In this paper, we consider the problem of predicting demographics of geographic units given geotagged Tweets that are composed within these units. Traditional survey methods that offer demographics estimates are usually limited in terms of geographic resolution, geographic boundaries, and time intervals. Thus, it would…
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48 results for “geographical levels”
Study improves motor insurance claim prediction using geographic data.
problem Limited location identifiers in public actuarial datasets.
method Zone-level modeling framework with environmental and orthoimagery data.
result Geographic information improves MTPL claim prediction accuracy.
2020 Census uses more noise to protect privacy than needed, improving data accuracy.
problem Ensuring privacy in census data while maintaining accuracy for policy decisions.
method Applied -differential privacy to track and reduce noise across geographical levels.
result The 2020 Census provides stronger privacy protections than its nominal guarantees suggest.
condLSTM-Q: A novel deep learning model for predicting Covid-19 mortality in fine geographical Scalecs.LG
condLSTM-Q predicts COVID-19 deaths at county level with quantile forecasts.
problem Predicting COVID-19 mortality at fine geographical scales.
method Conditional Long Short-Term Memory networks with quantile output.
result Fine-scale quantile predictions inform about death toll distribution.
Comparative Analysis of Technological Fitness and Coherence at different geographical scalesphysics.soc-ph
The paper analyzes tech specialization and diversification at various scales.
problem Trade-offs between specialization and diversification in economic development.
method Patent data and Economic Complexity framework.
result Technological Coherence positively impacts growth at metropolitan areas but negatively at larger scales.
The objective of this paper is to fill a gap in the literature on internationalization, in relation to the absence of objective and measurable performance indicators on the process of how firms sequentially enter external markets. To that end, this research develops a quantitative tool that can be used as a performance…
Can Metropolitan Housing Risk be Diversified? A Cautionary Tale from the Recent Boom and Bustq-fin.PM
Geographic diversification is fundamental to risk mitigation among investors and insurers of housing, mortgages, and mortgage-related derivatives. To characterize diversification potential, we provide estimates of integration, spatial correlation, and contagion among US metropolitan housing markets. Results reveal a hi…
Spatial machine learning improves poverty targeting in Indonesia.
problem Conventional PMT methods have high exclusion and inclusion errors due to spatial dependencies and regional heterogeneity.
method Integrates spatial contiguity matrices into SML models to identify and compare poverty clusters.
result SML reduces exclusion errors from 28% to 20% compared to standard machine learning models.
Copula-based method generates synthetic populations from marginal distributions.
problem Generating realistic synthetic populations from limited data.
method Copula-based framework for population synthesis.
result Copula framework enhances transferability and realism of synthetic populations.
Mathematical analysis shows Delisle-Euler map methods are optimal.
problem Comparing ancient and modern map drawing methods.
method Analyzing similarities and differences between ancient and modern map drawing methods.
result Delisle-Euler map methods are optimal among conical maps.
Neural networks are capable of learning rich, nonlinear feature representations shown to be beneficial in many predictive tasks. In this work, we use such models to explore different geographical feature representations in the context of predicting colorectal cancer survival curves for patients in the state of Iowa, sp…
Cost overruns in transport infrastructure projects know no geographical limits, overruns are a global phenomenon. Nevertheless, the size of cost overruns varies with location. In the Netherlands, cost overruns appear to be smaller compared to the rest of the world. This paper tests whether Dutch projects perform signif…
Paper presents a method for geographic ratemaking using spatial embeddings.
problem Lack of historical loss data in areas with high exposures.
method Construct spatial features within a complex representation model and use them as inputs to a predictive model.
result Predictions have smaller bias and variance than other spatial interpolation models.
SE-KGE embeds spatial data into KGs for better spatial reasoning.
problem Spatially explicit KG embeddings for geographic tasks.
method Location-aware KG embedding model SE-KGE.
result SE-KGE outperforms baselines on DBGeo dataset.
Mobility datasets are fundamental for evaluating algorithms pertaining to geographic information systems and facilitating experimental reproducibility. But privacy implications restrict sharing such datasets, as even aggregated location-data is vulnerable to membership inference attacks. Current synthetic mobility data…
GWRBoost improves GWR for better spatial relationship quantification.
problem Underfitting in GWR for complex data and lack of explainable quantification.
method Geographically weighted gradient boosting model using localized additive model and gradient boosting optimization.
result Significant improvement in RMSE and AICc compared to classic GWR.
Image compression techniques reveal network structure for shipping box optimization.
problem Designing and planning shipping box networks between nodes.
method Image transformations and Bayesian reinforcement learning.
result Learned network structure can recommend future connectivity.
GeoConformal predicts spatial uncertainty without relying on specific models.
problem Measuring uncertainty in spatial predictions to enhance model credibility.
method GeoConformal Prediction integrates geographical weighting into conformal prediction.
result GeoConformal achieves higher coverage rates in uncertainty assessment compared to Bootstrap methods.
STICC clusters geographic objects considering both spatial contiguity and attributes.
problem Discovering repeated geographic patterns with spatial contiguity.
method Spatial Toeplitz Inverse Covariance-Based Clustering (STICC) method.
result STICC significantly outperforms baseline methods in adjusted rand index and macro-F1 score.
Meta-data from photo-sharing websites such as Flickr can be used to obtain rich bag-of-words descriptions of geographic locations, which have proven valuable, among others, for modelling and predicting ecological features. One important insight from previous work is that the descriptions obtained from Flickr tend to be…
Enhances neural forecasting for hierarchically organized time series data.
problem Probabilistic coherent forecasting of time series data across different levels of aggregation.
method Proposes a coherent multivariate mixture output for neural forecasting architectures, optimizing with a composite likelihood objective.
result 13.2% average accuracy improvements on most datasets compared to state-of-the-art baselines.
Towards Measuring Place Function Similarity at Fine Spatial Granularity with Trajectory Embeddingcs.AI
Study uses trajectory embedding to measure place function similarity at fine spatial granularity.
problem Measuring place function similarity at fine spatial granularity.
method Trajectory embedding to reduce dimensions and measure similarity of place functions.
result Embedding similarity can be a metric proxy for place functions at fine spatial granularity.
Geographic object-based image analysis (GEOBIA) framework has gained increasing interest recently. Following this popular paradigm, we propose a novel multiscale classification approach operating on a hierarchical image representation built from two images at different resolutions. They capture the same scene with diff…
Algorithm selects variables and bandwidths for geographically weighted regression.
problem Estimating variable subsets and bandwidths for geographically weighted regression.
method Mathematical programming-based approach integrating variable selection and bandwidth estimation.
result Proposed algorithm provides stable spatially varying patterns with competitive explanatory power.
Distributed securities exchanges may become de facto fragmented if they span geographical regions with asymmetric computer infrastructure. First, we build an economic model of a decentralized exchange with two miner clusters, standing in for compact areas of economic activity (e.g., cities). "Local" miners in the area …
SXL embeds spatial autocorrelation into neural networks for better geographic data learning.
problem Difficulties in learning spatial effects for neural networks in geographic data.
method SXL uses auxiliary tasks and autoregressive embeddings to learn spatial autocorrelation.
result SXL improves neural network training in unsupervised and supervised learning tasks.
Geography effect is investigated for the Chinese stock market including the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, based on the daily data of individual stocks. The Shanghai city and the Guangdong province can be identified in the stock geographical sector. By investigating a geographical correlation on a geographical pa…
HierarchicalForecast provides a Python framework for coherent hierarchical forecasting.
problem Ensuring forecasts at disaggregate levels add up to aggregate forecasts.
method Preprocessed datasets, evaluation metrics, and statistical baseline models.
result Python-based reference framework for statistical and ML forecasting.
This paper begins to explore the determinants of the topological properties of the international - trade network (ITN). We fit bilateral-trade flows using a standard gravity equation to build a "residual" ITN where trade-link weights are depurated from geographical distance, size, border effects, trade agreements, and …
Study reveals centralization in Bitcoin transactions involving retail users.
problem Centralization and bias in Bitcoin transaction data.
method Heuristic classification of Bitcoin users, weekly activity pattern analysis.
result Most real transactions involve Frequent Receivers, centralizing the ecosystem.
New method generates geolocated synthetic populations from real data.
problem Generating synthetic populations with explicit geographic coordinates.
method Mapping coordinates into a latent space using Normalizing Flows (NF), then combining with other features in a Variational Autoencoder (VAE).
result NF+VAE architecture outperforms existing methods in generating geolocated synthetic populations.
Causal invariant geographic network representations with feature and structural distribution shiftscs.LG
Proposes FSM-IRL to learn invariant network representations considering feature and structural shifts.
problem Spatial heterogeneity and temporal dynamics lead to OOD generalization issues in geographic networks.
method Introduces FSM-IRL model that accounts for feature and structural distribution shifts using causal attention and reweighting.
result Demonstrates strong learning capabilities on geographic and social network datasets in OOD scenarios.
Lagrange's map construction ideas influenced later mathematicians.
problem Improving geographical map construction methods.
method Analyzing the impact of Lagrange's memoir on subsequent mathematical works.
result Lagrange's ideas were influential in later mathematical developments, particularly in geography.
Real estate appraisal is a complex and important task, that can be made more precise and faster with the help of automated valuation tools. Usually the value of some property is determined by taking into account both structural and geographical characteristics. However, while geographical information is easily found, o…
A method for fast, accurate cross-temporal forecasts using machine learning.
problem Inconsistent forecasts across different levels of platform data.
method Non-linear hierarchical forecast reconciliation using machine learning.
result Automated direct production of reconciled forecasts for high-frequency decision making.
A new multi-phase approach improves supply chain forecasting accuracy.
problem Improving forecast accuracy for hierarchical supply chain demands.
method Independent child-level forecasting followed by parent-level estimation.
result 82-90% improvement in forecast accuracy compared to traditional methods.
Wasserstein t-SNEcs.LG
Wasserstein t-SNE embeds hierarchical datasets considering within-unit distributions.
problem Exploring hierarchical datasets where units are compared based on means of sample distributions.
method Uses Wasserstein distance metric for 2D embeddings of units, approximating Gaussian distributions for efficiency.
result Demonstrates effective embedding of hierarchical datasets, uncovering meaningful structure.
We are interested in learning customers' video preferences from their historic viewing patterns and geographical location. We consider a Bayesian latent factor modeling approach for this task. In order to tune the complexity of the model to best represent the data, we make use of Bayesian nonparameteric techniques. We …
We are interested in estimating individual labels given only coarse, aggregated signal over the data points. In our setting, we receive sets ("bags") of unlabeled instances with constraints on label proportions. We relax the unrealistic assumption of known label proportions, made in previous work; instead, we assume on…
In this paper we propose a Bayesian nonparametric model for clustering partial ranking data. We start by developing a Bayesian nonparametric extension of the popular Plackett-Luce choice model that can handle an infinite number of choice items. Our framework is based on the theory of random atomic measures, with the pr…
RESPIRE calibrates low-cost air-quality sensors for CO levels, resistant to outliers.
problem Calibrating LCAQ sensors against regulatory-grade monitors is expensive and time-consuming.
method PROvably outlier-resistant semi-parametric regression technique.
result RESPIRE offers improved prediction in cross-site, cross-season, and cross-sensor settings.
Delisle's projection explained by Euler in 18th century.
problem Geographical projection issues.
method Analyzing Euler's work on Delisle's projection.
result Important mathematical points on metric geometry of surfaces.
Study evaluates methods for improving model robustness to various real-world distribution shifts.
problem Improving model robustness to real-world distribution shifts like geographic changes.
method Introduced new datasets and evaluated existing methods on four types of shifts (style, blurriness, location, camera operation).
result Data augmentations and larger models can improve robustness on real-world distribution shifts, contrary to prior claims.
Nicolas-Auguste Tissot (1824--1897) was a French mathematician and cartographer. He introduced a tool which became known among geographers under the name ``Tissot indicatrix'', and which was widely used during the first half of the twentieth century in cartography. This is a graphical representation of a field of ellip…
Study uses deep learning to predict mycotoxin levels in Irish oats.
problem Predicting mycotoxin contamination in Irish oats to improve crop quality and safety.
method Investigated neural networks and transfer learning models for multi-response prediction.
result Transfer learning model TabPFN provided the best performance.
The understanding of geographical reality is a process of data representation and pattern discovery. Former studies mainly adopted continuous-field models to represent spatial variables and to investigate the underlying spatial continuity/heterogeneity in the regular spatial domain. In this article, we introduce a more…
We present constructions of simply connected symplectic 4-manifolds which have (up to sign) one basic class and which fill up the geographical region between the half-Noether and Noether lines.
Chagas disease is a neglected disease, and information about its geographical spread is very scarse. We analyze here mobility and calling patterns in order to identify potential risk zones for the disease, by using public health information and mobile phone records. Geolocalized call records are rich in social and mobi…