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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for insider information

Informed traders strategically reveal noisier signals, making prices less responsive to public information.

problem How informed traders strategically reveal signals impacts market prices and utility.
method Modeling a market with an informed trader, an uninformed trader, and liquidity providers, proving equilibrium existence.
result In equilibrium, the insider strategically reveals a noisier signal, making prices less responsive to public information.

In this paper, we present a multi-period trading model in the style of Kyle (1985)'s inside trading model, by assuming that there are at least two insiders in the market with long-lived private information, under the requirement that each insider publicly discloses his stock trades after the fact. Based on this model, …

2011-03-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Researchers tackle insider trading in incomplete markets using a discrete-time jump process approach.

problem Tackles insider trading in incomplete markets under the trinomial model.
method Uses a marked binomial process and stochastic analysis with Malliavin calculus.
result Identifies insider expected additional utility with Shannon entropy of extra information.

Kyle (1985) builds a pioneering and influential model, in which an insider with long-lived private information submits an optimal order in each period given the market maker's pricing rule. An inconsistency exists to some extent in the sense that the ``constant pricing rule " actually assumes an adaptive expected price…

2010-12-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Study compares different integrals for optimal portfolio optimization with insider information.

problem Optimizing portfolios in a financial market with insider information.
method Anticipating stochastic calculus and various integrals (Russo-Vallois forward, Ayed-Kuo, Hitsuda-Skorokhod).
result The Hitsuda-Skorokhod and Ayed-Kuo integrals do not provide a financially meaningful investment strategy.

Study on markets with insiders receiving private signals affecting asset prices and information flow.

problem Understanding markets with heterogeneous information flows and private signals.
method Proves existence of a partial communication equilibrium with jumps in information and prices.
result The public information flow and asset prices jump at each private signal time, creating incomplete markets between jumps.

XGBoost detects unlawful insider trading with high accuracy.

problem Detecting unlawful insider trading from large volumes of transactions.
method Applying eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) for identifying and ranking key features.
result XGBoost achieves 97% accuracy in detecting unlawful transactions.

Illegal insider trading of stocks is based on releasing non-public information (e.g., new product launch, quarterly financial report, acquisition or merger plan) before the information is made public. Detecting illegal insider trading is difficult due to the complex, nonlinear, and non-stationary nature of the stock ma…

2018-07-02abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we present a multi-period trading model by assuming that traders face not only asymmetric information but also heterogenous prior beliefs, under the requirement that the insider publicly disclose his stock trades after the fact. We show that there is an equilibrium in which the irrational insider camoufl…

2011-05-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Study shows Skorokhod insider outperforms forward insider in logarithmic utility maximization.

problem Maximizing logarithmic utility for an insider with different anticipating techniques.
method Comparison of Russo-Vallois forward and Skorokhod integrals.
result Skorokhod insider outperforms forward insider in logarithmic utility maximization.

We consider the problem of optimal inside portfolio π(t)π(t) in a financial market with a corresponding wealth process X(t)=Xπ(t)X(t)=X^π(t) modelled by \begin{align}\label{eq0.1} \begin{cases} dX(t)&=π(t)X(t)[α(t)dt+β(t)dB(t)]; \quad t\in[0, T] X(0)&=x_0>0, \end{cases} \end{align} where B()B(\cdot) is a Brownian motion. We assum…

2018-01-11abs ↗pdf ↗

In the context of a general semimartingale model of a complete market, we aim at answering the following question: How much is an investor willing to pay for learning some inside information that allows to achieve arbitrage? If such a value exists, we call it the value of informational arbitrage. In particular, we are …

2018-04-02abs ↗pdf ↗

New discrete-time model shows insider trading dynamics.

problem Modeling insider trading with discrete time and noise traders.
method Formulated as a game with three types of traders, including an insider, noise traders, and a market maker. Proved existence of sequential Kyle equilibrium for various distributions and information flows.
result Equilibria exist in mixed strategies but not in pure strategies, unlike in Kyle's original model.

Study examines insider trading in short-selling restricted markets.

problem Analyzing insider trading opportunities in short-selling prohibited markets.
method Introducing minimal supermartingale measure and analyzing its properties in relation to minimal martingale measure.
result Conditions under which both measures fail to exist, indicating insider information affecting market perception.

Study proves existence and convergence of discrete-time Kyle models with multiple insiders.

problem Existence and convergence of discrete-time Kyle models with multiple informed traders.
method Proves existence and convergence of discrete-time Kyle models with multiple informed traders using mathematical proofs.
result Equilibrium exists and converges to continuous-time equilibrium as the number of trading times increases.

Study risk-averse insider's behavior in dynamic signal asset pricing.

problem Analyzing risk-averse insider's dynamic signal in asset pricing.
method Employing a weak conditioning methodology to construct a Schrödinger bridge, deriving necessary conditions for equilibrium.
result Derive explicit closed-form solutions for important cases.

Study reveals opacity in insider sales, leading to inefficiencies in capital allocation.

problem Insider sales opacity due to reporting inversion of Form 144 and Form 4.
method Event study framework, machine learning audit, cross-sectional tests.
result Persistent opacity of insider sales signals, leading to inefficiencies in capital allocation.

Study detects unlawful insider trading using SHAP and CF, identifying key features.

problem Detecting and explaining unlawful insider trading with MNPI.
method Combining Shapley Values and Causal Forest approaches.
result Identifies key features explaining unlawful insider trading.

The paper confirms a conjecture about optimal expected utility in markets with insider information.

problem Optimal expected utility in markets with insider information.
method An extension of the Black-Scholes-Merton model with a sequence of discrete-time economies.
result Optimal expected utility converges to the classic model when conditions are met.

Paper evaluates deadline-ILS on insider trading contracts, finding it distinguishes signals from noise.

problem Deadlines in insider trading contracts and information leakage detection.
method Empirical evaluation using FFIC dataset, hazard-rate estimation, cross-market wallet analysis.
result Deadline-ILS distinguishes signal from proxy artefact, with a significant shift in magnitude.

Three methods detect informed trading on prediction markets, each focusing on different aspects.

problem Detecting informed trading in decentralized prediction markets.
method Composite screen, event-level sign-randomization test, and Information Leakage Score (ILS) framework.
result Different methods detect informed trading on prediction markets, each focusing on different aspects.

Modeling trading behavior with information signals and limit order books, showing market impact and equilibrium properties.

problem Analyzing the impact of information signals on trading behavior and market equilibrium in limit order books.
method Static equilibrium model with profit-maximizing investors and competitive dealers, using iterative algorithms and asymptotic analysis.
result The market impact of large trades follows a power law with fat tails and a logarithmic law with lighter tails, and the order book flattens as noise trading increases.

We study arbitrage opportunities, market viability and utility maximization in market models with an insider. Assuming that an economic agent possesses from the beginning an additional information in the form of a random variable G, which only becomes known to the ordinary agents at date T, we give criteria for the No …

2016-08-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Modeling insider trading with transaction costs and fair pricing.

problem Maximizing profits for an informed trader in a market with transaction costs and fair pricing.
method Single auction model and continuous time analogue, analyzing equilibrium behavior with polynomial and differential equations.
result Equilibrium trading strategy and pricing rules are affected by transaction costs, revealing an information gap.

Study dynamic equilibrium with insider and general uninformed agent preferences.

problem Analyzing asymmetric information and general utility functions in a continuous-time economy.
method Introducing a new method to prove existence of a partial communication equilibrium (PCE) for agents with general utility functions.
result Identify the equilibrium price in the small and large risk aversion limits for agents with power utility.

Gradient boosting detects insider purchases predicting abnormal returns in microcap stocks.

problem Predicting abnormal returns in U.S. microcap stocks using insider purchase signals.
method Gradient boosting classifier trained on insider identity, transaction history, and market conditions.
result Gradient boosting classifier achieves AUC of 0.70 on out-of-sample data, with precision and recall of 0.38 and 0.69 respectively.

Given a Markovian Brownian martingale ZZ, we build a process XX which is a martingale in its own filtration and satisfies X1=Z1X_1 = Z_1. We call XX a dynamic bridge, because its terminal value Z1Z_1 is not known in advance. We compute explicitly its semimartingale decomposition under both its own filtration $\cF^X$ an…

2012-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on pricing rules for income streams with partial insider information.

problem Determining the value of partial information in pricing rules for income streams.
method Analyzes three types of agents with varying levels of jump information and derives explicit state price densities.
result Explicit formulas for pricing rules with different levels of jump information are provided.

Study uses random forest to detect unlawful insider trading in financial data.

problem Detecting and identifying unlawful insider trading in complex financial data.
method Integrates PCA-RF and standalone RF models with semi-manually labeled transactions.
result 96.43% accurate classification of transactions, 95.47% lawful, 98.00% unlawful.

Paper presents a new approach to a strategic insider equilibrium problem in continuous time.

problem Continuous time Kyle-Back model between insider and market marker.
method Uses forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs) for characterization of equilibria.
result Characterizes all equilibria through FBSDEs and shows uniqueness of equilibrium without Markovian restrictions.

Study optimal portfolios for traders with asymmetric information and delay.

problem Optimizing portfolios for traders with delayed insider information.
method Anticipating stochastic calculus and white noise approach.
result Optimal portfolios maximize expected logarithmic utility under various financial models.

ADSAGE detects anomalies in graph edge sequences for insider threat detection.

problem Detecting insider threats in fine-grained audit logs using graph and text features.
method Anomaly detection at edge level, supporting numeric, categorical, and text attributes.
result ADSAGE detects anomalies in authentications and email communications effectively.

In this paper we consider the problem of the quantile hedging from the point of view of a better informed agent acting on the market. The additional knowledge of the agent is modelled by a filtration initially enlarged by some random variable. By using equivalent martingale measures introduced in Amendinger (2000) and …

2008-11-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Enlargement of filtrations is a classical topic in the general theory of stochastic processes. This theory has been applied to stochastic finance in order to analyze models with insider information. In this paper we study initial enlargement in a Markov chain market model, introduced by R. Norberg. In the enlargened fi…

2011-08-12abs ↗pdf ↗

The continuous-time version of Kyle's (1985) model is studied, in which market makers are not fiduciaries. They have some market power which they utilize to set the price to their advantage, resulting in positive expected profits. This has several implications for the equilibrium, the most important being that by setti…

2019-08-23abs ↗pdf ↗