Modeling dynamic groundwater markets with price formation and trading strategies.
problem Understanding competitive effects in environmental markets with groundwater banking.
method Stochastic models and game theory with machine learning algorithms.
result Sub-game perfect Nash equilibria characterized by groundwater price processes.
A model for groundwater trading among stakeholders.
problem Groundwater trading among stakeholders in a basin.
method Optimization of production by agents considering water rights, consumption, and trading.
result Characterization of Nash equilibrium in a 1-period setting and initial insights into multi-period game.
Sustainable management of groundwater resources under changing climatic conditions require an application of reliable and accurate predictions of groundwater levels. Mechanistic multi-scale, multi-physics simulation models are often too hard to use for this purpose, especially for groundwater managers who do not have a…
The paper validates statistical models for groundwater data.
problem Validating statistical models for groundwater data.
method Traditional time-series models and modern neural networks.
result Validation techniques ensure lower computational cost and robust predictions.
Study develops ensemble machine learning framework for predicting groundwater heavy metal pollution.
problem Statistical complexity and spatial heterogeneity of heavy metal contamination in groundwater.
method Nested cross-validated ensemble machine learning with response transformations (raw, log, Gaussian copula).
result Copula-based models with DBSCAN clustering diagnostics provide the most reliable and interpretable assessments of groundwater contamination.
Hybrid models improve groundwater level prediction and uncertainty analysis.
problem Predicting and analyzing uncertainty of monthly groundwater levels.
method Six evolutionary optimization algorithms (GOA, CSO, WA, GA, KA, PSO) hybridized with ANFIS, ANN, and SVM.
result ANFIS-GOA outperformed other models in predicting groundwater levels.
Global hydrological and land surface models are increasingly used for tracking terrestrial total water storage (TWS) dynamics, but the utility of existing models is hampered by conceptual and/or data uncertainties related to various underrepresented and unrepresented processes, such as groundwater storage. The gravity …
Machine learning and deep learning infer surface/groundwater exchange from temperature data.
problem Inferring surface/groundwater exchange from temperature data with high temporal resolution.
method Application of machine learning and deep learning algorithms to infer surface/groundwater exchange flux from subsurface temperature observations.
result DL methods outperform ML methods in interpreting noisy temperature data, especially with a smoothing filter.
DIN framework directly models hydraulic conductivity and uncertainty.
problem Modeling hydraulic conductivity and uncertainty in groundwater flow.
method DIN utilizes DDPM as a prior learner, incorporating observational data through conditional injection mechanisms.
result DIN generates multiple constraint-satisfying realizations and accurate uncertainty quantification.
Identification of a groundwater contaminant source simultaneously with the hydraulic conductivity in highly-heterogeneous media often results in a high-dimensional inverse problem. In this study, a deep autoregressive neural network-based surrogate method is developed for the forward model to allow us to solve efficien…
VED framework learns low-dimensional latent representations of physical systems.
problem Learning latent representations of complex physical systems.
method Variational Encoder-Decoder (VED) framework with KL divergence and covariance regularization.
result VED achieves lower-dimensional latent representations with improved feature disentanglement.
In the face of growing needs for water and energy, a fundamental understanding of the environmental impacts of human activities becomes critical for managing water and energy resources, remedying water pollution, and making regulatory policy wisely. Among activities that impact the environment, oil and gas production, …
A hierarchical Bayesian classifier is trained at pixel scale with spectral data from the CRISM (Compact Reconnaissance Imaging Spectrometer for Mars) imagery. Its utility in detecting rare phases is demonstrated with new geologic discoveries near the Mars-2020 rover landing site. Akaganeite is found in sediments on the…
Adaptive algorithm improves nonlinear data assimilation for non-Gaussian systems.
problem Challenges of non-Gaussian statistics in data assimilation.
method Triangular measure transport with P-spline basis functions and an information criterion.
result Automatic selection of parsimonious parametrization for efficient adaptation.
VAE improves MCMC efficiency by generating diverse prior proposals.
problem Inefficient MCMC methods in Bayesian inverse problems, especially subsurface flow modeling.
method Uses Variational Autoencoder (VAE) to generate broader-spectrum prior proposals.
result VAE achieves comparable accuracy to Karhunen-Loève Expansion (KLE) and outperforms it when correlation length is unknown.
In recent years, data-driven methods have been developed to learn dynamical systems and partial differential equations (PDE). The goal of such work is discovering unknown physics and the corresponding equations. However, prior to achieving this goal, major challenges remain to be resolved, including learning PDE under …
Bayesian framework selects features and lags for time series forecasting.
problem Variable selection and lagged error term identification in time series models.
method Hierarchical Bayesian models with spike-and-slab priors, two-stage MCMC algorithm.
result Posterior selection consistency under mild conditions, improved predictive performance.
Surrogate strategies are used widely for uncertainty quantification of groundwater models in order to improve computational efficiency. However, their application to dynamic multiphase flow problems is hindered by the curse of dimensionality, the saturation discontinuity due to capillarity effects, and the time-depende…
Accelerates MCMC sampling for large-scale problems using machine learning.
problem Efficiently sampling large-scale Bayesian inference problems with high computational cost.
method Integrates low-fidelity machine learning models into a multilevel MCMC framework.
result Significantly accelerates multilevel sampling by a factor of two with similar accuracy.
Recent observations with varied schedules and types (moving average, snapshot, or regularly spaced) can help to improve streamflow forecasts, but it is challenging to integrate them effectively. Based on a long short-term memory (LSTM) streamflow model, we tested multiple versions of a flexible procedure we call data i…
FAL improves formation resistivity prediction from cased boreholes with noise resistance.
problem Noise and high-frequency disaster in predicting formation resistivity from cased boreholes.
method Frequency-aware framework and temporal anti-noise block for LSTM.
result FAL achieves a 24.3% improvement in R2 over LSTM, reaching R2=0.91.
Bayesian inference for inverse problems using mean-shift interacting particles
problem Bayesian inference for inverse problems
method Amortized mean-shift interacting particles
result Improves accuracy of Bayesian inference by reducing the number of samples needed
Deep learning predicts fluid flow in porous media, accelerating simulations by orders of magnitude.
problem Accurate simulation of fluid flow in complex porous media requires excessive computational resources.
method Combining deep learning with direct simulation, using Gated U-Net CNNs trained on datasets of 2D and 3D porous media.
result Deep learning predictions can reach over 90% accuracy for permeability estimation and accelerate simulations by orders of magnitude.