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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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106212317423 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for goals dependency

The paper examines how background risk affects portfolio selection and optimal reinsurance design.

problem Maximizing the probability of reaching a financial goal in the presence of background risk.
method Quantile formulation method to derive optimal solutions explicitly.
result The presence of background risk does not change the solution shape but alters the parameter values.

Physics-informed GCRL tackles sparse feedback learning with hybrid dynamics.

problem Sparse feedback learning with high-dimensional, hybrid, or contact-dependent dynamics.
method Introduces physics-informed inductive biases into goal-conditioned value learning.
result Contact-rich manipulation tasks degrade existing Pi-GCRL methods.

This paper introduces glocal explanations for expected goal models in soccer.

problem Limited interpretability of expected goal models trained with black-box methods.
method Proposes glocal explanations using aggregated SHAP values and partial dependence profiles.
result Extracts knowledge from expected goal models for teams and players, enhancing performance analysis.

The paper investigates Goodhart's law and its impact on goal alignment.

problem The adverse effects of optimizing a measure when it diverges from the true goal.
method Formal analysis of Goodhart's law, focusing on the tail distribution of discrepancies.
result Goodhart's law depends on the tail distribution of discrepancies between the true goal and the optimized measure.

Privacy constraints affect learning Markov Random Fields differently.

problem Learning Markov Random Fields under differential privacy constraints.
method Algorithms for structure and parameter learning under pure, concentrated, and approximate differential privacy.
result Privacy constraints impose a strong separation between structure and parameter learning in high-dimensional data.

Study on Goodhart's law without independence assumptions, finds new patterns in optimisation.

problem Understanding when and how optimisation of a proxy metric leads to over-optimisation of the intended goal.
method Formalized Goodhart's law without independence and paradigm assumptions, studied different cases of goal and discrepancy tailness.
result Dependence between proxy metric and goal does not change Goodhart's effect for light-tailed cases, but over-optimisation occurs in heavy-tailed discrepancy cases.

We discuss two distinct approaches, for distorting risk measures of sums of dependent random variables, which preserve the property of coherence. The first, based on distorted expectations, operates on the survival function of the sum. The second, simultaneously applies the distortion on the survival function of the su…

2011-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified algorithm tackles various RL goals like reward-free and preference-based learning.

problem Unified approach to multiple RL learning goals.
method Decision-Estimation Coefficient (DEC) framework.
result Unified algorithm handles various learning goals with a single framework.

A new method for experimental design focuses on predicting downstream quantities of interest.

problem Designs that maximize parameter learning may not maximize downstream quantity prediction.
method Likelihood-free goal-oriented optimal experimental design (LF-GO-OED) using ABC density ratio estimation.
result LF-GO-OED maximizes the expected information gain for downstream quantities.

Building agents that can explore their environments intelligently is a challenging open problem. In this paper, we make a step towards understanding how a hierarchical design of the agent's policy can affect its exploration capabilities. First, we design EscapeRoom environments, where the agent must figure out how to n…

2018-11-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Study maps interdependence of SDGs, finds complex, dynamic linkages.

problem Identify which SDGs promote progress and how quickly.
method Used a balanced panel of 114 countries from 2000 to 2024, applying two estimators to recover directed interaction network and measure dynamic linkages.
result 84 goal linkages survive false-discovery control, showing both synergies and trade-offs, with no single goal acting as a universal accelerator.

The usual formulation of time-dependent mechanics implies a given splitting Y=R×MY=R\times M of an event space YY. This splitting, however, is broken by any time-dependent transformation, including transformations between inertial frames. The goal is the frame-covariant formulation of time-dependent mechanics on a bundle…

1997-10-04abs ↗pdf ↗

We reformulate data-dependent constraints to ensure they are always met with high probability.

problem Ensuring fairness and stability in machine learning models with data-dependent constraints.
method Calibrated reformulation of constraints to guarantee satisfaction with a specified probability.
result Our method guarantees that fairness constraints are met at test time with high probability.

The paper tackles multi-armed bandits with vector losses, focusing on minimizing the \ell^\infty-norm of relative losses.

problem Minimizing the \ell^\infty-norm of relative losses in multi-armed bandits with multiple losses.
method Defines relative loss vector, derives lower bounds, and provides matching algorithms for both fixed-confidence best-arm identification and regret minimization.
result Derives problem-dependent sample complexity lower bound and matching algorithms for fixed-confidence best-arm identification.

When considering answering important questions with data, unsupervised data offers extensive insight opportunity and unique challenges. This study considers student survey data with a specific goal of clustering students into like groups with underlying concept of identifying different poverty levels. Fuzzy logic is co…

2018-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

In exploratory data analysis, we are often interested in identifying promising pairwise associations for further analysis while filtering out weaker, less interesting ones. This can be accomplished by computing a measure of dependence on all variable pairs and examining the highest-scoring pairs, provided the measure o…

2015-05-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Learning by children and animals occurs effortlessly and largely without obvious supervision. Successes in automating supervised learning have not translated to the more ambiguous realm of unsupervised learning where goals and labels are not provided. Barlow (1961) suggested that the signal that brains leverage for uns…

2017-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Bandit algorithms have various application in safety-critical systems, where it is important to respect the system constraints that rely on the bandit's unknown parameters at every round. In this paper, we formulate a linear stochastic multi-armed bandit problem with safety constraints that depend (linearly) on an unkn…

2019-08-16abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm reduces regret for many bandit algorithms with logarithmic dependence on number of algorithms.

problem Combining and learning over a large set of adversarial bandit algorithms to track the best one.
method Proposes a new algorithm (CORRAL) with logarithmic regret dependence on the number of base algorithms.
result Achieves optimal switching regret for adversarial linear bandits over a dd-dimensional p\ell_p unit-ball.

Object ranking is an important problem in the realm of preference learning. On the basis of training data in the form of a set of rankings of objects, which are typically represented as feature vectors, the goal is to learn a ranking function that predicts a linear order of any new set of objects. Current approaches co…

2018-03-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The goal of the article is to provide different explicit quantifications of the non density of simple closed geodesics on hyperbolic surfaces. In particular, we show that within any embedded metric disk on a surface, lies a disk of radius only depending on the topology of the surface (and the size of the first embedded…

2018-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗

The goal of supervised feature selection is to find a subset of input features that are responsible for predicting output values. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) allows computationally efficient feature selection based on linear dependency between input features and output values. In this pa…

2012-02-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Boost GNNs for node classification by incorporating label dependencies.

problem Current GNNs lack expressiveness and fail to capture label dependencies.
method Proposes a collective learning framework combining collective classification and self-supervised learning.
result Consistent, significant improvement in node classification accuracy across various GNNs.

Efficiently models agent dependencies in large social networks.

problem Challenges in incorporating inter-agent dependencies in social reinforcement learning models.
method Clusters users based on payoff and contribution, combines cluster-level policies with personalized agent-level policies, and uses dynamic clustering.
result Our approach learns more accurate policy estimates and converges more quickly than existing methods.

Study on future-dependent value functions for off-policy evaluation in complex environments.

problem Exponential dependence on horizon in off-policy evaluation for complex observations.
method Developed novel coverage assumptions for POMDPs to achieve polynomial bounds.
result Achieved polynomial bounds on previously exponential quantities, improving off-policy evaluation.

Recurrent neural networks have gained widespread use in modeling sequential data. Learning long-term dependencies using these models remains difficult though, due to exploding or vanishing gradients. In this paper, we draw connections between recurrent networks and ordinary differential equations. A special form of rec…

2019-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Partial dependence curves (FPD) introduced by Friedman, are an important model interpretation tool, but are often not accessible to business analysts and scientists who typically lack the skills to choose, tune, and assess machine learning models. It is also common for the same partial dependence algorithm on the same …

2019-07-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Max entropy exploration guides reinforcement learning agents to pursue achievable goals.

problem Achieving distant test-time goals in long-horizon tasks.
method Optimize entropy of historical achieved goals by focusing on sparsely explored areas.
result Order of magnitude better sample efficiency on long-horizon multi-goal tasks.

Paper addresses OPE for dependent bandit samples using MDS and batch updates.

problem Evaluating policies from non-i.i.d. historical data in contextual bandits.
method Constructs an MDS-based estimator for dependent samples, solves batch update and deficient support issues.
result Derives an asymptotically normal estimator for evaluation policy value.

The usual formulations of time-dependent mechanics start from a given splitting Y=R×MY=R\times M of the coordinate bundle YRY\to R. From physical viewpoint, this splitting means that a reference frame has been chosen. Obviously, such a splitting is broken under reference frame transformations and time-dependent canonical …

1997-02-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Investment strategy depends on many factors for venture capital funds.

problem Finding the optimal portfolio size for venture capital funds.
method Analyzes various factors affecting fund returns and optimal portfolio size, starting with basic assumptions and increasing complexity.
result Investment strategy depends on many factors, not a one-size-fits-all formula.

Branch-and-bound (BnB) algorithms are widely used to solve combinatorial problems, and the performance crucially depends on its branching heuristic.In this work, we consider a typical problem of maximum common subgraph (MCS), and propose a branching heuristic inspired from reinforcement learning with a goal of reaching…

2019-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Vanguard uses AI to create personalized financial plans.

problem Challenges in choosing features for complex financial planning.
method Reinforcement learning for identifying optimal savings rates.
result Trains algorithms to model financial success trajectories.