Myanmar needs to improve financial access for its unbanked population.
problem Low financial access for Myanmar's unbanked population.
method Comparative analysis of Singapore, Malaysia, and Thailand's MFS sectors.
result Need for government support and growth in Myanmar's MFS sector.
FinGPT is an open-source financial LLM for democratizing financial data.
problem Accessing high-quality financial data for LLMs.
method Data-centric approach with automatic data curation and low-rank adaptation.
result FinGPT provides accessible and transparent financial data for FinLLMs.
New method uses synthetic data to validate financial agent classification.
problem Validation of machine learning methods for financial agent classification.
method Agent-based model to generate synthetic data for validation.
result Unsupervised clustering may give incorrect results for financial agents.
FinBloom enhances LLMs for real-time financial queries.
problem Limited access to real-time financial data by LLMs.
method Developed a custom 7B parameter LLM, Financial Context Dataset, and a Financial Agent.
result Significantly improved LLMs' capability to handle dynamic financial tasks.
FinRobot opens-source AI for financial tasks, breaking down complex problems.
problem Barriers to AI adoption in finance due to proprietary data and specialized knowledge.
method Develops open-source AI agent platform with four layers: Financial AI Agents, LLM Algorithms, LLMOps/DataOps, and Foundation Models.
result FinRobot democratizes AI access for financial analysis.
Paper presents a novel time series clustering algorithm for financial inclusion.
problem Difficulty in understanding consumer financial behavior without restrictive credit scoring.
method Developed a novel time series clustering algorithm.
result Allows institutions to offer unique financial products based on customer needs.
Short selling is key to exploiting arbitrage opportunities in financial markets.
problem Theoretical basis for differences in financial service regulations.
method Analyzing semimartingales to show arbitrage opportunities require short selling.
result Arbitrage opportunities can only be exploited through short selling.
Study on women entrepreneurs' access to finance in France.
problem Inequalities in accessing external finance for women entrepreneurs in France.
method Quantitative approach using data from a representative sample of women entrepreneurs.
result Founder status affects access to external finance; increases success in fundraising but reduces bank finance.
We address a fundamental problem that is systematically encountered when modeling complex systems: the limitedness of the information available. In the case of economic and financial networks, privacy issues severely limit the information that can be accessed and, as a consequence, the possibility of correctly estimati…
FiNCAT tool automatically identifies financial numerals in documents.
problem Differentiating between in-claim and out-of-claim numerals in financial documents.
method Extracts context embeddings of numerals using BERT, then uses Logistic Regression to classify.
result Achieved a Macro F1 score of 0.8223 on validation set.
New measure predicts Dutch housing market downturns.
problem Understanding causes of Dutch housing boom and bust.
method Modelled household lending capacity using bank formulas.
result New measure outperforms traditional measures in forecasting housing prices.
L2GMOM learns financial networks and optimizes momentum strategies.
problem Expensive databases and financial expertise limit network construction accessibility.
method End-to-end machine learning framework (L2GMOM) that learns networks and optimizes trading signals.
result Significant improvement in portfolio profitability and risk control with Sharpe ratio of 1.74.
InvestorBench benchmarks LLM agents in financial tasks.
problem Lack of a comprehensive benchmark for LLM-based financial agents.
method Developed a benchmark with diverse financial tasks and datasets.
result Evaluated LLM agents' performance across various financial products and market environments.
Regulating crypto and DeFi for inclusive economic advancement.
problem Innovative financial systems pose challenges to traditional regulatory frameworks.
method Formulating regulatory structures that balance innovation and consumer protection.
result Regulatory frameworks are essential for leveraging crypto and DeFi for inclusive economic growth.
In the spirit of Arrow-Debreu, we introduce a family of financial derivatives that act as primitive securities in that exotic derivatives can be approximated by their linear combinations. We call these financial derivatives signature payoffs. We show that signature payoffs can be used to nonparametrically price and hed…
Survey of financial LLMs in finance.
problem Limited research on Financial LLMs (FinLLMs).
method Chronological overview of PLMs, comparison of techniques, performance evaluations, and advanced tasks.
result Compilation of accessible datasets and benchmarks for AI research in finance.
Forecasting based on financial time-series is a challenging task since most real-world data exhibits nonstationary property and nonlinear dependencies. In addition, different data modalities often embed different nonlinear relationships which are difficult to capture by human-designed models. To tackle the supervised l…
When studying social, economic and biological systems, one has often access to only limited information about the structure of the underlying networks. An example of paramount importance is provided by financial systems: information on the interconnections between financial institutions is privacy-protected, dramatical…
Recently, mobile operators in many developing economies have launched "Mobile Money" platforms that deliver basic financial services over the mobile phone network. While many believe that these services can improve the lives of the poor, a consistent difficulty has been identifying individuals most likely to benefit fr…
This paper uses deep generative models to create synthetic financial data for portfolio and risk modeling.
problem Challenges in empirical research due to privacy, accessibility, and reproducibility issues in financial data.
method Investigates the use of Time-series Generative Adversarial Networks (TimeGAN) and Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) to generate synthetic financial return series.
result Synthetic data from TimeGAN closely mimics real financial data in distributional shapes, volatility, and autocorrelation.
A Markov-chain model is developed for the purpose estimation of the cure rate of non-performing loans. The technique is performed collectively, on portfolios and it can be applicable in the process of calculation of credit impairment. It is efficient in terms of data manipulation costs which makes it accessible even to…
Quantum algorithms accelerate financial risk computation.
problem Accelerating the computation of financial market risk.
method Quantum gradient estimation algorithms for market sensitivities.
result Significant reduction in resource requirements for financial quantum advantage.
FinGPT democratizes financial data for LLMs, enabling innovation.
problem Limited financial text datasets and disparities between general and financial text data.
method Automates collection and curation of real-time financial data from diverse Internet sources, fine-tuning with RLSP and LoRA.
result Democratizes access to financial data for LLMs, enabling innovation.
Novel financial time-series data representation improves industry sector classification.
problem Classifying industries using historical stock returns time-series data.
method Proposed a novel representation based on stock returns embeddings for time-series data, overcoming representational challenges of conventional approaches.
result Substantial performance improvements over baselines using conventional representations.
We introduce a new measure of activity of financial markets that provides a direct access to their level of endogeneity. This measure quantifies how much of price changes are due to endogenous feedback processes, as opposed to exogenous news. For this, we calibrate the self-excited conditional Poisson Hawkes model, whi…
The existence of asymmetric information has always been a major concern for financial institutions. Financial intermediaries such as commercial banks need to study the quality of potential borrowers in order to make their decision on corporate loans. Classical methods model the default probability by financial ratios u…
We discuss how minimal financial market models can be constructed by bridging the gap between two existing, but incomplete, market models: a model in which a population of virtual traders make decisions based on common global information but lack local information from their social network, and a model in which the tra…
Systemic risk arises as a multi-layer network phenomenon. Layers represent direct financial exposures of various types, including interbank liabilities, derivative- or foreign exchange exposures. Another network layer of systemic risk emerges through common asset holdings of financial institutions. Strongly overlapping…
Study detects emerging trends in financial news articles about Microsoft.
problem Challenges in identifying trends in long-form financial news articles.
method Topic modeling and term frequency for keyword similarity analysis.
result Demonstrates the influence of the pandemic on Microsoft.
Machine learning identifies ESG patterns for better stock selection.
problem Linking ESG behavior to financial performance.
method Machine learning algorithm mapping ESG features to financial outcomes.
result Machine learning strategy outperforms traditional ESG screening.
Financial time series prediction, especially with machine learning techniques, is an extensive field of study. In recent times, deep learning methods (especially time series analysis) have performed outstandingly for various industrial problems, with better prediction than machine learning methods. Moreover, many resea…
FinRL-Meta offers market environments and benchmarks for financial reinforcement learning.
problem Challenges in creating high-quality market environments and benchmarks for financial reinforcement learning.
method DataOps paradigm, automatic pipeline, community-wise competitions, Jupyter/Python demos.
result Openly accessible FinRL-Meta library for data-driven financial reinforcement learning.
We consider a financial market model with a single risky asset whose price process evolves according to a general jump-diffusion with locally bounded coefficients and where market participants have only access to a partial information flow. For any utility function, we prove that the partial information financial marke…
Paper uses LLMs for financial forecasting, overcoming sequence reasoning and multi-modal challenges.
problem Challenges in financial time series forecasting, especially cross-sequence reasoning and multi-modal signals.
method Combines LLMs with financial data and news, using zero-shot/few-shot inference and instruction-based fine-tuning.
result LLMs can offer explainable financial forecasts, leveraging cross-sequence reasoning and multi-modal information.
The insufficient understanding of the credit network structure was recognized as a key factor for regulators' underestimation of the destructive systematic risk during the financial crisis that started in 2007. The existing credit network research either took a macro perspective to clarify the topological properties of…
Agent-to-agent finance aims to manage payments and trust for AI agents.
problem Managing financial interactions between autonomous AI agents.
method Develops agent-to-agent finance concept and explores blockchain solutions.
result Agent-to-agent finance can address coordination frictions in financial markets.
Before the massive spread of computer technology, information was far from complex. The development of technology shifted the paradigm: from individuals who faced scarce and costly information to individuals who face massive amounts of information accessible at low costs. Nowadays we are living in the era of big data a…
Research improves LGD approximation using XGBoost for cash-flow-limited data.
problem Accurate LGD calculation with limited cash-flow data.
method Enhanced delta outstanding approach with XGBoost machine learning.
result XGBoost model enhances realized LGD estimation accuracy.
Study shows GPT's earnings forecasts are human-like but not always accurate.
problem Information friction in AI-generated financial analysis.
method Examined GPT's earnings forecasts following corporate earnings releases and proposed a diagnostic framework.
result GPT's narrative attention is consistent and human-like but not always associated with higher forecast accuracy.
This a free translation with additional explanations of {\em Processus à Accroissement Independants Chapitre I: La Décomposition de Paul Lévy}, by J.L. Bretagnolle, in {\em Ecole d'Eté de Probabilités}, Lecture Notes in Mathematics 307, Springer 1973. The Lévy-Khintchine representation of infinitely divisible distribut…
Quantum algorithm speeds up financial option pricing.
problem Optimizing stopping times in stochastic processes for finance.
method Combines quantum computing techniques with LSM for optimal stopping.
result Achieves nearly quadratic speedup in runtime.
The paper models financial returns data with measurement error.
problem Modeling measurement error in financial returns data.
method Develops a stochastic model using a Lévy process and approximates the joint transition density via a stick-breaking representation. Implements MCMC and multilevel MCMC algorithms.
result Provides an approximation and sampling methods for Bayesian parameter estimation of the model.
Develops a framework for synthetic banking microdata evaluation.
problem Lack of evaluation frameworks for synthetic banking microdata.
method Develops a framework considering utility and privacy requirements.
result Synthetic datasets are particularly suited for frequency tables.
Green bond leaks impact equity markets, altering investor reactions.
problem Green bond leaks affect equity market reactions.
method Identified 259 instances of pre-announcement leaks in 2,036 green bond headlines.
result News leaks significantly alter equity trading dynamics and investor reactions.
This paper uses graph neural networks to predict SME default risk using transaction and ownership networks.
problem Predicting credit risk for SMEs facing limited financial histories and collateral constraints.
method Graph Neural Networks applied to multilayer network data of SME transactions and ownership.
result Combining network data with traditional data improves credit scoring and models contagion risk.
A fundamental problem in studying and modeling economic and financial systems is represented by privacy issues, which put severe limitations on the amount of accessible information. Here we introduce a novel, highly nontrivial method to reconstruct the structural properties of complex weighted networks of this kind usi…
Study shows how diverse investors' learning and preferences shape financial markets.
problem Understanding how diverse investor behaviors and preferences affect market dynamics.
method Developed a multi-agent reinforcement learning framework with heterogeneous preferences and learning mechanisms.
result Diverse investors develop differentiated strategies through interaction, leading to realistic market dynamics.
Foundation for robust finance using rough path theory.
problem Mathematical models of financial markets under Knightian uncertainty.
method Introducing Property (RIE) for càdlàg paths, proving existence of rough integrals, verifying admissibility of trading strategies.
result Existence and stability of rough path integrals for non-gradient integrands.