Informed traders strategically reveal noisier signals, making prices less responsive to public information.
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Within the well-known framework of financial portfolio optimization, we analyze the existing relationships between the condition of arbitrage and the utility maximization in presence of \emph{insider information}. We assume that, since the initial time, the information flow is altered by adding the knowledge of an addi…
We study super--replication of European contingent claims in an illiquid market with insider information. Illiquidity is captured by quadratic transaction costs and insider information is modeled by an investor who can peek into the future. Our main result describes the scaling limit of the super--replication prices wh…
The background for the general mathematical link between utility and information theory investigated in this paper is a simple financial market model with two kinds of small traders: less informed traders and insiders, whose extra information is represented by an enlargement of the other agents' filtration. The expecte…
In this paper, we present a multi-period trading model in the style of Kyle (1985)'s inside trading model, by assuming that there are at least two insiders in the market with long-lived private information, under the requirement that each insider publicly discloses his stock trades after the fact. Based on this model, …
Researchers tackle insider trading in incomplete markets using a discrete-time jump process approach.
In a unified framework we study equilibrium in the presence of an insider having information on the signal of the firm value, which is naturally connected to the fundamental price of the firm related asset. The fundamental value itself is announced at a future random (stopping) time. We consider two cases. First when t…
Kyle (1985) builds a pioneering and influential model, in which an insider with long-lived private information submits an optimal order in each period given the market maker's pricing rule. An inconsistency exists to some extent in the sense that the ``constant pricing rule " actually assumes an adaptive expected price…
We study the gain of an insider having private information which concerns the default risk of a counterparty. More precisely, the default time τis modelled as the first time a stochastic process hits a random barrier L. The insider knows this barrier (as it can be the case for example for the manager of the counterpart…
This paper studies the equilibrium pricing of asset shares in the presence of dynamic private information. The market consists of a risk-neutral informed agent who observes the firm value, noise traders, and competitive market makers who set share prices using the total order flow as a noisy signal of the insider's inf…
Generalizes insider trading model to multiple assets.
Study compares different integrals for optimal portfolio optimization with insider information.
Study on markets with insiders receiving private signals affecting asset prices and information flow.
Insiders camouflage trading to balance wealth and stealth, avoiding legal penalties.
XGBoost detects unlawful insider trading with high accuracy.
Illegal insider trading of stocks is based on releasing non-public information (e.g., new product launch, quarterly financial report, acquisition or merger plan) before the information is made public. Detecting illegal insider trading is difficult due to the complex, nonlinear, and non-stationary nature of the stock ma…
In this paper, we present a multi-period trading model by assuming that traders face not only asymmetric information but also heterogenous prior beliefs, under the requirement that the insider publicly disclose his stock trades after the fact. We show that there is an equilibrium in which the irrational insider camoufl…
Study shows Skorokhod insider outperforms forward insider in logarithmic utility maximization.
We consider the problem of optimal inside portfolio in a financial market with a corresponding wealth process modelled by \begin{align}\label{eq0.1} \begin{cases} dX(t)&=π(t)X(t)[α(t)dt+β(t)dB(t)]; \quad t\in[0, T] X(0)&=x_0>0, \end{cases} \end{align} where is a Brownian motion. We assum…
In this paper, we consider the pricing and hedging of a financial derivative for an insider trader, in a model-independent setting. In particular, we suppose that the insider wants to act in a way which is independent of any modelling assumptions, but that she observes market information in the form of the prices of va…
In the context of a general semimartingale model of a complete market, we aim at answering the following question: How much is an investor willing to pay for learning some inside information that allows to achieve arbitrage? If such a value exists, we call it the value of informational arbitrage. In particular, we are …
We study an optimal investment problem under default risk where related information such as loss or recovery at default is considered as an exogenous random mark added at default time. Two types of agents who have different levels of information are considered. We first make precise the insider's information flow by us…
New discrete-time model shows insider trading dynamics.
Study examines insider trading in short-selling restricted markets.
Study proves existence and convergence of discrete-time Kyle models with multiple insiders.
Study risk-averse insider's behavior in dynamic signal asset pricing.
Study reveals opacity in insider sales, leading to inefficiencies in capital allocation.
Study detects unlawful insider trading using SHAP and CF, identifying key features.
The paper confirms a conjecture about optimal expected utility in markets with insider information.
This paper has been withdrawn by the authors pending corrections.
Paper evaluates deadline-ILS on insider trading contracts, finding it distinguishes signals from noise.
Three methods detect informed trading on prediction markets, each focusing on different aspects.
Modeling trading behavior with information signals and limit order books, showing market impact and equilibrium properties.
We study arbitrage opportunities, market viability and utility maximization in market models with an insider. Assuming that an economic agent possesses from the beginning an additional information in the form of a random variable G, which only becomes known to the ordinary agents at date T, we give criteria for the No …
Modeling insider trading with transaction costs and fair pricing.
Study dynamic equilibrium with insider and general uninformed agent preferences.
Gradient boosting detects insider purchases predicting abnormal returns in microcap stocks.
Given a Markovian Brownian martingale , we build a process which is a martingale in its own filtration and satisfies . We call a dynamic bridge, because its terminal value is not known in advance. We compute explicitly its semimartingale decomposition under both its own filtration $\cF^X$ an…
Study on pricing rules for income streams with partial insider information.
Study uses random forest to detect unlawful insider trading in financial data.
Paper presents a new approach to a strategic insider equilibrium problem in continuous time.
Study optimal portfolios for traders with asymmetric information and delay.
ADSAGE detects anomalies in graph edge sequences for insider threat detection.
In this paper we consider the problem of the quantile hedging from the point of view of a better informed agent acting on the market. The additional knowledge of the agent is modelled by a filtration initially enlarged by some random variable. By using equivalent martingale measures introduced in Amendinger (2000) and …
Enlargement of filtrations is a classical topic in the general theory of stochastic processes. This theory has been applied to stochastic finance in order to analyze models with insider information. In this paper we study initial enlargement in a Markov chain market model, introduced by R. Norberg. In the enlargened fi…
Insider threat detection is getting an increased concern from academia, industry, and governments due to the growing number of malicious insider incidents. The existing approaches proposed for detecting insider threats still have a common shortcoming, which is the high number of false alarms (false positives). The chal…
Top-down information plays a central role in human perception, but plays relatively little role in many current state-of-the-art deep networks, such as Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs). This work seeks to explore a path by which top-down information can have a direct impact within current deep networks. We explore …
The continuous-time version of Kyle's (1985) model is studied, in which market makers are not fiduciaries. They have some market power which they utilize to set the price to their advantage, resulting in positive expected profits. This has several implications for the equilibrium, the most important being that by setti…