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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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225451676901 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for latent factor point process

Scalable GP model tackles big data, categorical factors, and multiple responses.

problem Handling big datasets, categorical inputs, and multiple responses in Gaussian processes.
method Latent variable Gaussian process (LVGP) with variational inference for scalability and interpretability.
result The method scales well for large datasets and outperforms state-of-the-art methods.

SENA-discrepancy-VAE interprets latent causal factors in biological pathways.

problem Interpreting latent causal factors in biological pathways.
method SENA-discrepancy-VAE, a model based on discrepancy-VAE, that produces interpretable latent causal factors.
result Sena-discrepancy-VAE achieves comparable predictive performance with non-interpretable counterparts while providing biologically meaningful causal factors.

Proposes iVDFM for identifying latent factors in multivariate time series.

problem Identifying latent factors in multivariate time series with structural dynamics.
method Identifiable Variational Dynamic Factor Model (iVDFM) with iVAE-style conditioning.
result Identifiable latent factors up to permutation and component-wise affine transformations.

Proposes GPLFR for predicting high-dimensional outputs with few data.

problem Predicting high-dimensional outputs from limited data.
method GPLFR combines Gaussian process and linear-Gaussian decoding for high-dimensional prediction.
result GPLFR outperforms existing methods in predicting high-dimensional outputs.

A new method for efficient Gaussian process inference using sparse approximations.

problem Scalable and accurate inference for latent Gaussian processes.
method Variational approximation with sparse inverse Cholesky factors and double Kullback-Leibler minimization.
result The proposed method can achieve highly accurate approximations with polylogarithmic time complexity.

We introduce stochastic variational inference for Gaussian process models. This enables the application of Gaussian process (GP) models to data sets containing millions of data points. We show how GPs can be vari- ationally decomposed to depend on a set of globally relevant inducing variables which factorize the model …

2013-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a flexible feature allocation model for sparse factor analysis.

problem Sparse data and rigid assumptions in traditional exploratory tools.
method Adaptive latent feature sharing with control over feature sparsity.
result Derives a novel adaptive Factor analysis (aFA) and aPPCA for flexible dimensionality reduction.

In many applications of finance, biology and sociology, complex systems involve entities interacting with each other. These processes have the peculiarity of evolving over time and of comprising latent factors, which influence the system without being explicitly measured. In this work we present latent variable time-va…

2018-02-12abs ↗pdf ↗

In many applications, observed data are influenced by some combination of latent causes. For example, suppose sensors are placed inside a building to record responses such as temperature, humidity, power consumption and noise levels. These random, observed responses are typically affected by many unobserved, latent fac…

2019-04-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Scalable approach for high-dimensional dynamical systems with noise filtering and parameter estimation.

problem Noise filtering and parameter estimation for high-dimensional dynamical systems.
method Flexible latent factor model with orthogonal factor loading matrix and closed-form parameter estimation.
result Substantial acceleration and higher accuracy compared to alternatives.

Fair and unbiased machine learning is an important and active field of research, as decision processes are increasingly driven by models that learn from data. Unfortunately, any biases present in the data may be learned by the model, thereby inappropriately transferring that bias into the decision making process. We id…

2020-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Survey of factor analysis, PCA, variational inference, and VAE.

problem Dimensionality reduction and generative modeling of data.
method Variational inference, factor analysis, probabilistic PCA, and VAE.
result Derivation and explanation of ELBO, EM, and closed-form solutions.

Study uses a bivariate model to price crude oil futures.

problem Pricing crude oil futures using latent factors and state-space models.
method Modelled short and long term factors as OU processes, estimated using Kalman Filter and maximised Gaussian likelihood.
result Successfully estimated model parameters and factors from WTI Crude Oil NYMEX futures data.

Bayesian non-linear latent variable modeling for complex data.

problem Inference for GPLVMs is computationally limited and often leads to overfitting or underestimates uncertainty.
method Approximate Gaussian process mappings with random Fourier features for MCMC inference.
result Generalized RFLVMs perform well on various data types and applications.

Extract common latent factors from graphs for better representation learning.

problem Graph-level representation learning challenges due to limited labeled data and poor negative sample selection.
method Graph-wise Common Latent Factor Extraction (GCFX) using deepGCFX model.
result Improved graph-level and node-level tasks performance compared to state-of-the-art methods.

New method predicts dynamic relationships in terrorist networks.

problem Dynamic co-evolution of multiplex graphs and nodal attributes in terrorism networks.
method Time-varying stochastic latent factor models with neural network Gaussian processes.
result Superior performance in predicting unobserved dynamic relationships.

HireVAE adapts to market regimes for online stock prediction.

problem Building an online and adaptive factor model for stock prediction.
method HireVAE uses a hierarchical latent space to estimate latent factors from historical market information.
result HireVAE outperforms previous methods in active returns across benchmarks.

A gamma process dynamic Poisson factor analysis model is proposed to factorize a dynamic count matrix, whose columns are sequentially observed count vectors. The model builds a novel Markov chain that sends the latent gamma random variables at time (t1)(t-1) as the shape parameters of those at time tt, which are linked …

2015-12-30abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper optimizes portfolios using MACD signals derived from price history.

problem Optimizing risky asset portfolios with latent mean-reverting and momentum factors.
method Derives optimal strategies based on MACD signals from EMA processes.
result Establishes admissibility and verification of optimal strategies.

A new model predicts network events with improved accuracy and interpretability.

problem Predicting and understanding complex dynamic relational data in networks.
method Mutually Exciting Latent Space Hawkes (LSH) model for continuous-time networks.
result The LSH model outperforms existing models in prediction accuracy and interpretability.

New model extracts shared brain activity patterns from fMRI data.

problem Challenges in aggregating multi-subject fMRI data due to variability.
method Shared Gaussian Process Factor Analysis (S-GPFA) incorporating temporal information.
result Model reveals ground truth latent structures and replicates experimental performance.

New results show contrastive learning can recover shared factors in multimodal data.

problem Understanding when contrastive learning can recover shared latent factors in multimodal data.
method New identifiability results for multimodal contrastive learning, distinguishing between multi-view and multimodal settings.
result Contrastive learning can block-identify shared latent factors in multimodal data, even with dependencies.

Random geometric graphs are a popular choice for a latent points generative model for networks. Their definition is based on a sample of nn points X1,X2,,XnX_1,X_2,\cdots,X_n on the Euclidean sphere~Sd1\mathbb{S}^{d-1} which represents the latent positions of nodes of the network. The connection probabilities between the node…

2019-09-15abs ↗pdf ↗

New method explains high-dimensional sphere data with latent factors.

problem Understanding intricate dependence structure in high-dimensional sphere data.
method Exploratory factor analysis of the projected normal distribution with a fast alternating expectation profile conditional maximization algorithm.
result Uniformly excellent results on various data types, including tweets, brain imaging, and cancer gene expression.

DISTANA improves weather prediction by inferring hidden factors from temperature data.

problem Inferring hidden factors in spatiotemporal processes without supervision.
method Enhanced DISTANA architecture for spatiotemporal data, active tuning for latent state inference.
result DISTANA achieves more accurate predictions than other methods, inferring hidden factors from temperature data.

Enhances count process modelling with Markov-modulated non-homogeneous Poisson process.

problem Count data modelling challenges, especially in complex scenarios.
method Introduces a flexible frequency perturbation measure into Markov-modulated Poisson process framework.
result Natural incorporation of observed event arrivals and latent factors.

The paper introduces a method to probabilistically select inducing points in sparse Gaussian processes.

problem The challenge is selecting the optimal number of inducing points in sparse Gaussian processes.
method A point process prior is applied to the inducing points, and the posterior is approximated using stochastic variational inference.
result The model learns which and how many inducing points to use, leading to fewer inducing points being preferred as they become less informative.

This paper corrects climate model biases using a factor model approach.

problem Systematic biases in GCM outputs due to unobserved confounders.
method Factor model approach to learn latent confounders from historical data and apply them to enhance bias correction.
result Significant improvements in the accuracy of precipitation outputs.