A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Cryptocurrencies are becoming more linked in their returns and volatilities.
Study explores financial market linkages between Japan and US markets.
Study shows how market efficiency changes during the pandemic.
This paper develops a non-Bayesian methodology to analyze the time-varying structure of international linkages and market efficiency in G7 countries. We consider a non-Bayesian time-varying vector autoregressive (TV-VAR) model, and apply it to estimate the joint degree of market efficiency in the sense of Fama (1970, 1…
This paper is part of the research on the interlinkages between insurers and their contribution to systemic risk on the insurance market. Its main purpose is to present the results of the analysis of linkage dynamics and systemic risk in the European insurance sector which are obtained using correlation networks. These…
We empirically investigated the effects of market factors on the information flow created from N(N-1)/2 linkage relationships among stocks. We also examined the possibility of employing the minimal spanning tree (MST) method, which is capable of reducing the number of links to N-1. We determined that market factors car…
Using a time-varying approach, this paper examines the dynamics of volatility in the REIT sector. The results highlight the attractiveness and suitability of using GARCH based approaches in the modeling of daily REIT volatility. The paper examines the influencing factors on REIT volatility, documenting the return and v…
Study reveals dynamic linkage between Peanut and Soybean Oil futures markets.
This article studies the financial integration between the six main Latin American markets and the US market in a nonlinear framework. Using the threshold cointegration techniques of Hansen and Seo (2002), we show significant threshold stock market linkages between Mexico, Chile and the US. Thus, the dynamics of these …
Agglomerative hierarchical clustering can be implemented with several strategies that differ in the way elements of a collection are grouped together to build a hierarchy of clusters. Here we introduce versatile linkage, a new infinite system of agglomerative hierarchical clustering strategies based on generalized mean…
New method for estimating firm linkages using CVLs and QCML.
Repo dealers' market power affects bond prices by up to 2 percentage points.
This paper examines volatility in REITs using a multivariate GARCH based model. The Multivariate VAR-GARCH technique documents the return and volatility linkages between REIT sub-sectors and also examines the influence of other US equity series. The motivation is for investors to incorporate time-varyng volatility and …
The geometric, topological, and symplectic properties of moduli spaces (spaces of configurations modulo rotations and translations) of polygonal linkages have been studied by Kapovich, Millson, and Kamiyama, et. al. One can form a polygonal linkage by taking two free linkages and identifying initial and terminal vertic…
We propose a dynamic network model where two mechanisms control the probability of a link between two nodes: (i) the existence or absence of this link in the past, and (ii) node-specific latent variables (dynamic fitnesses) describing the propensity of each node to create links. Assuming a Markov dynamics for both mech…
This paper studies the configuration space of all possible positions of a linkage in R^n. For example, it shows that for every compact algebraic set, there is a linkage whose configuration space is analytically isomorphic to a finite number of copies of the algebraic set. If flexible edges are allowed, any compact set …
Minimax linkage was first introduced by Ao et al. [3] in 2004, as an alternative to standard linkage methods used in hierarchical clustering. Minimax linkage relies on distances to a prototype for each cluster; this prototype can be thought of as a representative object in the cluster, hence improving the interpretabil…
Paper addresses limitations of traditional hierarchical clustering methods.
Moduli spaces of planar polygonal linkages admit a cell structure which can be realized as a surgery on the permutohedron. We present a 3D visualization of the result of the surgery for all types of non-degenerate pentagonal linkages.
We prove realizability theorems for vector-valued polynomial mappings, real-algebraic sets and compact smooth manifolds by moduli spaces of planar linkages. We also establish a relation between universality theorems for moduli spaces of mechanical linkages and projective arrangements.
Paper analyzes a three-loop linkage, showing it's overconstrained and shaky.
A mechanical linkage is a mechanism made of rigid rods linked together by flexible joints, in which some vertices are fixed and others may move. The partial configuration space of a linkage is the set of all the possible positions of a subset of the vertices. We characterize the possible partial configuration spaces of…
Study examines spillovers between BRICS and U.S. staple grain futures markets.
We demonstrate using multi-layered networks, the existence of an empirical linkage between the dynamics of the financial network constructed from the market indices and the macroeconomic networks constructed from macroeconomic variables such as trade, foreign direct investments, etc. for several countries across the gl…
A closed linkage mechanism in three-dimensional space is an object comprising rigid bodies connected with hinges in a circular form like a rosary. Such linkages include Bricard6R and Bennett4R. To design such a closed linkage, it is necessary to solve a high-degree algebraic equation, which is generally difficult. In t…
A linkage is a finite graph with lengths assigned to each edge. A planar realization is a map to the plane which preserves edge lengths. It can be thought of as a mechanical device formed from stiff rods and rotating joints. We look at the configuration space of all planar realizations of a linkage (following work of K…
We study the international interbank market through a geometrical and a topological analysis of empirical data. The geometrical analysis of the time series of cross-country liabilities shows that the systematic information of the interbank international market is contained in a space of small dimension, from which a to…
Estimates financial networks using high-frequency trade data.
In supervised clustering, standard techniques for learning a pairwise dissimilarity function often suffer from a discrepancy between the training and clustering objectives, leading to poor cluster quality. Rectifying this discrepancy necessitates matching the procedure for training the dissimilarity function to the clu…
Crimes emerge out of complex interactions of human behaviors and situations. Linkages between crime incidents are highly complex. Detecting crime linkage given a set of incidents is a highly challenging task since we only have limited information, including text descriptions, incident times, and locations. In practice,…
A mechanical linkage is a mechanism made of rigid rods linked together by flexible joints, in which some vertices are fixed and others may move. The partial configuration space of a linkage is the set of all the possible positions of a subset of the vertices. We characterize the possible partial configuration spaces of…
Analyzing a comprehensive news dataset, we document that joint news coverage triggers attention contagion, causing temporarily inflated valuations for affected stocks. Tracing SEC EDGAR visits from unique IPs, we provide direct evidence of attention spillovers between stocks. Stocks with greater joint news coverage exh…
Record linkage involves merging records in large, noisy databases to remove duplicate entities. It has become an important area because of its widespread occurrence in bibliometrics, public health, official statistics production, political science, and beyond. Traditional linkage methods directly linking records to one…
Paper uses bipartite graph to forecast cross-market returns, revealing asymmetry.
The study uses financial events to predict stock market movements.
An empirical analysis of interest rates in money and capital markets is performed. We investigate a set of 34 different weekly interest rate time series during a time period of 16 years between 1982 and 1997. Our study is focused on the collective behavior of the stochastic fluctuations of these time-series which is in…
User identity linkage is a task of recognizing the identities of the same user across different social networks (SN). Previous works tackle this problem via estimating the pairwise similarity between identities from different SN, predicting the label of identity pairs or selecting the most relevant identity pair based …
New bounds improve linkage methods for clustering, distinguishing complete-link from single-link.
The task of matching co-referent records is known among other names as rocord linkage. For large record-linkage problems, often there is little or no labeled data available, but unlabeled data shows a reasonable clear structure. For such problems, unsupervised or semi-supervised methods are preferable to supervised met…
We study configuration spaces of linkages whose underlying graph are polygons with diagonal constrains, or more general, partial two-trees. We show that (with an appropriate definition) the oriented area is a Bott-Morse function on the configuration space. Its critical points are described and Bott-Morse indices are co…
Hierarchical clustering uses OWA operators to generalize linkage methods and avoid dendrogram inversions.
The study identifies extremal dependence in financial markets using a bootstrap-based testing procedure.
We study spaces of realisations of linkages (weighted graphs) whose underlying graph is a series parallel graph. In particular, we describe an algorithm for determining whether or not such spaces are connected.
A linkage mechanism consists of rigid bodies assembled by joints which can be used to translate and transfer motion from one form in one place to another. In this paper, we are particularly interested in a family of spacial linkage mechanisms which consist of -copies of a rigid body joined together by hinges to form…
This study examines investor sentiment's impact on stock market liquidity and volatility using deep learning and TVP-VAR models.
Crypto markets show negative spillovers between chains, not positive co-movements.
Standard agglomerative clustering suggests establishing a new reliable linkage at every step. However, in order to provide adaptive, density-consistent and flexible solutions, we study extracting all the reliable linkages at each step, instead of the smallest one. Such a strategy can be applied with all common criteria…
We prove diffeomorphisms of polygonal linkage moduli spaces to Euclidean spaces.