High dimensional structured data such as text and images is often poorly understood and misrepresented in statistical modeling. The standard histogram representation suffers from high variance and performs poorly in general. We explore novel connections between statistical translation, heat kernels on manifolds and gra…
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48 results for “expectation distance”
Sharp bounds for max-sliced Wasserstein distances derived for empirical distributions.
problem Estimating the expected max-sliced Wasserstein distance between a probability measure and its empirical distribution.
method Banach space version and operator norm approach for upper bounds.
result Upper bounds for max-sliced Wasserstein distances are essentially matching and sharp up to a log factor.
We investigate the geometrical structure of probabilistic generative dimensionality reduction models using the tools of Riemannian geometry. We explicitly define a distribution over the natural metric given by the models. We provide the necessary algorithms to compute expected metric tensors where the distribution over…
This paper introduces a noise-robust clustering method using distribution distances.
problem Reducing noise impact on clustering results.
method Introduces expectation distance (ED) for distribution clustering, extending K-means and K-medoids.
result Improved clustering accuracy and reduced computation time.
Optimal transport framework for density estimation with constraints.
problem Density estimation under expectation constraints.
method Minimizes Wasserstein distance subject to expected value constraints and regularization.
result Framework effectively addresses non-smooth constraints through annealing-like algorithm.
Upper bound for max-sliced 2-Wasserstein distance between measures.
problem Estimating distance between probability measures and their empirical counterparts.
method Same technique as previous work, upper bound approach.
result Upper bound for expected max-sliced 2-Wasserstein distance.
Flag manifolds are generalizations of projective spaces and other Grassmannians: they parametrize flags, which are nested sequences of subspaces in a given vector space. These are important objects in algebraic and differential geometry, but are also increasingly being used in data science, where many types of data are…
A non-Euclidean generalization of conditional expectation is introduced and characterized as the minimizer of expected intrinsic squared-distance from a manifold-valued target. The computational tractable formulation expresses the non-convex optimization problem as transformations of Euclidean conditional expectation. …
The paper converts metric bounds to distance function Hölder bounds and proves compactness theorems.
problem Proving geometric stability results with scalar curvature bounds.
method Transforming bounds to Hölder bounds for distance functions.
result Compactness theorems and convergence guarantees for Riemannian manifolds.
Unified understanding of neural representation similarity measures.
problem Fragmented research landscape of neural network similarity measures.
method Observation and exploration of connections between shape distances and normalized Bures similarity.
result Cosine of the Riemannian shape distance equals normalized Bures similarity.
The paper introduces a new Wasserstein distance for approximating posteriors in inverse problems.
problem Approximating posterior measures in inverse problems using conditional Wasserstein distances.
method Introduces a conditional Wasserstein distance with restricted couplings and derives its dual.
result Shows that conditional Wasserstein GANs can yield favorable properties for posterior sampling.
This work tightens generalization error bounds using Wasserstein distance.
problem Improving expected generalization error bounds in machine learning.
method Introduces bounds based on Wasserstein distance for various settings.
result New, tighter bounds based on relative entropy and other information measures.
Asynchronous Gibbs sampling has been recently shown to be fast-mixing and an accurate method for estimating probabilities of events on a small number of variables of a graphical model satisfying Dobrushin's condition~\cite{DeSaOR16}. We investigate whether it can be used to accurately estimate expectations of functions…
Proposes variance reduction techniques for sliced Wasserstein distance estimation.
problem Intractability of estimating sliced Wasserstein distances.
method Uses control variates based on Gaussian approximations of projected measures.
result Significant reduction in variance of SW distance estimators.
This work bounds the run-time of nonconvex optimization with early stopping.
problem Bounding the expected run-time of nonconvex optimization with early stopping.
method Derives conditions for well-defined early stopping based on validation function norms and bounds the expected number of iterations and gradient evaluations.
result Guarantees the validity of early stopping and provides bounds on the expected run-time for various optimization algorithms.
Simple algorithm achieves distance to calibration error of at most 2√T+1.
problem Achieving distance to calibration error of O(√T) in adversarial setting.
method An extremely simple, efficient, deterministic algorithm.
result Obtains distance to calibration error at most 2√T+1.
Study examines how slight model changes affect multi-period optimization outcomes.
problem Effect of small probabilistic model changes on multi-period optimization problems.
method Adapted Wasserstein distance for measuring changes, explicit first-order approximations proved.
result Explicit first-order approximations for multi-period stochastic optimization and optimal stopping problems.
We propose fast approximations for the generalized sliced-Wasserstein distance.
problem Efficient approximation of the generalized sliced-Wasserstein distance in high dimensions.
method Deterministic approximations using random projections and concentration of measure results.
result One-dimensional projections of high-dimensional random vectors are approximately Gaussian.
We provide upper bounds of the expected Wasserstein distance between a probability measure and its empirical version, generalizing recent results for finite dimensional Euclidean spaces and bounded functional spaces. Such a generalization can cover Euclidean spaces with large dimensionality, with the optimal dependence…
Develops a method to find costly high-confidence errors in black box models.
problem Finding rare high-confidence errors missed by random sampling.
method Adversarial perturbation-guided search technique to find errors at rates greater than expected given model confidence.
result Our Adversarial Distance search discovers high-confidence errors at a rate greater than expected given model confidence.
FKEE estimates expectations without samples, using diffusion bridges and PINNs.
problem Estimating expectations without large sample sizes.
method Diffusion bridge models and Feynman-Kac operator approximation using PINNs.
result Significantly reduces variance and improves efficiency.
New framework improves experimental design using integral probability metrics.
problem Challenges in Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design (BOED) with KL divergence.
method Integrates integral probability metrics (IPMs) for stability and flexibility.
result IPM-based designs yield more robust and accurate credible sets.
Kullback-Leibler distance as a measure of the information filtered from multivariate dataphysics.data-an
We show that the Kullback-Leibler distance is a good measure of the statistical uncertainty of correlation matrices estimated by using a finite set of data. For correlation matrices of multivariate Gaussian variables we analytically determine the expected values of the Kullback-Leibler distance of a sample correlation …
Conformal Risk Controlstat.ME
Extends conformal prediction for controlling expected risk of monotone loss functions.
problem Controlling expected risk of monotone loss functions.
method Generalizes split conformal prediction with coverage guarantee, extending to distribution shift, quantile risk, multiple, adversarial, and expectations of U-statistics.
result Tight up to an factor, with worked examples in computer vision and natural language processing.
We compute the expected value of the Kullback-Leibler divergence to various fundamental statistical models with respect to canonical priors on the probability simplex. We obtain closed formulas for the expected model approximation errors, depending on the dimension of the models and the cardinalities of their sample sp…
Optimal payoff choice constrained by Bregman-Wasserstein divergence.
problem Maximizing utility under a deviation constraint from a benchmark.
method Solving the problem using Bregman-Wasserstein divergence with a convex function φ.
result Provided the optimal payoff choice in this setting.
Sharp threshold found for Frechet mean of inhomogeneous graphs.
problem Finding the Frechet mean of inhomogeneous Erdos-Renyi random graphs.
method Thresholding the expected adjacency matrix of the ensemble.
result The Frechet mean graph of inhomogeneous Erdos-Renyi random graphs exhibits a sharp threshold.
The paper bounds the expectation of empirical processes indexed by Hölder classes.
problem Estimating the expectation of the supremum of empirical processes for distributions on bounded sets.
method Providing upper bounds on the expectation of the supremum of empirical processes indexed by Hölder classes.
result Deriving non-asymptotic risk bounds for estimating distributions using empirical processes and IPM.
Stocks of more resilient firms outperformed during the pandemic, reflecting disaster risk.
problem The impact of social distancing on firms' operations and stock performance.
method Cross-sectional analysis of firms' resilience and stock performance, controlling for risk factors.
result Stocks of more resilient firms are expected to yield significantly lower returns than less resilient ones, reflecting disaster risk.
This thesis improves kernel-based distances for statistical inference and integration.
problem Efficiently measuring distances between probability distributions for robust and smooth modeling.
method Kernel-based distances, focusing on maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) and novel kernel quantile discrepancies.
result Improved MMD estimators for simulation-based inference and conditional expectations.
In high dimensions, the mean and geometric median are nearly identical.
problem Understanding the relationship between mean and geometric median in high-dimensional spaces.
method Analytical derivation and simulation of the distance between mean and geometric median.
result The distance between mean and geometric median vanishes with dimensionality in high dimensions.
New algorithm identifies good arms with fewer samples when thresholds are close.
problem Good arm identification in bandit problems with small threshold gaps.
method Proposes lil'HDoC algorithm to improve GAI under small threshold gaps.
result Sample complexity of first λ output arm is nearly identical to HDoC algorithm when thresholds are close.
A method uses Shapley values and Mahalanobis distances to explain multivariate outliers.
problem Explaining multivariate outlyingness in data.
method Decomposing squared Mahalanobis distance using Shapley values.
result Shapley values provide variable contributions to outlying observations.
The moduli space of lattices of is a Riemann surface of finite hyperbolic area with the square lattice as an origin. We select a lattice from the induced uniform distribution and calculate the statistics of the Teichmüller distance to the origin. This in turn identifies distribution of the distance in Teic…
Manifold learning seeks a low dimensional representation that faithfully captures the essence of data. Current methods can successfully learn such representations, but do not provide a meaningful set of operations that are associated with the representation. Working towards operational representation learning, we endow…
Optimally shows the distance between perturbed convex functions and their Γ-regularizations.
problem Understanding the difference between perturbed convex functions and their Γ-regularizations.
method Analyzing the compactly supported perturbation and the Γ-regularization of a strictly convex function.
result The optimal estimate of the distance between perturbed convex functions and their Γ-regularizations is shown to be .
Improved UCB method for stochastic bandits using distance tuning.
problem Improving performance in stochastic bandit problems.
method Tuning confidence bounds based on bandit distance.
result Empirically shows increased performance compared to existing methods.
This paper analyzes minibatch optimal transport distances and their applications.
problem Optimal transport distances are complex and impractical for large datasets.
method Extended analysis of minibatch optimal transport distances, focusing on various kernels and debiased functions.
result Minibatch optimal transport distances are unbiased estimators and have statistical and optimisation properties.
Optimizes sample reweighting to match laws under covariate shift using Wasserstein distance.
problem Matching laws of samples with different distributions under covariate shift.
method Minimizes Wasserstein distance between empirical measures of samples using Nearest Neighbors weights.
result Consistent reweighting leads to asymptotic convergence of empirical measures.
Distance-based hierarchical clustering (HC) methods are widely used in unsupervised data analysis but few authors take account of uncertainty in the distance data. We incorporate a statistical model of the uncertainty through corruption or noise in the pairwise distances and investigate the problem of estimating the HC…
Diffusion models achieve nearly optimal distribution estimation in various spaces.
problem Theoretical limitations of diffusion modeling for distribution estimation.
method Analysis of approximation and generalization abilities of diffusion models in Besov spaces.
result Diffusion models achieve nearly minimax optimal estimation rates in total variation and Wasserstein distances.
A popular heuristic for improved performance in Generative adversarial networks (GANs) is to use some form of gradient penalty on the discriminator. This gradient penalty was originally motivated by a Wasserstein distance formulation. However, the use of gradient penalty in other GAN formulations is not well motivated.…
A new framework tightens risk measure confidence bounds.
problem Improving confidence bounds for various risk measures.
method Distribution optimization framework with two estimation schemes based on concentration bounds.
result Consistently tighter confidence bounds compared to previous methods.
Assume that an agent models a financial asset through a measure Q with the goal to price / hedge some derivative or optimize some expected utility. Even if the model Q is chosen in the most skilful and sophisticated way, she is left with the possibility that Q does not provide an "exact" description of reality. This le…
Reverse sensitivity analysis for risk models under various stresses.
problem Understanding model changes under output stress.
method Deriving the closest stressed distribution and model parameters.
result Numerically efficient method for calculating stressed model.
This paper is on the normal approximation of singular subspaces when the noise matrix has i.i.d. entries. Our contributions are three-fold. First, we derive an explicit representation formula of the empirical spectral projectors. The formula is neat and holds for deterministic matrix perturbations. Second, we calculate…
We present a powerful new loss function and training scheme for learning binary hash functions. In particular, we demonstrate our method by creating for the first time a neural network that outperforms state-of-the-art Haar wavelets and color layout descriptors at the task of automated scene matching. By accurately rel…
Measuring Model Riskq-fin.RM
We propose to interpret distribution model risk as sensitivity of expected loss to changes in the risk factor distribution, and to measure the distribution model risk of a portfolio by the maximum expected loss over a set of plausible distributions defined in terms of some divergence from an estimated distribution. The…