This paper forecasts renewable energy prospects in South America through cross-border interconnection.
problem Lack of renewable energy integration across South American countries.
method Long-term scenario forecasting methodology applied to raw data from typical countries.
result Promoting cross-border interconnection towards renewables can optimize energy supply, reduce costs, and balance the energy matrix.
We test the hypothesis that interconnections across financial institutions can be explained by a diversification motive. This idea stems from the empirical evidence of the existence of long-term exposures that cannot be explained by a liquidity motive (maturity or currency mismatch). We model endogenous interconnection…
EM-GAN uses GANs for fast stress analysis of multi-segment interconnects.
problem Fast and accurate stress analysis for EM failure assessment in multi-segment interconnects.
method Conditional GAN model trained on images of multi-segment wires and current densities.
result EM-GAN provides accurate stress distribution with 6.6% error and 8.3X speedup.
The theory of multilayer networks is in its early stages, and its development provides vital methods for understanding complex systems. Multilayer networks, in their multiplex form, have been introduced within the last three years to analysing the structure of financial systems, and existing studies have modelled and e…
Cryptocurrencies are becoming more linked in their returns and volatilities.
problem Understanding the increasing interconnectivity of cryptocurrencies.
method Examined market linkages using returns and volatilities, applied various methodologies.
result Significant increase in market linkages for both returns and volatilities.
The paper analyzes risks and revenue dynamics of a liquid restaking protocol in decentralized finance.
problem Interconnected risks and revenue dynamics of a liquid restaking protocol in decentralized finance.
method Empirical analysis using OLS regression, Granger-causality, and random forest feature importance tests.
result Revenue is primarily driven by value locked in the ecosystem, yield of liquid restaking token, and multi-blockchain expansion.
A modern version of Monetary Circuit Theory with a particular emphasis on stochastic underpinning mechanisms is developed. It is explained how money is created by the banking system as a whole and by individual banks. The role of central banks as system stabilizers and liquidity providers is elucidated. It is shown how…
CoCos can increase financial fragility in certain network structures.
problem The effectiveness of CoCos in enhancing financial stability depends on the network structure.
method Analysis of phase transitions in a network of interconnected banks.
result CoCos can increase financial fragility under certain network structures.
New framework for 3D spatial topology enumeration and identification.
problem Efficient navigation through complex engineering system topologies.
method Mathematical spatial graph theory to represent, enumerate, and identify unique topological classes.
result Identification of distinctive 3D topological classes for engineering systems.
We derive a closed form solution for an optimal control problem related to an interbank lending schemes subject to terminal probability constraints on the failure of banks which are interconnected through a financial network. The derived solution applies to a real banks network by obtaining a general solution when the …
Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) are usually over-parameterized, causing excessive memory and interconnection cost on the hardware platform. Existing pruning approaches remove secondary parameters at the end of training to reduce the model size; but without exploiting the intrinsic network property, they still require the f…
The blockchain technology promises to transform finance, money and even governments. However, analyses of blockchain applicability and robustness typically focus on isolated systems whose actors contribute mainly by running the consensus algorithm. Here, we highlight the importance of considering trustless platforms wi…
IntraLayer connects digital finance platforms efficiently.
problem Inefficient interconnectivity in digital finance.
method Core infrastructure and adaptive fiscal policy.
result Optimised transactional efficiency for various agents.
Financial markets are exposed to systemic risk, the risk that a substantial fraction of the system ceases to function and collapses. Systemic risk can propagate through different mechanisms and channels of contagion. One important form of financial contagion arises from indirect interconnections between financial insti…
Critical volatility triggers log-normal to power-law transitions in interconnected systems.
problem Understanding the transition from log-normal to power-law distributions in interconnected systems.
method Analyzing an infinite option-on-option chain model, deriving a critical volatility threshold.
result A critical volatility threshold of approximately 250.66% for unconditional cases, dropping to 125.3% with selective survival.
Identifying the location of a disturbance and its magnitude is an important component for stable operation of power systems. We study the problem of localizing and estimating a disturbance in the interconnected power system. We take a model-free approach to this problem by using frequency data from generators. Specific…
We introduce a general model for the balance-sheet consistent valuation of interbank claims within an interconnected financial system. Our model represents an extension of clearing models of interdependent liabilities to account for the presence of uncertainty on banks' external assets. At the same time, it also provid…
BOIS optimizes complex systems by leveraging structural knowledge.
problem Optimizing complex systems with black-box models and structural knowledge.
method Adaptive linearization of composite functions to exploit structural knowledge.
result BOIS achieves performance gains and accurately captures composite function statistics.
This paper clarifies a global structure of Stokes-Dirac structures used for describing interconnected port-Hamiltonian systems defined on manifolds with non-trivial topology under consistent boundary condition.
Research explores how interconnected systems synchronize and how to control their behavior.
problem Understanding and controlling the behavior of interconnected dynamical systems.
method Mean field games approach applied to controlled coupled oscillators.
result Developed methods to predict and influence emergent phenomena in interconnected systems.
BOIS optimizes complex systems by combining known and unknown functions, improving efficiency.
problem Optimizing complex systems with limited structural knowledge.
method Adaptive linearization of composite functions using Gaussian Process models.
result BOIS outperforms existing grey-box methods in efficiency and effectiveness.
Reconstructing patterns of interconnections from partial information is one of the most important issues in the statistical physics of complex networks. A paramount example is provided by financial networks. In fact, the spreading and amplification of financial distress in capital markets is strongly affected by the in…
System recommends workouts and predicts success rates using RNNs.
problem Promoting healthy lifestyles through personalized exercise recommendations.
method Two interconnected recurrent neural networks (RNNs) using historical workout data.
result Interconnected-RNN model predicts exercise success rates with improved accuracy.
The paper analyzes how disturbances affect the convergence of algorithms in complex systems.
problem Analyzing the impact of disturbances on algorithm convergence in complex systems.
method Leveraging converse Lyapunov theorems, the paper derives stability bounds and convergence rates in the presence of disturbances.
result Key inequalities quantify the impact of disturbances on algorithmic performance.
In this paper we consider a multivariate model-based approach to measure the dynamic evolution of tail risk interdependence among US banks, financial services and insurance sectors. To deeply investigate the risk contribution of insurers we consider separately life and non-life companies. To achieve this goal we apply …
The global financial system is highly complex, with cross-border interconnections and interdependencies. In this highly interconnected environment, local financial shocks and events can be easily amplified and turned into global events. This paper analyzes the dependencies among nearly 4,000 stocks from 15 countries. T…
The basic class of the non-integrable almost complex manifolds with a pair of Norden metrics are considered. The interconnections between corresponding quantities at the transformation between the two Levi-Civita connections are given. A 4-parametric family of 4-dimensional quasi-Kaehler manifolds with Norden metric is…
Improved stability analysis of neural network systems using Zames-Falb multipliers.
problem Analyzing stability of linear systems with neural network nonlinearities.
method Using integral quadratic constraints, sector-bounded and slope-restricted structure, and acausal Zames-Falb multipliers.
result Flexible and versatile framework for stability analysis with improved computational efficiency.
This is an expanded version of [arXiv:1107.4836v1 [math.DS]]. Using techniques from [Chapter XI, The Selberg Trace Formula, in Eigenvalues in Riemannian Geometry, by Isaac Chavel], in which a differential-geometrically intrinsic treatment of counterparts of classical electrostatics was introduced, it is shown that on s…
Paper develops a new fluid flow model with energy exchange through boundaries.
problem Modeling ideal fluid flow with energy exchange through boundaries.
method Port-Hamiltonian model based on Stokes-Dirac structures.
result Wide range of fluid dynamical systems can be achieved with this model.
We present a model of an economy inspired by individual based model approaches in evolutionary ecology. We demonstrate that evolutionary dynamics in a space of companies interconnected through a correlated interaction matrix produces time dependencies of the total size of the economy total number of companies, companie…
Geometries and dual field theories linked by AdS/CFT.
problem Understanding the AdS/CFT correspondence.
method Geometric extremization principles informed by physical considerations.
result Key role of Sasaki-Einstein and GK geometry.
Energy policy in Europe has been driven by the three goals of security of supply, economic competitiveness and environmental sustainability, referred to as the energy trilemma. Although there are clear conflicts within the trilemma, member countries have acted to facilitate a fully integrated European electricity marke…
We show that the Bregman divergence provides a rich framework to estimate unnormalized statistical models for continuous or discrete random variables, that is, models which do not integrate or sum to one, respectively. We prove that recent estimation methods such as noise-contrastive estimation, ratio matching, and sco…
New method constructs multilayer networks from financial data, capturing dependencies across different risk factors.
problem Difficult construction of multilayer networks, neglecting time delays and interdependencies.
method Tucker tensor autoregression for direct multilayer network construction.
result Captures within and between connections, identifies strong interconnections between volumes and prices layers.
Complex network theory has been applied to solving practical problems from different domains. In this paper, we present a general framework for complex network applications. The keys of a successful application are a thorough understanding of the real system and a correct mapping of complex network theory to practical …
Car following models have been widely applied and made remarkable achievements in traffic engineering. However, the traffic micro-simulation accuracy of car following models in a platoon level, especially during traffic oscillations, still needs to be enhanced. Rather than using traditional individual car following mod…
M4L-JMF tackles multi-typed objects learning, improving on M3L.
problem Learning from multi-typed objects with diverse features and labels.
method Joint matrix factorization to encode and factorize multi-typed bags and their instances.
result M4L-JMF outperforms existing methods on benchmark datasets.
This paper studies the problem of data-adaptive representations for big, distributed data. It is assumed that a number of geographically-distributed, interconnected sites have massive local data and they are interested in collaboratively learning a low-dimensional geometric structure underlying these data. In contrast …
We propose a new structural model that can compute the electricity spot and forward prices in two coupled markets with limited interconnection and multiple fuels. We choose a structural approach in order to represent some key characteristics of electricity spot prices such as their link to fuel prices, consumption leve…
This work models the interconnection of company's investment managers' representations and the market attraction of its shares. The models that reflect the connection of the company's market effectiveness indices and parameters of its economic activity are created on the basis of the Mean-Variance Analysis and Regressi…
We develop a structural default model for interconnected financial institutions in a probabilistic framework. For all possible network structures we characterize the joint default distribution of the system using Bayesian network methodologies. Particular emphasis is given to the treatment and consequences of cyclic fi…
Global information is essential for dense prediction problems, whose goal is to compute a discrete or continuous label for each pixel in the images. Traditional convolutional layers in neural networks, initially designed for image classification, are restrictive in these problems since the filter size limits their rece…
Economic interdependencies have become increasingly present in globalized production, financial and trade systems. While establishing interdependencies among economic agents is crucial for the production of complex products, they may also increase systemic risks due to failure propagation. It is crucial to identify how…
These notes were prepared to supplement the talk that I gave on Feb 19, 2004, at the First East Asian School of Knots and Related Topics, Seoul, South Korea. In this article I review aspects of the interconnections between braids, knots and contact structures on Euclidean 3-space. I discuss my recent work with William …
We present a technique to characterize differentially expressed genes in terms of their position in a high-dimensional co-expression network. The set-up of Gaussian graphical models is used to construct representations of the co-expression network in such a way that redundancy and the propagation of spurious informatio…
This study maps systemic risks in TradFi and DeFi, highlighting their interdependence.
problem Systemic risks in traditional and decentralized finance.
method Conceptual model and comparative analysis of TradFi and DeFi.
result Systemic risks in DeFi can affect TradFi and vice versa, creating a crosstagion effect.
We explore two techniques which use color to make sense of statistical text models. One method uses in-text annotations to illustrate a model's view of particular tokens in particular documents. Another uses a high-level, "words-as-pixels" graphic to display an entire corpus. Together, these methods offer both zoomed-i…