arXiv research

A new method calculates fractional moments using the moment-generating function.

Sharp comparison for sub-Gaussian random variables in convex order.

We consider a stochastic volatility model where the moment generating function of the logarithmic price is finite only on part of the real line. Using a new Tauberian result obtained in [1] and [2], we show that the knowledge of the moment generating function near its critical moment gives a sharp asymptotic expansion …

We consider the intensity-based approach for the modeling of default times of one or more companies. In this approach the default times are defined as the jump times of a Cox process, which is a Poisson process conditional on the realization of its intensity. We assume that the intensity follows the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross …

New method tightens sub-Gaussian concentration inequalities.

The Johnson-Lindenstrauss Lemma allows for the projection of $n$ points in $p-$dimensional Euclidean space onto a $k-$dimensional Euclidean space, with $k \ge \frac{24\ln \emph{n}}{3ε^2-2ε^3}$, so that the pairwise distances are preserved within a factor of $1\pmε$. Here, working directly with the distributions of the …

We extend the model-free formula of [Fukasawa 2012] for $\mathbb E[Ψ(X_T)]$, where $X_T=\log S_T/F$ is the log-price of an asset, to functions $Ψ$ of exponential growth. The resulting integral representation is written in terms of normalized implied volatilities. Just as Fukasawa's work provides rigourous ground for Ch…

We provide an integral representation for the (implied) copulas of dependent random variables in terms of their moment generating functions. The proof uses ideas from Fourier methods for option pricing. This representation can be used for a large class of models from mathematical finance, including Lévy and affine proc…

We propose a correlated stochastic process of which the novel non-Gaussian probability mass function is constructed by exactly solving moment generating function. The calculation of cumulants and auto-correlation shows that the process is convergent and scale invariant in the large but finite number limit. We demonstra…

In the paper "On Truncated Variation of Brownian Motion with Drift" (Bull. Pol. Acad. Sci. Math. 56 (2008), no.4, 267 - 281) we defined truncated variation of Brownian motion with drift, $W_t = B_t + μt, t\geq 0,$ where $(B_t)$ is a standard Brownian motion. Truncated variation differs from regular variation by neglect…

We consider in this paper a general two-sided jump-diffusion risk model that allows for risky investments as well as for correlation between the two Brownian motions driving insurance risk and investment return. We first introduce the model and then find the integro-differential equations satisfied by the Gerber-Shiu f…

In this paper, a pricing formula for volatility swaps is delivered when the underlying asset follows the stochastic volatility model with jumps and stochastic intensity. By using Feynman-Kac theorem, a partial integral differential equation is obtained to derive the joint moment generating function of the previous mode…

The Langevin Algorithm's stationary distribution is shown to be sub-exponential or sub-Gaussian under certain conditions.

The paper extends RDPG model to handle weighted graphs, enabling better analysis of network data.

We propose a stochastic process driven by memory effect with novel distributions including both exponential and leptokurtic heavy-tailed distributions. A class of distribution is analytically derived from the continuum limit of the discrete binary process with the renormalized auto-correlation and the closed form momen…

Criterion extends identifiability for continuous mixtures of kernels.

The time average of geometric Brownian motion plays a crucial role in the pricing of Asian options in mathematical finance. In this paper we consider the asymptotics of the discrete-time average of a geometric Brownian motion sampled on uniformly spaced times in the limit of a very large number of averaging time steps.…

We propose a stochastic process driven by the memory effect with novel distributions which include both exponential and leptokurtic heavy-tailed distributions. A class of the distributions is analytically derived from the continuum limit of the discrete binary process with the renormalized auto-correlation. The moment …

In this paper we will study the statistics of the unit geodesic flow normal to the boundary of a hyperbolic manifold with non-empty totally geodesic boundary. Viewing the time it takes this flow to hit the boundary as a random variable, we derive a formula for its moments in terms of the orthospectrum. The first moment…

The paper analyzes distances and volumes in lens spaces using recursion and formulas.

Importance sampling has been known as a powerful tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimator for rare event simulation. Based on the criterion of minimizing the variance of Monte Carlo estimator within a parametric family, we propose a general account for finding the optimal tilting measure. To this end, when …

The MEM method uses data-driven priors for linear inverse problems, proving convergence and estimating differences.

New method estimates log-determinant using trace powers, avoiding classical limitations.

Study on implied volatility of an affine jump-diffusion model.

This paper focuses on the pricing of the variance swap in an incomplete market where the stochastic interest rate and the price of the stock are respectively driven by Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model and Heston model with simultaneous Lévy jumps. By using the equilibrium framework, we obtain the pricing kernel and the equival…

We present a number of related comparison results, which allow to compare moment explosion times, moment generating functions and critical moments between rough and non-rough Heston models of stochastic volatility. All results are based on a comparison principle for certain non-linear Volterra integral equations. Our u…

In this paper, we study stochastic volatility models in regimes where the maturity is small, but large compared to the mean-reversion time of the stochastic volatility factor. The problem falls in the class of averaging/homogenization problems for nonlinear HJB-type equations where the "fast variable" lives in a noncom…

Develops asymptotic theory for adversarial estimators.

Proposes efficient calibration method for LIBOR Market Model with stochastic volatility.

The iterative nature of the expectation maximization (EM) algorithm presents a challenge for privacy-preserving estimation, as each iteration increases the amount of noise needed. We propose a practical private EM algorithm that overcomes this challenge using two innovations: (1) a novel moment perturbation formulation…

This paper demonstrates the efficiency of using Edgeworth and Gram-Charlier expansions in the calibration of the Libor Market Model with Stochastic Volatility and Displaced Diffusion (DD-SV-LMM). Our approach brings together two research areas; first, the results regarding the SV-LMM since the work of Wu and Zhang (200…

We analyze the necessary and sufficient conditions for exact inference of a latent model. In latent models, each entity is associated with a latent variable following some probability distribution. The challenging question we try to solve is: can we perform exact inference without observing the latent variables, even w…

The paper analyzes multivariate payments in multi-state life insurance using Markovian state processes.

We improve bounds for stochastic processes, especially those with heavy tails.

We propose an analytical approach to the computation of tail probabilities of compound distributions whose individual components have heavy tails. Our approach is based on the contour integration method, and gives rise to a representation of the tail probability of a compound distribution in the form of a rapidly conve…

Paper proves CLT for quantile SGD with constant learning rate.

Maximal concentration bounds for stochastic approximation with heavy-tailed noise.

This work extracts stochastic dynamical systems with $\alpha$-stable Lévy noise.

DPFRL uses particle filters for decision making with complex visual observations.

New framework controls generalization for heavy-tailed data in RLHF and SGLD.

The paper relaxes the stability condition to boost confidence in generalization for randomized learning algorithms.

New neural network models for complex functional data analysis.

Distance function to a finite set is a topological Morse function.

Introduces new weighted floating functions and affine surface areas.

Develops methods for selecting and estimating smooth functional coefficients in high-dimensional multivariate functional data.

Neural networks can approximate functionals on RKHS with error bounds.

FFBO optimizes functions as inputs and outputs, improving on existing BO methods.

Chirped sinosoids and interferometric phase plots are functions that are not periodic, but are the composition of a smooth function and a periodic function. These functions functions factor into a pair of maps: from their domain to a circle, and from a circle to their codomain. One can easily imagine replacing the circ…