A new method improves Bayesian inference for multimodal posteriors.
problem Insensitivity to well-separated modes in multimodal posteriors.
method Weighted Kernel Stein Discrepancy method.
result Significantly improved mode sensitivity compared to standard KSD-Bayes.
Paper proposes a method to estimate true positive proportion without knowing it.
problem Bias in binary classifier performance due to different positive item proportions.
method Maximum likelihood estimator for true proportion of positives.
result Method accurately estimates true positive proportion in data sets.
Study analyzes bias interactions in multimodal models using simulation-based methods.
problem Analyzing dynamic bias interactions in multimodal models to ensure fairness and equity.
method Simulation-based heuristic approach to compute bias scores for text-only, image-only, and multimodal embeddings.
result Multimodal bias interactions can be amplification, mitigation, or neutral, with text bias often dominant.
Resampling outperforms reweighting for correcting biased data in machine learning models.
problem Correcting sampling bias in machine learning models trained on biased data sets.
method Compared resampling and reweighting techniques, focusing on their performance with stochastic gradient algorithms.
result Resampling outperforms reweighting when combined with stochastic gradient algorithms.
Score-based methods fail with isolated components and incorrect mixing proportions.
problem Score-based methods struggle with distributions having isolated components and incorrect mixing proportions.
method Score-based methods, including score matching, are used but fail in the presence of isolated components and incorrect mixing proportions.
result Score-based methods cannot discover isolated components or identify correct mixing proportions.
Kernel methods are popular in clustering due to their generality and discriminating power. However, we show that many kernel clustering criteria have density biases theoretically explaining some practically significant artifacts empirically observed in the past. For example, we provide conditions and formally prove the…
Study on bias and extrapolation in LSA with Markovian data, showing bias reduction with Richardson-Romberg extrapolation.
problem Bias in LSA with constant stepsizes and Markovian data.
method Viewing LSA as a Markov chain, proving convergence and bias expansion, and applying Richardson-Romberg extrapolation.
result Bias is proportional to the stepsize up to higher order terms, and Richardson-Romberg extrapolation reduces the bias.
Unified model predicts multi-mode failure with multi-sensor data.
problem Independent failure mode and RUL prediction ignores inherent relationship.
method Hierarchical Bayesian framework with Cox model, Gaussian process, and multinomial distributions.
result Robust uncertainty quantification and accurate prediction of multi-mode failure.
Hybrid model for multimodal distributions using diffusion and classification.
problem Sampling from multimodal distributions with correct proportions.
method Divide-and-conquer strategy: identify modes, train classifiers, diffusion models, bridge sampling.
result Framework effectively handles multimodal distributions in high dimensions.
Stable GFlowNets prevent loss spikes and mode collapse in training.
problem Unstable training of GFlowNets leading to loss spikes and mode collapse.
method Assessed sensitivity of GFlowNet objectives, derived loss-to-TV bounds, and proposed Stable GFlowNets.
result Stable GFlowNets improve training behavior and distributional fidelity.
Simplified non-contrastive learning avoids representation collapse.
problem Training failure modes in self-supervised learning.
method Hyperdimensional computing and inductive bias.
result The approach avoids representation collapses.
Analyzes how diffusion models learn, revealing a spectral bias in structure mastery.
problem Understanding the learning dynamics and bias in diffusion models.
method Developed an analytical framework using a Gaussian-equivalence principle to solve gradient-flow dynamics and integrate probability-flow ODEs.
result Exposes a universal inverse-variance spectral law: high-variance structure is mastered faster than low-variance detail.
Bias - variance decomposition of the expected error defined for regression and classification problems is an important tool to study and compare different algorithms, to find the best areas for their application. Here the decomposition is introduced for the survival analysis problem. In our experiments, we study bias -…
Building on the view of machine learning as search, we demonstrate the necessity of bias in learning, quantifying the role of bias (measured relative to a collection of possible datasets, or more generally, information resources) in increasing the probability of success. For a given degree of bias towards a fixed targe…
Develops NFCF to reduce gender bias in social media recommendation systems.
problem Reduces gender bias in collaborative filtering systems on social media data.
method Pre-training and fine-tuning neural collaborative filtering with bias correction techniques.
result Achieves better performance and fairness in gender de-biased recommendations.
Optimal tuning for estimating ECC in proportional asymptotics.
problem Estimating Expected Conditional Covariance (ECC) under proportional asymptotics.
method Debiased ridge regression estimators for nuisance functions, sample splitting strategies, and asymptotic variance analysis.
result Prediction-optimal tuning parameters may not minimize asymptotic variance of ECC estimator.
The least squares Monte Carlo (LSM) algorithm proposed by Longstaff and Schwartz (2001) is widely used for pricing Bermudan options. The LSM estimator contains undesirable look-ahead bias, and the conventional technique of avoiding it requires additional simulation paths. We present the leave-one-out LSM (LOOLSM) algor…
Develops a method to estimate average hazard under non-proportional hazards without relying on proportional hazards assumption.
problem Estimation of treatment effects when hazards are non-proportional, leading to unstable hazard ratios.
method Semiparametric, doubly robust framework for covariate-adjusted average hazard estimation.
result Valid sqrt{n} inference with small bias and near-nominal confidence-interval coverage across proportional and non-proportional hazards settings.
Tissue heterogeneity is a major confounding factor in studying individual populations that cannot be resolved directly by global profiling. Experimental solutions to mitigate tissue heterogeneity are expensive, time consuming, inapplicable to existing data, and may alter the original gene expression patterns. Here we a…
New method decomposes Markov chain rewards into persistent and transient components.
problem Ambiguity in classical evaluation methods for Markov chains with reducible and periodic states.
method Minimal exact quotient by the real peripheral invariant subspace, decomposing rewards into persistent and transient components.
result Exact comparison with classical methods shows that the new decomposition reallocates the same information, making persistent modes explicit.
Ranking metrics are a family of metrics largely used to evaluate recommender systems. However they typically suffer from the fact the reward is affected by the order in which recommended items are displayed to the user. A classical way to overcome this position bias is to uniformly shuffle a proportion of the recommend…
DeepFair improves fairness in recommender systems without sacrificing accuracy.
problem Lack of bias management in recommender systems leads to unfair recommendations for minority groups.
method Deep Learning based Collaborative Filtering algorithm that balances fairness and accuracy.
result It is possible to make fair recommendations without losing significant accuracy.
New ridge regression bounds for high-dimensional data without proportional growth.
problem Moving beyond proportional asymptotics in high-dimensional statistics.
method Revisits ridge regression on i.i.d. data, allowing high-dimensional or infinite-dimensional feature vectors.
result Establishes non-asymptotic bounds approximating bias and variance of ridge regression.
New methods correct bias in LLM-as-a-Judge evaluations, but reliability depends on judge quality and model calibration.
problem Systematic bias in LLM-as-a-Judge evaluations using naive estimators.
method Analytical results, simulations, and real-data case study to diagnose reliability of corrected estimates.
result Corrected estimates, especially shared-calibration comparisons, can be unreliable under certain conditions.
Improved KSD test for better detection of differences in distributions.
problem Low power of KSD test when distributions have same modes but different mixing proportions.
method Perturb the observed sample using Markov transition kernels to improve KSD test power.
result Perturbed KSD test can lead to substantially higher power than the original KSD test.
The paper corrects bias in synthetic data for imbalanced learning.
problem Challenges in balancing false positive and negative rates in imbalanced data.
method Proposes a bias correction procedure to generate synthetic data for minority groups.
result Enhances prediction accuracy while avoiding overfitting.
Study on nonsmooth contractive SA with constant stepsize and Q-learning.
problem Understanding convergence and bias in nonsmooth contractive SA with different noise types.
method Proposed prelimit coupling technique for steady-state convergence and derived asymptotic bias.
result Asymptotic bias of nonsmooth SA is proportional to the square root of the stepsize.
Meta-CoTGAN improves adversarial text generation by preventing mode collapse.
problem Mode collapse in adversarial text generation.
method Meta-Cooperative Training Paradigm with a language model.
result Meta-CoTGAN effectively slows down mode collapse and improves generation quality and diversity.
We present a simple, modular graph-based convolutional neural network that takes structural information from protein-ligand complexes as input to generate models for activity and binding mode prediction. Complex structures are generated by a standard docking procedure and fed into a dual-graph architecture that include…
The unadjusted Langevin algorithm converges faster for some variables in high dimensions.
problem Sampling probability distributions in high-dimensional settings.
method Analysis of the unadjusted Langevin algorithm for strongly log-concave distributions.
result The delocalization of bias effect allows for faster convergence for a small number of variables.
Identifying the distribution of users' transportation modes is an essential part of travel demand analysis and transportation planning. With the advent of ubiquitous GPS-enabled devices (e.g., a smartphone), a cost-effective approach for inferring commuters' mobility mode(s) is to leverage their GPS trajectories. A maj…
Study Q-learning with constant stepsize, proving convergence and bias, and applying extrapolation.
problem Understanding and optimizing Q-learning with constant stepsize.
method Connecting Q-learning to a Markov chain, proving distributional convergence and bias, applying Richardson-Romberg extrapolation.
result Explicit expression for the linear coefficient of the asymptotic bias and improvement of RR extrapolation method.
Gradient descent stagnates in low-precision, but unbiased rounding schemes improve convergence.
problem Stagnation of gradient descent in low-precision computation.
method Proposed unbiased stochastic rounding schemes that trade zero bias for larger probability of preserving small gradients.
result Unbiased rounding methods typically improve convergence rate of gradient descent for convex problems.
The accuracy of deep neural networks is significantly affected by how well mini-batches are constructed during the training step. In this paper, we propose a novel adaptive batch selection algorithm called Recency Bias that exploits the uncertain samples predicted inconsistently in recent iterations. The historical lab…
A new method improves posterior approximation for complex distributions.
problem Difficulty in capturing multimodal and heavy-tailed posteriors with standard normalizing flows.
method StiCTAF: stick-breaking mixture base with component-wise tail adaptation.
result Improved tail recovery and better mode coverage compared to benchmarks.
Proposes a method to sample from flat basins of posterior distributions in Bayesian deep learning.
problem Sampling from multi-modal posterior distributions leads to overfitting due to trapping in bad modes.
method Introduces an auxiliary guiding variable to bias MCMC sampling towards flat basins of the energy landscape.
result The method converges faster and outperforms existing methods in sampling from flat basins of the posterior.
Enhances diffusion-based sampling for molecular systems.
problem Inefficiency and thermodynamic mode miss in diffusion-based samplers for molecular systems.
method Introduces a sequential bias along collective variables (CVs) to encourage exploration and increase temperature in the projected space.
result Improves efficiency, mode discovery, and free energy estimation; first to demonstrate reactive sampling.
The law of total probability may be deployed in binary classification exercises to estimate the unconditional class probabilities if the class proportions in the training set are not representative of the population class proportions. We argue that this is not a conceptually sound approach and suggest an alternative ba…
New method cleans cross-covariance matrices for better financial forecasting.
problem Asymptotically optimal cross-covariance cleaners fail in real-world, time-varying markets.
method Physics-informed neural network that learns from empirical singular values.
result Trained model outperforms analytical cleaners in out-of-sample cross-covariance prediction.
A new survival analysis method eliminates hyperparameter tuning.
problem Survival analysis model hyperparameters are difficult to tune.
method Flexible survival density estimation with importance sampling.
result Matches or outperforms existing methods on real-world datasets.
Active learning method balances bias and variance under class imbalance.
problem Active learning under label shift when class proportions differ.
method Mediated Active Learning under Label Shift (MALLS) using a 'medial distribution'.
result MALLS reduces asymptotic sample complexity under arbitrary label shift.
MultiwayPAM clusters LLM-as-a-Judge scores to reveal evaluator bias.
problem Revealing bias in LLM evaluations of text quality.
method Tensor clustering with MultiwayPAM method.
result Medoids reveal cluster membership of questions, answerers, and evaluators.
Missing data is a significant problem impacting all domains. State-of-the-art framework for minimizing missing data bias is multiple imputation, for which the choice of an imputation model remains nontrivial. We propose a multiple imputation model based on overcomplete deep denoising autoencoders. Our proposed model is…
TopoNTK kernel captures higher-order interactions in simplicial complexes.
problem Graph neural networks miss higher-order interactions in relational systems.
method Introduces TopoNTK, an infinite-width kernel for simplicial message passing.
result TopoNTK captures topology invisible to graph kernels, improving expressivity and interpretability.
High-frequency trading models fail due to overfitting and survivor bias.
problem Failure of hybrid DRL-EC trading systems in high-frequency environments.
method Deployed a population of 500 agents in a high-frequency cryptocurrency environment, analyzing failure modes through multi-disciplinary lens.
result Increasing model complexity without information asymmetry exacerbates systemic fragility.
The paper addresses score-mismatched diffusion models and zero-shot conditional samplers.
problem Theoretical guarantees for score-mismatched diffusion models in zero-shot conditional sampling.
method Theoretical analysis of score-mismatched diffusion models and zero-shot conditional samplers.
result Theoretical performance guarantees with explicit dimensional dependencies for score-mismatched diffusion samplers.
Language models fail to execute simple steps, showing gating and binding errors.
problem Procedural hallucinations in language models, failing to execute simple steps.
method Analyzed long-context binding tasks, identifying gating and binding errors.
result Procedural errors are due to gating and binding failures, with recency bias contributing to the latter.
We analyze wealth condensation for a wide class of stochastic economy models on the basis of the economic analog of thermodynamic potentials, termed transfer potentials. The economy model is based on three common transfers modes of wealth: random transfer, profit proportional to wealth and motivation of poor agents to …