In this paper, we consider the problem of predicting demographics of geographic units given geotagged Tweets that are composed within these units. Traditional survey methods that offer demographics estimates are usually limited in terms of geographic resolution, geographic boundaries, and time intervals. Thus, it would…
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48 results for “geographic”
Mathematical analysis shows Delisle-Euler map methods are optimal.
problem Comparing ancient and modern map drawing methods.
method Analyzing similarities and differences between ancient and modern map drawing methods.
result Delisle-Euler map methods are optimal among conical maps.
Study improves motor insurance claim prediction using geographic data.
problem Limited location identifiers in public actuarial datasets.
method Zone-level modeling framework with environmental and orthoimagery data.
result Geographic information improves MTPL claim prediction accuracy.
Neural networks are capable of learning rich, nonlinear feature representations shown to be beneficial in many predictive tasks. In this work, we use such models to explore different geographical feature representations in the context of predicting colorectal cancer survival curves for patients in the state of Iowa, sp…
Cost overruns in transport infrastructure projects know no geographical limits, overruns are a global phenomenon. Nevertheless, the size of cost overruns varies with location. In the Netherlands, cost overruns appear to be smaller compared to the rest of the world. This paper tests whether Dutch projects perform signif…
Paper presents a method for geographic ratemaking using spatial embeddings.
problem Lack of historical loss data in areas with high exposures.
method Construct spatial features within a complex representation model and use them as inputs to a predictive model.
result Predictions have smaller bias and variance than other spatial interpolation models.
SE-KGE embeds spatial data into KGs for better spatial reasoning.
problem Spatially explicit KG embeddings for geographic tasks.
method Location-aware KG embedding model SE-KGE.
result SE-KGE outperforms baselines on DBGeo dataset.
GWRBoost improves GWR for better spatial relationship quantification.
problem Underfitting in GWR for complex data and lack of explainable quantification.
method Geographically weighted gradient boosting model using localized additive model and gradient boosting optimization.
result Significant improvement in RMSE and AICc compared to classic GWR.
Image compression techniques reveal network structure for shipping box optimization.
problem Designing and planning shipping box networks between nodes.
method Image transformations and Bayesian reinforcement learning.
result Learned network structure can recommend future connectivity.
STICC clusters geographic objects considering both spatial contiguity and attributes.
problem Discovering repeated geographic patterns with spatial contiguity.
method Spatial Toeplitz Inverse Covariance-Based Clustering (STICC) method.
result STICC significantly outperforms baseline methods in adjusted rand index and macro-F1 score.
Meta-data from photo-sharing websites such as Flickr can be used to obtain rich bag-of-words descriptions of geographic locations, which have proven valuable, among others, for modelling and predicting ecological features. One important insight from previous work is that the descriptions obtained from Flickr tend to be…
Towards Measuring Place Function Similarity at Fine Spatial Granularity with Trajectory Embeddingcs.AI
Study uses trajectory embedding to measure place function similarity at fine spatial granularity.
problem Measuring place function similarity at fine spatial granularity.
method Trajectory embedding to reduce dimensions and measure similarity of place functions.
result Embedding similarity can be a metric proxy for place functions at fine spatial granularity.
Algorithm selects variables and bandwidths for geographically weighted regression.
problem Estimating variable subsets and bandwidths for geographically weighted regression.
method Mathematical programming-based approach integrating variable selection and bandwidth estimation.
result Proposed algorithm provides stable spatially varying patterns with competitive explanatory power.
SXL embeds spatial autocorrelation into neural networks for better geographic data learning.
problem Difficulties in learning spatial effects for neural networks in geographic data.
method SXL uses auxiliary tasks and autoregressive embeddings to learn spatial autocorrelation.
result SXL improves neural network training in unsupervised and supervised learning tasks.
Geography effect is investigated for the Chinese stock market including the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, based on the daily data of individual stocks. The Shanghai city and the Guangdong province can be identified in the stock geographical sector. By investigating a geographical correlation on a geographical pa…
This paper begins to explore the determinants of the topological properties of the international - trade network (ITN). We fit bilateral-trade flows using a standard gravity equation to build a "residual" ITN where trade-link weights are depurated from geographical distance, size, border effects, trade agreements, and …
Study reveals centralization in Bitcoin transactions involving retail users.
problem Centralization and bias in Bitcoin transaction data.
method Heuristic classification of Bitcoin users, weekly activity pattern analysis.
result Most real transactions involve Frequent Receivers, centralizing the ecosystem.
New method generates geolocated synthetic populations from real data.
problem Generating synthetic populations with explicit geographic coordinates.
method Mapping coordinates into a latent space using Normalizing Flows (NF), then combining with other features in a Variational Autoencoder (VAE).
result NF+VAE architecture outperforms existing methods in generating geolocated synthetic populations.
The objective of this paper is to fill a gap in the literature on internationalization, in relation to the absence of objective and measurable performance indicators on the process of how firms sequentially enter external markets. To that end, this research develops a quantitative tool that can be used as a performance…
Causal invariant geographic network representations with feature and structural distribution shiftscs.LG
Proposes FSM-IRL to learn invariant network representations considering feature and structural shifts.
problem Spatial heterogeneity and temporal dynamics lead to OOD generalization issues in geographic networks.
method Introduces FSM-IRL model that accounts for feature and structural distribution shifts using causal attention and reweighting.
result Demonstrates strong learning capabilities on geographic and social network datasets in OOD scenarios.
Lagrange's map construction ideas influenced later mathematicians.
problem Improving geographical map construction methods.
method Analyzing the impact of Lagrange's memoir on subsequent mathematical works.
result Lagrange's ideas were influential in later mathematical developments, particularly in geography.
Real estate appraisal is a complex and important task, that can be made more precise and faster with the help of automated valuation tools. Usually the value of some property is determined by taking into account both structural and geographical characteristics. However, while geographical information is easily found, o…
We are interested in learning customers' video preferences from their historic viewing patterns and geographical location. We consider a Bayesian latent factor modeling approach for this task. In order to tune the complexity of the model to best represent the data, we make use of Bayesian nonparameteric techniques. We …
condLSTM-Q: A novel deep learning model for predicting Covid-19 mortality in fine geographical Scalecs.LG
condLSTM-Q predicts COVID-19 deaths at county level with quantile forecasts.
problem Predicting COVID-19 mortality at fine geographical scales.
method Conditional Long Short-Term Memory networks with quantile output.
result Fine-scale quantile predictions inform about death toll distribution.
2020 Census uses more noise to protect privacy than needed, improving data accuracy.
problem Ensuring privacy in census data while maintaining accuracy for policy decisions.
method Applied -differential privacy to track and reduce noise across geographical levels.
result The 2020 Census provides stronger privacy protections than its nominal guarantees suggest.
Delisle's projection explained by Euler in 18th century.
problem Geographical projection issues.
method Analyzing Euler's work on Delisle's projection.
result Important mathematical points on metric geometry of surfaces.
Can Metropolitan Housing Risk be Diversified? A Cautionary Tale from the Recent Boom and Bustq-fin.PM
Geographic diversification is fundamental to risk mitigation among investors and insurers of housing, mortgages, and mortgage-related derivatives. To characterize diversification potential, we provide estimates of integration, spatial correlation, and contagion among US metropolitan housing markets. Results reveal a hi…
Spatial machine learning improves poverty targeting in Indonesia.
problem Conventional PMT methods have high exclusion and inclusion errors due to spatial dependencies and regional heterogeneity.
method Integrates spatial contiguity matrices into SML models to identify and compare poverty clusters.
result SML reduces exclusion errors from 28% to 20% compared to standard machine learning models.
Study evaluates methods for improving model robustness to various real-world distribution shifts.
problem Improving model robustness to real-world distribution shifts like geographic changes.
method Introduced new datasets and evaluated existing methods on four types of shifts (style, blurriness, location, camera operation).
result Data augmentations and larger models can improve robustness on real-world distribution shifts, contrary to prior claims.
Nicolas-Auguste Tissot (1824--1897) was a French mathematician and cartographer. He introduced a tool which became known among geographers under the name ``Tissot indicatrix'', and which was widely used during the first half of the twentieth century in cartography. This is a graphical representation of a field of ellip…
The understanding of geographical reality is a process of data representation and pattern discovery. Former studies mainly adopted continuous-field models to represent spatial variables and to investigate the underlying spatial continuity/heterogeneity in the regular spatial domain. In this article, we introduce a more…
We present constructions of simply connected symplectic 4-manifolds which have (up to sign) one basic class and which fill up the geographical region between the half-Noether and Noether lines.
Chagas disease is a neglected disease, and information about its geographical spread is very scarse. We analyze here mobility and calling patterns in order to identify potential risk zones for the disease, by using public health information and mobile phone records. Geolocalized call records are rich in social and mobi…
We report on the works of Euler and Chebyshev on the drawing of geographical maps. We point out relations with questions about the fitting of garments that were studied by Chebyshev.
Comparative Analysis of Technological Fitness and Coherence at different geographical scalesphysics.soc-ph
The paper analyzes tech specialization and diversification at various scales.
problem Trade-offs between specialization and diversification in economic development.
method Patent data and Economic Complexity framework.
result Technological Coherence positively impacts growth at metropolitan areas but negatively at larger scales.
Flood extent mapping plays a crucial role in disaster management and national water forecasting. Unfortunately, traditional classification methods are often hampered by the existence of noise, obstacles and heterogeneity in spectral features as well as implicit anisotropic spatial dependency across class labels. In thi…
The study uses transfer learning to compare surgical outcomes across racial/ethnic subgroups.
problem Difficulty in comparing surgical outcomes due to racial/ethnic and geographic differences.
method Causal inference framework and transfer learning to incorporate data from multiple populations.
result Racial and ethnic differences in surgical outcomes are found, with non-Hispanic Black patients experiencing wide variability.
Proposes a new Hawkes process bandit model for disaster search and rescue.
problem Forecasting and detecting spatio-temporal events with undersampled or biased data.
method Upper confidence bound algorithm using Bayesian spatial Hawkes process estimation.
result Model outperforms state-of-the-art spatial MAB algorithms in disaster search and rescue.
Private density estimation in Wasserstein distance for geographic populations.
problem Private estimation of population density distributions.
method Differentially private algorithms for Wasserstein distance, instance-optimal.
result Uniformly achievable instance-optimal rates in both 1D and 2D.
We describe a new public-domain open-source simulator of an electronic financial exchange, and of the traders that interact with the exchange, which is a truly distributed and cloud-native system that been designed to run on widely available commercial cloud-computing services, and in which various components can be pl…
Copula-based method generates synthetic populations from marginal distributions.
problem Generating realistic synthetic populations from limited data.
method Copula-based framework for population synthesis.
result Copula framework enhances transferability and realism of synthetic populations.
GeoConformal predicts spatial uncertainty without relying on specific models.
problem Measuring uncertainty in spatial predictions to enhance model credibility.
method GeoConformal Prediction integrates geographical weighting into conformal prediction.
result GeoConformal achieves higher coverage rates in uncertainty assessment compared to Bootstrap methods.
A large amount of data accommodated in knowledge graphs (KG) is actually metric. For example, the Wikidata KG contains a plenitude of metric facts about geographic entities like cities, chemical compounds or celestial objects. In this paper, we propose a novel approach that transfers orometric (topographic) measures to…
In Pursuit of Interpretable, Fair and Accurate Machine Learning for Criminal Recidivism Predictionstat.ML
Interpretable ML models predict recidivism as well as non-interpretable methods and are more fair.
problem Improving recidivism prediction models for fairness and interpretability.
method Trained interpretable ML models on two recidivism datasets, compared to existing methods, and analyzed fairness.
result Interpretable ML models can predict recidivism as well as non-interpretable methods and are more fair.
We define a class of Euclidean distances on weighted graphs, enabling to perform thermodynamic soft graph clustering. The class can be constructed form the "raw coordinates" encountered in spectral clustering, and can be extended by means of higher-dimensional embeddings (Schoenberg transformations). Geographical flow …
Dynamics of fintech terms in news and blogs and specialization of companies of the fintech industryphysics.soc-ph
Study analyzes fintech terms in news and blogs, revealing specialized attributes of fintech companies.
problem Understanding specialized attributes of fintech companies through term analysis.
method Large scale analysis of fintech terms in news and blogs, using complex networks and statistically validated networks.
result Companies with fintech terms have over-expressions of specific attributes related to geography and economy.
Mobility datasets are fundamental for evaluating algorithms pertaining to geographic information systems and facilitating experimental reproducibility. But privacy implications restrict sharing such datasets, as even aggregated location-data is vulnerable to membership inference attacks. Current synthetic mobility data…
A new pricing model reduces bias in insurance premiums.
problem Insurance pricing fairness and discrimination.
method Adversarial learning and autoencoders for debiasing multiple pricing factors.
result A single pricing model mitigates bias across geographic and car types.