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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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118237355473 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for leverage points

Active learning aims to obtain a classifier of high accuracy by using fewer label requests in comparison to passive learning by selecting effective queries. Many active learning methods have been developed in the past two decades, which sample queries based on informativeness or representativeness of unlabeled data poi…

2015-07-15abs ↗pdf ↗

D2D converts CLDs into SDMs to explore leverage points under uncertainty.

problem Limited dynamic analysis of CLDs for intervention strategies.
method Minimal user input protocol to convert CLDs into SDMs, simulating interventions.
result D2D helps distinguish leverage points and provides uncertainty estimates.

We present a simple agent-based model of a financial system composed of leveraged investors such as banks that invest in stocks and manage their risk using a Value-at-Risk constraint, based on historical observations of asset prices. The Value-at-Risk constraint implies that when perceived risk is low, leverage is high…

2014-07-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Modeling price formation with interacting Hawkes processes leading to stochastic volatility with leverage.

problem Capturing the complex dynamics of price formation in financial markets.
method Agent-based approach to aggregate self-exciting point processes with mean-field interaction.
result Aggregated model converges to a stochastic volatility model with leverage effect and faster-than-linear mean reversion.

We propose a fast inference method for Bayesian nonlinear support vector machines that leverages stochastic variational inference and inducing points. Our experiments show that the proposed method is faster than competing Bayesian approaches and scales easily to millions of data points. It provides additional features …

2017-07-18abs ↗pdf ↗

We give the first algorithm for kernel Nyström approximation that runs in *linear time in the number of training points* and is provably accurate for all kernel matrices, without dependence on regularity or incoherence conditions. The algorithm projects the kernel onto a set of ss landmark points sampled by their *rid…

2016-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

The leverage effect refers to the generally negative correlation between the return of an asset and the changes in its volatility. There is broad agreement in the literature that the effect should be present for theoretical reasons, and it has been consistently found in empirical work. However, a few papers have pointe…

2019-09-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Effective risk control must make a tradeoff between the microprudential risk of exogenous shocks to individual institutions and the macroprudential risks caused by their systemic interactions. We investigate a simple dynamical model for understanding this tradeoff, consisting of a bank with a leverage target and an unl…

2015-07-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates volatility of volatility and leverage effect using high-frequency options data.

problem Estimating volatility of volatility and leverage effect from high-frequency options data.
method Model-free estimators using characteristic function of price increments and spot volatility.
result Developed feasible inference methods for estimating volatility of volatility and leverage effect.

New method assesses individual training points' privacy risk without retraining.

problem Privacy vulnerability of individual training points in membership inference attacks.
method Derives a closed-form decomposition of individual black-box MIA vulnerability, extending to deep networks.
result Proposes a surrogate score operating on last-layer representations that requires only a single trained model.

Historical daily data for eleven years of the fifty constituent stocks of the NIFTY index traded on the National Stock Exchange have been analyzed to check for the stylized facts in the Indian market. It is observed that while some stylized facts of other markets are also observed in Indian market, there are significan…

2019-03-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Point processes are becoming very popular in modeling asynchronous sequential data due to their sound mathematical foundation and strength in modeling a variety of real-world phenomena. Currently, they are often characterized via intensity function which limits model's expressiveness due to unrealistic assumptions on i…

2017-05-23abs ↗pdf ↗

We extend the Frank-Wolfe (FW) optimization algorithm to solve constrained smooth convex-concave saddle point (SP) problems. Remarkably, the method only requires access to linear minimization oracles. Leveraging recent advances in FW optimization, we provide the first proof of convergence of a FW-type saddle point solv…

2016-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Detects graph topology changes from noisy signals using prior spectral information.

problem Detecting changes in graph topology from graph signals.
method Leverages graph filtering and subspace detection to distill problem into a CUSUM-based algorithm.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of incorporating prior spectral signatures for change-point detection.

ASkotch solves large-scale KRR faster and better than existing methods.

problem Challenges in scaling full Kernel Ridge Regression (KRR) to large datasets.
method ASkotch: A scalable, accelerated, iterative method for full KRR.
result ASkotch provides better solutions faster than state-of-the-art solvers for full and inducing points KRR.

Existing techniques to compress point cloud attributes leverage either geometric or video-based compression tools. We explore a radically different approach inspired by recent advances in point cloud representation learning. Point clouds can be interpreted as 2D manifolds in 3D space. Specifically, we fold a 2D grid on…

2020-02-11abs ↗pdf ↗

DDEQs extend DEQs to discrete measure inputs using Wasserstein gradient flows.

problem Applying DEQs to discrete measure inputs like sets or point clouds.
method Wasserstein gradient flows for finding fixed points of discrete measures under permutation-invariance.
result DDEQs can compete with state-of-the-art models in tasks like point cloud classification and completion.

Current approaches for explaining machine learning models fall into two distinct classes: antecedent event influence and value attribution. The former leverages training instances to describe how much influence a training point exerts on a test point, while the latter attempts to attribute value to the features most pe…

2019-01-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Short-term load forecasting is a critical element of power systems energy management systems. In recent years, probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) has gained increased attention for its ability to provide uncertainty information that helps to improve the reliability and economics of system operation performances. This…

2019-03-26abs ↗pdf ↗

This letter presents a new spectral-clustering-based approach to the subspace clustering problem. Underpinning the proposed method is a convex program for optimal direction search, which for each data point d finds an optimal direction in the span of the data that has minimum projection on the other data points and non…

2017-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Solves capillary curvature problems for specific p values.

problem Capillary curvature problems for n<p<1-n < p < 1 and θ(0,π2)θ\in (0,\fracπ{2}).
method Iterative scheme based on capillary Minkowski problem and capillary curvature image operators.
result Fixed points of capillary curvature image operators correspond to solutions of capillary LpL_p-Minkowski problem.

Proposes a novel approach for cluster-aware matching using Laplacian Optimal Transport.

problem Matching point clouds with intrinsic cluster structure requires robust region-to-region alignment over precise point-to-point correspondence.
method Laplacian Optimal Transport (LapOT) with regularization for cluster-aware matching and Refined Simultaneous Clustering (RSC) for consistent partitions.
result Laplacian Optimal Transport produces more consistent and meaningful alignments between point clouds.

We propose networked exponential families to jointly leverage the information in the topology as well as the attributes (features) of networked data points. Networked exponential families are a flexible probabilistic model for heterogeneous datasets with intrinsic network structure. These models can be learnt efficient…

2019-05-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Gaussian processes (GPs) are flexible non-parametric models, with a capacity that grows with the available data. However, computational constraints with standard inference procedures have limited exact GPs to problems with fewer than about ten thousand training points, necessitating approximations for larger datasets. …

2019-03-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper explores how DPP sampling can implicitly regularize kernel regression.

problem Improving kernel regression by reducing redundancy in data.
method Using Determinantal Point Processes (DPPs) to sample subsets implicitly regularizes ridgeless Kernel Regression.
result Ensemble of ridgeless regressors can be effective for datasets with redundant information.

New method assesses prediction intervals across different operating points.

problem Difficulty in comparing prediction intervals across studies.
method Operating characteristics curves and gain over a simple reference.
result A novel operating point agnostic assessment methodology for prediction intervals.

Selecting diverse and important items, called landmarks, from a large set is a problem of interest in machine learning. As a specific example, in order to deal with large training sets, kernel methods often rely on low rank matrix Nyström approximations based on the selection or sampling of landmarks. In this context, …

2019-05-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Given a matrix ARn×d\mathbf{A}\in\mathbb{R}^{n\times d} and a vector bRdb \in\mathbb{R}^{d}, we show how to compute an εε-approximate solution to the regression problem minxRd12Axb22 \min_{x\in\mathbb{R}^{d}}\frac{1}{2} \|\mathbf{A} x - b\|_{2}^{2} in time O~((n+dκsum)slogε1) \tilde{O} ((n+\sqrt{d\cdotκ_{\text{sum}}})\cdot s\cdot\logε^{-1}) where …

2017-11-22abs ↗pdf ↗

SE(3)-Transformers maintain equivariance for 3D data under rotations and translations.

problem Ensuring stable and predictable performance in 3D data under transformations.
method Introducing a self-attention module that is equivariant under continuous 3D roto-translations.
result The SE(3)-Transformer outperforms non-equivariant and non-attention models on real-world datasets.

We present a novel approach to leverage large unlabeled datasets by pre-training state-of-the-art deep neural networks on randomly-labeled datasets. Specifically, we train the neural networks to memorize arbitrary labels for all the samples in a dataset and use these pre-trained networks as a starting point for regular…

2018-11-05abs ↗pdf ↗

New method detects and locates changes in spatio-temporal point processes.

problem Detecting and localizing changes in spatio-temporal data.
method Score-based, likelihood-free approach estimating change time and region.
result The method provides theoretical guarantees on detection and localization accuracy.

Although over 100 languages are supported by strong off-the-shelf machine translation systems, only a subset of them possess large annotated corpora for named entity recognition. Motivated by this fact, we leverage machine translation to improve annotation-projection approaches to cross-lingual named entity recognition…

2019-08-31abs ↗pdf ↗

In healthcare, patient risk stratification models are often learned using time-series data extracted from electronic health records. When extracting data for a clinical prediction task, several formulations exist, depending on how one chooses the time of prediction and the prediction horizon. In this paper, we show how…

2018-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

A registration-free framework monitors shape and color in 4D point clouds.

problem Monitoring shape and color changes in complex parts without registration.
method Laplace-Beltrami operator spectral properties for geometric and color feature capture; combined monitoring scheme for shape and color anomalies.
result Effective detection of shape deformations and color anomalies without registration or mesh reconstruction.

IGNN captures long-range graph dependencies using fixed-point equations.

problem Limited GNN ability to capture long-range graph dependencies.
method Fixed-point equilibrium equations involving implicitly defined state vectors, leveraging Perron-Frobenius theory and projected gradient descent.
result IGNN consistently captures long-range dependencies and outperforms state-of-the-art GNNs.