Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

255176101 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for grid coverage

New sampling bounds improve uniform coverage verification in machine learning.

problem Conservative bounds in classical coverage analyses at small failure probabilities.
method Variance-based analysis of uniform random sampling on a dd-dimensional unit hypercube.
result Sample complexity bound with logarithmic dependence on failure probability.

New methods for predicting compositional data using conformal prediction.

problem No well-established methods for constructing valid prediction sets in compositional data.
method Investigated three conformal prediction-based approaches for Dirichlet regression models.
result HDR approximation approach is robust in terms of coverage, while grid discretization reduces overcoverage.

TA-CQR predicts regression intervals with exact coverage, splitting miscoverage between endpoints.

problem Predicting regression intervals with exact coverage under reporting constraints.
method TA-CQR uses tail allocation to parameterize the oracle, estimating the allocation by searching quantile cores and applying nonnegative additive split-conformal calibration.
result TA-CQR achieves exact finite-sample marginal coverage under exchangeability, with theoretical guarantees on calibration and length.

SOCP uses SOM to find groups and local calibration buffers for better regional coverage.

problem Heterogeneous regional coverage gaps in conformal prediction.
method Self-Organizing Map (SOM) for group discovery; local calibration buffers at BMU or fixed grid.
result Reduces regional coverage gaps on 7/8 benchmarks by 7.1%.

Study non-monotonic loss functions in CRC, achieving valid risk control with large calibration samples.

problem Non-monotonic loss functions in CRC, violating existing theory's monotonicity assumption.
method Finite grid selection, calibration sample size analysis, Lipschitz continuity, monotonicity, distribution shift.
result Valid CRC achieved with large calibration samples, optimal excess risk rate of log(m)/n\sqrt{\log(m)/n}.

Unified neural network framework for context-aware Gaussian overbounds in uncertainty propagation.

problem Uncertainty quantification in safety-critical settings requires conservative bounds, but existing methods often fail to compose and are overly conservative.
method Proposes a learning framework that trains neural networks to produce context-aware Gaussian overbounds with provable conservatism.
result The method yields tighter bounds while maintaining conservatism on the enforced grid and in experiments.

CSP improves time-series forecasting without training, outperforming DeepNPTS in speed and accuracy.

problem Improving probabilistic time-series forecasting without training.
method Mixing empirical and residual draws around a seasonal naive forecast.
result CSP significantly outperforms DeepNPTS on CRPS, normalized mean quantile loss, and coverage metrics.

We present a grid diagram analogue of Carter, Rieger and Saito's smooth movie theorem. Specifically, we give definitions for grid movies, grid movie isotopies and present a definition of grid planar isotopy as a particular subset of the grid diagram moves: stabilization, destabilization and commutation. We show that gr…

2013-03-07abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper introduces triple grid diagrams to construct Lagrangian surfaces in complex projective space.

problem Constructing Lagrangian surfaces in complex projective space.
method Defining and analyzing triple grid diagrams to determine Lagrangian caps and surfaces.
result Triple grid diagrams can determine closed Lagrangian surfaces in CP2\mathbb{CP}^2 under certain conditions.

Half grid diagrams prove every link can be represented by a special type of grid diagram.

problem Representing links using grid diagrams and related invariants.
method Defining half grid diagrams and constructing canonical pairs, proving equivalence to Jones' construction, relating to classical link invariants.
result Established a new method to relate the oriented Thompson index to classical link invariants and provided bounds for knot invariants.

New method uses label-weighted conformal prediction for macro-coverage guarantees in classification.

problem Finding a balance between class-conditional and marginal coverage in long-tailed datasets.
method Label-weighted conformal prediction for macro-coverage guarantees.
result Validated prediction sets with macro-coverage guarantees on large-scale image datasets.

Grid homology properties for MOY graphs studied.

problem Defining and studying properties of grid homology for MOY graphs.
method Defined grid homology from Harvey and O'Donnol's work. Studied properties using oriented skein relation, edge contraction, and parallel edge unification.
result Properties of grid homology for MOY graphs were studied and defined.

New method constructs moduli spaces of Lagrangian surfaces in CP^2 from grid diagrams.

problem Constructing explicit examples of triple grid diagrams for Lagrangian surfaces in CP^2.
method Elegant geometric construction reducing to linear algebra.
result Explicit construction of moduli space of triple grid diagrams.

Algorithm balances learning and coverage for multi-robots over unknown fields.

problem Balancing learning and coverage for multi-robots over unknown, nonuniform sensory fields.
method DSLC algorithm that schedules learning and coverage epochs, using Gaussian Process modeling and coverage regret analysis.
result Upper bound on expected cumulative coverage regret provided for DSLC.

Improved conformal prediction for better conditional coverage of classifier predictions.

problem Achieving exact conditional coverage in finite samples for prediction sets.
method Developed a variant of conformal prediction targeting coverage conditional on confidence and trust score.
result Empirically improved conditional coverage properties compared to standard conformal prediction.

Adaptive coverage policies improve conformal prediction accuracy.

problem Fixed coverage levels in traditional conformal prediction lead to uninformative predictions.
method Optimizes adaptive coverage policy using a neural network trained on leave-one-out calibration.
result Adaptive coverage policies produce more informative and flexible prediction sets.

The paper studies grid homology for spatial graphs and proves a Künneth formula for connected sums.

problem Understanding grid homology for spatial graphs with various types of edges.
method Developed grid homology for spatial graphs with cut edges and applied it to prove a Künneth formula for connected sums.
result A Künneth formula for knot Floer homology of connected sums is proven using grid homology.

New metrics improve understanding of predictive system reliability.

problem Evaluating conditional coverage of predictive systems.
method Casting conditional coverage estimation as a classification problem, using excess risk of the target coverage (ERT) metrics.
result Modern classifiers provide higher statistical power for estimating conditional coverage.

Hexagon grid patterns emerge from conformal isometry in grid cell neural networks.

problem Understanding the algebraic, geometric, and topological properties of grid cells.
method Investigating recurrent neural network models of grid cells, focusing on Lie group and Lie algebra representations, conformal isometry, and hexagon periodic patterns.
result Conformal isometry leads to hexagon periodic patterns in grid cell responses and accurate path integration.

The paper analyzes how grid cells perform path integration and learns hexagon grid patterns.

problem Understanding how grid cells perform path integration calculations.
method Theoretical analysis of a general representation model of path integration by grid cells, identifying group representation and isotropic scaling conditions.
result The learned model of hexagon grid patterns is capable of accurate long distance path integration.

Power grids are one of the most important components of infrastructure in today's world. Every nation is dependent on the security and stability of its own power grid to provide electricity to the households and industries. A malfunction of even a small part of a power grid can cause loss of productivity, revenue and i…

2017-11-08abs ↗pdf ↗

The increasing penetration of distributed energy resources poses numerous reliability issues to the urban distribution grid. The topology estimation is a critical step to ensure the robustness of distribution grid operation. However, the bus connectivity and grid topology estimation are usually hard in distribution gri…

2016-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

ST-BCP narrows the coverage gap in BCP by transforming nonconformity scores.

problem The looseness in BCP's coverage guarantee due to Markov's inequality.
method Introduces a data-dependent transformation of nonconformity scores.
result Reduces the average coverage gap from 4.20% to 1.12% on benchmarks.

Improves conditional coverage of regression models using conformal prediction.

problem Lack of conditional coverage guarantees in conformal prediction methods.
method Proposes a novel algorithm to train a regression function to improve conditional coverage after split conformal prediction.
result Establishes an upper bound for miscoverage gap and proposes an end-to-end algorithm to control it.

The paper studies how grid cell patterns emerge in neural networks.

problem Understanding how grid cells in the brain form hexagonal firing patterns.
method Training recurrent neural networks with conformal normalization of velocity inputs.
result Conformal normalization is crucial for the emergence of hexagonal grid patterns in neural networks.

The paper proposes a method to infer Q-values online with Q-Learning.

problem High variance and instability in reinforcement learning algorithms.
method Adapting FCLT for a modified Q-learning approach and constructing confidence intervals.
result The proposed method provides more stable and reliable inference of Q-values.

The topology of a power grid affects its dynamic operation and settlement in the electricity market. Real-time topology identification can enable faster control action following an emergency scenario like failure of a line. This article discusses a graphical model framework for topology estimation in bulk power grids (…

2017-07-05abs ↗pdf ↗

This study uses AI to analyze financial market coverage from YouTube videos.

problem Challenges in analyzing a large number of financial market videos.
method Used Whisper model to generate text from videos, applied natural language processing.
result Highlights dynamics of financial market coverage and identifies trending topics.

Study finds cherry-picking load shaping strategies outperforms others in reducing grid CO2 emissions.

problem Lack of detailed counterfactual data makes it hard to assess load shaping strategies' effectiveness.
method Calibrated granular ERCOT simulations for counterfactual analysis of load shaping strategies.
result LMP-based load shaping outperforms other strategies in reducing grid CO2 emissions.