A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Historical income per capita data follow hyperbolic growth patterns.
Galor's mysterious income growth rate is debunked, revealing data manipulation.
Study on Brazilian income distribution using PNAD data.
This paper presents a dynamic model to study the impact on the economic outcomes in different societies during the Malthusian Era of individualism (time spent working alone) and collectivism (complementary time spent working with others). The model is driven by opposing forces: a greater degree of collectivism provides…
This paper optimizes tontines for retirement income, improving on historical designs.
The paper uses machine learning to predict missing yield parameters from liquid markets to illiquid corporate bonds.
The instability of historical risk factor correlations renders their use in estimating portfolio risk extremely questionable. In periods of market stress correlations of risk factors have a tendency to quickly go well beyond estimated values. For instance, in times of severe market stress, one would expect with certain…
Machine learning extracts features from illiquid corporate bond yields.
Paper proposes fair ML predictors to avoid discrimination.
Paper examines how income support affects retirement decisions for low-income individuals.
Predicts power outages duration using neural networks and text analysis.
The study analyzes ETFs' portfolio optimization and tail-risk management.
The aim of this work is to establish the personal income distribution from the elementary constituents of a free market; products of a representative good and agents forming the economic network. The economy is treated as a self-organized system. Based on the idea that the dynamics of an economy is governed by slow mod…
Herein, we applied statistical physics to study incomes of three (low-, medium- and high-income) society classes instead of the two (low- and medium-income)classes studied so far. In the frame of the threshold nonlinear Langevin dynamics and its threshold Fokker-Planck counterpart, we derived a unified formula for desc…
Alternative model for US household income distribution.
A new model explains relative spreads between economies using dynamic Nelson-Siegel and functional regression.
This paper explores several types of income which have not been explored so far by authors who tackled income and wealth distribution using Statistical Physics. The main types of income we plan to analyze are income before redistribution (or gross income), income of retired people (or pensions), and income of active pe…
Income redistribution boosts cooperation in spatial public goods games, but the effect depends on the model of redistribution.
We found a unified formula for description of the household incomes of all society classes, for instance, for the European Union in years 2005-2010. The formula is more general than well known that of Yakovenko et al. because, it satisfactorily describes not only the household incomes of low- and medium-income society …
Analyzes how many people can receive stable income in a pooled annuity fund.
Capital usually leads to income, and income is more accurately and easily measured. Thus we summarize income distributions in USA, Germany, etc.
Developing a scientific understanding of cities in a fast urbanizing world is essential for planning sustainable urban systems. Recently, it was shown that income and wealth creation follow increasing returns, scaling superlinearly with city size. We study scaling of per capita incomes for separate census defined incom…
Study shows income inequality increases with city size, affecting only the wealthiest deciles.
This study analyzes inequality in Romanian income distribution using advanced statistical methods.
We found a unified formula for description of the household incomes of all society classes, for instance, of those of the European Union in year 2007. This formula is a stationary solution of the threshold Fokker-Planck equation (derived from the threshold nonlinear Langevin one). The formula is more general than the w…
Income and wealth distribution affect stability of a society to a large extent and high inequality affects it negatively. Moreover, in the case of developed countries, recently has been proven that inequality is closely related to all negative phenomena affecting society. So far, Econophysics papers tried to analyse in…
PoPCoin aims to create a more equitable cryptocurrency.
Model shows significant income inequality emerges from equal opportunities in a simple economy.
We investigate the Japanese personal income distribution in the high income range over the 112 years 1887-1998, and that in the middle income range over the 44 years 1955-98. It is observed that the distribution pattern of the lognormal with power law tail is the universal structure. However the indexes specifying the …
Study finds Pareto distribution for wealth and income of Norway's richest individuals.
We prove that the refined approach -- our extension of the Yakovenko et al. formalism -- is universal in the sense that it describes well both household incomes in the European Union and the individual incomes in the United States for social classes of any income. This formalism allowed the study of the impact of the r…
We analyze three sets of income data: the US Panel Study of Income Dynamics PSID), the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS), and the German Socio-Economic Panel (GSOEP). It is shown that the empirical income distribution is consistent with a two-parameter lognormal function for the low-middle income group (97%-99% of …
The results of R^2 dynamical random surface model (2-dimensional quantum gravity with a term) are applied to explain the personal income distribution. A scale invariance exists if there is not the term in the action. The R^2 term provides a typical scale and breaks the scale invariance explicitly in the low…
Unified model explains income inequality across countries.
Algorithm calculates incomes for Chilean pass-through entities.
We present a stochastic agent-based model for the distribution of personal incomes in a developing economy. We start with the assumption that incomes are determined both by individual labour and by stochastic effects of trading and investment. The income from personal effort alone is distributed about a mean, while the…
We introduce a mean-field type approximation for description of company's income statistics. Utilizing huge company data we show that a discrete version of Langevin equation with additive and multiplicative noises can appropriately describe the time evolution of a company's income fluctuation in statistical sense. The …
Optimal income crossover found using particle swarm optimization.
Paper uses Super-App data to improve income estimation models.
A microeconomic model is developed, which accurately predicts the shape of personal income distribution (PID) in the United States and the evolution of the shape over time. The underlying concept is borrowed from geo-mechanics and thus can be considered as mechanics of income distribution. The model allows the resoluti…
By using methods of statistical physics, we focus on the quantitative analysis of the economic income data descending from different databases. To explain our approach, we introduce the necessary theoretical background, the extended Yakovenko et al. (EY) model. This model gives an analytical description of the annual h…
Pareto's law states that the distribution of personal income obeys a power-law in the high-income range, and has been supported by international observations. Researchers have proposed models over a century since its discovery. However, the dynamical nature of personal income has been little studied hitherto, mostly du…
We analyze and develop a quantitative model describing the evolution of personal income distribution, PID, for males and females in the U.S. between 1930 and 2014. The overall microeconomic model, which we introduced ten years ago, accurately predicts the change in mean income as a function of age as well as the depend…
The evolution of Gini coefficient for personal incomes in the USA between 1947 and 2005 is analyzed and modeled. There are several versions of personal income distribution (PID) provided by the US Census Bureau (US CB) for this period with various levels of resolution. Effectively, these PIDs result in different Gini c…
This article is focused on using a new measurement of risk-- Weighted Value at Risk to develop a new method of constructing initiate from the TVAR solving problem, based on MATLAB software, using the historical simulation method (avoiding income distribution will be assumed to be normal), the results of previous studie…
Black women and white men have the highest income disparity in the U.S.
Two sets of high quality income data are analysed in detail, one set from the UK, one from the USA. It is firstly demonstrated that both a log-normal distribution and a Boltzmann distribution can give very accurate fits to both these data sets. The absence of a power tail in the US data set is then discussed. Taken in …
We consider a heterogeneous agent-based economic model where economic agents have strictly bounded rationality and where income allocation strategies evolve through selective imitation. Income is calculated by a Cobb-Douglas type production function, and selection of strategies for imitation depends on the income growt…