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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,181 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for forest decomposition

Generalized Baumslag-Solitar groups are defined as fundamental groups of graphs of groups with infinite cyclic vertex and edge groups. Forester proved (in "On uniqueness of JSJ decompositions of finitely generated groups", Comment. Math. Helv. 78 (2003) pp 740-751) that in most cases the defining graphs are cyclic JSJ …

2011-02-22abs ↗pdf ↗

New unbiased variance estimator for random forests using Hoeffding decomposition.

problem Uncertainty quantification in random forests with large kernel sizes and small sample sizes.
method Proposes a new Hoeffding decomposition view for variance estimation, establishing unbiased estimators and ratio consistency.
result Establishes the ratio consistency of the proposed variance estimator, justifying confidence interval coverage rates.

Develops HCQRF for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects with censored data.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects on censored responses with high-dimensional variables.
method Hybrid Censored Quantile Regression Forest (HCQRF) combining random forests and censored quantile regression.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness and stability of HCQRF through simulation studies and real-world application.

Random Planted Forest interprets tree-based models by keeping some splits, leading to more interpretable predictions.

problem Estimating the unknown regression function from lower-order interaction terms.
method Modifying the random forest algorithm by keeping certain leaves instead of deleting them, resulting in non-binary trees called planted trees.
result The random planted forest achieves asymptotically optimal convergence rates up to a logarithmic factor when the interaction bound is low.

Develops exact and invariant study-based decompositions for network meta-analysis.

problem Lack of exact contribution decompositions in network meta-analysis.
method Contrast-space projection formulation of NMA, study-based definition of direct and indirect evidence.
result Exact covariance-aware decompositions of NMA estimator into direct and indirect contributions.

SHAKE-GNN scales GNNs for large graphs with multi-scale representations.

problem Scaling Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) to large graphs.
method SHAKE-GNN uses a hierarchy of Kirchhoff Forests for stochastic multi-resolution graph decompositions.
result SHAKE-GNN achieves competitive performance on large-scale graph classification benchmarks.

This paper analyzes Mean Decrease Impurity (MDI) variable importance in random forests.

problem Lack of interpretability in random forest variable importances.
method Analysis of Mean Decrease Impurity (MDI) in random forests.
result MDI provides a variance decomposition of the output when variables are independent and there are no interactions.

Sparse matrix decomposition identifies key design variables for ICF experiments.

problem Improving predictive capability of ICF simulation codes through better understanding of design inputs and outcomes.
method Sparse Principal Component Analysis (SPCA) and Random Forest (RF) surrogate model.
result Identified clusters of design variables related to physical processes, revealing important variables not previously considered.

Bayesian fusion forest combines clinical and real-world data to estimate treatment effects.

problem Estimating treatment effects on survival from mixed data sources with confounding.
method Nonparametric Bayesian fusion forest combining randomised and real-world data, relaxing unconfoundedness assumption.
result Fusion identifies treatment benefits not seen in clinical trials alone.

Bayesian calibration speeds up ABM for pandemic modeling.

problem Calibrating stochastic ABMs for accurate pandemic predictions is computationally intensive.
method Random forest surrogate modeling for accelerated ABM evaluation.
result Improved predictive performance with random forest calibration compared to previous methods.

Machine learning can improve 2SLS first stage predictions, but nonlinear methods often introduce bias.

problem Improving the first stage of 2SLS using machine learning.
method Decomposed bias into three components, investigated through simulation.
result Nonlinear machine learning methods can introduce substantial bias in second-stage estimates.

Unified local and global explanations through functional decomposition of low dimensional structures.

problem Tackles the challenge of extracting meaningful local and global explanations from machine learning models.
method Proposes a new identification constraint to decompose the global representation into main and interaction components of arbitrary order.
result Unified local and global explanations by connecting partial dependence plots and interventional SHAP values.

Random Hinge Forests are a new decision forest method that can be integrated into neural networks.

problem Training and optimizing neural networks efficiently and effectively.
method Random Hinge Forests are a novel variant of decision forests that can be integrated into neural networks and optimized end-to-end.
result Random Hinge Forests can be efficiently optimized end-to-end with stochastic gradient descent.

Ensembles of randomized decision trees, usually referred to as random forests, are widely used for classification and regression tasks in machine learning and statistics. Random forests achieve competitive predictive performance and are computationally efficient to train and test, making them excellent candidates for r…

2014-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

HDI-Forest improves regression prediction intervals using Random Forest.

problem Improving the quality of prediction intervals in regression tasks.
method HDI-Forest is a novel quality-based PI estimation method based on Random Forest, optimizing PI quality metrics directly from standard tree-based models.
result HDI-Forest significantly reduces PI width by over 20% compared to previous methods, while maintaining or improving coverage probability.

New random forest method provides optimal rates and confidence bands.

problem Improving random forest regression rates and constructing confidence bands.
method Proposed Ehrenfest centered purely random forests achieve optimal rates; used Gaussian approximation for supremum of empirical processes.
result Explicit asymptotic uniform confidence bands constructed for both random forest types.

Study shows training duration impacts model merging quality, suggesting joint selection of duration and method.

problem Impact of expert training duration on model merging quality for large language models (LLMs).
method Systematically fine-tuned experts on five domains across three model sizes, evaluating five merging methods at each duration.
result Training duration affects merging quality, with simple averaging degrading sharply and sparsification-based methods performing well past the validation optimum.

RFpredInterval package builds prediction intervals for random forests and boosted forests.

problem Quantifying uncertainty in random forest and boosted forest point predictions.
method 16 methods to build prediction intervals with random forests and boosted forests.
result The proposed method outperforms existing methods in building prediction intervals.

Boosting random forests reduces bias and improves predictive performance.

problem Reducing bias in random forest predictions.
method Extract residuals from random forest, fit another random forest to residuals, sum predictions.
result One-step boosted forest has reduced bias and improved predictive performance.

This paper is a comment on the survey paper by Biau and Scornet (2016) about random forests. We focus on the problem of quantifying the impact of each ingredient of random forests on their performance. We show that such a quantification is possible for a simple pure forest , leading to conclusions that could apply more…

2016-04-06abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper studies Mondrian Forests, proving they achieve optimal rates in arbitrary dimensions.

problem Understanding optimal rates for Mondrian Forests in arbitrary dimensions.
method Theoretical study based on new results about Mondrian partitions.
result Mondrian Forests achieve minimax optimal rates for ss-Hölder functions in arbitrary dimensions.

Improves time series classification with forest proximities.

problem Time series classification accuracy and efficiency.
method PF-GAP, an extension of RF-GAP proximities to proximity forests, combined with Multi-Dimensional Scaling and Local Outlier Factors.
result Forest proximities show stronger connection between misclassified points and outliers.

Random forests reduce bias and variance, especially in low SNR settings.

problem Reducing bias and variance in machine learning models, particularly in low SNR scenarios.
method Empirical study of random forests and bagging ensembles, focusing on the importance of mtrymtry tuning.
result Random forests reduce both bias and variance, outperforming bagging ensembles in high SNR settings.

Study examines survival models for ALS, focusing on proportional hazards assumption.

problem Impact of proportional hazards assumption on survival models for ALS.
method Theoretical and empirical investigation of survival forests and their variants.
result Alternative split procedures can improve model performance in non-proportional hazards situations.

Transfer learning improves chatter detection accuracy with EEMD over WPT.

problem Improving chatter detection accuracy in metal cutting using transfer learning.
method Wavelet Packet Transform (WPT) and Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) for feature extraction; Support Vector Machine (SVM), Logistic Regression, Random Forest Classification, and Gradient Boosting with RFE for classification; Transfer learning applied to different turning configurations.
result EEMD outperforms WPT in transfer learning applications, achieving up to 95% accuracy.

New method learns representations for decision forests using input perturbation.

problem Decision forests struggle with raw structured data and lack effective representations.
method Approximate decision forest gradients through input perturbation.
result Effective representation learning for decision forests without structural changes.

Decision forests, including Random Forests and Gradient Boosting Trees, have recently demonstrated state-of-the-art performance in a variety of machine learning settings. Decision forests are typically ensembles of axis-aligned decision trees; that is, trees that split only along feature dimensions. In contrast, many r…

2015-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

A fast method for finding counterfactual explanations for decision forests.

problem Finding counterfactual explanations for decision forests efficiently.
method Constrain optimization to data-populated regions, reducing to nearest-neighbor search.
result Very fast and realistic counterfactual explanations for decision forests.

Improves random survival forest model by weighted averaging.

problem Improving the performance of random survival forest.
method Modifies random forest by weighted averaging of trees, optimizing weights via quadratic optimization to maximize Harrell's C-index.
result The weighted random survival forest outperforms the original model in numerical examples.