A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
We show that the error probability of reconstructing kernel matrices from Random Fourier Features for the Gaussian kernel function is at most O(R2/3exp(−D)), where D is the number of random features and R is the diameter of the data domain. We also provide an information-theoretic method-independen…
In this paper we consider portmanteau tests for testing the adequacy of multiplicative seasonal autoregressive moving-average (SARMA) models under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent.We relax the standard independence assumption on the error term in order to extend the range …
In this paper, we prove that some Gaussian structural equation models with dependent errors having equal variances are identifiable from their corresponding Gaussian distributions. Specifically, we prove identifiability for the Gaussian structural equation models that can be represented as Andersson-Madigan-Perlman cha…
We find a deterministic equivalent for random feature regression's test error, independent of feature map dimension.
problem Understanding the generalization performance of random feature ridge regression.
method We derive a deterministic equivalent for the test error of RFRR under a concentration property, showing it can be approximated by a closed-form expression dependent on feature map eigenvalues.
result Our approximation guarantee is non-asymptotic, multiplicative, and independent of the feature map dimension, providing a tight result for the smallest number of features achieving optimal minimax error rate.
We show how to estimate a model's test error from unlabeled data, on distributions very different from the training distribution, while assuming only that certain conditional independencies are preserved between train and test. We do not need to assume that the optimal predictor is the same between train and test, or t…
Suppose that we observe y∈Rf and X∈Rf×m in the following errors-in-variables model: \begin{eqnarray*} y & = & X_0 β^* + ε\\ X & = & X_0 + W \end{eqnarray*} where X0 is a f×m design matrix with independent subgaussian row vectors, ε∈Rf is a noise vector…
In this paper, we improve the PAC-Bayesian error bound for linear regression derived in Germain et al. [10]. The improvements are twofold. First, the proposed error bound is tighter, and converges to the generalization loss with a well-chosen temperature parameter. Second, the error bound also holds for training data t…
Using methods of statistical physics, we analyse the error of learning couplings in large Ising models from independent data (the inverse Ising problem). We concentrate on learning based on local cost functions, such as the pseudo-likelihood method for which the couplings are inferred independently for each spin. Assum…
Suppose that we observe y∈Rn and X∈Rn×m in the following errors-in-variables model: \begin{eqnarray*} y & = & X_0 β^* +ε\\ X & = & X_0 + W, \end{eqnarray*} where X0 is an n×m design matrix with independent subgaussian row vectors, ε∈Rn is a noise vecto…
We study the problem of {\em distribution-independent} PAC learning of halfspaces in the presence of Massart noise. Specifically, we are given a set of labeled examples (x,y) drawn from a distribution D on Rd+1 such that the marginal distribution on the unlabeled points $\mathbf{x}…
Stagewise training strategy is widely used for learning neural networks, which runs a stochastic algorithm (e.g., SGD) starting with a relatively large step size (aka learning rate) and geometrically decreasing the step size after a number of iterations. It has been observed that the stagewise SGD has much faster conve…
We show that if F is a convex class of functions that is L-subgaussian, the error rate of learning problems generated by independent noise is equivalent to a fixed point determined by `local' covering estimates of the class, rather than by the gaussian averages. To that end, we establish new sharp upper and lower e…
We have developed an automatic sleep stage classification algorithm based on deep residual neural networks and raw polysomnogram signals. Briefly, the raw data is passed through 50 convolutional layers before subsequent classification into one of five sleep stages. Three model configurations were trained on 1850 polyso…