On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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2 results for “deadline-ILS”

Empirical Evaluation of Deadline-Resolved Information Leakage on Documented Polymarket Insider Casesq-fin.TR

Paper evaluates deadline-ILS on insider trading contracts, finding it distinguishes signals from noise.

problem Deadlines in insider trading contracts and information leakage detection.

method Empirical evaluation using FFIC dataset, hazard-rate estimation, cross-market wallet analysis.

result Deadline-ILS distinguishes signal from proxy artefact, with a significant shift in magnitude.

deadline-ILS insider trading information leakage polymarket hazard-rate estimation

2026-05-04abs ↗pdf ↗

ForesightFlow: An Information Leakage Score Framework for Prediction Marketsq-fin.TR

ForesightFlow detects informed trading on prediction markets using an information leakage score.

problem Detecting informed trading on decentralized prediction markets.

method Developed an Information Leakage Score (ILS) framework to quantify the fraction of terminal information move priced in before public news events.

result The score connects label generation to proper-scoring-rule literature and reveals systematic biases in insider trading documentation.

prediction markets informed trading information leakage proper-scoring-rule decentralized markets

2026-05-01abs ↗pdf ↗