A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
New method optimizes clustering with better log-likelihood landscape.
Separable losses are inconsistent for structured prediction models.
In deep neural network, the cross-entropy loss function is commonly used for classification. Minimizing cross-entropy is equivalent to maximizing likelihood under assumptions of uniform feature and class distributions. It belongs to generative training criteria which does not directly discriminate correct class from co…
The log-likelihood loss in heteroscedastic neural networks can lead to poor parameter estimates.
Maximum likelihood training improves the performance of score-based diffusion models.
We exhibit a strong link between frequentist PAC-Bayesian risk bounds and the Bayesian marginal likelihood. That is, for the negative log-likelihood loss function, we show that the minimization of PAC-Bayesian generalization risk bounds maximizes the Bayesian marginal likelihood. This provides an alternative explanatio…
DNLL loss improves deep LDA accuracy and consistency.
In this work, a deep learning-based method for log-likelihood ratio (LLR) lossy compression and quantization is proposed, with emphasis on a single-input single-output uncorrelated fading communication setting. A deep autoencoder network is trained to compress, quantize and reconstruct the bit log-likelihood ratios cor…
New methods for time-to-event prediction are proposed by extending the Cox proportional hazards model with neural networks. Building on methodology from nested case-control studies, we propose a loss function that scales well to large data sets, and enables fitting of both proportional and non-proportional extensions o…
Quantum machine learning uses quantum cross entropy to minimize loss, but measurement loss affects this process.
Improved convergence rates for MLE in mixture models using penalized log-likelihood.
We address the problem of detecting changes in multivariate datastreams, and we investigate the intrinsic difficulty that change-detection methods have to face when the data dimension scales. In particular, we consider a general approach where changes are detected by comparing the distribution of the log-likelihood of …
Edgeworth Accountant calculates privacy loss under differential privacy compositions efficiently.
Evidential Softmax preserves multimodality in sparse probability distributions for generative models.
Generative adversarial networks (GANs) are a powerful approach to unsupervised learning. They have achieved state-of-the-art performance in the image domain. However, GANs are limited in two ways. They often learn distributions with low support---a phenomenon known as mode collapse---and they do not guarantee the exist…
We consider on-line density estimation with a parameterized density from the exponential family. The on-line algorithm receives one example at a time and maintains a parameter that is essentially an average of the past examples. After receiving an example the algorithm incurs a loss which is the negative log-likelihood…
Test log-likelihood comparisons can be misleading.
Corrects pseudo log-likelihood method issues in various applications.
New reweighted losses improve diffusion model training and image quality.
In this paper we revisit the weighted likelihood bootstrap, a method that generates samples from an approximate Bayesian posterior of a parametric model. We show that the same method can be derived, without approximation, under a Bayesian nonparametric model with the parameter of interest defined as minimising an expec…
Paper explores connections between loss functions and consistency in binary classification and regression.
We present a powerful new loss function and training scheme for learning binary hash codes with any differentiable model and similarity function. Our loss function improves over prior methods by using log likelihood loss on top of an accurate approximation for the probability that two inputs fall within a Hamming dista…
Self-test loss functions improve data-driven modeling of weak-form operators and gradient flows.
A new VIS approach improves log-likelihood estimation in latent variable models.
Efficiently estimates shrinkage coefficient for RTME using LOOCV approximation.
In Bayesian machine learning, the posterior distribution is typically computationally intractable, hence variational inference is often required. In this approach, an evidence lower bound on the log likelihood of data is maximized during training. Variational Autoencoders (VAE) are one important example where variation…
New method calculates DMN log-likelihood faster.
New decision-theoretic characterization separates belief and decision posteriors.
SPRT-TANDEM improves sequential classification accuracy with fewer samples.
Innovative game theory approach optimizes survival analysis metrics.
Multi-task learning is a method for improving the generalizability of multiple tasks. In order to perform multiple classification tasks with one neural network model, the losses of each task should be combined. Previous studies have mostly focused on multiple prediction tasks using joint loss with static weights for tr…
A new loss function ED simplifies training energy-based models without scores.
The Restricted Boltzmann Machines (RBM) can be used either as classifiers or as generative models. The quality of the generative RBM is measured through the average log-likelihood on test data. Due to the high computational complexity of evaluating the partition function, exact calculation of test log-likelihood is ver…
Survival regression method improves log-likelihood scores.
GBHT uses gradient boosting for density estimation with theoretical guarantees.
Trajectory or behavior prediction of traffic agents is an important component of autonomous driving and robot planning in general. It can be framed as a probabilistic future sequence generation problem and recent literature has studied the applicability of generative models in this context. The variety or Minimum over …
In a multi-class classification problem, it is standard to model the output of a neural network as a categorical distribution conditioned on the inputs. The output must therefore be positive and sum to one, which is traditionally enforced by a softmax. This probabilistic mapping allows to use the maximum likelihood pri…
In various approaches to learning, notably in domain adaptation, active learning, learning under covariate shift, semi-supervised learning, learning with concept drift, and the like, one often wants to compare a baseline classifier to one or more advanced (or at least different) strategies. In this chapter, we basicall…
The fate of scientific hypotheses often relies on the ability of a computational model to explain the data, quantified in modern statistical approaches by the likelihood function. The log-likelihood is the key element for parameter estimation and model evaluation. However, the log-likelihood of complex models in fields…
This paper introduces a method to estimate log-likelihood in VAE models.
Independent component analysis (ICA) is a widespread data exploration technique, where observed signals are modeled as linear mixtures of independent components. From a machine learning point of view, it amounts to a matrix factorization problem with a statistical independence criterion. Infomax is one of the most used…
Markov random fields (MRFs) are difficult to evaluate as generative models because computing the test log-probabilities requires the intractable partition function. Annealed importance sampling (AIS) is widely used to estimate MRF partition functions, and often yields quite accurate results. However, AIS is prone to ov…
We explain SSL objectives as log-likelihoods in a data curation model.
We empirically investigate the (negative) expected accuracy as an alternative loss function to cross entropy (negative log likelihood) for classification tasks. Coupled with softmax activation, it has small derivatives over most of its domain, and is therefore hard to optimize. A modified, leaky version is evaluated on…
This paper introduces a new learning rule for probabilistic SNNs that improves log-likelihood, accuracy, and calibration.
Sequence-to-sequence models, such as attention-based models in automatic speech recognition (ASR), are typically trained to optimize the cross-entropy criterion which corresponds to improving the log-likelihood of the data. However, system performance is usually measured in terms of word error rate (WER), not log-likel…
Proposes a method to improve classification robustness against label noise.
This work evaluates deep generative models using RD curves, providing a more comprehensive quality assessment.