A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
No-regret learning with strategic experts, incentivized.
problem Online learning with strategic experts who misreport beliefs.
method Building on wagering mechanisms, we provide algorithms for no-regret and incentive compatibility in both full and partial information settings.
result Our algorithms achieve no regret and incentive compatibility for myopic experts, with comparable regret to classic no-regret algorithms and diminishing regret for forward-looking agents.
Study optimal reinsurance contracts to prevent moral hazard under non-concave premium principles.
problem Preventing moral hazard in reinsurance contracts under non-concave premium principles.
method Develops optimal reinsurance contracts under a diffusion risk model with incentive compatibility constraints and extended distortion premium principles.
result An optimal reinsurance contract exists and is characterized by solving a double obstacle problem.
This paper optimizes liquidity provision in automated market makers using auction theory.
problem Optimizing profit for a monopolist liquidity provider in automated market makers.
method Introduces a Bayesian-like belief inference framework to model AMMs, characterizes profit-maximizing strategies using Myerson's optimal auction theory.
result Characterizes the optimal demand curve and payments for an IC AMM, revealing a bid-ask spread caused by asymmetry and monopoly pricing.
We consider the problem of Probably Approximate Correct (PAC) learning of a binary classifier from noisy labeled examples acquired from multiple annotators (each characterized by a respective classification noise rate). First, we consider the complete information scenario, where the learner knows the noise rates of all…
The paper solves an insurance problem using mean-variance and rank-dependent utility theory.
problem Formulating and solving an insurance problem with rank-dependent utility and mean-variance premium principle.
method Formulated as a non-concave maximization problem, then turned into a concave quantile optimization problem, solved using calculus of variations.
result An optimal insurance contract is derived and numerically computed.
We propose the development of a prediction market for forecasting prices for "toxic assets" to be transferred from Irish banks to the National Asset Management Agency (NAMA). Such a market allows market participants to assume a stake in a security whose value is tied to a future event. We propose that securities are cr…
It is important to collect credible training samples (x,y) for building data-intensive learning systems (e.g., a deep learning system). Asking people to report complex distribution p(x), though theoretically viable, is challenging in practice. This is primarily due to the cognitive loads required for human agents t…
This paper investigates Pareto optimal (PO, for short) insurance contracts in a behavioral finance framework, in which the insured evaluates contracts by the rank-dependent utility (RDU) theory and the insurer by the expected value premium principle. The incentive compatibility constraint is taken into account, so the …
Calibrated models can lead to miscalibrated aggregations in strategic interactions.
problem Miscalibration in aggregated predictions from multiple calibrated models.
method Analysis of strategic interactions between calibrated predictors, proving conditions for miscalibration and comparing VCG and Brier-score aggregation methods.
result VCG aggregation method outperforms Brier-score in strategic settings, providing robustness and comparable accuracy.
The paper proposes incentivizing human annotators with 'golden questions' to improve data quality.
problem Ensuring high-quality human annotations for training large language models.
method A principal-agent model is used to incentivize annotators with bonuses based on the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) of their annotations. Hypothesis testing is applied to monitor the annotators' performance.
result The hypothesis testing rate for the principal-agent model is of Θ(1/nlogn), highlighting the importance of 'golden questions' for monitoring annotators.