discuss instability for harmonic foliations on compact submanifolds immersed in Euclidean spaces and compact homogeneous spaces.
Study on instability of extreme Reissner-Nordström spacetime perturbations.
problem Linear stability of gravitational and electromagnetic perturbations in extreme Reissner-Nordström spacetime.
method Extends Giorgi's framework to prove instability results for a set of gauge invariant quantities along the event horizon.
result Proves decay, non-decay, and polynomial blow-up estimates for certain quantities along the event horizon, depending on the number of derivatives.
Dual-objective GANs reduce training instabilities with tunable α-loss parameters.
problem Training instabilities in Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs).
method Introduce (αD,αG)-GANs with dual objectives modeled using α-loss. result Upper bounds on estimation error show improved performance under certain conditions.
We develop a general framework for the description of instabilities on soap films using the Björling representation of minimal surfaces. The construction is naturally geometric and the instability has the interpretation as being specified by its amplitude and transverse gradient along any curve lying in the minimal sur…
Study uses DNM theory to detect early warning signals of market instability.
problem Detecting early warning signals of financial market instability.
method Applying Dynamical Network Marker (DNM) theory to trading data from the Tokyo Stock Exchange.
result Early warning signals of large price movements can be detected on a daily time scale.
We prove the instability of some families of Riemannian manifolds with non-trivial real Killing spinors. These include the invariant Einstein metrics on the Aloff-Wallach spaces Nk,l=SU(3)/ik,l(S1) (which are all nearly G2 except N1,0), and Sasaki Einstein circle bundles over certain ir…
Study shows instability of specific cone solutions in high-dimensional spaces.
problem Unstable solutions of minimal graphs in high codimension.
method Min-max technique applied to Euclidean spaces.
result First examples of non-smooth unstable minimal graphs.
Following the financial crisis of 2007-2008, a deep analogy between the origins of instability in financial systems and complex ecosystems has been pointed out: in both cases, topological features of network structures influence how easily distress can spread within the system. However, in financial network models, the…
The paper proves instability of translating λ-solitons and provides bounds on their length.
problem Stability of translating λ-solitons in cylindrical geometry.
method Analytical proof of instability and explicit length bounds.
result Explicit bounds on the length of unstable translating λ-solitons.
Graph auto-encoders predict stock market instability by measuring graph structure changes.
problem Forecasting stock market instability and volatility.
method Use graph auto-encoders to reconstruct graph structure and measure changes.
result Higher GAE reconstruction error correlates with higher volatility.
MCE reduces embedding instability in nonlinear dimensionality reduction.
problem Embedding instability caused by random initialization.
method Median of multiple embeddings (MCE) based on large deviation theory.
result MCE achieves consistency at an exponential rate and effectively mitigates instability.
New diagnostics detect variability in individual risk estimates from machine learning models in healthcare.
problem Variability in individual risk estimates from machine learning models in healthcare, leading to unreliable treatment decisions.
method Proposed evaluation framework using empirical prediction interval width and empirical decision flip rate diagnostics.
result Randomness in optimization and initialization can lead to substantial individual-level variability in risk estimates, affecting clinical decisions.
Large learning rates cause parameter instability, leading to better generalization.
problem Understanding why deep neural networks perform well despite operating outside the traditional stability regime.
method Analyzing the effect of large learning rates on the orientation of Hessian eigenvectors and parameter exploration.
result Large learning rates induce parameter instability, leading to better generalization through exploration of flatter regions of the loss landscape.
Researchers compute cohomology of mapping class groups with Prym representations, showing instability for large genus.
problem Computing the cohomology of mapping class groups with level structures and Prym representations.
method Using twisted cohomology and Prym representations for any positive integer r.
result Cohomology exhibits instability for large genus, but remains stable for r=0 or r=1.
Mapper is an unsupervised machine learning algorithm generalising the notion of clustering to obtain a geometric description of a dataset. The procedure splits the data into possibly overlapping bins which are then clustered. The output of the algorithm is a graph where nodes represent clusters and edges represent the …
We propose a dynamic model of dependence structure between financial institutions within a financial system and we construct measures for dependence and financial instability. Employing Markov structures of joint credit migrations, our model allows for contagious simultaneous jumps in credit ratings and provides flexib…
Computer vision models are unstable due to task symmetries and labelling issues.
problem Instability of computer vision models in classification tasks.
method Analysis of symmetries, categorical nature, and labelling issues.
result Instability is a necessary result of current computer vision formulation.
This paper addresses clustering with missing data using Rubin's rules.
problem How to pool partitions and assess instability when data are incomplete after multiple imputation.
method Consensus clustering and bootstrap theory are used to address the problem.
result New rules for pooling partitions and assessing instability are proposed and validated.
We take prior-to-crash market prices (NASDAQ, Dow Jones Industrial Average) as a signal, a function of time, we project these discrete values onto a vertical axis, thus obtaining a Cantordust. We study said cantordust with the tools of multifractal analysis, obtaining spectra by definition and by lagrangian coordinates…
We consider a column of a rotating stationary surface in Euclidean space. We obtain a value l0>0 in such way that if the length l of column satisfies l>l0, then the surface is instable. This extends, in some sense, previous results due to Plateau and Rayleigh for columns of surfaces with constant mean curvature…
Investment strategies in financial markets can lead to instability due to market impacts.
problem Market impacts make it impossible for investors to accurately optimize their strategies.
method Built an agent-based model with technical analysis strategy agents to investigate optimization instability.
result Investment strategies' parameters never converged but continued to change, leading to unstable market price evolution.
Catastrophic events, though rare, do occur and when they occur, they have devastating effects. It is, therefore, of utmost importance to understand the complexity of the underlying dynamics and signatures of catastrophic events, such as market crashes. For deeper understanding, we choose the US and Japanese markets fro…
Bayesian neural network predicts planetary instability.
problem Predicting planetary instability in compact systems.
method Novel Bayesian neural network trained on raw orbital elements.
result Model predicts planetary instability times with high accuracy and robust generalization.
Published in 1999, Christodoulou proved that the naked singularities of a self-gravitating scalar field are not stable in spherical symmetry and therefore the cosmic censorship conjecture is true in this context. The original proof is by contradiction and sharp estimates are obtained strictly depending on spherical sym…