Optimal trend-following strategy uses simple EMA, avoiding complex cherry-picked signals.
arXiv research
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Study finds cherry-picking load shaping strategies outperforms others in reducing grid CO2 emissions.
New method finds significant high-order interactions efficiently.
This work evaluates and benchmarks calibration metrics for data-driven regression models.
The medical field stands to see significant benefits from the recent advances in deep learning. Knowing the uncertainty in the decision made by any machine learning algorithm is of utmost importance for medical practitioners. This study demonstrates the utility of using Bayesian LSTMs for classification of medical time…
We introduce autoregressive implicit quantile networks (AIQN), a fundamentally different approach to generative modeling than those commonly used, that implicitly captures the distribution using quantile regression. AIQN is able to achieve superior perceptual quality and improvements in evaluation metrics, without incu…
Statistical hypothesis testing serves as statistical evidence for scientific innovation. However, if the reported results are intentionally biased, hypothesis testing no longer controls the rate of false discovery. In particular, we study such selection bias in machine learning models where the reporter is motivated to…
Jukebox generates high-fidelity songs with singing in raw audio.
Progress in machine learning is measured by careful evaluation on problems of outstanding common interest. However, the proliferation of benchmark suites and environments, adversarial attacks, and other complications has diluted the basic evaluation model by overwhelming researchers with choices. Deliberate or accident…
We introduce a method called TracIn that computes the influence of a training example on a prediction made by the model. The idea is to trace how the loss on the test point changes during the training process whenever the training example of interest was utilized. We provide a scalable implementation of TracIn via: (a)…
In this paper we first analyzed the inductive bias underlying the data scattered across complex free energy landscapes (FEL), and exploited it to train deep neural networks which yield reduced and clustered representation for the FEL. Our parametric method, called Information Distilling of Metastability (IDM), is end-t…
A new method corrects for bias in selecting the best candidate.
Few-shot classification (FSC) is challenging due to the scarcity of labeled training data (e.g. only one labeled data point per class). Meta-learning has shown to achieve promising results by learning to initialize a classification model for FSC. In this paper we propose a novel semi-supervised meta-learning method cal…
A2A metric evaluates bias correction methods, reducing ATE estimation errors.
New method tackles label noise on imbalanced datasets by considering class-specific uncertainty.
Framework evaluates AI proposals for drug discovery, finds no LLM advantage.