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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for insurance risk theory

Paper explores how risk-averse individuals' willingness to pay for insurance varies with risk probability.

problem Understanding how risk-averse individuals' willingness to pay for insurance varies with risk probability.
method Analyzes willingness to pay (WTP) for partial risk reduction within the dual theory of decision.
result In dual theory, reducing the probability of risk and providing insurance can be complementary if the surplus increases with risk reduction.

Fair insurance contracts are designed to handle default risk using cooperative game theory.

problem Designing fair insurance contracts in the presence of default risk.
method Cooperative game theory to specify premiums and participation in benefit.
result Fair benefit participation emerges as a game outcome involving residual risks.

Parametric insurance offers better risk-sharing in high-risk settings than traditional indemnity insurance.

problem High-risk environments where traditional indemnity insurance is unaffordable or ineffective.
method Comparison of excess-of-loss indemnity insurance and parametric insurance within a mean-variance framework, considering fixed costs and binding budget constraints.
result Parametric insurance yields higher welfare for risk-averse individuals, especially when indemnity insurance is impractical.

The study examines how formal index insurance compares to informal risk sharing in managing natural disasters.

problem The challenges of natural disasters and the effectiveness of index insurance in risk management.
method A three-strategy evolutionary game model to analyze the competitive relationship between formal index insurance, informal risk sharing, and non-insurance.
result Basis risk and loss ratio significantly impact the adoption rate of index insurance, with different strategies preferred under varying conditions.

We use the theory of coherent measures to look at the problem of surplus sharing in an insurance business. The surplus share of an insured is calculated by the surplus premium in the contract. The theory of coherent risk measures and the resulting capital allocation gives a way to divide the surplus between the insured…

2018-10-28abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for modeling insurance claim frequencies using random proportions.

problem Inaccurate fitting of classical distributions to insurance claim frequency data.
method Modeling claim frequencies using random proportions of insurance contracts and applying goodness-of-fit tests.
result A new statistical approach for better modeling insurance claim frequencies.

Study on systemic risk in European insurance sector, showing insurer connections during stress.

problem Understanding systemic risk connectedness in European insurance sector.
method Common connectedness framework applied to returns, volatility, value-at-risk, and expected shortfall.
result Insurers are a significant component of systemic risk connectedness, especially during stress episodes.

Develops a Bonus-Malus model for cyber risk insurance to incentivize cybersecurity.

problem Lack of effective insurance strategies to incentivize cybersecurity.
method Proposes a Bonus-Malus model and a mathematical model with a numerical algorithm.
result Demonstrates how a Bonus-Malus system resolves moral hazard and benefits the insurer.

The paper examines how risk reduction and insurance choices interact under convex premium principles.

problem Interaction between self-protection and insurance demand under convex premium principles.
method Investigates optimal prevention efforts and insurance shares using distortion risk measures.
result Self-protection and insurance are complementary, but ex ante moral hazard can turn this into a substitution effect.

This paper analyzes extreme flooding risks and proposes insurance and bond solutions.

problem Severe rise in magnitude and frequency of floods causing catastrophic losses.
method Extremes analysis using Peaks-Over-Threshold method and Point Process model; Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional VaR (CVaR) estimation; Flood zoning insurance and catastrophic bond design.
result Developed flood risk vulnerability and threat analysis considering geography and economic factors; Proposed flood zoning insurance and catastrophic bond design.

The paper solves an insurance problem using mean-variance and rank-dependent utility theory.

problem Formulating and solving an insurance problem with rank-dependent utility and mean-variance premium principle.
method Formulated as a non-concave maximization problem, then turned into a concave quantile optimization problem, solved using calculus of variations.
result An optimal insurance contract is derived and numerically computed.

The paper analyzes how to combine self-protection and self-insurance for risk reduction.

problem Combining self-protection and self-insurance for risk reduction when market insurance is absent.
method The approach uses Value-at-Risk and Tail Value-at-Risk to evaluate residual risk and solves the problem using isoquant geometry based on marginal-balance curves.
result The analysis identifies the conditions under which self-protection and self-insurance behave as substitutes or complements.

Algorithmic insurance tackles financial risks from AI errors, proving CVaR-optimal thresholds reduce tail risk.

problem High-stakes AI errors lead to heterogeneous losses, challenging traditional insurance assumptions.
method Analyzed binary classification performance to tail risk exposure, using CVaR to quantify extreme losses.
result CVaR-optimal thresholds reduce tail risk up to 13-fold compared to accuracy maximization.

Optimal insurance contracts are designed to screen risk preferences and risk types under asymmetric information.

problem Designing optimal insurance contracts under asymmetric information and risk types.
method Constructing a menu of contracts that maximizes mean-variance utilities, subject to truth-telling constraints.
result Equilibrium contracts exhibit nonlinear pricing with decreasing risk loadings, inducing self-selection.

Study proposes a tax-based system to share disaster risk among regions.

problem Systemic risk in catastrophic events and insurer insolvency.
method Public-private partnership with government intervention through taxation.
result Taxation system effectively shares residual claims in case of insurer insolvency.

This study tackles basis risk in weather parametric insurance using Monte Carlo simulations.

problem Mismatch between actual loss and payout in weather parametric insurance leads to loss without payout or payout without loss.
method Empirical research using Monte Carlo simulations to test diversification and hedging strategies.
result Portfolio basis risk and volatility decrease with more contracts, and spatial relationships significantly impact basis risk.

The paper models and prices cyber insurance risks, distinguishing idiosyncratic, systematic, and systemic risks.

problem Modeling and pricing cyber insurance policies, especially for systemic risks.
method Distinguishes three types of cyber risks and proposes methods for their valuation.
result Complex methods are needed for systemic cyber risks, including risk-neutral valuation and monetary risk measures.

Reinsurance can help life insurers maintain higher capital guarantees without losing utility.

problem Decreasing capital guarantees in life insurance products.
method Dynamic investment-reinsurance optimization problem with simultaneous Value-at-Risk and no-short-selling constraints. Introduced guarantee-equivalent utility gain for comparison.
result Optimally managed reinsurance allows insurers to offer higher capital guarantees without reducing expected utility.

Financial market created for wellbeing indices to mitigate socioeconomic risks.

problem Risk mitigation in financial indices of socioeconomic wellbeing.
method Developed new quantitative measure, created financial market, and implemented insurance instruments.
result Optimal portfolio weights and efficient frontiers for wellbeing indices.

Investment and insurance decisions are studied in a model with nonlinear portfolio frictions and background risk.

problem Investment and insurance decisions under a model with nonlinear portfolio frictions and background risk.
method Dynamic programming approach to find optimality conditions.
result Agent can choose to assume, partially assume, or purchase total insurance against adverse jumps in wealth.

This paper explores how insurance contracts can be traded in financial markets.

problem The exclusion of arbitrage in insurance contracts due to their non-tradability.
method Defining strategies on insurance portfolios and combining them with financial trading strategies.
result The existence of an insurance-finance-consistent probability, leading to the expected discounted cash-flows.

The paper analyzes insurance pricing and capital allocation in imperfect markets.

problem Analyzing insurance pricing and capital allocation in imperfect markets.
method Non-additive distortion pricing functional and principle of equal priority of payments in default.
result Derives the natural allocation of premium and margin with properties that merit the name.

Study insurance pricing under correlation ambiguity without increasing prices or reducing utility.

problem Understanding the dependence structure between insurance and financial risks.
method Dynamic equilibrium analysis of insurance pricing with worst-case beliefs.
result Correlation ambiguity does not necessarily increase insurance prices or reduce insurers' utility.

This paper analyzes P2P collaborative insurance products and network structure impact.

problem Analyzing P2P collaborative insurance products and their network structure impact.
method Examined a P2P insurance product with reciprocal risk sharing contracts, studied network structure impact on risk reduction, and discussed optimal reciprocal commitments.
result The network structure, particularly the distribution of degrees, significantly impacts risk reduction in P2P insurance products.

Study of insurance market equilibria with risk-averse policyholders.

problem Analyzing optimal insurance contracts in a monopoly market with risk-averse policyholders.
method Modeling Stackelberg equilibria with a profit-maximizing insurer and a risk-averse policyholder.
result Equilibrium contracts exhibit a layer-type structure, providing full insurance over pessimistic loss layers and no coverage over optimistic ones.

This research develops a new model for cyber risk and insurance pricing.

problem Accurate calculation of aggregate losses in cyber insurance pricing.
method A path-based k-generation risk contagion model in a tree-shaped network structure.
result Explicit expressions for mean and variance of local loss on a single path.

New approach uses MST and copula-DCC-GARCH for systemic risk analysis in European insurance sector.

problem Analyzing systemic risk in European insurance sector through indirect connections.
method Combining copula-DCC-GARCH model and Minimum Spanning Trees (MST) for interlinkage dynamics analysis.
result Proposed approach useful for systemic risk analysis in insurance sector, with MST topological indicators as predictors.

Develop gradient boosting for estimating covariate-dependent GP distributions in insurance.

problem Estimating covariate-dependent Generalized Pareto distributions in insurance.
method Developing a statistical learning theory for gradient boosting.
result Deriving non-asymptotic error bounds for the boosting estimator.

Study optimizes insurance and investment strategies for risk-averse insurers under ambiguity.

problem Optimizing insurance and investment strategies for risk-averse insurers under ambiguity.
method Solves a coupled FBSDE to derive optimal strategies and value function.
result Optimal consumption, investment, and reinsurance strategies influenced by risk aversion and EIS.