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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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55110164219 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for exploratory research

The abstract warns against flawed empirical research in machine learning.

problem Flawed empirical research in machine learning leading to unreliable results.
method Call for more awareness of experimental knowledge plurality and epistemic limitations.
result Current empirical machine learning research should be exploratory, not confirmatory.

Study predicts adverse events in Afghanistan using time series data.

problem Predicting the number of negative events in Afghanistan's theater of war.
method Regression analysis on time series data, non-conventional aggregation of districts, machine learning models.
result Predictive models show reasonable performance on historical data, but other variables do not improve prediction quality.

Study speculative trading using RL with exploratory framework.

problem Sequential optimal stopping problem over entry and exit times with general utility function and price process.
method Formulated as a sequential optimal stopping problem, solved using Cox processes driven by bounded, non-randomized intensity controls. Characterized randomized control via probability measure over jump intensities and regularized objective function by Shannon's entropy. Established error estimates and convergence of RL objective to value function.
result Closed-form solutions for optimal policy and value function are derived.

Study finds key investing characteristics for success in equity markets.

problem Understanding what traits lead to financial success in equity markets.
method Exploratory factor analysis and multiple linear regression on 403 respondents' data.
result Investing characteristics significantly impact individual investors' excess return.

The increasing availability of large but noisy data sets with a large number of heterogeneous variables leads to the increasing interest in the automation of common tasks for data analysis. The most time-consuming part of this process is the Exploratory Data Analysis, crucial for better domain understanding, data clean…

2019-03-27abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we propose a new algorithm for exploratory projection pursuit. The basis of the algorithm is the insight that previous approaches used fairly narrow definitions of interestingness / non interestingness. We argue that allowing these definitions to depend on the problem / data at hand is a more natural app…

2011-12-19abs ↗pdf ↗

The discovery of time series motifs has emerged as one of the most useful primitives in time series data mining. Researchers have shown its utility for exploratory data mining, summarization, visualization, segmentation, classification, clustering, and rule discovery. Although there has been more than a decade of exten…

2018-02-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Researchers solved a model of an exhaustible resource with stochastic discoveries.

problem Optimal exploration of an exhaustible resource with uncertain discoveries.
method Impulse control and Poisson process of new discoveries.
result A frontier of critical levels of proven reserves exists, above which exploration is stopped.

A framework for robust exploration in reinforcement learning under ambiguity.

problem Optimal stopping under ambiguity in reinforcement learning.
method Continuous-time robust reinforcement learning framework using gg-expectation and backward stochastic differential equations.
result Constructs a robust exploratory stopping time approximating the optimal stopping time under ambiguity.

Action chunking and data exploration improve behavior cloning in robotics.

problem Exponential errors in learning from demonstrations for continuous control tasks.
method Action chunking and exploratory data collection.
result Control-theoretic stability is key to improving imitation learning.

Study on utility maximization with Tsallis entropy in reinforcement learning.

problem Exploring utility maximization with Tsallis entropy in reinforcement learning.
method Introducing Tsallis entropy regularizer to induce exploration, investigating specific examples, characterizing well-posedness, designing reinforcement learning algorithm.
result Characterized well-posedness and provided semi-closed-form solutions for specific examples, found distinct optimal strategies.

Efficient exploration remains a challenging research problem in reinforcement learning, especially when an environment contains large state spaces, deceptive local optima, or sparse rewards. To tackle this problem, we present a diversity-driven approach for exploration, which can be easily combined with both off- and o…

2018-02-13abs ↗pdf ↗

New method for portfolio management learns from past wealth evolution.

problem Optimizing portfolio selection based on past performance.
method Simulated annealing clustering for asset selection, considering past wealth evolution.
result Strategy effectively learns from past performance and performs well in practice.

New method explains high-dimensional sphere data with latent factors.

problem Understanding intricate dependence structure in high-dimensional sphere data.
method Exploratory factor analysis of the projected normal distribution with a fast alternating expectation profile conditional maximization algorithm.
result Uniformly excellent results on various data types, including tweets, brain imaging, and cancer gene expression.

Making sense of a dataset in an automatic and unsupervised fashion is a challenging problem in statistics and AI. Classical approaches for {exploratory data analysis} are usually not flexible enough to deal with the uncertainty inherent to real-world data: they are often restricted to fixed latent interaction models an…

2018-07-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Latent feature modeling allows capturing the latent structure responsible for generating the observed properties of a set of objects. It is often used to make predictions either for new values of interest or missing information in the original data, as well as to perform data exploratory analysis. However, although the…

2017-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

D2D converts CLDs into SDMs to explore leverage points under uncertainty.

problem Limited dynamic analysis of CLDs for intervention strategies.
method Minimal user input protocol to convert CLDs into SDMs, simulating interventions.
result D2D helps distinguish leverage points and provides uncertainty estimates.

Study uses RL to optimize investment with financial constraints, showing exploration benefits.

problem Optimal investment with financial constraints in continuous time.
method Reinforcement learning framework, focusing on Gaussian and truncated Gaussian distributions.
result Exploration leads to more dispersed wealth distribution with heavier tails, especially with smaller exploration parameters.

The paper tackles confidence calibration for exploratory machine learning problems.

problem Difficulty in curating datasets and confusion about category validity.
method Introduces four new algorithms for category-specific confidence estimation, including kernel density ratios.
result Kernel density ratios provide a novel approach to confidence calibration, especially for exploratory problems.

Social media analytics allows us to extract, analyze, and establish semantic from user-generated contents in social media platforms. This study utilized a mixed method including a three-step process of data collection, topic modeling, and data annotation for recognizing exercise related patterns. Based on the findings,…

2018-12-08abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper tackles optimal stopping problems using reinforcement learning and singular control.

problem Continuous-time and state-space optimal stopping problems.
method Formulated as a singular control problem with randomized stopping times and penalized cumulative residual entropy.
result Identified unique optimal exploratory strategy through dynamic programming.

Micro-panel data are collected and analysed in many research and industry areas. Cluster analysis of micro-panel data is an unsupervised learning exploratory method identifying subgroup clusters in a data set which include homogeneous objects in terms of the development dynamics of monitored variables. The supply of cl…

2018-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Since time immemorial, people have been looking for ways to organize scientific knowledge into some systems to facilitate search and discovery of new ideas. The problem was partially solved in the pre-Internet era using library classifications, but nowadays it is nearly impossible to classify all scientific and popular…

2018-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

A-DOGE embeds attributed graphs efficiently using density of states.

problem Efficiently represent node-attributed graphs with few numerical features.
method A-DOGE uses density of states to blend topology and attributes, leveraging efficient approximation algorithms.
result A-DOGE achieves competitive performance with modern supervised GNNs while being significantly faster.

We introduce an exploratory study on Mutation Validation (MV), a model validation method using mutated training labels for supervised learning. MV mutates training data labels, retrains the model against the mutated data, then uses the metamorphic relation that captures the consequent training performance changes to as…

2019-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a reinforcement learning agent to solve hard exploration games by learning a range of directed exploratory policies. We construct an episodic memory-based intrinsic reward using k-nearest neighbors over the agent's recent experience to train the directed exploratory policies, thereby encouraging the agent to…

2020-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

This describes a statistical technique called "tonsuring" for exploratory data analysis in finance. Instead of rejecting "outlier" data that conflicts with the model, this strips out "inlier" data to get a clearer picture of how the market changes for larger moves.

2011-10-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Understanding functional organization of genetic information is a major challenge in modern biology. Following the initial publication of the human genome sequence in 2001, advances in high-throughput measurement technologies and efficient sharing of research material through community databases have opened up new view…

2011-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

In conventional supervised learning, a training dataset is given with ground-truth labels from a known label set, and the learned model will classify unseen instances to known labels. This paper studies a new problem setting in which there are unknown classes in the training data misperceived as other labels, and thus …

2020-02-05abs ↗pdf ↗

We explore a new method for discrete-time control problems using randomization and entropy.

problem Discrete-time linear-exponential quadratic Gaussian (LEQG) control problem.
method Introduce exploration through randomization and apply duality between free energy and relative entropy.
result Reduced LEQG problem to equivalent risk-neutral LQG control problem with entropy regularization.