Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

137273410546 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for joint effects

Estimates joint causal effects using single-variable interventions on nonlinear models.

problem Estimating joint causal effects from single-variable interventions.
method Identifiability result and practical estimator for decomposing causal effects.
result Joint effects can be inferred without joint interventional data for nonlinear additive models.

Introduces joint Shapley values to measure feature importance in models.

problem Measuring the importance of feature sets in machine learning models.
method Extends Shapley's axioms to measure a set of features' average contribution to a model's prediction.
result Joint Shapley values provide unique insights and are more consistent with local intuitions.

Credit risk analysis improved with a joint model for spatial and temporal effects.

problem Predicting borrower's time-to-event with spatial and temporal covariates.
method Spatio-Temporal Joint Model (STJM) using Bayesian hierarchical approach and INLA.
result Spatial effects improve joint model performance, but spatio-temporal interactions have less impact.

Generates counterfactuals in target domain from source domain observations.

problem Cross-domain learning with domain shifts and lack of parallel datasets.
method Unsupervised, Neural Causal Models, Joint Causal Graphs, Effect-Intrinsic vs Domain-Intrinsic Variables.
result Framework generates counterfactuals that closely match ground truth.

VPP learns joint policies for multi-agent RL through interactions.

problem Learning effective joint policies for multi-agent reinforcement learning.
method VPP integrates variational inference into policy layers for efficient sampling and differentiability.
result VPP outperforms previous methods on large-scale multi-agent tasks.

New method certifies joint adversarial robustness of model ensembles.

problem Ensuring robustness of model ensembles against adversarial attacks.
method Proposes a novel technique to certify joint robustness, building on prior work on single-model robustness certification.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of certifying joint robustness of ensembles, improving understanding of ensemble defenses.

This work optimizes induced correlation in joint graph embeddings.

problem Optimizing correlation across embedded networks in joint graph embeddings.
method Developed corr2Omni algorithm to estimate optimal Omnibus weights.
result corr2Omni algorithm improves inference fidelity compared to classical Omnibus construction.

Study characterizes cryospheric spectral feature space using joint PC+t-SNE approach.

problem Characterize cryospheric spectral feature space for remote sensing applications.
method Compare and contrast two approaches for identifying feature space basis vectors via dimensionality reduction (PCA and t-SNE).
result Joint characterization reveals distinct continua and clusters of ice reflectance properties.

EB-VAE combines tumor growth and dropout data for personalized treatment response modeling.

problem Challenges in integrating longitudinal tumor measurements, dropout information, and genetic covariates.
method Extended EB-VAE framework to jointly model longitudinal and time-to-event data, incorporating dropout hazard and genetic covariates.
result Hybrid decoder formulation yields consistent treatment-effect parameters and prior predictive performance comparable to neural decoder.

DSL estimates heterogeneous treatment effects over time in survival settings.

problem Complicated by right censoring and time-varying treatment effects.
method Deep survival learner (DSL) for estimating CATEs over a clinically relevant time spectrum.
result DSL reveals heterogeneity in perioperative chemotherapy effects over time.

Bayesian model for cost-effectiveness analysis with subgroup discovery.

problem Statistical challenges in cost-effectiveness analysis, especially with non-random treatment assignment and censored data.
method Developed a nonparametric Bayesian model using Dirichlet and Gamma processes to estimate cost-survival distributions and identify cost-effectiveness subgroups.
result Identified and estimated policy-relevant causal CEA estimands using a Bayesian nonparametric g-computation procedure.

Unified model learns joint and individual features from brain imaging data.

problem Integrating structural and functional connectivity data for behavioral phenotypes.
method Cross-Modal Joint-Individual Variational Network (CM-JIVNet) with multi-head attention fusion.
result CM-JIVNet outperforms in cross-modal reconstruction and behavioral trait prediction.

We investigate the joint dynamics of spot and implied volatility from an empirical perspective. We focus on the equity market with the SPX Index our underlying of choice. Using only observable quantities, we extract the instantaneous variance curves implied by the market and study their daily variations jointly with sp…

2015-07-03abs ↗pdf ↗

This work proposes a new method to estimate joint probability from pairwise marginals, reducing sample complexity.

problem Direct nonparametric estimation of high-dimensional joint probability is infeasible due to the curse of dimensionality.
method Developed a coupled nonnegative matrix factorization (CNMF) framework using only pairwise marginals.
result The method provably recovers the joint probability mass function up to bounded error in finite iterations under reasonable conditions.

This paper focusses on "safe" screening techniques for the LASSO problem. Motivated by the need for low-complexity algorithms, we propose a new approach, dubbed "joint" screening test, allowing to screen a set of atoms by carrying out one single test. The approach is particularized to two different sets of atoms, respe…

2017-10-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a framework to quantify uncertainties in multiple ML models.

problem Uncertainty in ML model predictions and model inputs.
method Develops a theoretical framework to decouple and transform uncertainties.
result Generates joint distribution of ML predictions considering uncertainties.

Proposes a new model to better handle correlation risk in credit risk calculations.

problem Empirical evidence shows correlation risk is significant in credit risk models.
method Introduces a stochastic correlation extension of the Vasicek model using circular diffusion.
result Demonstrates how correlation volatility and persistence affect joint default and survival probabilities.

JoLT uses LLMs to make probabilistic predictions on tabular data.

problem Making probabilistic predictions on tabular data efficiently and without preprocessing.
method JoLT leverages LLMs' in-context learning to define joint distributions over tabular data.
result JoLT outperforms other methods on tabular classification and regression tasks.

Estimates multiple related causal graphs with shared causal order.

problem Discovering multiple related Gaussian DAGs with shared causal order.
method Proposes a l1/l2l_1/l_2-regularized MLE for joint estimation of KK linear structural equation models.
result Joint estimator achieves better sample complexity and consistency in causal order recovery.

Novel approach for estimating joint probability densities using tensor decompositions and dictionaries.

problem Estimating joint probability densities of mixed discrete and continuous variables.
method Low-rank tensor decomposition combined with dictionary learning.
result Better classification and lower error rates compared to existing methods.

This paper proposes a method to select relevant features for multi-label learning.

problem Feature selection in multi-label learning to retain important information with minimal features.
method Random manifold sampling and joint sparse regularization to solve multicollinearity and obtain sparse feature sets.
result The proposed method outperforms other methods in selecting relevant features for multi-label learning.

First passage models, where corporate assets undergo correlated random walks and a company defaults if its assets fall below a threshold provide an attractive framework for modeling the default process. Typical one year default correlations are small, i.e., of order a few percent, but nonetheless including correlations…

2008-12-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates effects of multiple interventions with hidden confounders using single-variable interventions.

problem Estimating effects of multiple interventions in the presence of hidden confounders.
method Identifiability under nonlinear structural causal model with additive Gaussian noise; pooling and joint likelihood maximization.
result Proven identifiability and superior performance compared to baseline.

The paper introduces BCART models for aggregate claim amount, improving frequency-severity and joint modeling.

problem Modeling aggregate claim amount with frequency-severity and joint dependencies.
method Developed three types of BCART models: frequency-severity, sequential, and joint models. Used various distributions for claim severity data.
result Weibull distribution outperforms gamma and lognormal for right-skewed, heavy-tailed claim severity data.

Joint Models for longitudinal and time-to-event data have gained a lot of attention in the last few years as they are a helpful technique to approach common a data structure in clinical studies where longitudinal outcomes are recorded alongside event times. Those two processes are often linked and the two outcomes shou…

2016-09-09abs ↗pdf ↗

TransformerLSR models longitudinal, recurrent, and survival data jointly.

problem Joint modeling of longitudinal measurements, recurrent events, and survival data with dependencies.
method Transformer-based deep learning framework integrating deep temporal point processes and latent structure representation.
result TransformerLSR effectively models all three components simultaneously, demonstrating necessity and effectiveness through simulations and real-world data.

New method detects and analyzes correlation in multiple network data.

problem Detecting and analyzing correlation in multiple network data.
method Generalized omnibus embedding methodology.
result Induced correlation can significantly extend the reach of spectral inference procedures.

Improves joint distribution learning for high-dimensional datasets with complex correlations.

problem Conditional independence assumption limitations in VAE decoders for high-dimensional datasets.
method Cramer-Wold distance regularization and two-step learning method for flexible prior modeling.
result Effective joint distributional learning for high-dimensional datasets with multiple categorical variables.

FreST Loss decorrelates spatio-temporal dependencies in graph signals.

problem Complex spatio-temporal dependencies in graph-structured signals are not well captured by standard forecasting models.
method FreST Loss extends supervision to the joint spatio-temporal spectrum using Joint Fourier Transform (JFT).
result FreST Loss reduces estimation bias and improves forecasting accuracy on real-world datasets.

DeepBDC improves few-shot classification by measuring joint distributions of image features.

problem Few-shot classification with limited training data.
method DeepBDC method using deep learning and Brownian Distance Covariance.
result DeepBDC significantly outperforms existing methods on various benchmarks.

Optimal online learning for joint pricing and resource allocation.

problem Maximizing net profit in dynamic pricing and resource allocation with stochastic demand.
method Developed an efficient algorithm using a Lower-Confidence Bound (LCB) meta-strategy over multiple OCO agents.
result Achieved ildeO(Tmn) ilde{O}(\sqrt{Tmn}) regret, optimal with respect to time horizon TT.

Cooperation information sharing is important to theories of human learning and has potential implications for machine learning. Prior work derived conditions for achieving optimal Cooperative Inference given strong, relatively restrictive assumptions. We relax these assumptions by demonstrating convergence for any disc…

2018-10-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Learning network representations is a fundamental task for many graph applications such as link prediction, node classification, graph clustering, and graph visualization. Many real-world networks are interpreted as dynamic networks and evolve over time. Most existing graph embedding algorithms were developed for stati…

2019-10-04abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for aligning datasets without known correspondences.

problem Aligning datasets from different domains without labeled correspondences.
method Integrates MDS and Wasserstein Procrustes for joint optimization of embeddings and correspondences.
result Maps datasets to a common low-dimensional space without labeled correspondences.

We analyse time series of CDS spreads for a set of major US and European institutions on a pe- riod overlapping the recent financial crisis. We extend the existing methodology of ε-drawdowns to the one of joint ε-drawups, in order to estimate the conditional probabilities of abrupt co-movements among spreads. We correc…

2012-05-04abs ↗pdf ↗