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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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1122 · Jun 201819922001200920172026
16 results for cherry-picking

Study finds cherry-picking load shaping strategies outperforms others in reducing grid CO2 emissions.

problem Lack of detailed counterfactual data makes it hard to assess load shaping strategies' effectiveness.
method Calibrated granular ERCOT simulations for counterfactual analysis of load shaping strategies.
result LMP-based load shaping outperforms other strategies in reducing grid CO2 emissions.

New method finds significant high-order interactions efficiently.

problem Finding statistically significant high-order interactions in high-dimensional data.
method Extends selective inference to high-order interaction models with pruning strategy.
result Demonstrated efficient and powerful method for high-order interactions.

This work evaluates and benchmarks calibration metrics for data-driven regression models.

problem Conflicting results from different calibration metrics make it hard to compare and interpret model performance.
method Systematically extracted and benchmarked 14 regression calibration metrics across various data types and recalibration methods.
result Many metrics disagree on the same recalibration result, highlighting the need for careful metric selection.

The medical field stands to see significant benefits from the recent advances in deep learning. Knowing the uncertainty in the decision made by any machine learning algorithm is of utmost importance for medical practitioners. This study demonstrates the utility of using Bayesian LSTMs for classification of medical time…

2017-06-05abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce autoregressive implicit quantile networks (AIQN), a fundamentally different approach to generative modeling than those commonly used, that implicitly captures the distribution using quantile regression. AIQN is able to achieve superior perceptual quality and improvements in evaluation metrics, without incu…

2018-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Statistical hypothesis testing serves as statistical evidence for scientific innovation. However, if the reported results are intentionally biased, hypothesis testing no longer controls the rate of false discovery. In particular, we study such selection bias in machine learning models where the reporter is motivated to…

2018-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Progress in machine learning is measured by careful evaluation on problems of outstanding common interest. However, the proliferation of benchmark suites and environments, adversarial attacks, and other complications has diluted the basic evaluation model by overwhelming researchers with choices. Deliberate or accident…

2018-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a method called TracIn that computes the influence of a training example on a prediction made by the model. The idea is to trace how the loss on the test point changes during the training process whenever the training example of interest was utilized. We provide a scalable implementation of TracIn via: (a)…

2020-02-19abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we first analyzed the inductive bias underlying the data scattered across complex free energy landscapes (FEL), and exploited it to train deep neural networks which yield reduced and clustered representation for the FEL. Our parametric method, called Information Distilling of Metastability (IDM), is end-t…

2019-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Few-shot classification (FSC) is challenging due to the scarcity of labeled training data (e.g. only one labeled data point per class). Meta-learning has shown to achieve promising results by learning to initialize a classification model for FSC. In this paper we propose a novel semi-supervised meta-learning method cal…

2019-06-03abs ↗pdf ↗

A2A metric evaluates bias correction methods, reducing ATE estimation errors.

problem Selection biases in non-randomized studies of medical treatments.
method Propensity score matching (PSM) with novel metric A2A.
result Reduces ATE estimation errors by up to 90% across synthetic and real-world datasets.

New method tackles label noise on imbalanced datasets by considering class-specific uncertainty.

problem Label noise and class imbalance in imbalanced datasets.
method Epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty-aware class-specific noise modeling.
result Proposed ULC framework improves performance on imbalanced datasets.

Framework evaluates AI proposals for drug discovery, finds no LLM advantage.

problem No principled framework exists for evaluating AI-guided scientific selection under budget constraints.
method Formally verified metric (BSDS/DQS) penalizes false discoveries and excessive abstention.
result LLMs provide no marginal value over existing classifiers in drug discovery.