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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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191383574765 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for log likelihood function

Log-concavity proven for multinomial likelihoods under specific constraints.

problem Log-concavity of multinomial likelihoods under interval censoring constraints.
method Proved log-concavity by showing M-convex subsets of the discrete simplex.
result Likelihood function is completely log-concave.

The study uses information theory to set lower bounds on model likelihoods.

problem Improving latent variable models by optimizing priors or likelihoods.
method Applying rate-distortion theory to find lower bounds on negative log likelihood.
result Rate-distortion theory can be used to optimize priors and likelihoods in latent variable models.

The Restricted Boltzmann Machines (RBM) can be used either as classifiers or as generative models. The quality of the generative RBM is measured through the average log-likelihood on test data. Due to the high computational complexity of evaluating the partition function, exact calculation of test log-likelihood is ver…

2015-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Sparse matrices simplify computation of GP variances and likelihoods.

problem Efficient computation of posterior variance and log-likelihood for additive Matérn GPs.
method Represented posterior mean, variance, log-likelihood, and gradient using sparse matrices.
result Efficient computation of posterior mean, variance, log-likelihood, and gradient in O(nlogn)O(n \log n) time.

Parallel Gaussian process surrogate for noisy likelihood evaluations in Bayesian inference.

problem Bayesian inference with limited noisy log-likelihood evaluations from complex models.
method Hierarchical Gaussian process surrogate model for log-likelihood, batch-sequential design strategies.
result Robust, highly parallelizable, and sample-efficient method.

By exploiting the property that the RBM log-likelihood function is the difference of convex functions, we formulate a stochastic variant of the difference of convex functions (DC) programming to minimize the negative log-likelihood. Interestingly, the traditional contrastive divergence algorithm is a special case of th…

2017-09-21abs ↗pdf ↗

SUMO provides unbiased log marginal likelihood estimation for latent variable models.

problem Biased estimates of log marginal likelihood in latent variable models.
method Randomized truncation of infinite series for unbiased estimation.
result Models trained with SUMO give better test-set likelihoods than standard methods.

We exhibit a strong link between frequentist PAC-Bayesian risk bounds and the Bayesian marginal likelihood. That is, for the negative log-likelihood loss function, we show that the minimization of PAC-Bayesian generalization risk bounds maximizes the Bayesian marginal likelihood. This provides an alternative explanatio…

2016-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Noise-Contrastive Estimation improves efficiency for estimating log-likelihood of complex point processes.

problem Estimating log-likelihood of complex multivariate point processes is computationally expensive.
method Noise-Contrastive Estimation adapted for multivariate point processes, with provable guarantees.
result Our method achieves similar log-likelihood with fewer evaluations and less time.

We consider log-supermodular models on binary variables, which are probabilistic models with negative log-densities which are submodular. These models provide probabilistic interpretations of common combinatorial optimization tasks such as image segmentation. In this paper, we focus primarily on parameter estimation in…

2016-08-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper analyzes statistical properties of log-cosh loss function.

problem No statistical analysis of log-cosh loss function in literature.
method Presented statistical properties of log-cosh loss function, compared to Cauchy distribution, and examined various statistical procedures.
result Characterized statistical properties of log-cosh loss function, including distribution, likelihood function, and Fisher information.

Paper proposes efficient and accurate initialization and EM algorithm for PL mixture models.

problem Initialization issues and combinatorial complexity in PL likelihood maximization.
method Initialization algorithm and EM algorithm for true log-likelihood maximization.
result Proposed algorithm provides accurate initial estimates and efficiently maximizes true log-likelihood.

The log-likelihood loss in heteroscedastic neural networks can lead to poor parameter estimates.

problem Capturing aleatoric uncertainty in deep learning models.
method Examine the log-likelihood loss in conjunction with gradient-based optimizers and propose an alternative formulation, ββ-NLL.
result Using an appropriate ββ largely mitigates the issue of poor parameter estimates.

A new VIS approach improves log-likelihood estimation in latent variable models.

problem Challenges in achieving high log-likelihood with VI for complex posterior distributions.
method Uses forward χ2χ^2 divergence to optimize proposal distribution for better log-likelihood estimation.
result Consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in log-likelihood and parameter estimation.

Derives M2^2VAE objective from marginal joint log-likelihood.

problem Training Multi-Modal Variational Autoencoders (M2^2VAEs).
method Derives trainable evidence lower bound from marginal joint log-likelihood.
result Derives M2^2VAE objective from marginal joint log-likelihood.

Improved convergence rates for MLE in mixture models using penalized log-likelihood.

problem Convergence rates for MLE in finite mixture models.
method Penalizing log-likelihood to discourage vanishing mixing weights, using Wasserstein distance and new loss functions.
result Improved convergence rates for some mixture components, faster than traditional methods.

New lower bounds improve logistic log-likelihood optimization and inference.

problem Designing computationally tractable lower bounds for logistic log-likelihoods.
method Developed a piece-wise quadratic lower bound that uniformly improves tangent quadratic minorizers.
result Improves the speed of convergence and accuracy of variational Bayes approximations.

Maximum likelihood training improves the performance of score-based diffusion models.

problem Training score-based diffusion models with maximum likelihood.
method Trained by minimizing a weighted combination of score matching losses, with a specific weighting scheme that bounds negative log-likelihood.
result Maximum likelihood training improves the log-likelihood of score-based diffusion models across multiple datasets.

This study compares MC and QMC methods for likelihood functions.

problem Approximating the normalizing constant of posterior distributions and marginal likelihoods.
method Characterizes the integration error of MC and QMC methods for likelihood functions.
result QMC outperforms MC under certain conditions, especially in high dimensions.

Framework for Bayesian inference using GP emulated MH sampler for noisy likelihoods.

problem Approximate Bayesian inference with limited noisy log-likelihood evaluations.
method Gaussian process emulates MH sampler for log-likelihood evaluations; sequential experimental design selects evaluation points.
result Approximate sampler is sample-efficient and robust to GP assumptions.

Score matching efficiency tied to distribution isoperimetric properties.

problem Understanding when score matching is as efficient as maximum likelihood.
method Connecting score matching efficiency to isoperimetric constants of distributions.
result Score matching is statistically efficient when the distribution has a small isoperimetric constant.

A new method normalizes EBM training by introducing a learnable parameter.

problem Training energy-based models with maximum likelihood is challenging due to intractable normalisation constants.
method Proposes a self-normalised log-likelihood (SNL) objective that introduces a learnable parameter representing the normalisation constant.
result The SNL objective is a lower bound of the log-likelihood and can be directly optimised using stochastic gradient techniques.

Deep learning compresses and quantizes log-likelihood ratios for fading channels.

problem Efficiently compress and quantize log-likelihood ratios for fading channels.
method Trains a deep autoencoder network to map log-likelihood ratios to a latent space and reconstruct them.
result Achieves a compression factor of nearly three times with minimal performance loss.

In this paper we study the probabilistic properties of the posteriors in a speech recognition system that uses a deep neural network (DNN) for acoustic modeling. We do this by reducing Kaldi's DNN shared pdf-id posteriors to phone likelihoods, and using test set forced alignments to evaluate these using a calibration s…

2016-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved Gaussian process regression with tighter log marginal likelihood bounds.

problem Improving predictive performance in Gaussian process regression models.
method Lower bound on log marginal likelihood using conjugate gradients.
result Improved predictive performance compared to other conjugate gradient based approaches.

Improved protein identification in mass spectrometry data.

problem Expanding peptide scoring capabilities in tandem mass spectrometry.
method Deriving concave emission distributions for dynamic Bayesian networks.
result Efficiently learned scoring function outperforms state-of-the-art.

Paper develops unbiased gradient estimator for continuous-time models.

problem Estimating unbiased gradient of log-likelihood for continuous-time models.
method Doubly randomized scheme with coupled conditional particle filter (CCPF).
result Unbiased gradient estimate facilitates gradient-based algorithms.

An accurate model of patient-specific kidney graft survival distributions can help to improve shared-decision making in the treatment and care of patients. In this paper, we propose a deep learning method that directly models the survival function instead of estimating the hazard function to predict survival times for …

2017-05-29abs ↗pdf ↗

New optimization methods improve convergence of latent class model estimators.

problem Slow convergence of the EM algorithm in latent class model estimation.
method Transformed likelihood-based approach into constrained nonlinear optimization problem and applied quasi-Newton type methods.
result Proposed methods converge in fewer iterations and produce more accurate estimators.

We explain SSL objectives as log-likelihoods in a data curation model.

problem Lack of understanding of SSL objectives as log-likelihoods.
method Formulate SSL objectives as a log-likelihood in a generative model of data curation.
result SSL methods can be understood as lower-bounds on a principled log-likelihood.