A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
A statistical description and model of individual healthcare expenditures in the US has been developed for measuring value in healthcare. We find evidence that healthcare expenditures are quantifiable as an infusion-diffusion process, which can be thought of intuitively as a steady change in the intensity of treatment …
Super learner with Huber loss improves cost prediction and causal effect estimation in healthcare expenditure data.
Study decomposes racial healthcare disparities via shifts in mediator distributions.
Study shows racial bias in health data, which can be reduced with simple techniques.
The global financial crisis, beginning in 2008, took an historic toll on national economies around the world. Following equity market crashes, unemployment rates rose significantly in many countries: Italy was among those. What will be the impact of such large shocks on Italian healthcare finances? An empirical model f…
High quality risk adjustment in health insurance markets weakens insurer incentives to engage in inefficient behavior to attract lower-cost enrollees. We propose a novel methodology based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods to improve risk adjustment by clustering diagnostic codes into risk groups optimal for health ex…
One of the main issues affecting the Italian NHS is the healthcare deficit: according to current agreements between the Italian State and its Regions, public funding of regional NHS is now limited to the amount of regional deficit and is subject to previous assessment of strict adherence to constraint on regional healt…
Most papers which explored so far macroeconomic variables took into account income and wealth. Equally important as the previous macroeconomic variables is the expenditure or consumption, which shows the amount of goods and services that a person or a household purchased. Using statistical distributions from Physics, s…
We empirically investigate distributions of individual consumption expenditure f or four commodity categories conditional on fixed income levels. The data stems from the Family Expenditure Survey carried out annually in the United Kingdom. W e use graphical techniques to test for normality and lognormality of these dis…
Simulation framework assesses ROI of chronic disease adherence and policy timing.
Early diagnosis is important for type 2 diabetes (T2D) to improve patient prognosis, prevent complications and reduce long-term treatment costs. We present a novel risk profiling approach based exclusively on health expenditure data that is available to Belgian mutual health insurers. We used expenditure data related t…
This work presents an empirical study of the evolution of the consumer expenditure distribution in India during 1982-2007. We have used the National Sample Survey Organization data and analysed the expenditure distribution for the urban and rural sectors. It is found that this distribution is a mixture of two distribut…
It is not clear how to target patients who are most likely to benefit from digital care management programs ex-ante, a shortcoming of current risk score based approaches. This study focuses on defining impactability by identifying those patients most likely to benefit from technology enabled care management, delivered …
ChatGPT scores corporate investment plans, predicting future spending and returns.
Deep neural network predicts diabetic readmission with high accuracy.
Optimizes profit in targeted marketing across multiple markets with varying marketing expenditures.
In the present paper, we identify several distributions from Physics and study their applicability to phenomena such as distribution of income, wealth, and expenditure. Firstly, we apply logistic distribution to these data and we find that it fits very well the annual data for the entire income interval including for u…
Machine learning predicts exercise load from heart rate data post-exercise.
We propose a robust implementation of the Nerlove--Arrow model using a Bayesian structural time series model to explain the relationship between advertising expenditures of a country-wide fast-food franchise network with its weekly sales. Thanks to the flexibility and modularity of the model, it is well suited to gener…
Polynomial distribution can be applied to dynamical systems in certain situations. Macroeconomic systems characterized by economic variables such as income and wealth can be modelled similarly using polynomials. We extend our previous work to data regarding income from a more diversified pool of countries, which contai…
Deep learning models accurately recognize and estimate physical activity types and energy expenditure from wrist accelerometer data.
Study assesses health plan risk measures for Solvency Capital Requirement.
We analyze expenditure patterns of discretionary funds by Brazilian congress members. This analysis is based on a large dataset containing over million expenses made publicly available by the Brazilian government. This dataset has, up to now, remained widely untouched by machine learning methods. Our main contribut…
We approximate the distribution of total expenditure of a retail company over warranty claims incurred in a fixed period [0, T], say the following quarter. We consider two kinds of warranty policies, namely, the non-renewing free replacement warranty policy and the non-renewing pro-rata warranty policy. Our approximati…
Method detects multi-timescale consumer spending patterns from receipts.
We extend the exploration regarding dynamical approach of macroeconomic variables by tackling systematically expenditure using Statistical Physics models (for the first time to the best of our knowledge). Also, using polynomial distribution which characterizes the behavior of dynamical systems in certain situations, we…
Proposes a mixed pension system combining PAYG and funded contributions to address sustainability.
Income redistribution is the transfer of income from some individuals to others directly or indirectly by means of social mechanisms, such as taxation, public services and so on. Employing a spatial public goods game, we study the influence of income redistribution on the evolution of cooperation. Two kinds of evolutio…
Probabilistic ML improves healthcare data analysis.
Big data analytics improves healthcare through early detection and quality life.
Study identifies what healthcare tasks can and should be automated.
MPVAA learns holistic patient representations from mixed healthcare data.
Survey on securing ML for healthcare, addressing privacy and robustness issues.
This paper solves the problem of optimal dynamic consumption, investment, and healthcare spending with isoelastic utility, when natural mortality grows exponentially to reflect Gompertz' law and investment opportunities are constant. Healthcare slows the natural growth of mortality, indirectly increasing utility from c…
LHIEM model predicts health, income, and employment over years.
Study optimal healthcare spending under Epstein-Zin preferences for longevity.
Study improves conformal prediction for EEG classification in healthcare, enhancing coverage.
Alternative model predicts health insurance reimbursement based on contract limitations.
A recommendation framework helps users choose healthcare interventions.
Paper proposes a human-algorithm approach to reduce medical device recall risk and workload.
Interpretability of ML models improves healthcare decisions.
LMM predicts healthcare costs and risks with improved accuracy.
Study improves healthcare time series imputation by considering structured missingness.
Accelerometer measurements are the prime type of sensor information most think of when seeking to measure physical activity. On the market, there are many fitness measuring devices which aim to track calories burned and steps counted through the use of accelerometers. These measurements, though good enough for the aver…
Unified framework for imputation and prediction in healthcare time series.
Study analyzes factors influencing healthcare providers' engagement with SMS campaigns.
MCRAGE generates synthetic data to balance healthcare datasets.
Modeling disease progression in healthcare administrative databases is complicated by the fact that patients are observed only at irregular intervals when they seek healthcare services. In a longitudinal cohort of 76,888 patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), we used a continuous-time hidden Markov…