Study detects signals in spiked Wigner models using log likelihood ratio.
problem Detecting signals in rank-one spiked Wigner models with non-Gaussian noise.
method Proved asymptotic normality of log likelihood ratio and computed error thresholds.
result Optimal signal-to-noise ratio threshold for reliable detection.
In this work, a deep learning-based method for log-likelihood ratio (LLR) lossy compression and quantization is proposed, with emphasis on a single-input single-output uncorrelated fading communication setting. A deep autoencoder network is trained to compress, quantize and reconstruct the bit log-likelihood ratios cor…
New method for robust distribution alignment using log-likelihood ratio and normalizing flows.
problem Distribution alignment challenges in deep learning.
method Log-likelihood ratio statistic and normalizing flows.
result Minimizing the proposed objective yields robust domain alignment.
In deep neural network, the cross-entropy loss function is commonly used for classification. Minimizing cross-entropy is equivalent to maximizing likelihood under assumptions of uniform feature and class distributions. It belongs to generative training criteria which does not directly discriminate correct class from co…
SPRT-TANDEM improves sequential classification accuracy with fewer samples.
problem Efficiently classifying sequential data with high accuracy and low sampling cost.
method Deep neural network-based SPRT algorithm that estimates log-likelihood ratio of two hypotheses.
result SPRT-TANDEM achieves statistically significantly better classification accuracy than other classifiers with fewer samples.
Study shows how to reduce variational inference bias by concentrating likelihood ratio distribution.
problem Bias and variance issues in variational inference.
method Upper bound variational gap using dispersion measure of likelihood ratio, suggesting methods to reduce bias.
result Reducing bias in variational inference can be achieved by making likelihood ratio distribution more concentrated.
EQ-Net combines LLR estimation and quantization using deep learning.
problem Unified solution for LLR estimation and quantization.
method Two-stage algorithm using LLR compression as a pretext task.
result Achieves state-of-the-art results with gains in efficiency and latency.
When the in-sample Sharpe ratio is obtained by optimizing over a k-dimensional parameter space, it is a biased estimator for what can be expected on unseen data (out-of-sample). We derive (1) an unbiased estimator adjusting for both sources of bias: noise fit and estimation error. We then show (2) how to use the adjust…
wd1 improves reasoning in dLLMs by optimizing policies without policy ratios.
problem Improving reasoning in diffusion-based large language models through RL.
method wd1: ratio-free policy optimization using weighted log-likelihood.
result wd1 outperforms diffusion-based GRPO while requiring lower computational cost.
A new method detects changes in multivariate data using random forests.
problem Detecting changes in multivariate data.
method A computationally feasible search method using random forests and class probability predictions.
result Consistently locates change points in simulations.
Deep learning compresses L-values for QAM symbols, reducing memory and improving performance.
problem Efficiently storing log-likelihood ratios (L-values) for QAM modulation.
method A deep autoencoder that jointly compresses and reconstructs L-values with a weighted loss function.
result Reduces memory footprint by up to two times with less than 0.1 dB performance loss.
We consider the problem of aligning a pair of databases with jointly Gaussian features. We consider two algorithms, complete database alignment via MAP estimation among all possible database alignments, and partial alignment via a thresholding approach of log likelihood ratios. We derive conditions on mutual informatio…
The paper optimizes designs for distinguishing between Gaussian process models.
problem Discriminating between two Gaussian process models.
method Sequential and static design criteria, including Kullback Leibler divergences and log-likelihood ratios.
result Necessary conditions for optimal design measures are provided.
A new hybrid VAE-GAN framework improves mode coverage and quality.
problem Mode collapse and poor sample quality in GANs and VAEs.
method Integrates a 'Best-of-Many-Samples' reconstruction cost and a stable synthetic likelihood estimate.
result Significant improvement in mode coverage and quality compared to hybrid VAE-GANs and plain GANs.
Sequential hypothesis testing is a desirable decision making strategy in any time sensitive scenario. Compared with fixed sample-size testing, sequential testing is capable of achieving identical probability of error requirements using less samples in average. For a binary detection problem, it is well known that for k…
Edgeworth Accountant calculates privacy loss under differential privacy compositions efficiently.
problem Efficiently computing overall privacy loss under composition of private algorithms.
method Analytical approach using f-differential privacy framework and Edgeworth expansion. result Non-asymptotic (ε,δ)-differential privacy bounds with reduced computational cost. Prob-PIT improves speech separation by considering output-label permutations as random variables.
problem Overconfident output-label assignment in PIT leads to unreliable speech separation.
method Prob-PIT treats output-label permutations as a discrete latent random variable with a uniform prior distribution and maximizes the log-likelihood function.
result Prob-PIT significantly outperforms PIT in terms of Signal to Distortion Ratio and Signal to Interference Ratio.
FOOD detects out-of-distribution samples quickly without needing OOD data.
problem Detecting out-of-distribution samples efficiently in neural networks.
method Extended DNN classifier with Gaussian layer and log likelihood ratio test.
result FOOD achieves state-of-the-art performance and is fast and applicable.
Test log-likelihood comparisons can be misleading.
problem Misinterpretation of test log-likelihood in model comparison.
method Simple examples of model comparison and forecast accuracy.
result Test log-likelihood does not always correlate with model accuracy.
Corrects pseudo log-likelihood method issues in various applications.
problem Log-likelihood function unbounded issues in pseudo log-likelihood methods.
method Provided a counterexample and corrected algorithms in previous literature.
result Ensured well-definedness of maximum pseudo log-likelihood estimation.
Obtaining labels can be costly and time-consuming. Active learning allows a learning algorithm to intelligently query samples to be labeled for efficient learning. Fisher information ratio (FIR) has been used as an objective for selecting queries in active learning. However, little is known about the theory behind the …
A new VIS approach improves log-likelihood estimation in latent variable models.
problem Challenges in achieving high log-likelihood with VI for complex posterior distributions.
method Uses forward χ2 divergence to optimize proposal distribution for better log-likelihood estimation. result Consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in log-likelihood and parameter estimation.
New method optimizes clustering with better log-likelihood landscape.
problem Nonconvex log-likelihood optimization in model-based clustering.
method Entropic optimal transport loss for Sinkhorn-EM algorithm.
result New loss function avoids spurious local optima.
New method calculates DMN log-likelihood faster.
problem Precise and fast computation of DMN log-likelihood.
method Derived a closed form expression using gamma function properties.
result Closed form calculation is faster with same accuracy.
Extends dimension reduction to data-driven settings without gradients.
problem Gradient-based dimension reduction limitations in data-driven settings.
method Score ratio matching framework, tailored parameterization, regularization, eigenvalue deflation.
result Outperforms standard score-matching for problems with low-dimensional structure.
This paper develops embeddings that preserve likelihood-based statistical inference.
problem Modern machine learning embeddings destroy the geometric structure required for likelihood-based inference.
method Developed a rigorous theory of likelihood-preserving embeddings and introduced the Likelihood-Ratio Distortion metric.
result Controlling the distortion Δn is necessary and sufficient for preserving inference. We introduce a dynamic credit portfolio framework where optimal investment strategies are robust against misspecifications of the reference credit model. The risk-averse investor models his fear of credit risk misspecification by considering a set of plausible alternatives whose expected log likelihood ratios are penal…
Identifying anomalous patterns in real-world data is essential for understanding where, when, and how systems deviate from their expected dynamics. Yet methods that separately consider the anomalousness of each individual data point have low detection power for subtle, emerging irregularities. Additionally, recent dete…
IBS efficiently estimates log-likelihood without bias.
problem Estimating log-likelihood for complex models.
method Inverse Binomial Sampling (IBS) for efficient, unbiased estimation.
result IBS produces lower error in estimated parameters and maximum log-likelihood values.
In recent work on both generative and discriminative score to log-likelihood-ratio calibration, it was shown that linear transforms give good accuracy only for a limited range of operating points. Moreover, these methods required tailoring of the calibration training objective functions in order to target the desired r…
The Restricted Boltzmann Machines (RBM) can be used either as classifiers or as generative models. The quality of the generative RBM is measured through the average log-likelihood on test data. Due to the high computational complexity of evaluating the partition function, exact calculation of test log-likelihood is ver…
New methods improve anomaly detection in deep networks by leveraging hierarchical likelihoods and multi-scale features.
problem Challenges in detecting anomalies in high-level features due to model bias and domain prior.
method Two methods: 1) Log likelihood ratios between in-distribution and general distribution models, 2) Multi-scale likelihood contribution.
result Strong anomaly detection performance in unsupervised setting, slightly underperforming supervised methods.
Survival regression method improves log-likelihood scores.
problem Improper scoring rules in survival regression models.
method SurvivalMonotonic-net (SuMo-net) with monotonic neural networks.
result SuMo-net achieves state-of-the-art log-likelihood scores.
This work develops sampling methods for differential privacy using SHK geometry.
problem Approximating sampling for the exponential mechanism in differential privacy.
method Develops perturbation theory for SHK gradient flows and applies to differential privacy.
result Derives time-dependent Pure-DP guarantees and Approximate-DP certificates.
New algorithm tracks COVID-19 outbreak phases.
problem Decision-making in pandemic data.
method Developed a new algorithm (BLLR) based on decision theory.
result Demonstrated ability to track different phases of the COVID-19 outbreak.
Proposes a robust similarity measure for sparse time series data.
problem Sparse time course data in biological settings.
method Gaussian processes (GP) similarity measure based on log-likelihood ratio.
result Enhanced robustness to noise compared to Euclidean distance.
There has been much recent interest in application of the pool-adjacent-violators (PAV) algorithm for the purpose of calibrating the probabilistic outputs of automatic pattern recognition and machine learning algorithms. Special cost functions, known as proper scoring rules form natural objective functions to judge the…
We develop, discuss, and compare several inference techniques to constrain theory parameters in collider experiments. By harnessing the latent-space structure of particle physics processes, we extract extra information from the simulator. This augmented data can be used to train neural networks that precisely estimate …
SRFE clarifies KL divergences without unifying learning frameworks.
problem Inductive biases of KL divergences and their limitations.
method Introducing SRFE, a log-moment-based functional of the likelihood ratio.
result SRFE recovers KL divergences as limits and reveals a mean-variance tradeoff.
The paper presents a method for detecting jump sizes in crude oil prices.
problem Detecting jump sizes in crude oil price data.
method Sequential hypothesis testing using infinitesimal generators and super-solutions.
result The method improves the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model for derivative and commodity market analysis.
This paper introduces a method to estimate log-likelihood in VAE models.
problem Difficulty in comparing models trained via ELBO due to lack of log-likelihood.
method Introduces a general upper bound to approximate model evidence.
result Efficiently approximates model evidence and compares to other bounds.
A new Metropolis-Hastings algorithm uses Gaussian Processes to speed up sampling from complex models.
problem Sampling from computationally expensive probabilistic models.
method Two-stage Metropolis-Hastings algorithm with a Gaussian Process surrogate model.
result The approach learns the target distribution while sampling, eliminating the need for pre-training.
Markov random fields (MRFs) are difficult to evaluate as generative models because computing the test log-probabilities requires the intractable partition function. Annealed importance sampling (AIS) is widely used to estimate MRF partition functions, and often yields quite accurate results. However, AIS is prone to ov…
We explain SSL objectives as log-likelihoods in a data curation model.
problem Lack of understanding of SSL objectives as log-likelihoods.
method Formulate SSL objectives as a log-likelihood in a generative model of data curation.
result SSL methods can be understood as lower-bounds on a principled log-likelihood.
Maximum likelihood training improves the performance of score-based diffusion models.
problem Training score-based diffusion models with maximum likelihood.
method Trained by minimizing a weighted combination of score matching losses, with a specific weighting scheme that bounds negative log-likelihood.
result Maximum likelihood training improves the log-likelihood of score-based diffusion models across multiple datasets.
Logistic regression is used thousands of times a day to fit data, predict future outcomes, and assess the statistical significance of explanatory variables. When used for the purpose of statistical inference, logistic models produce p-values for the regression coefficients by using an approximation to the distribution …
This work evaluates deep generative models using RD curves, providing a more comprehensive quality assessment.
problem Quantitative evaluation of deep generative models is challenging, especially for implicit models.
method Proposes using rate distortion (RD) curves to evaluate and compare deep generative models, approximating the entire curve with similar computations to log-likelihood estimation.
result Approximating the entire RD curve provides a more comprehensive quality assessment than scalar-valued metrics.
A new method normalizes EBM training by introducing a learnable parameter.
problem Training energy-based models with maximum likelihood is challenging due to intractable normalisation constants.
method Proposes a self-normalised log-likelihood (SNL) objective that introduces a learnable parameter representing the normalisation constant.
result The SNL objective is a lower bound of the log-likelihood and can be directly optimised using stochastic gradient techniques.