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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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1122 · Aug 201819922001200920172026
20 results for Dirichlet-Multinomial

Efficiently models categorical data with low to medium class overlap, improving accuracy over standard distributions.

problem Poor parameter estimates and accuracy in multinomial and Dirichlet multinomial distributions when assumptions are violated.
method Introduces Beta-Liouville multinomial distribution and efficient estimation methods.
result Beta-Liouville multinomial outperforms standard distributions on two out of four datasets.

Paper uses subjective logic to estimate uncertainty in multi-armed bandit problems.

problem Estimating uncertainty in multi-armed bandit problems.
method Formalism of subjective logic applied to multi-armed bandits, proposing new algorithms.
result Subjective logic quantities enable useful assessment of uncertainty.

This work embeds annotations into a multidimensional space to measure classification difficulty.

problem Uncertainty in machine learning models during annotation phase.
method Develops a Bayesian Dirichlet-Multinomial framework to embed annotations and uses stochastic Expectation Maximization with MCMC.
result Embeddings reflect semantic similarities of original classes, aiding in measuring classification difficulty.

Given a collection of categorical data, we want to find the parameters of a Dirichlet distribution which maximizes the likelihood of that data. Newton's method is typically used for this purpose but current implementations require reading through the entire dataset on each iteration. In this paper, we propose a modific…

2014-05-01abs ↗pdf ↗

In this technical report, we present jLDADMM---an easy-to-use Java toolkit for conventional topic models. jLDADMM is released to provide alternatives for topic modeling on normal or short texts. It provides implementations of the Latent Dirichlet Allocation topic model and the one-topic-per-document Dirichlet Multinomi…

2018-08-11abs ↗pdf ↗

The study analyzes when Bayesian averaging over decision trees is reliable.

problem When do Bayesian model averaging weights over decision trees provide reliable information?
method Closed-form solution for Bayesian decision trees with Catalan-exponential priors.
result Established a complete non-asymptotic theory of rational commitment thresholds.

Count data take on non-negative integer values and are challenging to properly analyze using standard linear-Gaussian methods such as linear regression and principal components analysis. Generalized linear models enable direct modeling of counts in a regression context using distributions such as the Poisson and negati…

2020-01-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Root Cause Analysis for Anomalies is challenging because of the trade-off between the accuracy and its explanatory friendliness, required for industrial applications. In this paper we propose a framework for simple and friendly RCA within the Bayesian regime under certain restrictions (that Hessian at the mode is diago…

2018-08-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian models predict Collatz stopping times with high accuracy.

problem Predicting the total stopping time of Collatz sequences.
method Developed two complementary models: a hierarchical Negative Binomial regression and a mechanistic generative approximation.
result Bayesian models outperform generative approximations in predicting Collatz stopping times.

nnLDA combines neural and probabilistic methods for better topic modeling with side information.

problem Lack of integration of auxiliary information in traditional topic models.
method nnLDA integrates side information through a neural prior mechanism, optimizing both neural and probabilistic components.
result nnLDA outperforms traditional models in topic coherence, perplexity, and classification.

A common approach to analyze a covariate-sample count matrix, an element of which represents how many times a covariate appears in a sample, is to factorize it under the Poisson likelihood. We show its limitation in capturing the tendency for a covariate present in a sample to both repeat itself and excite related ones…

2016-04-25abs ↗pdf ↗

New models automate support group formation in online health communities.

problem Challenges in traditional support group formation methods for scalability, static categorization, and insufficient personalization.
method Two novel machine learning models: gDMR and gSTM, integrating user content, demographics, and network data.
result Models outperform baselines in predictive accuracy, semantic coherence, and internal group consistency.