A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
For information retrieval and binary classification, we show that precision at the top (or precision at k) and recall at the top (or recall at k) are maximised by thresholding the posterior probability of the positive class. This finding is a consequence of a result on constrained minimisation of the cost-sensitive exp…
In this article we revisit the definition of Precision-Recall (PR) curves for generative models proposed by Sajjadi et al. (arXiv:1806.00035). Rather than providing a scalar for generative quality, PR curves distinguish mode-collapse (poor recall) and bad quality (poor precision). We first generalize their formulation …
Interpreting neural network decisions and the information learned in intermediate layers is still a challenge due to the opaque internal state and shared non-linear interactions. Although (Kim et al, 2017) proposed to interpret intermediate layers by quantifying its ability to distinguish a user-defined concept (from r…
The optimal ranking score between precision and recall is rarely F1 and can be found using specific methods.
problem Finding a meaningful and optimal compromise between precision and recall scores.
method Established a shortest path between precision- and recall-induced rankings, framed the problem as an optimization problem, and provided theoretical tools to find the optimal β.
result F1 and its skew-insensitive version are not optimal tradeoffs between precision and recall scores.
We study the effectiveness of several techniques to personalize end-to-end speech models and improve the recognition of proper names relevant to the user. These techniques differ in the amounts of user effort required to provide supervision, and are evaluated on how they impact speech recognition performance. We propos…
Short sales are regarded as negative purchases in textbook asset pricing theory. In reality, however, the symmetry between purchases and short sales is broken by a variety of costs and risks peculiar to the latter. We formulate an optimal stopping model in which the decision to cover a short position is affected by two…
Despite the tremendous progress in the estimation of generative models, the development of tools for diagnosing their failures and assessing their performance has advanced at a much slower pace. Recent developments have investigated metrics that quantify which parts of the true distribution is modeled well, and, on the…
Evaluation often aims to reduce the correctness or error characteristics of a system down to a single number, but that always involves trade-offs. Another way of dealing with this is to quote two numbers, such as Recall and Precision, or Sensitivity and Specificity. But it can also be useful to see more than this, and …
We analyze a model of learning and belief formation in networks in which agents follow Bayes rule yet they do not recall their history of past observations and cannot reason about how other agents' beliefs are formed. They do so by making rational inferences about their observations which include a sequence of independ…
Smooth calibration improves forecast reliability even with leaked information.
problem Improving forecast reliability with leaked information.
method Combining nearby forecasts to ensure smooth calibration, which can be guaranteed by deterministic procedures.
result Smooth calibration can be guaranteed by deterministic procedures even with leaked forecasts, and it yields uncoupled finite-memory dynamics in games.
This study is motivated by the magnitude of the problem of Louisiana high school dropout and its negative impacts on individual and public well-being. Our goal is to predict students who are at risk of high school dropout, by examining Louisiana administrative dataset. Due to the imbalanced nature of the dataset, imbal…
We introduce an adversarial method for producing high-recall explanations of neural text classifier decisions. Building on an existing architecture for extractive explanations via hard attention, we add an adversarial layer which scans the residual of the attention for remaining predictive signal. Motivated by the impo…
We address challenges of active learning under scarce informational resources in non-stationary environments. In real-world settings, data labeled and integrated into a predictive model may become invalid over time. However, the data can become informative again with switches in context and such changes may indicate un…
Recall assistance methods are among the key aspects that improve the accuracy of online dietary assessment surveys. These methods still mainly rely on experience of trained interviewers with nutritional background, but data driven approaches could improve cost-efficiency and scalability of automated dietary assessment.…
This encyclopedia article briefly reviews without proofs some of the main results in cotangent bundle reduction. The article recalls most the necessary prerequisites to understand the main results.
Face recall is a basic human cognitive process performed routinely, e.g., when meeting someone and determining if we have met that person before. Assisting a subject during face recall by suggesting candidate faces can be challenging. One of the reasons is that the search space - the face space - is quite large and lac…
We introduce GeNet, a method for shotgun metagenomic classification from raw DNA sequences that exploits the known hierarchical structure between labels for training. We provide a comparison with state-of-the-art methods Kraken and Centrifuge on datasets obtained from several sequencing technologies, in which dataset s…
The family Blow Up formula is recalled. Certain combinatoric graphs are introduced for the discussion of the counting of nodal curves on an Kahler surface.